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Liberty Media Corporation Series A Liberty Formula One (FWONA)
NASDAQ:FWONA

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One (FWONA) AI Stock Analysis

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FWONA

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One

(NASDAQ:FWONA)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$78.00
▼(-4.26% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is supported by strong cash generation and a constructive earnings-call outlook highlighting robust F1 growth and improving leverage metrics. It is held back by unstable reported profitability (including a concerning 2025 datapoint showing zero revenue with losses), a weak technical trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD), and a demanding valuation (P/E 130.5 with no dividend yield provided).
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Consistent positive operating cash flow since 2021 and improved free cash flow in 2024 provide durable funding for operations, commercial initiatives and deleveraging. Reliable cash generation supports long‑term capital allocation even when reported earnings are lumpy or affected by non‑cash items.
Negative Factors
High Absolute Debt
A sizable principal debt balance of roughly $5.0B constrains financial flexibility and increases interest and refinancing risk. Even with improving leverage ratios, the absolute debt load limits capital allocation optionality and heightens sensitivity to operating shocks or lower cash generation over a multi‑year horizon.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Consistent positive operating cash flow since 2021 and improved free cash flow in 2024 provide durable funding for operations, commercial initiatives and deleveraging. Reliable cash generation supports long‑term capital allocation even when reported earnings are lumpy or affected by non‑cash items.
Read all positive factors

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One (FWONA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Formula One Group engages in the motorsports business in the United States and internationally. It holds commercial rights for the world championship, approximately a nine-month long motor race-based competition in which teams compete for the cons...
How the Company Makes Money
The Formula One Group primarily generates revenue by monetizing the commercial rights of the FIA Formula One World Championship across several major streams. (1) Media rights: Formula 1 sells broadcasting and streaming rights to television network...

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized broad top-line growth, strong fan and digital engagement trends, successful strategic transactions (MotoGP acquisition and Liberty Live split-off), and improving leverage metrics. Management acknowledged rising operating and SG&A costs, race-mix variability, and a meaningful debt load (particularly at MotoGP) but outlined a clear plan to continue deleveraging and to invest in long-term commercial initiatives. Overall, the positive operational momentum, sizable audience and engagement gains, and improving leverage outweigh the noted challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year Financial Performance at F1
Formula One revenue grew 14% year-over-year and adjusted OIBDA grew 20% for full-year 2025, driven by growth across sponsorship, media rights (including F1 TV), race promotion, hospitality and licensing.
Negative Updates
Elevated Absolute Debt Load
Liberty Media's principal amount of debt was $5.0 billion at year-end (F1 $3.4 billion, MotoGP $1.2 billion, corporate $499 million), representing a meaningful leverage footprint despite improvement in leverage ratios.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Full-Year Financial Performance at F1
Formula One revenue grew 14% year-over-year and adjusted OIBDA grew 20% for full-year 2025, driven by growth across sponsorship, media rights (including F1 TV), race promotion, hospitality and licensing.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Liberty’s guidance and near‑term priorities focused on continued deleveraging, disciplined capital allocation, and operational investment: year‑end cash and liquid investments were $1.1B (including $539M at F1 and $197M at MotoGP) versus $5.0B principal debt ($3.4B F1, $1.2B MotoGP, $499M corporate) with undrawn revolvers of $500M (F1) and €100M (MotoGP); OpCo net leverage was 2.8x at F1 (down from 3.3x pro forma) and 4.7x at MotoGP (down from 5.6x), with Liberty overall net leverage 3.6x and both businesses covenant‑compliant, and management said it expects to continue delevering MotoGP this year. Financially, F1 revenue grew 14% and adjusted OIBDA grew 20% in 2025, with full‑year team payments at 59.7% of pre‑team‑share adjusted OIBDA (about 185 bps of leverage vs. 2024) and an approximate 200 bps improvement expected in 2026 (implying ~57.7%), thereafter remaining relatively stable through 2030; corporate revenue was $414M and corporate adjusted OIBDA $5M (including ~ $33M Grand Prix Plaza rent). Operational and commercial guidance emphasized growth/monetization opportunities—F1 attendance 6.75M (+4% y/y), Paddock Club 65,000 guests (+10%), F1 social 150M followers (+~20%) and YouTube 1.65B views (+48%)—and MotoGP momentum with record attendance 3.6M (+21%), a 632M global fan base (+12%), ~61M social followers (added 3M), VideoPass subs +5% and social engagement +61%.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is the key strength (consistently positive operating cash flow since 2021 and improved free cash flow in 2024), and leverage appears manageable in periods with complete data. However, profitability has been inconsistent (profit in 2022–2023, small loss in 2024) and the 2025 annual datapoint showing zero revenue with losses materially raises continuity/comparability risk.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.48B3.65B3.22B2.57B2.14B
Gross Profit1.12B1.17B982.00M823.00M647.00M
EBITDA1.15B577.00M666.00M535.00M437.00M
Net Income555.00M-30.00M185.00M558.00M-190.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.40B11.76B10.27B11.02B11.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.05B2.63B1.41B1.73B2.07B
Total Debt5.12B2.99B2.91B2.95B3.63B
Total Liabilities6.95B4.37B3.85B4.08B4.72B
Stockholders Equity7.76B7.39B6.42B6.91B6.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow751.00M492.00M193.00M243.00M464.00M
Operating Cash Flow870.00M567.00M619.00M534.00M481.00M
Investing Cash Flow-3.20B-292.00M-510.00M394.00M-600.00M
Financing Cash Flow408.00M965.00M-435.00M-1.27B512.00M

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price81.47
Price Trends
50DMA
78.80
Positive
100DMA
82.50
Negative
200DMA
87.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
59.91
Neutral
STOCH
79.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FWONA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 81.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 77.50, above the 50-day MA of 78.80, and below the 200-day MA of 87.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FWONA.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Risk Analysis

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One disclosed 106 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Media Liberty Formula One reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$24.33B34.5416.22%0.75%14.91%9.30%
62
Neutral
$38.25B86.444.89%1.07%56.31%
62
Neutral
$21.91B44.3810.50%9.81%-42.40%
62
Neutral
$68.32B98.112.05%-4.29%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$38.01B66.61157.65%5.39%36.94%
58
Neutral
$21.91B40.2610.50%9.81%-42.40%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FWONA
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One
81.47
6.58
8.79%
LYV
Live Nation Entertainment
163.56
31.81
24.14%
TKO
TKO Group Holdings
197.05
50.55
34.51%
FWONK
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One
88.16
6.17
7.53%
FOXA
Fox
60.22
9.20
18.03%
WBD
Warner Bros
27.55
18.29
197.52%

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Liberty Media Sets Virtual 2026 Annual Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
Mar 9, 2026
Liberty Media Corporation announced on March 6, 2026, that it will hold its virtual Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 11, 2026, at 11:45 a.m. Mountain Time, with stockholders of record as of 5:00 p.m. New York City time on March 23, 2026 eligi...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Liberty Media Restructures Executive Roles, Wilm Becomes Senior Advisor
Neutral
Mar 6, 2026
On March 5, 2026, Liberty Media Corporation announced that Renee L. Wilm will move from her role as Chief Legal Officer and Chief Administrative Officer of Liberty Media, Liberty Live Holdings, Inc., and Liberty Broadband Corporation to become Sen...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Liberty Media CEO to Present at Morgan Stanley Conference
Positive
Feb 25, 2026
On February 24, 2026, Liberty Media Corporation announced that President and CEO Derek Chang would present at the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media Telecom Conference in San Francisco on March 3 at 1:50 p.m. P.T. The appearance places Liberty Medi...
Financial Disclosures
Liberty Media Sets Date for Q4 2025 Earnings Release
Neutral
Jan 26, 2026
On January 23, 2026, Liberty Media Corporation announced it will release its fourth-quarter 2025 results before U.S. markets open on Thursday, February 26, 2026, and will host a conference call at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time that day, accompanied by a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026