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G-III Apparel Group (GIII)
NASDAQ:GIII

G-III Apparel Group (GIII) AI Stock Analysis

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GIII

G-III Apparel Group

(NASDAQ:GIII)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▼(-1.49% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/25/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial flexibility (very low leverage and solid free cash flow), but is held back by a sharp 2026 profitability decline and cautious FY27 guidance (lower sales/EBITDA and a near-term quarterly loss). Technical momentum is weak, while valuation signals are mixed due to the negative P/E and a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Very Low Leverage
Extremely low leverage gives G-III durable financial flexibility: it can fund DTC/brand investments, pursue M&A or licensing opportunities, sustain dividends/buybacks, and absorb retail cycle shocks without needing near-term external financing.
Negative Factors
License Roll-Offs Reduce Scale
The planned exit of large PVH licenses materially reduces scale and wholesale volume, creating structural top-line shortfalls that will persist through the transition. Lower revenue base pressures buying leverage, distribution economics, and increases reliance on owned brands to replace lost volume.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very Low Leverage
Extremely low leverage gives G-III durable financial flexibility: it can fund DTC/brand investments, pursue M&A or licensing opportunities, sustain dividends/buybacks, and absorb retail cycle shocks without needing near-term external financing.
Read all positive factors

G-III Apparel Group (GIII) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

G-III Apparel Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets women's and men's apparel in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Wholesale Operations and Retail Operations. Its products include outerwear, dres...
How the Company Makes Money
G-III primarily makes money by selling branded apparel and accessories through two main channels: (1) Wholesale—G-III designs and sources products and sells them in bulk to retail partners (e.g., department stores and specialty/digital retailers)....

G-III Apparel Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 12, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: notable strategic progress and strong execution in the company’s owned brands, improved digital momentum, disciplined inventory management, and a healthy liquidity position were offset by meaningful near-term revenue and earnings pressure from the exit of large PVH licenses, a one-time Saks bankruptcy bad debt ($17.5M) and tariff-related margin headwinds. Management offered a multi-year margin expansion thesis (up to ~300 bps) and identified $25M of run-rate savings, but guidance for fiscal 2027 reflects lower sales, lower EBITDA and a first-quarter loss, indicating a near-term transitional period despite clear long-term strategic upside.
Positive Updates
Owned Brands Driving Growth and Mix Improvement
Key owned brands (DKNY, Donna Karan, Karl Lagerfeld and Vilebrequin) collectively delivered mid-single-digit growth for fiscal 2026 and increased to ~60% of revenue (from ~50% prior year), improving full-price sell-through and contributing to margin expansion.
Negative Updates
Top-Line Decline Due to Exiting PVH Licenses
Full-year net sales declined to $2.96B from $3.18B the prior year, a ~6.9% decrease, driven primarily by a $254M decline from Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger licensing exits; FY27 sales guidance is ~$2.71B (~8% decline vs FY26) reflecting continued roll-offs.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
Owned Brands Driving Growth and Mix Improvement
Key owned brands (DKNY, Donna Karan, Karl Lagerfeld and Vilebrequin) collectively delivered mid-single-digit growth for fiscal 2026 and increased to ~60% of revenue (from ~50% prior year), improving full-price sell-through and contributing to margin expansion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided fiscal 2027 net sales of about $2.71 billion (down ~8% year‑over‑year), reflecting an approximate $470 million reduction from expiring Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger businesses while its go‑forward portfolio is expected to grow high single digits; non‑GAAP net income is forecast at $88–$92 million (non‑GAAP diluted EPS $2.00–$2.10), adjusted EBITDA $158–$162 million (vs. $192 million in FY2026), and first‑quarter FY27 net sales of roughly $530 million with a Q1 net loss of $13–$18 million (loss of $0.30–$0.40 per share) versus prior‑year Q1 non‑GAAP income of $8.4 million ($0.19); management expects gross margin expansion (about 150 bps in Q1 and up to 300 bps for the year), SG&A deleverage driven by higher marketing and scaling investments, no share repurchases built into guidance, identified $25 million of run‑rate cost savings by FY2028, net interest income of ~$2 million, an estimated tax rate of 30%, and capital expenditures around $40 million (guidance assumes current tariff rates/2025 IEPA policies and no tariff refunds).

G-III Apparel Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are mixed: a very strong, low-debt balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.01) and solid absolute free cash flow (~$275M) support financial flexibility, but profitability weakened sharply in 2026 (net income down to ~$67M with margin compression) and cash flow has declined meaningfully versus 2024, indicating near-term earnings pressure.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.96B3.18B3.10B3.23B2.77B
Gross Profit1.14B1.27B1.21B1.07B960.56M
EBITDA185.57M328.71M317.62M322.48M383.52M
Net Income67.35M193.57M176.17M-133.06M200.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.61B2.48B2.68B2.71B2.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments406.66M181.44M507.83M191.65M465.98M
Total Debt284.70M277.68M652.67M446.33M232.63M
Total Liabilities850.50M803.75M1.13B1.33B1.22B
Stockholders Equity1.76B1.68B1.55B1.39B1.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow274.88M273.11M562.90M-126.21M154.29M
Operating Cash Flow316.40M316.40M587.58M-104.60M185.80M
Investing Cash Flow-148.15M-148.15M-28.33M-217.96M-51.51M
Financing Cash Flow-485.51M-485.51M-244.63M51.63M-23.44M

G-III Apparel Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.44
Price Trends
50DMA
29.20
Negative
100DMA
29.18
Negative
200DMA
27.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.88
Positive
RSI
40.30
Neutral
STOCH
67.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GIII, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.03, above the 50-day MA of 29.20, and above the 200-day MA of 27.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GIII.

G-III Apparel Group Risk Analysis

G-III Apparel Group disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. G-III Apparel Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

G-III Apparel Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$20.20B15.1334.74%0.93%12.32%29.40%
64
Neutral
$3.04B215.896.99%0.22%0.52%-45.80%
63
Neutral
$1.13B-9.693.88%-2.61%-11.87%
63
Neutral
$2.87B17.0010.53%2.18%2.76%-7.83%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
$6.47B6.0114.79%1.95%-3.12%
43
Neutral
$2.48B-29.46%-6.35%-565.47%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GIII
G-III Apparel Group
26.89
-0.26
-0.96%
COLM
Columbia Sportswear
54.84
-20.30
-27.01%
PVH
PVH
66.45
-0.01
-0.02%
RL
Ralph Lauren
333.64
111.29
50.05%
UA
Under Armour
5.76
-0.30
-4.95%
VFC
VF
16.53
0.44
2.71%

G-III Apparel Group Corporate Events

Dividends
G-III Apparel Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend to Shareholders
Positive
Mar 13, 2026
On March 12, 2026, G-III Apparel Group, Ltd., a global fashion company with a portfolio of more than 30 owned and licensed brands, announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share on its common stock. The...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 25, 2026