Strong Brazil Production and Bacalhau First Oil
Average Brazil production reached ~111,000 barrels per day in 2025 (above 2024 levels). Bacalhau achieved first oil and is showing high productivities as it ramps up.
Large Year-on-Year Operational Cash Flow Improvement
Group operational cash flow improved by approximately EUR 2.2 billion year-on-year in 2025, driven by strong midstream and commercial performance.
2026 Guidance — Clear Growth Targets
Guidance for 2026 targets at least 15% production growth to 125,000–130,000 bpd, industrial & midstream EBITDA > EUR 700 million, commercial EBITDA > EUR 350 million, consolidated EBITDA > EUR 2.6 billion and operational cash flow > EUR 2.0 billion (based on a conservative macro case: Brent $60, FX 1.18).
Capital Discipline and CapEx Guidance
Organic CapEx guidance is approximately EUR 1.0 billion for 2026 with upstream representing over 40% of organic spend and Bacalhau CapEx ramping down; net CapEx includes a cushion for flexibility.
Shareholder Distributions Maintained
Board to propose EUR 0.64 dividend per share at AGM and will launch a EUR 250 million share buyback to be executed throughout 2026, indicating continued shareholder returns.
Portfolio Execution and M&A Progress
Announced intention to merge downstream activities with Moeve to unlock scale and resilience; parties targeting a final agreement by mid-2026 and expect to capture synergies (target ~10% combined synergies noted qualitatively).
Upstream Opportunity Pipeline and Namibia Progress
Added Venus to the growth profile (possible FID around mid-2026) and agreed an appraisal program for Mopane in Namibia with a planned 3-well E&A campaign and first well expected H2 2026; FEED works for Venus finalized.
Low-Carbon Project Advances and Renewables Optionality
Sines low-carbon projects advancing on schedule with commissioning expected by end of 2026 (including 100 MW green hydrogen and HVO project with 60–65% CapEx already committed). Galp allocates ~35% of CapEx to low-carbon projects and is open to partnerships to optimize returns and hybridization/storage opportunities.
Operational Cost Competitiveness
Reported upstream breakevens around USD 20/barrel, supporting resilience in lower-price scenarios; short-term refining margins traded at double-digit levels quarter-to-date.
LNG Contract Delivery and Volumes
Expecting full Venture Global contract volumes in 2026 (~15 cargoes), with active risk management in view of narrower gas price spreads.