Greenbrier (GBX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.38B
• Dividend Yield: 2.82%
• Average Volume (3M): 362.02K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.78
• Revenue Growth: -8.66%
• EPS Growth: 27.14%
• Country: US
• Employees: 14,200
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Railroads
• EPS (TTM): 1.26
• Shares Outstanding: 30,961,542
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 277,175
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 362,020
• PEG Ratio: 0.32
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.98
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.46
• P/FCF Ratio: -101.96
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.28
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.97
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.25
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.14
• 1Y Price Target: $46.50
• Price Target Upside: 4.10% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): 4.13
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $2.96B

• Rating: 60 Neutral
• Price Target: $44.00 ▼(-1.50% Downside)

Greenbrier's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and attractive valuation, offset by weak financial performance and technical indicators. The company's strategic achievements and positive guidance provide optimism, but financial and technical challenges remain significant.

Positive Factors

Record Financial Performance

Record earnings and EBITDA reflect strong operational execution and strategic planning, enhancing long-term financial stability and growth potential.

Leasing & Fleet Management Growth

Significant growth in leasing revenue indicates robust demand and effective management, contributing to recurring income and financial resilience.

High Liquidity

Strong liquidity provides financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and cushioning against economic uncertainties.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

A significant revenue decline suggests challenges in market demand, potentially impacting future growth and operational scaling.

High Leverage

High leverage can strain cash flows and limit financial flexibility, posing risks to long-term financial health and stability.

Negative Free Cash Flow Growth

Negative free cash flow growth indicates challenges in sustaining cash flow after capital expenditures, affecting liquidity and investment capacity.

Greenbrier Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets railroad freight car equipment in North America, Europe, and South America. It operates through three segments: Manufacturing; Wheels, Repair & Parts; and Leasing & Services. The Manufacturing segment offers conventional railcars, such as covered hopper cars, boxcars, center partition cars, and bulkhead flat cars; tank cars; double-stack intermodal railcars; auto-max and multi-max products for the transportation of light vehicles; pressurized tank cars, non-pressurized tank cars, flat cars, coil cars, gondolas, sliding wall cars, and automobile transporter cars; and marine vessels. The Wheels, Repair & Parts segment provides wheel services, including reconditioning of wheels and axles, new axle machining and finishing, and downsizing; operates a railcar repair, refurbishment, and maintenance network; and reconditions and manufactures railcar cushioning units, couplers, yokes, side frames, bolsters, and various other parts, as well as produces roofs, doors, and associated parts for boxcars. The Leasing & Services segment offers operating leases and 'per diem' leases for a fleet of approximately 8,800 railcars; and management services comprising railcar maintenance management, railcar accounting services, fleet management and logistics, administration, and railcar remarketing. This segment owns or provides management services to a fleet of approximately 444,000 railcars for railroads, shippers, carriers, institutional investors, and other leasing and transportation companies. The company serves railroads, leasing companies, financial institutions, shippers, carriers, and transportation companies. The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon.

How the Company Makes Money

Greenbrier generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of new railcars and the provision of railcar repair and refurbishment services. The company manufactures various types of railcars, which are sold to railroads and leasing companies, contributing significantly to its top line. In addition to new railcar sales, Greenbrier earns income from its aftermarket services, including maintenance, repair, and parts sales, which ensure ongoing revenue from its existing railcar fleet. Strategic partnerships with major railroads and leasing companies enhance its market presence and facilitate consistent orders. Additionally, Greenbrier's involvement in international markets allows it to tap into diverse revenue sources, benefiting from global demand for rail transportation solutions.

Greenbrier Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Greenbrier's financial performance is mixed. While there are improvements in profitability and cost management, the company faces challenges with revenue decline, high leverage, and negative asset values. Cash flow issues also highlight liquidity risks, necessitating strategic financial management.

Income Statement

Greenbrier's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company experienced a revenue decline of 8.47% in the most recent year, indicating potential challenges in market demand or pricing. However, the gross profit margin improved slightly from the previous year, suggesting better cost management. The net profit margin also increased, reflecting enhanced profitability. Despite these improvements, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain relatively low, indicating room for operational efficiency improvements.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure with negative total assets, which is unusual and suggests potential accounting or financial issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is high, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. These factors highlight the need for financial restructuring to improve stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a negative free cash flow growth rate, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient cash generation from operations. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio points to issues in sustaining cash flow after capital expenditures. Overall, the cash flow situation requires attention to ensure liquidity and financial health.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.23B	3.23B	3.54B	3.94B	2.98B	1.75B
Gross Profit	600.40M	600.40M	553.10M	442.10M	305.60M	232.29M
EBITDA	512.80M	517.80M	450.30M	312.10M	213.70M	131.46M
Net Income	204.10M	204.10M	160.10M	62.50M	46.90M	32.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.36B	4.36B	4.25B	3.98B	3.85B	3.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	326.40M	326.40M	368.60M	302.70M	559.10M	671.40M
Total Debt	1.84B	1.84B	1.82B	1.68B	1.62B	1.24B
Total Liabilities	2.63B	2.63B	2.68B	2.51B	2.39B	1.88B
Stockholders Equity	1.53B	1.53B	1.38B	1.25B	1.28B	1.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-14.70M	-14.70M	-65.80M	-284.10M	-527.60M	-174.19M
Operating Cash Flow	265.70M	265.70M	332.50M	78.00M	-146.90M	-35.17M
Investing Cash Flow	-203.10M	-203.10M	-323.30M	-286.80M	-227.50M	-123.11M
Financing Cash Flow	-101.70M	-101.70M	86.20M	-76.20M	244.90M	-22.74M

Greenbrier Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 44.67
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GBX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 44.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.44, above the 50-day MA of 44.10, and below the 200-day MA of 46.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GBX.

Greenbrier Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
WAB	75 Outperform	$35.52B	30.19	11.07%	0.48%	4.40%	14.60%
FSTR	73 Outperform	$275.10M	59.75	2.74%	―	-5.51%	-88.11%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
GBX	60 Neutral	$1.38B	7.03	14.03%	2.82%	-8.66%	27.14%
SFL	58 Neutral	$1.08B	―	-0.15%	12.24%	-11.10%	-101.57%
RAIL	56 Neutral	$152.82M	3.24	―	―	-6.18%	―
TRN	55 Neutral	$2.12B	23.10	10.04%	4.53%	-33.03%	-44.18%

Greenbrier Corporate Events

Greenbrier’s Financial Reporting at Risk: Internal Control Challenges Threaten Investor Confidence

Greenbrier Companies faces a significant risk concerning its internal control over financial accounting and reporting, which may not detect all errors or omissions in its financial statements. This could impede the company’s ability to consistently affirm effective internal control over financial reporting as required by Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. The inherent limitations of any internal control system mean it cannot guarantee absolute accuracy or the absence of material errors in financial statements. Consequently, stakeholders may question the reliability of Greenbrier’s financial disclosures, potentially impacting investor confidence and the company’s market valuation.

Greenbrier Companies’ Earnings Call Highlights Record Performance

Greenbrier Companies recently held its earnings call, highlighting a record-breaking financial performance and strategic achievements. Despite challenges in market demand and European operations, the company demonstrated strong operational resilience and strategic planning, ensuring liquidity and growth in key business segments.

Greenbrier Companies Reports Record Fiscal 2025 Results

Greenbrier Companies, headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon, is a leading international supplier of equipment and services to global freight transportation markets, specializing in the design, manufacturing, and marketing of freight railcars across North America, Europe, and Brazil.

Greenbrier Announces 46th Consecutive Quarterly Dividend

On October 23, 2025, The Greenbrier Companies announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.32 per share, marking its 46th consecutive quarterly dividend. This dividend will be paid on December 3, 2025, to stockholders of record as of November 12, 2025, reinforcing Greenbrier’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GBX) stock is a Hold with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenbrier stock, see the GBX Stock Forecast page.