Greenbrier (GBX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.44B
• Dividend Yield: 2.66%
• Average Volume (3M): 334.69K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.99
• Revenue Growth: 0.71%
• EPS Growth: 84.57%
• Country: US
• Employees: 14,200
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 80
• Industry: Railroads
• EPS (TTM): 1.86
• Shares Outstanding: 30,883,673
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 259,028
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 334,695
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.20
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.90
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.84
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 5.91
• 1Y Price Target: $57.00
• Price Target Upside: 22.74% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: $51.00 ▲(9.82% Upside)

Greenbrier's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and attractive valuation, supported by positive earnings call insights. Technical analysis presents a mixed outlook, with potential bearish momentum. The company's strategic initiatives and robust liquidity provide confidence, though challenges in order levels and market activity remain.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

GBX's F3Q adjusted EPS significantly exceeded expectations, driven by gross margin improvements and other factors.

Price Target

The price target for Greenbrier Companies has been raised from $52.00 to $57.00.

Negative Factors

Future Earnings

There is an expectation for GBX's earnings power to decrease in future quarters due to a reduction in deliveries and margins.

Greenbrier Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) is a leading manufacturer of freight rail transportation equipment and a provider of railcar services. Headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon, the company operates primarily in the transportation sector, specializing in the production of a wide range of railcars, including covered hoppers, flatcars, and tank cars. Greenbrier also offers aftermarket services through its extensive network of repair and refurbishment facilities, catering to the needs of railroads, leasing companies, and shippers across North America and globally.

How the Company Makes Money

Greenbrier generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of new railcars and the provision of railcar repair and refurbishment services. The company manufactures various types of railcars, which are sold to railroads and leasing companies, contributing significantly to its top line. In addition to new railcar sales, Greenbrier earns income from its aftermarket services, including maintenance, repair, and parts sales, which ensure ongoing revenue from its existing railcar fleet. Strategic partnerships with major railroads and leasing companies enhance its market presence and facilitate consistent orders. Additionally, Greenbrier's involvement in international markets allows it to tap into diverse revenue sources, benefiting from global demand for rail transportation solutions.

Greenbrier Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Greenbrier's financial performance is commendable with improved profitability and cash flow management. The company has enhanced operational margins and shareholder returns, though it faces challenges with a slight revenue decline and equity ratio optimization.

Income Statement

Greenbrier's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) financial performance demonstrates a strong recovery and growth trajectory, with a notable increase in gross profit margin to 18.51% and net profit margin to 6.48%. The company has shown significant EBIT and EBITDA margin improvements, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. However, there is a slight decline in revenue compared to the prior year, which presents a potential risk.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.23, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity (ROE) has improved to 15.22%, signaling better profitability for shareholders. However, the equity ratio stands at 34.55%, which indicates room for enhancing asset-backed equity.

Cash Flow

Greenbrier's cash flow performance is strong, with a positive transition in free cash flow to $76.2 million from a negative position, reflecting robust cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.57 indicates efficient cash utilization. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains below 1, suggesting potential areas for cash flow optimization.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.53B	3.54B	3.94B	2.98B	1.75B	2.79B
Gross Profit	653.90M	553.50M	441.10M	306.00M	231.61M	353.13M
EBITDA	535.80M	450.30M	312.10M	182.80M	131.46M	273.82M
Net Income	228.90M	160.10M	62.50M	46.90M	32.40M	84.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.35B	4.25B	3.98B	3.85B	3.39B	3.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	296.80M	368.60M	281.70M	543.00M	646.77M	833.75M
Total Debt	1.85B	1.82B	1.61B	1.57B	1.20B	1.16B
Total Liabilities	2.64B	2.68B	2.51B	2.39B	1.88B	1.67B
Stockholders Equity	1.50B	1.38B	1.25B	1.28B	1.31B	1.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	76.20M	-68.70M	-290.90M	-531.10M	-179.54M	205.38M
Operating Cash Flow	359.30M	329.60M	71.20M	-150.40M	-40.52M	272.26M
Investing Cash Flow	-193.60M	-320.40M	-280.00M	-224.00M	-117.76M	27.48M
Financing Cash Flow	-89.30M	86.20M	-76.20M	244.90M	-22.74M	216.46M

Greenbrier Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 46.44
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GBX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 46.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.19, below the 50-day MA of 47.91, and below the 200-day MA of 52.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GBX.

Greenbrier Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FSTR	76 Outperform	$275.86M	7.87	22.67%	―	-7.03%	397.79%
WAB	71 Outperform	$33.08B	28.88	10.84%	0.49%	3.38%	17.21%
GBX	69 Neutral	$1.44B	6.55	16.16%	2.66%	0.71%	84.57%
TRN	64 Neutral	$2.30B	24.73	10.47%	4.15%	-22.95%	-40.67%
Sector *	64 Neutral	$10.74B	15.62	8.16%	2.00%	2.79%	-14.82%
SFL	58 Neutral	$1.08B	31.07	3.35%	13.42%	3.51%	-74.00%
RAIL	44 Neutral	$163.35M	―	156.43%	―	-6.00%	-12.45%

Greenbrier Corporate Events

Greenbrier Announces 45th Consecutive Quarterly Dividend

On June 30, 2025, The Greenbrier Companies announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.32 per share, marking its 45th consecutive quarterly dividend. This dividend will be paid on August 7, 2025, to stockholders of record as of July 17, 2025. This announcement underscores Greenbrier’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and highlights its stable financial performance.

Greenbrier Expands Board with Rail Industry Experts

On June 19, 2025, Greenbrier expanded its Board of Directors from eight to ten members by appointing Stevan Bobb and Jeffrey Songer, who bring extensive rail industry expertise. Bobb, with a 36-year career at BNSF Railway, and Songer, with significant experience at Kansas City Southern, are expected to enhance Greenbrier’s strategic planning and operations, particularly in the U.S. and Mexico. Their appointments are anticipated to support Greenbrier’s initiatives to improve customer experience and increase shareholder value.