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Galp Energia (GLPEY)
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Galp Energia SGPS SA (GLPEY) AI Stock Analysis

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GLPEY

Galp Energia SGPS SA

(OTC:GLPEY)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$10.50
â–²(11.94% Upside)
Galp Energia's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and attractive valuation. The company's financial performance is stable, though revenue decline and cash flow efficiency require attention. Technical analysis supports a positive trend, enhancing the stock's outlook.

Galp Energia SGPS SA (GLPEY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Galp Energia SGPS SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGalp Energia, SGPS, S.A. operates as an integrated energy operator in Portugal and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Upstream, Industrial & Energy Management, Commercial, and Renewables and New Business. The Upstream segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbons primarily in Brazil, Mozambique, and Angola. The Industrial & Energy Management segment owns refineries in Portugal, as well as is involved in activities related to energy management of oil products, gas, and electricity. This segment also provides storage and transportation infrastructure for oil and gas products, as well as engages in the sale of electricity to the grid in Portugal and Spain. The Commercial segment is involved in the areas of retail to final business-to-business and business to consumer customers of oil, gas, and electricity. The Renewables and New Business segment is involved in the development of solar and wind power generation projects in Portugal and Spain. In addition, it produces biodiesel, biofuel, and green hydrogen; and operates 1,480 service stations and 1,186 electric mobility charging points. Further, the company engages in the reinsurance business. The company was formerly known as Galp – Petróleos e Gás de Portugal, SGPS, S.A. and changed its name to Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. in September 2000. Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Lisbon, Portugal.
How the Company Makes MoneyGalp Energia generates revenue primarily through its upstream activities, where it explores and produces oil and gas, selling these commodities in both domestic and international markets. The company also earns significant income from its downstream operations, which include refining crude oil into various petroleum products and marketing these products through its extensive retail network. Furthermore, Galp is investing in renewable energy projects, which are expected to contribute to future revenue streams as the global energy landscape shifts. Key partnerships with other energy companies and investments in joint ventures enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, while its integrated business model allows for cost efficiencies and risk management across its operations.

Galp Energia SGPS SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 21, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Galp demonstrated a strong financial performance with significant upgrades in production and EBITDA guidance, successful LNG operations, and progress in strategic partnerships. However, challenges such as dollar depreciation and CapEx uncertainty were noted. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Galp upgraded its full-year production guidance to a range of 105,000 to 110,000 barrels per day and expects full-year group EBITDA to surpass EUR 2.7 billion, up from a previous EUR 2.5 billion. Operating cash flow is expected to be over EUR 1.8 billion.
Midstream Division Success
Galp received 3 LNG cargoes from Venture Global, contributing to a strong performance in the Midstream division. Overall, 10 cargoes are expected by year-end, representing 60% of volume increase in the division.
Namibia Partnership Progress
Galp received non-binding offers from credible players for its Namibia project. The partnership process is progressing as planned, aiming to conclude by year-end.
Upstream Production Growth
Upstream production stood at 113,000 barrels per day, with a robust performance and limited maintenance disruptions. The production benefited from high integrity levels and no significant unplanned events.
Negative Updates
Impact of Dollar Depreciation
The financial performance faced headwinds from dollar depreciation, affecting cash generation and reducing payables.
CapEx Uncertainty
CapEx for 2025 is revised to below EUR 1 billion, with a heavier second half expected. However, there are expectations of higher CapEx in low-carbon projects, leading to uncertainty in future expenditure.
Company Guidance
During Galp's second quarter 2025 results presentation, the company provided a robust financial and operational update, highlighting key metrics and guidance for the rest of the year. Galp reported strong upstream production of 113,000 barrels per day, leading to an upgraded full-year production guidance of 105,000 to 110,000 barrels per day. The company's group EBITDA guidance was revised upwards to exceed EUR 2.7 billion from the previous EUR 2.5 billion, driven by improved operating performance, while operating cash flow is now expected to surpass EUR 1.8 billion. In the midstream segment, Galp successfully lifted three LNG cargoes from Venture Global, contributing approximately 60% to the segment's performance improvements. Capital expenditure for 2025 has been revised to below EUR 1 billion, with expectations to be heavier in the second half, particularly due to investments in industrial low-carbon projects and renewables. Galp's leadership indicated a focus on securing a strong partnership for the Namibia asset, with nonbinding offers received from credible players, and a targeted timeline for concluding negotiations by year-end.

Galp Energia SGPS SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Galp Energia demonstrates a stable financial performance with some areas of concern. The income statement shows stable profitability but declining revenue, which could impact future growth. The balance sheet is well-managed with a reasonable debt level and strong return on equity. Cash flow generation is improving, but operational cash flow needs enhancement. The company should focus on reversing the revenue decline and improving cash flow efficiency to strengthen its financial position.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Galp Energia's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -3.31% in the TTM period. However, it maintains a stable net profit margin of 4.82% and an EBIT margin of 10.63%, indicating operational efficiency. The gross profit margin has decreased compared to previous years, which could be a concern. Overall, while profitability remains stable, the declining revenue trend is a potential risk.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.14 in the TTM period suggests a balanced leverage, though slightly higher than the previous year. The return on equity is strong at 21.58%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, showing a solid capital structure. While the company has managed its debt well, maintaining this balance is crucial to avoid financial strain.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Galp Energia's cash flow statement indicates some strengths and weaknesses. The free cash flow growth rate has improved by 13.23% in the TTM period, showing positive cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.42, suggesting that cash generation from operations could be improved. The free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.25, indicating that a portion of earnings is being converted into free cash flow. Overall, while there is positive cash flow growth, operational cash generation needs attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.35B21.31B20.77B26.84B16.11B11.39B
Gross Profit2.35B2.73B3.98B2.67B1.83B166.00M
EBITDA3.13B3.50B3.75B4.54B1.81B1.19B
Net Income980.00M1.04B1.24B1.48B191.00M-490.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.51B16.82B16.61B16.10B14.91B12.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.81B2.44B2.37B2.74B2.93B1.83B
Total Debt4.95B4.91B5.41B5.26B5.48B4.83B
Total Liabilities10.40B11.18B11.28B10.98B10.94B8.39B
Stockholders Equity4.33B4.69B4.41B4.16B3.05B3.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow505.00M1.15B1.57B1.99B273.00M239.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.74B2.53B2.63B3.07B1.05B888.00M
Investing Cash Flow-543.00M-1.05B-1.02B-1.27B-460.00M-674.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.26B-1.35B-1.91B-1.26B-530.00M190.00M

Galp Energia SGPS SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price9.38
Price Trends
50DMA
9.32
Positive
100DMA
8.57
Positive
200DMA
8.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
46.86
Neutral
STOCH
63.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLPEY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.59, above the 50-day MA of 9.32, and above the 200-day MA of 8.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GLPEY.

Galp Energia SGPS SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$76.01B5.7719.48%14.72%-13.68%-13.96%
79
Outperform
$53.10B20.214.83%6.75%-6.31%-33.87%
78
Outperform
$136.70B10.8110.96%5.75%-10.73%-36.76%
75
Outperform
$17.66B5.1915.94%20.52%-2.26%-20.04%
74
Outperform
$14.12B13.0621.08%3.71%-3.86%-25.50%
67
Neutral
$62.03B8.1019.22%10.08%1.19%-7.87%
65
Neutral
$14.84B8.642.77%5.45%4.51%-62.52%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLPEY
Galp Energia SGPS SA
9.38
-0.89
-8.67%
EC
Ecopetrol SA
8.72
-0.62
-6.64%
E
Eni SPA
35.19
4.72
15.49%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
12.08
-1.10
-8.35%
EQNR
Equinor ASA
24.50
-1.12
-4.37%
TTE
TotalEnergies
61.52
-4.11
-6.26%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025