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Burberry Group PLC (GB:BRBY)
LSE:BRBY

Burberry (BRBY) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:BRBY

Burberry

(LSE:BRBY)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
1,394.00p
▲(9.59% Upside)
Burberry's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability issues being the most impactful factors. Positive developments from the earnings call, such as sales growth and cost-saving measures, provide some optimism. Technical analysis and valuation present mixed signals, with potential bearish momentum and unattractive valuation metrics.
Positive Factors
Improved Gross Margin
A 410bps lift to a 67.9% gross margin, driven by a healthier inventory position, reflects durable ability to preserve product pricing and reduce promotional markdowns. Sustained higher gross margins support long-term profitability even if top-line recovery is gradual, improving cash conversion and reinvestment capacity.
Positive Operating Cash Flow
Despite accounting losses, robust operating cash flow indicates the business generates real cash from core operations, providing liquidity to fund working capital and restructuring. Persistent cash generation cushions the firm against cyclical dips and funds strategic investment without immediate reliance on external financing.
Structural Cost Savings
A GBP 80m annualized savings program represents a structural reduction in operating cost base, enhancing operating leverage. If realized, these savings should sustainably improve adjusted operating margins, offset revenue pressures and create runway to invest in product and channels to rebuild growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue & Profitability
Material revenue declines (reported ~17% yoy decline in one period) and a negative net margin erode the firm's earnings power and return on equity. Persistent top-line weakness constrains ability to leverage fixed costs, threatens long-term margin recovery, and limits freedom to reinvest in growth initiatives.
Rising Leverage
A D/E around 2.1 and reduced equity ratio increase financial risk and reduce balance-sheet flexibility. Higher leverage raises interest and covenant exposure, limits capital allocation choices, and could force prioritization of liability management over growth investments during prolonged market softness.
Channel & Licensing Weakness
Simultaneous declines in wholesale and licensing, plus weak retail traffic, signal structural demand and distribution challenges. Persistent channel underperformance risks long-term revenue mix deterioration, reduces scale benefits, and requires strategic repositioning of product, pricing and partner relationships to restore sustainable growth.

Burberry (BRBY) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Burberry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBurberry Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, retails, and wholesales luxury goods under the Burberry brand. The company operates in two segments, Retail/Wholesale and Licensing. It provides womenswear, menswear, childrenswear, beauty, eyewear, shoes, and accessories, as well as leather goods, such as bags. The company also licenses third parties to manufacture and distribute products using the Burberry trademarks. Burberry Group plc sells its products through Burberry mainline stores, concessions, outlets, digital commerce, Burberry franchisees, department stores, and multi-brand specialty accounts, as well as through Burberry.com website. As of April 2, 2022, the company operated 218 stores, 143 concession stores, 57 outlets, and 38 franchise stores. It operates in the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa, and the Americas. Burberry Group plc was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyBurberry generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of luxury apparel and accessories. The company's product lines are categorized into segments such as outerwear, ready-to-wear, handbags, and footwear. The retail segment represents a significant portion of Burberry's revenue, with branded flagship stores, concessions in high-end department stores, and a growing online presence contributing to sales. Additionally, Burberry has a wholesale distribution model that allows it to partner with select high-end retailers worldwide. The brand's ability to maintain strong margins is supported by its prestigious brand image and loyal customer base. Collaborations and limited-edition launches also contribute to revenue, as they create buzz and drive demand. Furthermore, Burberry invests in digital marketing and e-commerce strategies to enhance customer engagement and expand its reach, particularly in emerging markets.

Burberry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Burberry's return to sales growth, improvements in gross margin, and positive feedback from wholesale partners. However, challenges remain with declining overall revenue, retail traffic issues, and a decrease in wholesale and licensing revenues. Despite these challenges, the company is encouraged by new customer growth and successful cost-saving measures.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Return to Comparable Sales Growth
In Q2, Burberry achieved comp sales growth for the first time in 2 years, with a 2% increase in the second quarter.
Improved Gross Margin
The gross margin improved by 410 basis points at constant exchange rates versus last year to 67.9%, mainly due to a healthier inventory position.
Positive Wholesale Partner Feedback
Significant increase in orders from key opinion-leading partners in the U.S. and Europe, reflecting confidence in Burberry's product and relevance.
Successful Cost Savings Program
On track to deliver GBP 80 million in annualized savings by the end of the year following an expanded restructuring program.
Strong Performance in China
Comparable retail sales growth in Greater China improved by 3% in the second quarter, supported by strong Chinese Valentine's Day sales.
New Customer Growth
18% customer growth globally in Gen Z, with higher growth rates in China, indicating successful attraction of new customers.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Revenue
Total revenue for the first half declined by 3% at constant exchange rates or 5% on a reported basis.
Challenges in Retail Traffic
Traffic at retail stores remained challenging throughout the first half of the year.
Wholesale Revenue Decline
Wholesale revenue decreased by 11%, slightly better than guidance but reflecting challenges in phasing and order volumes.
Licensing Revenue Decline
Licensing revenue was down 8% versus last year due to the planned destocking of older fragrance lines.
Net Debt Concerns
The company closed the period with net debt of GBP 93 million or GBP 1.1 billion, including lease liabilities.
Company Guidance
During the call, Burberry provided several key metrics indicating progress in its Burberry Forward strategy. The company reported a return to comparable retail sales growth in Q2 for the first time in two years, with a 2% increase. Total revenue for the first half of fiscal 2026 was GBP 1.03 billion, and adjusted operating profit stood at GBP 19 million. The gross margin improved by 410 basis points to 67.9% compared to the previous year, attributed to a healthier inventory position, which also saw a 24% reduction in net inventory. The company is on track to achieve GBP 80 million in annualized savings by the end of the year, following an expanded restructuring program. Additionally, Burberry noted a significant increase in orders from key wholesale partners during its Summer 2026 wholesale market, reflecting a positive reception to its product offerings. Looking ahead, Burberry expects continued margin improvement and has maintained its full-year guidance, projecting no changes to retail space and expecting a mid-single-digit percentage decline in wholesale revenue for the full year.

Burberry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Burberry's financial performance is challenged by declining revenue and negative net income, with a net profit margin of -3.05%. Despite a strong gross profit margin of 62.5%, the company faces profitability issues and increased leverage, as indicated by a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.10. Cash flow remains positive, providing some operational flexibility.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Burberry's income statement reflects significant challenges, as evidenced by declining revenue and negative net income in the most recent period. The gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 62.5% for 2025, indicating effective cost management at the gross level. However, the net profit margin is concerning at -3.05%, highlighting profitability issues. Revenue has decreased by approximately 17% from the previous year, indicating a downward trajectory in sales.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio rising to 2.10 in 2025, suggesting increased leverage. The equity ratio has decreased to 26.68%, indicating a higher reliance on liabilities. Nonetheless, the company maintains a substantial cash position relative to its liabilities, providing some liquidity cushion. Return on Equity is negative due to the net loss, reflecting underperformance in generating profits from shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow statements reveal a decrease in free cash flow from the previous year, although the company remains cash flow positive with a free cash flow to net income ratio being not applicable due to negative net income. Operating cash flow is robust relative to net income, suggesting that the company generates cash effectively despite profitability challenges. The reduction in capital expenditure demonstrates cautious investment, reflecting efforts to conserve cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.41B2.46B2.97B3.09B2.83B2.34B
Gross Profit1.42B1.54B2.01B1.84B1.68B1.37B
EBITDA289.00M428.00M816.00M1.02B858.00M800.20M
Net Income-27.00M-75.00M270.00M490.00M396.00M376.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.00B3.43B3.37B3.69B3.70B3.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments452.00M813.00M441.00M1.03B1.22B1.26B
Total Debt1.55B1.92B1.57B1.49B1.40B1.36B
Total Liabilities2.11B2.51B2.22B2.15B2.08B1.94B
Stockholders Equity892.00M914.00M1.15B1.53B1.61B1.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow464.00M278.00M294.00M571.00M534.00M473.70M
Operating Cash Flow539.00M429.00M506.00M750.00M699.00M591.40M
Investing Cash Flow-100.00M-127.00M-231.00M-153.00M-167.00M-93.10M
Financing Cash Flow-332.00M48.00M-865.00M-815.00M-578.00M-156.50M

Burberry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1272.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1234.45
Positive
100DMA
1220.69
Positive
200DMA
1127.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
19.11
Positive
RSI
48.03
Neutral
STOCH
34.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BRBY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1272 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1298.23, above the 50-day MA of 1234.45, and above the 200-day MA of 1127.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 19.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:BRBY.

Burberry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
£1.11B16.4812.24%9.64%71.55%
73
Outperform
£2.94B6.2519.54%-6.43%52.93%
64
Neutral
£734.10M47.474.61%3.36%-2.59%-46.13%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
£7.33B370.920.68%1.18%14.13%-96.12%
55
Neutral
£4.62B-168.70-3.00%-9.44%-170.53%
52
Neutral
£77.18M-3.44-15.13%48.56%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BRBY
Burberry
1,272.00
278.60
28.05%
GB:MKS
Marks and Spencer
366.80
35.74
10.80%
GB:MUL
Mulberry
107.50
9.00
9.14%
GB:FRAS
Frasers Group
675.50
82.00
13.82%
GB:WOSG
Watches of Switzerland Group PLC
490.00
-24.50
-4.76%
GB:DOCS
Dr. Martens Plc
75.70
7.76
11.42%

Burberry Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Burberry Confirms Total Voting Rights Following Year-End Share Capital Update
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Burberry Group plc has confirmed that, as of 31 December 2025, its issued share capital comprised 363,826,752 ordinary shares, of which 2,839,220 are held in treasury and carry no voting rights. This leaves a total of 360,987,532 voting rights, a key reference figure for investors and regulators under UK disclosure rules, as it determines when shareholders must report changes in their holdings, thereby supporting transparency and regulatory compliance in the company’s shareholder base.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BRBY) stock is a Hold with a £13.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burberry stock, see the GB:BRBY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Burberry Aligns Leadership Interests with Shareholders Through Share Incentive Plan
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

Burberry Group PLC announced changes in the shareholdings of its directors and persons discharging managerial responsibilities. On December 11, 2025, CEO Joshua Schulman and CFO Kate Ferry were each granted 41 ordinary shares at no cost under the company’s Share Incentive Plan. This move is part of Burberry’s ongoing efforts to align the interests of its leadership with those of its shareholders, potentially impacting the company’s operational strategies and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BRBY) stock is a Buy with a £15.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burberry stock, see the GB:BRBY Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Burberry Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

Burberry Group PLC announced its updated share capital and voting rights, revealing a total of 363,824,611 ordinary shares, with 2,839,220 held in treasury. This results in 360,985,391 voting rights available to shareholders, which is crucial for determining shareholder interests under the FCA’s rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BRBY) stock is a Sell with a £950.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burberry stock, see the GB:BRBY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Burberry’s Strategic Turnaround Shows Early Signs of Success
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Burberry has reported its interim results for the 26 weeks ending September 27, 2025, showcasing a strategic turnaround under the ‘Burberry Forward’ initiative. The company experienced a return to comparable store sales growth for the first time in two years, despite a slight decline in overall revenue. Adjusted operating profit improved significantly, and the brand’s strategic focus on enhancing product offerings and customer experience is gaining traction. The company is optimistic about continued growth and profitability, driven by cost efficiency programs and a focus on brand desirability.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BRBY) stock is a Hold with a £14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burberry stock, see the GB:BRBY Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Burberry Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

Burberry Group PLC has announced its current issued share capital as of October 31, 2025, which consists of 363,822,158 ordinary shares, including 2,839,220 shares held in treasury. The total number of voting rights is 360,982,938, which shareholders can use to determine their notification requirements under FCA rules. This update is crucial for stakeholders to understand their voting power and any changes in their shareholding interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BRBY) stock is a Hold with a £1222.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Burberry stock, see the GB:BRBY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025