tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Galp Energia SGPS SA (GLPEY)
OTHER OTC:GLPEY

Galp Energia SGPS SA (GLPEY) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
64 Followers

Top Page

GLPEY

Galp Energia SGPS SA

(OTC:GLPEY)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(10.66% Upside)
Galp Energia's overall score reflects strong operational performance and positive technical indicators. While financial performance is stable, declining revenue and cash flow efficiency need improvement. The earnings call provided confidence in future growth, despite some external challenges.

Galp Energia SGPS SA (GLPEY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Galp Energia SGPS SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGalp Energia SGPS SA (GLPEY) is a Portuguese integrated energy company engaged in the exploration, production, refining, and distribution of oil and gas, as well as the generation and distribution of electricity. The company operates across various sectors including upstream operations (oil and gas exploration and production), downstream operations (refining, distribution, and marketing of petroleum products), and renewable energy. Galp focuses on innovative energy solutions, aiming to transition towards sustainable energy sources while maintaining a significant presence in traditional fossil fuel markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyGalp Energia generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, refined petroleum products, and electricity. The company's upstream segment contributes to its earnings through the exploration and production of oil and gas, selling extracted resources to both domestic and international markets. In the downstream segment, revenue is derived from refining crude oil into various products, including gasoline, diesel, lubricants, and petrochemicals, which are then distributed through its extensive fuel retail network. Additionally, Galp is investing in renewable energy projects, such as wind and solar power, diversifying its income sources. Strategic partnerships with other energy companies and participation in joint ventures also enhance its operational efficiency and market reach, further contributing to its financial performance.

Galp Energia SGPS SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong operational performance with notable achievements in upstream production, financial resilience, and commercial sector performance. However, the call also highlighted challenges such as a volatile macro environment, refinery impacts, a tax dispute in Mozambique, and ongoing negotiations in Namibia.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Upstream Production in Brazil
Upstream production in Brazil continued elevated with 115,000 barrels per day, driven by high availabilities of the fleet during the quarter. Confidence in ending the year close to the upper end of the 150,000 to 110,000 guidance.
Bacalhau First Oil Milestone
Bacalhau reached first oil, a key project for Galp, expected to drive free cash flow growth in the coming years.
Record High Quarterly EBITDA in Iberia
In Iberia, record high quarter EBITDA posted in downstream businesses, particularly in refining and commercial.
Resilient Financial Position
Further reduced net debt to 0.4x, reinforcing financial position, with a 2026 dividend breakeven just below $40.
Strong Commercial Sector Performance
Commercial sector results above pre-COVID levels, with nonfuel and new business nearly at 30% of the full delivered value.
Negative Updates
Volatile Macro Environment
The macro environment continues to be volatile and challenging, affecting overall operations.
Refinery Turnaround Impact
Refinery maintenance expected to impact fourth-quarter performance, with a negative contribution from refining.
Mozambique Tax Dispute
International arbitration triggered over tax dispute with Mozambique, but no provision recognized in the books.
Namibia Partnership Uncertainty
Ongoing discussions and negotiations regarding Namibia partnership, with no definitive resolution yet.
Company Guidance
During Galp's Third Quarter 2025 Results Presentation, the company shared guidance indicating strong performance across its portfolio. In upstream, Brazil's production remained elevated at 115,000 barrels per day, boosting confidence to end the year near the high end of their 150,000 to 110,000 barrels per day guidance. Bacalhau's recent first oil milestone is poised to drive future free cash flow growth. In Iberia, strong seasonal trends in downstream businesses, notably in refining and commercial, resulted in record-high quarterly EBITDA, surpassing pre-COVID levels. Despite a volatile macro environment, Galp maintains a resilient portfolio with a 2026 dividend breakeven below $40 per barrel. The company expects to exceed its full-year group EBITDA and operating cash flow guidance, driven by robust asset performance. Financially, Galp continues to strengthen its position by reducing net debt to 0.4x, providing a solid foundation to pursue value-accretive opportunities. The ongoing discussions in Namibia are progressing well, reinforcing confidence in establishing a strong partnership to accelerate and prioritize the Mopane project.

Galp Energia SGPS SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Galp Energia SGPS SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.94
Price Trends
50DMA
9.78
Negative
100DMA
9.65
Negative
200DMA
8.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Positive
RSI
27.33
Positive
STOCH
5.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLPEY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.62, above the 50-day MA of 9.78, and above the 200-day MA of 8.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.33 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GLPEY.

Galp Energia SGPS SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$55.75B18.235.31%5.61%-3.84%15.75%
74
Outperform
$19.17B7.0713.79%19.14%-7.45%-28.80%
72
Outperform
$12.47B11.3621.59%4.52%-5.97%-23.18%
69
Neutral
$56.37B10.6313.46%7.64%1.53%-35.81%
69
Neutral
$73.13B5.5018.20%14.17%-11.63%-15.67%
54
Neutral
$14.42B-4.00%-2.76%56.81%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLPEY
Galp Energia SGPS SA
8.23
-0.35
-4.08%
EC
Ecopetrol SA
9.35
2.47
35.90%
E
Eni SPA
36.92
11.70
46.39%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
11.77
0.13
1.12%
EQNR
Equinor ASA
22.89
2.27
11.01%
YPF
YPF Sociedad Anonima
34.06
-7.63
-18.30%

Galp Energia SGPS SA Corporate Events

Galp Energia Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 28, 2025

Galp Energia is a prominent energy company engaged in oil and gas exploration and production, refining, and marketing, with a significant presence in the renewable energy sector. In its recent earnings report, Galp Energia showcased a strong operational performance for the third quarter of 2025, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. The company reported a robust RCA Ebitda of €911 million, driven by solid results in its upstream and downstream operations, and a notable reduction in net debt to €1.2 billion. Key highlights include the start of production at the Bacalhau FPSO, which is expected to enhance short-term cash flow, and ongoing negotiations in Namibia for a strategic partnership. Looking ahead, Galp Energia remains confident in surpassing its 2025 guidance for Ebitda and operating cash flow, with a strategic focus on advancing its low-carbon projects and expanding its renewable energy capacity.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025