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Galp Energia (GLPEY)
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Galp Energia SGPS SA (GLPEY) AI Stock Analysis

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Galp Energia SGPS SA

(OTC:GLPEY)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$10.50
â–²(14.13%Upside)
Galp Energia scores well due to its solid financial performance, strategic resilience, and reasonable valuation. While technical indicators show strong bullish momentum, potential overbought conditions and cash flow challenges are risks to monitor. The company's strategic focus and successful divestments highlight its capability to navigate market volatility.

Galp Energia SGPS SA (GLPEY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Galp Energia SGPS SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGalp Energia, SGPS, S.A. operates as an integrated energy operator in Portugal and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Upstream, Industrial & Energy Management, Commercial, and Renewables and New Business. The Upstream segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbons primarily in Brazil, Mozambique, and Angola. The Industrial & Energy Management segment owns refineries in Portugal, as well as is involved in activities related to energy management of oil products, gas, and electricity. This segment also provides storage and transportation infrastructure for oil and gas products, as well as engages in the sale of electricity to the grid in Portugal and Spain. The Commercial segment is involved in the areas of retail to final business-to-business and business to consumer customers of oil, gas, and electricity. The Renewables and New Business segment is involved in the development of solar and wind power generation projects in Portugal and Spain. In addition, it produces biodiesel, biofuel, and green hydrogen; and operates 1,480 service stations and 1,186 electric mobility charging points. Further, the company engages in the reinsurance business. The company was formerly known as Galp – Petróleos e Gás de Portugal, SGPS, S.A. and changed its name to Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. in September 2000. Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Lisbon, Portugal.
How the Company Makes MoneyGalp Energia generates revenue through multiple streams primarily centered around its activities in the oil and gas sector. Its upstream segment, which involves the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, contributes significantly to its earnings through the sale of crude oil and gas. The downstream segment, comprising refining and marketing, earns money by processing crude oil into refined products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, which are then sold to both retail and wholesale markets. Additionally, Galp's renewable energy initiatives, including solar and wind power projects, provide revenue through the sale of electricity. The company's strategic partnerships and joint ventures in various regions enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, further boosting its financial performance.

Galp Energia SGPS SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Galp's strong financial resilience and strategic execution in a volatile market, with successful divestments and a positive outlook in Namibia. However, operational challenges due to maintenance and weather-related disruptions were noted. The sentiment leans towards strong, but cautious optimism.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
Galp's upstream operating base runs on a cash breakeven of $20 per barrel, enabling resilience against market volatility. The company also completed the divestment of its stake in Mozambique Area 4 and received a final earnout from Angola, translating into €870 million in cash.
Namibia Exploration Success
In Namibia, well number 5 was safely drilled, unlocking the Southeast region of the Mopane complex. The company is engaging with potential partners for a value-accretive partnership.
Solid Performance in Midstream
The midstream segment showed strong performance with the first cargo from Venture Global lifting on April 15th, which was not included in the 2025 guidance.
Robust Contributions in Iberian Businesses
Galp's Iberian businesses contributed robustly, offsetting slightly weaker upstream performance due to planned maintenance.
Negative Updates
Upstream Performance Impacted by Maintenance
Planned maintenance led to the concentration of stoppage days, already over 40% of the full-year plan, affecting upstream performance.
Weather-Related Disruptions
Extreme weather in Portugal resulted in disruptions that affected inventory levels and schedules.
Refining Margins Under Pressure
Refining margins were slightly below expectations due to weaker middle distillate cracks and suboptimal operations caused by bad weather.
Company Guidance
In Galp's first quarter 2025 results presentation, the management provided insights into their strategic approach and financial outlook amid market volatility. They highlighted a disciplined capital expenditure (CapEx) strategy aiming for tighter net CapEx spending, already showcasing a 20% reduction from previous periods. The company maintained a resilient financial position, with an upstream cash breakeven of $20 per barrel, and did not update its financial guidance despite macroeconomic uncertainties. Galp reported a production figure of 104,000 barrels, affected by planned maintenance, and noted a significant €870 million cash inflow from divestments in Mozambique and Angola. Additionally, they emphasized ongoing data integration and potential partnerships in Namibia, projecting a partnership decision by Q4, while maintaining a cautious approach without committing to a strict timeline. Overall, the company underscored its focus on disciplined execution and long-term value creation.

Galp Energia SGPS SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Galp Energia shows stable financial performance with strong profitability metrics and a solid equity base. However, challenges in revenue growth and cash flow generation, along with potential vulnerabilities in external conditions, present risks.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Galp Energia has demonstrated stable profitability with consistent EBIT and EBITDA margins. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is 11.59% and the net profit margin is 4.89%. However, there is a slight decline in revenue growth with a -1.26% decrease in revenue from 2024 to TTM 2025, indicating potential challenges in revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.03, indicating balanced leverage levels. The equity ratio stands at 29.40%, suggesting a solid equity base. Return on equity has been stable, with some fluctuations, currently at 21.55%, which reflects decent profitability relative to shareholder investments. The balance sheet is stable but shows potential vulnerability if external conditions worsen.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Galp Energia's cash flow performance is mixed, with a notable decline in free cash flow from 2024 to TTM 2025, resulting in a -61.22% free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.75, indicating efficient cash generation relative to profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased significantly, suggesting cash flow pressures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.04B21.31B20.77B26.84B16.11B11.39B
Gross Profit2.44B2.73B3.98B2.67B1.83B166.00M
EBITDA3.36B3.50B3.75B4.54B1.81B1.19B
Net Income1.03B1.04B1.24B1.48B191.00M-490.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.23B16.82B16.61B16.10B14.91B12.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.79B2.44B2.37B2.74B2.93B1.83B
Total Debt4.93B4.91B5.41B5.26B5.48B4.83B
Total Liabilities10.67B11.18B11.28B10.98B10.94B8.39B
Stockholders Equity4.77B4.69B4.41B4.16B3.05B3.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow446.00M1.15B1.57B1.99B273.00M239.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.80B2.53B2.63B3.07B1.05B888.00M
Investing Cash Flow-88.00M-1.05B-1.02B-1.27B-460.00M-674.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.13B-1.35B-1.91B-1.26B-530.00M190.00M

Galp Energia SGPS SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price9.20
Price Trends
50DMA
8.65
Positive
100DMA
8.28
Positive
200DMA
8.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Positive
RSI
53.87
Neutral
STOCH
2.87
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLPEY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.30, above the 50-day MA of 8.65, and above the 200-day MA of 8.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GLPEY.

Galp Energia SGPS SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ECEC
83
Outperform
$18.38B5.3818.64%70.27%-2.26%-20.04%
TTTTE
78
Outperform
$137.79B10.1311.75%4.60%-9.86%-32.59%
PBPBR
75
Outperform
$76.56B9.3611.25%27.24%-10.84%-61.73%
EE
73
Outperform
$50.28B18.504.78%3.38%-2.17%-25.00%
73
Outperform
$65.17B8.1018.28%5.75%3.96%-1.69%
71
Outperform
$12.96B12.5821.35%4.12%1.21%-16.46%
52
Neutral
C$2.94B-1.05-3.46%5.87%3.01%-47.13%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLPEY
Galp Energia SGPS SA
9.20
-0.84
-8.37%
EC
Ecopetrol SA
8.84
-0.90
-9.24%
E
Eni SPA
32.93
3.80
13.04%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
12.30
-0.69
-5.31%
EQNR
Equinor ASA
25.70
1.14
4.64%
TTE
TotalEnergies
61.70
-3.55
-5.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 09, 2025