Greenbrier (GBX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.46B
• Dividend Yield: 2.76%
• Average Volume (3M): 239.82K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.3
• Beta (1Y): 1.07
• Revenue Growth: -5.79%
• EPS Growth: 82.71%
• Country: US
• Employees: 14,200
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Railroads
• EPS (TTM): 1.69
• Shares Outstanding: 31,389,406
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 215,850
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 239,819
• PEG Ratio: -0.22
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.59
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -3.46
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.34
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.14
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.12
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.11
• 1Y Price Target: $49.00
• Price Target Upside: 5.79% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: $49.00 ▲(5.79%Upside)

Greenbrier's stock score is driven by solid valuation metrics and positive corporate events, such as strategic debt management and dividend increases. However, mixed financial performance and neutral technical indicators temper the overall assessment.

Greenbrier Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) is a leading international supplier of equipment and services to the freight rail transportation markets. Headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon, Greenbrier designs, manufactures, and markets railroad freight car equipment in North America, Europe, and South America. The company offers a broad range of railcar types, including double-stack intermodal cars, tank cars, and covered hopper cars. Additionally, Greenbrier provides railcar repair, refurbishment, and parts services, along with leasing and management services for railcars.

How the Company Makes Money

Greenbrier primarily generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of various types of railcars and marine vessels. The company operates in three main segments: Manufacturing, Wheels & Parts, and Leasing & Services. The Manufacturing segment is the largest contributor to revenue, producing a wide array of railcars for the freight transportation industry. The Wheels & Parts segment provides essential components and repair services for railcars, while the Leasing & Services segment offers railcar leasing and management services. Strategic partnerships with major railroads and leasing companies, along with long-term contracts, also play a significant role in Greenbrier's financial performance, helping ensure steady demand for their products and services.

Greenbrier Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Greenbrier's financial performance is mixed. Strong profitability and a robust balance sheet with no debt are positives. However, revenue decline and negative free cash flow highlight areas of concern. Stability has improved, but maintaining revenue growth and consistent cash flow remains critical.

Income Statement

Greenbrier's income statement shows a mixed performance with some positive trends. The company achieved a high net profit margin of 10.84% in TTM, indicating strong profitability. However, revenue has decreased from previous periods, showing a concerning trend with a negative growth rate compared to past annual reports. Gross profit margin is notably negative, which could be a sign of cost management issues.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a strong financial position with zero debt in the TTM period and a healthy equity ratio of 51.75%. The return on equity (ROE) is 13.88%, demonstrating good return generation for shareholders. However, past periods showed significant leverage, suggesting some stability improvements recently.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals challenges in generating positive free cash flow, with a negative free cash flow in TTM. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.83, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Improvements in operating cash flow have been observed, but consistent free cash flow generation remains an area for improvement.

Breakdown
TTM	Sep 2024	Sep 2023	Sep 2022	Sep 2021	Sep 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
3.51B	3.54B	3.94B	2.98B	1.75B	2.79B
	Gross Profit
624.70M	553.50M	441.10M	306.00M	231.61M	353.13M
	EBIT
380.70M	306.00M	176.40M	43.60M	40.97M	168.43M
	EBITDA
499.30M	450.30M	312.10M	182.80M	131.46M	273.82M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
202.70M	160.10M	62.50M	46.90M	32.40M	84.63M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
263.50M	368.60M	281.70M	543.00M	646.77M	833.75M
	Total Assets
4.27B	4.25B	3.98B	3.85B	3.39B	3.17B
	Total Debt
1.85B	1.82B	1.61B	1.57B	1.20B	1.16B
	Net Debt
1.58B	1.47B	1.33B	1.02B	551.91M	321.87M
	Total Liabilities
2.61B	2.68B	2.51B	2.39B	1.88B	1.67B
	Stockholders Equity
1.46B	1.38B	1.25B	1.28B	1.31B	1.29B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
-29.50M	-68.70M	-290.90M	-531.10M	-179.54M	205.38M
	Operating Cash Flow
370.20M	329.60M	71.20M	-150.40M	-40.52M	272.26M
	Investing Cash Flow
-223.70M	-320.40M	-280.00M	-224.00M	-117.76M	27.48M
	Financing Cash Flow
-25.20M	86.20M	-76.20M	244.90M	-22.74M	216.46M

Greenbrier Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 46.32
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GBX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 46.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.77, above the 50-day MA of 44.45, and below the 200-day MA of 54.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GBX.

Greenbrier Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
WAB	83 Outperform	$35.00B	32.06	10.62%	0.49%	5.21%	24.15%
TRN	72 Outperform	$2.16B	16.30	14.14%	4.53%	-9.40%	8.41%
FSTR	69 Neutral	$206.22M	5.92	23.08%	―	-8.75%	354.10%
GBX	68 Neutral	$1.46B	7.34	14.69%	2.76%	-5.79%	82.71%
SFL	66 Neutral	$1.28B	21.18	5.09%	12.30%	6.68%	-57.55%
Sector *	66 Neutral	$4.51B	12.29	5.40%	3.67%	4.15%	-12.21%
RAIL	59 Neutral	$155.75M	―	156.43%	―	12.58%	34.10%

Greenbrier Corporate Events

Greenbrier Extends Credit Agreement with Bank of America

On May 21, 2025, Greenbrier entered into a Fifth Amendment to its Fourth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Bank of America, extending its $600 million domestic revolving facility and $250 million term loan by five years until 2030. This renewal, announced on May 27, 2025, reflects Greenbrier’s strategic approach to debt management, allowing the company to maintain favorable pricing and terms while staggering long-term debt maturities into 2030. The amendment also increases various financial covenant baskets, enhancing Greenbrier’s operational flexibility. CEO Lorie Tekorius highlighted the importance of a healthy liquidity position as a cornerstone of Greenbrier’s strategy to navigate market conditions and maximize shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (GBX) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenbrier stock, see the GBX Stock Forecast page.

Greenbrier Increases Quarterly Dividend by 7%

On April 3, 2025, Greenbrier announced a 7% increase in its quarterly cash dividend, raising it to $0.32 per share, payable on May 13, 2025, to stockholders of record as of April 22, 2025. This marks the company’s 44th consecutive quarterly dividend and reflects the strength of its long-term business strategy and commitment to returning capital to shareholders.