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Liberty Media Corporation Series A Liberty Formula One (FWONA)
NASDAQ:FWONA

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One (FWONA) AI Stock Analysis

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Liberty Media Liberty Formula One

(NASDAQ:FWONA)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$99.00
▲(13.75%Upside)
Liberty Media's strong revenue growth and strategic direction in Formula One are positive, bolstered by effective cash flow management. However, profitability issues and valuation challenges due to negative earnings impact the overall score. Technical indicators show strength but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Recent earnings call data further supports optimism with strong engagement and revenue visibility, despite some cost and negotiation hurdles.
Positive Factors
Social Media Growth
F1's social media profile is growing faster than other major sports, which enhances its global presence.
Sponsorship Deals
New sponsorship deals highlight the value advertisers see in Formula 1.
TV and Streaming Rights
F1 is expected to benefit from potential clarity on U.S. linear TV and streaming rights, which could enhance monetization and fan base growth.
Negative Factors
Market Position in the U.S.
Despite improvements, F1 is still not considered among the top tier of team sports in the U.S. compared to NASCAR.
Race Promotion Revenue
4Q missed expectations due to soft race promotion revenue and higher costs tied to the LV Grand Prix.
Ticket Sales
The Las Vegas Grand Prix fell short on internal budgeting for both revenues and OIBDA due to underperformance in ticket sales, impacting immediate profitability expectations.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One (FWONA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFormula One Group engages in the motorsports business in the United States and internationally. It holds commercial rights for the world championship, approximately a nine-month long motor race-based competition in which teams compete for the constructors' championship and drivers compete for the drivers' championship. The company was founded in 1950 and is based in Englewood, Colorado. Formula One Group is a subsidiary of Liberty Media Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyLiberty Formula One generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from race promotion fees, broadcasting rights, advertising, and sponsorship deals. A significant portion of revenue comes from hosting fees paid by race promoters for the rights to host a Grand Prix event. Additionally, the company earns substantial income from selling exclusive broadcasting rights to television networks and digital platforms across the globe. Sponsorship and advertising also play a crucial role, as brands seek to associate themselves with the high-profile sport, leading to lucrative commercial partnerships. Merchandise sales and licensing agreements further contribute to the company's earnings, capitalizing on the sport's global fanbase. These revenue streams are supported by strategic partnerships with racing teams, sponsors, and media companies, enhancing the overall value proposition of Formula One.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.89%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to 2025 for Liberty Media with significant growth in Formula One attendance, sponsorship, and fan engagement. However, there were challenges in race promotion revenue and increased costs. The company's financial stability and strategic acquisitions are positive indicators, though cost management and media rights negotiations present challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Dorna Acquisition Progress
The Dorna acquisition is progressing well with regulatory approvals expected by June 30, 2025. MotoGP is launching a 22-race calendar, an increase from 20 races last year.
Record Attendance at Formula One Races
The Argentina Grand Prix set a new attendance record with over 200,000 spectators. Other races, such as Thailand and Coda, saw significant increases in attendance, with respective growth of 15% and 24% over 2023.
Strong Formula One Sponsorship and Licensing Momentum
The sponsorship pipeline is robust with notable partnerships, including collaborations with LEGO and blue-chip names. Sponsorship revenue is driven by contractual increases and the launch of a new premium subscription tier.
Formula One Financial Stability
As of March 31, Formula One had $14.2 billion of future revenue secured under contract, providing high visibility into business performance amidst economic uncertainty.
Impressive Growth in Formula One Fan Engagement
Live TV viewership grew across top markets, with U.S. ESPN viewership up 45% for the first five races. Social media followers grew by 30% year-over-year, reaching 100 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Race Promotion Revenue
Race promotion revenue decreased due to a mix of races and fewer events compared to the previous year. Media rights and sponsorship revenues also saw declines due to calendar shifts.
Increased Costs and Lower OIBDA
Adjusted OIBDA declined year-over-year due to calendar variance and increased costs, including higher freight and partner servicing costs. SG&A costs also rose due to marketing expenses.
Challenges with Non-U.S. Media Rights
There are upcoming renewal discussions for media rights in Latin America and Asia, with potential challenges in securing favorable digital streaming partnerships.
Company Guidance
During Liberty Media Corporation's 2025 Q1 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and initiatives. The Formula One Group had $2.8 billion in attributed cash and liquid investments, with a principal amount of debt totaling $2.9 billion, and a leverage ratio of 1.2x as of March 31. The company is progressing on its Dorna acquisition, hoping for European Commission approval by June 30, 2025, as MotoGP expands its race calendar from 20 to 22 races. Formula One's commercial momentum was highlighted by a 45% increase in ESPN viewership across the first five races. Advanced ticket sales remained strong, and the company secured $14.2 billion in future revenue under contract. Liberty Media's focus includes driving growth in sponsorships, with Pirelli set as the new tire supplier from 2027 and extensions through 2031 for several Grand Prix events. The company also mentioned ongoing discussions for a new U.S. media rights agreement, emphasizing the appeal of Formula One's young and diverse demographic.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Liberty Media's Liberty Formula One exhibits strong revenue growth and a solid balance sheet, but faces challenges with profitability due to recent net losses. Cash flow management is robust, supporting operations effectively.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Liberty Media's Liberty Formula One shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The revenue growth from 2020 to the TTM is strong, with a notable increase from $1.145 billion in 2020 to $3.513 billion in TTM. However, the company posted a net loss in the most recent period, leading to a negative net profit margin. While gross profit margin remains healthy, the negative net income indicates challenges in maintaining profitability. The EBIT margin has been volatile but shows improvement over the years.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial structure with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is robust, indicating a strong equity base relative to assets. However, the high total debt level could pose potential risks if cash flows are insufficient to cover liabilities. The return on equity has been fluctuating, impacted by the variability in net income.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trajectory with consistent free cash flow generation in recent years, suggesting effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, highlighting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. Despite historical fluctuations, the free cash flow growth rate is positive, reflecting improved operational efficiency.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.001.15B
Gross Profit
0.000.000.000.000.00171.00M
EBIT
-13.00M-11.00K-11.00M0.000.00-444.00M
EBITDA
145.00M0.00-170.00M0.000.00-119.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
25.00M-31.00K-142.00M372.00K-358.00K-594.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
314.00M325.00M305.00M0.000.001.68B
Total Assets
1.23B1.22B1.16B667.00M664.00M11.19B
Total Debt
1.58B1.56B1.32B920.00M1.98B3.76B
Net Debt
1.27B1.23B1.01B920.00M1.98B2.08B
Total Liabilities
1.58B1.56B1.33B920.00M1.98B4.64B
Stockholders Equity
-374.00M-359.00M-188.00M-278.00M-1.34B6.55B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
108.00M-14.00M-13.00M-8.00M-25.00M-160.00M
Operating Cash Flow
135.00M-14.00M-13.00M-8.00M-25.00M-139.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-191.00M105.00M1.00M-37.00M21.00M75.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-84.00M-71.00M317.00M45.00M4.00M1.16B

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price87.03
Price Trends
50DMA
82.92
Positive
100DMA
84.10
Positive
200DMA
80.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.92
Positive
RSI
50.06
Neutral
STOCH
13.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FWONA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 87.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 88.52, above the 50-day MA of 82.92, and above the 200-day MA of 80.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.92 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FWONA.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Risk Analysis

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One disclosed 106 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Media Liberty Formula One reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LYLYV
77
Outperform
$32.75B47.31827.53%-2.92%166.63%
76
Outperform
$30.73B-1.22%3.60%-120.30%
74
Outperform
$30.73B-1.22%3.60%-120.30%
TKTKO
74
Outperform
$32.64B95.744.19%0.92%63.73%
WMWMG
64
Neutral
$13.82B30.6189.20%2.73%-0.91%-14.87%
WBWBD
63
Neutral
$24.81B-27.69%-5.58%-254.85%
61
Neutral
$14.64B5.81-3.99%6.03%2.71%-31.56%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FWONA
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One
87.03
21.01
31.82%
LYV
Live Nation Entertainment
138.17
47.74
52.79%
TKO
TKO Group Holdings
163.08
59.60
57.60%
FWONK
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One
96.72
24.05
33.09%
WMG
Warner Music Group
26.34
-3.94
-13.01%
WBD
Warner Bros
10.03
2.87
40.08%

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Liberty Media Signs Variable Forward Contracts
Neutral
May 30, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Liberty Media’s subsidiary, LN Holdings 1, LLC, entered into variable forward contracts with several financial institutions. These contracts, related to the anticipated split-off of Liberty Media’s Liberty Live Group, involve the potential delivery of Live Nation shares or cash, providing liquidity options for the newly formed Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. The contracts are structured to manage obligations related to Liberty Media’s equity interests in Live Nation and its exchangeable senior debentures, with no immediate change in Liberty Media’s ownership stake in Live Nation.

The most recent analyst rating on (FWONA) stock is a Buy with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Media Liberty Formula One stock, see the FWONA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Liberty Media Sets Terms for Live Nation Split-Off
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Liberty Media’s subsidiary LN Holdings 1, LLC entered into agreements with several banks to establish terms for variable forward transactions involving shares of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. This move is part of the planned split-off of Liberty Media’s Liberty Live Group, which will result in the creation of a new entity, Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. The agreements are designed to provide liquidity to the new company to manage potential financial obligations arising from the split-off, while maintaining Liberty Media’s existing ownership stake in Live Nation.

The most recent analyst rating on (FWONA) stock is a Buy with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Media Liberty Formula One stock, see the FWONA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Liberty Media Aligns CEO Equity Awards with Team
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Liberty Media Corporation modified the equity award components for its CEO, Derek Chang, aligning his equity grants with those of the management team and adjusting vesting dates. Additionally, at the company’s annual meeting, stockholders re-elected three board members and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent auditors for the fiscal year 2025, reflecting continued confidence in the company’s governance and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (FWONA) stock is a Buy with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Media Liberty Formula One stock, see the FWONA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Liberty Media CEO to Present at J.P. Morgan Conference
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Liberty Media Corporation announced that its President and CEO, Derek Chang, will present at the J.P. Morgan Global Technology, Media and Communications Conference on May 13, 2025, in Boston. During the presentation, Chang may discuss the company’s financial performance and outlook, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions and market positioning.

Financial Disclosures
Liberty Media to Host Q1 2025 Earnings Call
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

On April 9, 2025, Liberty Media Corporation announced it will host a conference call on May 7, 2025, to discuss its first quarter results for 2025. The call will cover the company’s financial performance and outlook, with the results being released prior to market opening on the same day. This announcement is part of Liberty Media’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency with stakeholders, potentially impacting its market positioning by providing insights into its operational performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.