Greenbrier (GBX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.48B
• Dividend Yield: 2.72%
• Average Volume (3M): 275.83K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.05
• Revenue Growth: 0.78%
• EPS Growth: 84.57%
• Country: US
• Employees: 14,200
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 87
• Industry: Railroads
• EPS (TTM): 1.86
• Shares Outstanding: 31,389,406
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 458,120
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 275,830
• PEG Ratio: -0.22
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.59
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -3.46
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.32
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.14
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.12
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.11
• 1Y Price Target: $51.50
• Price Target Upside: -9.51% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: $63.00 ▲(10.70%Upside)

Greenbrier's overall stock score is driven by a combination of strong earnings performance and attractive valuation, offset by concerns over revenue decline and potential overbought conditions. The company's strategic initiatives and corporate events provide additional support to its long-term prospects.

Positive Factors

Earnings Performance

GBX's F3Q adjusted EPS significantly exceeded expectations, driven by gross margin improvements and other factors.

Price Target

The price target for Greenbrier Companies has been raised from $52.00 to $57.00.

Negative Factors

Future Earnings

There is an expectation for GBX's earnings power to decrease in future quarters due to a reduction in deliveries and margins.

Greenbrier Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) is a leading international supplier of equipment and services to the freight rail transportation markets. Headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon, Greenbrier designs, manufactures, and markets railroad freight car equipment in North America, Europe, and South America. The company offers a broad range of railcar types, including double-stack intermodal cars, tank cars, and covered hopper cars. Additionally, Greenbrier provides railcar repair, refurbishment, and parts services, along with leasing and management services for railcars.

How the Company Makes Money

Greenbrier primarily generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of various types of railcars and marine vessels. The company operates in three main segments: Manufacturing, Wheels & Parts, and Leasing & Services. The Manufacturing segment is the largest contributor to revenue, producing a wide array of railcars for the freight transportation industry. The Wheels & Parts segment provides essential components and repair services for railcars, while the Leasing & Services segment offers railcar leasing and management services. Strategic partnerships with major railroads and leasing companies, along with long-term contracts, also play a significant role in Greenbrier's financial performance, helping ensure steady demand for their products and services.

Greenbrier Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Greenbrier's financial performance is mixed. Strong profitability and a robust balance sheet with no debt are positives. However, revenue decline and negative free cash flow highlight areas of concern. Stability has improved, but maintaining revenue growth and consistent cash flow remains critical.

Income Statement

Greenbrier's income statement shows a mixed performance with some positive trends. The company achieved a high net profit margin of 10.84% in TTM, indicating strong profitability. However, revenue has decreased from previous periods, showing a concerning trend with a negative growth rate compared to past annual reports. Gross profit margin is notably negative, which could be a sign of cost management issues.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a strong financial position with zero debt in the TTM period and a healthy equity ratio of 51.75%. The return on equity (ROE) is 13.88%, demonstrating good return generation for shareholders. However, past periods showed significant leverage, suggesting some stability improvements recently.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals challenges in generating positive free cash flow, with a negative free cash flow in TTM. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.83, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Improvements in operating cash flow have been observed, but consistent free cash flow generation remains an area for improvement.

Breakdown	TTM	Sep 2024	Sep 2023	Sep 2022	Sep 2021	Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.51B	3.54B	3.94B	2.98B	1.75B	2.79B
Gross Profit	624.70M	553.50M	441.10M	306.00M	231.61M	353.13M
EBITDA	499.30M	450.30M	312.10M	182.80M	131.46M	273.82M
Net Income	202.70M	160.10M	62.50M	46.90M	32.40M	84.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.27B	4.25B	3.98B	3.85B	3.39B	3.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	263.50M	368.60M	281.70M	543.00M	646.77M	833.75M
Total Debt	1.85B	1.82B	1.61B	1.57B	1.20B	1.16B
Total Liabilities	2.61B	2.68B	2.51B	2.39B	1.88B	1.67B
Stockholders Equity	1.46B	1.38B	1.25B	1.28B	1.31B	1.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-29.50M	-68.70M	-290.90M	-531.10M	-179.54M	205.38M
Operating Cash Flow	370.20M	329.60M	71.20M	-150.40M	-40.52M	272.26M
Investing Cash Flow	-223.70M	-320.40M	-280.00M	-224.00M	-117.76M	27.48M
Financing Cash Flow	-25.20M	86.20M	-76.20M	244.90M	-22.74M	216.46M

Greenbrier Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 56.91
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GBX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 56.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.41, above the 50-day MA of 45.33, and above the 200-day MA of 54.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 84.01 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GBX.

Greenbrier Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
WAB	81 Outperform	$35.82B	32.81	10.62%	0.48%	5.21%	24.15%
FSTR	75 Outperform	$247.30M	7.10	23.08%	―	-8.75%	354.10%
TRN	74 Outperform	$2.26B	17.01	14.14%	4.34%	-9.40%	8.41%
GBX	72 Outperform	$1.48B	6.60	16.16%	2.72%	0.78%	84.57%
SFL	69 Neutral	$1.22B	20.27	5.09%	12.86%	6.68%	-57.55%
RAIL	59 Neutral	$164.23M	―	156.43%	―	12.58%	34.10%
Sector *	58 Neutral	$1.33B	4.20	-2.93%	7.45%	3.67%	-51.13%

Greenbrier Corporate Events

Greenbrier Announces 45th Consecutive Quarterly Dividend

On June 30, 2025, The Greenbrier Companies announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.32 per share, marking its 45th consecutive quarterly dividend. This dividend will be paid on August 7, 2025, to stockholders of record as of July 17, 2025. This announcement underscores Greenbrier’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and highlights its stable financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GBX) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenbrier stock, see the GBX Stock Forecast page.

Greenbrier Expands Board with Rail Industry Experts

On June 19, 2025, Greenbrier expanded its Board of Directors from eight to ten members by appointing Stevan Bobb and Jeffrey Songer, who bring extensive rail industry expertise. Bobb, with a 36-year career at BNSF Railway, and Songer, with significant experience at Kansas City Southern, are expected to enhance Greenbrier’s strategic planning and operations, particularly in the U.S. and Mexico. Their appointments are anticipated to support Greenbrier’s initiatives to improve customer experience and increase shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GBX) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenbrier stock, see the GBX Stock Forecast page.

Greenbrier Extends Credit Agreement with Bank of America

On May 21, 2025, Greenbrier entered into a Fifth Amendment to its Fourth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Bank of America, extending its $600 million domestic revolving facility and $250 million term loan by five years until 2030. This renewal, announced on May 27, 2025, reflects Greenbrier’s strategic approach to debt management, allowing the company to maintain favorable pricing and terms while staggering long-term debt maturities into 2030. The amendment also increases various financial covenant baskets, enhancing Greenbrier’s operational flexibility. CEO Lorie Tekorius highlighted the importance of a healthy liquidity position as a cornerstone of Greenbrier’s strategy to navigate market conditions and maximize shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (GBX) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenbrier stock, see the GBX Stock Forecast page.

Greenbrier Increases Quarterly Dividend by 7%

On April 3, 2025, Greenbrier announced a 7% increase in its quarterly cash dividend, raising it to $0.32 per share, payable on May 13, 2025, to stockholders of record as of April 22, 2025. This marks the company’s 44th consecutive quarterly dividend and reflects the strength of its long-term business strategy and commitment to returning capital to shareholders.