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Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One (FWONK)
NASDAQ:FWONK

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One (FWONK) AI Stock Analysis

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FWONK

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One

(NASDAQ:FWONK)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$87.00
▼(-0.98% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is primarily supported by solid cash-flow performance and a positive earnings-call outlook emphasizing growth and deleveraging. However, the overall rating is held back by earnings volatility and comparability concerns in the latest annual figures, weak-to-neutral technical momentum, and a very high P/E valuation.
Positive Factors
Consistent cash generation
F1's multi-year positive operating and free cash flow (with notable improvement in 2024 and large positive 2025 flows) supports durable internal funding for race investments, sponsorship activation and deleveraging. Strong cash conversion cushions earnings volatility and underpins multi-year strategic execution.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatility and comparability issues
Intermittent profitability, non-cash charges and inconsistent reported revenue (notably 2025's anomalous figures) complicate trend analysis and reduce confidence in recurring earnings. This volatility makes forecasting cash returns, setting sponsor pricing or assessing long-term margins more uncertain for investors and management.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent cash generation
F1's multi-year positive operating and free cash flow (with notable improvement in 2024 and large positive 2025 flows) supports durable internal funding for race investments, sponsorship activation and deleveraging. Strong cash conversion cushions earnings volatility and underpins multi-year strategic execution.
Read all positive factors

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One (FWONK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Formula One Group engages in the motorsports business in the United States and internationally. It holds commercial rights for the world championship, approximately a nine-month long motor race-based competition in which teams compete for the cons...
How the Company Makes Money
Formula 1 primarily generates revenue by monetizing the commercial rights to the championship across media, event hosting, and marketing channels. Key revenue streams include: (1) Media rights: multi-year contracts with broadcasters and digital pl...

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Breaks down revenue from different segments, indicating which areas drive growth and where the company might be vulnerable or poised for expansion.
Chart InsightsLiberty Media's Formula One segment shows robust revenue growth, driven by strategic partnerships and increased fan engagement, despite having one fewer race. The recent acquisition of MotoGP has started contributing significantly to revenue, with plans to expand its global footprint. However, MotoGP faces challenges with increased operational costs impacting profitability. The upcoming split-off of Liberty Live aims to enhance Liberty's focus on its sports properties. Investors should note the high debt levels in both Formula One and MotoGP, which could affect future financial flexibility.
Data provided by:The Fly

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong operational and commercial performance with broad growth across revenue, attendance and digital engagement for both F1 and MotoGP, meaningful commercial momentum (new/renewed media and sponsorship deals), progress on deleveraging and a multi-year Concorde Agreement providing financial stability. Lowlights were largely operational and timing-related (calendar mix volatility, elevated MotoGP leverage, and rising SG&A linked to growth) and represent manageable near- to medium-term headwinds rather than structural declines. Overall, positive momentum and strategic clarity dominate the call.
Positive Updates
F1 Revenue and Adjusted OIBDA Growth
Full-year Formula 1 revenue grew 14% year-over-year and adjusted OIBDA increased 20%, driven by growth across sponsorship, media rights (including F1 TV and one-time movie revenue), race promotion, hospitality and licensing.
Negative Updates
MotoGP Elevated Leverage and Near-Term Investment Drag
MotoGP net leverage remained relatively high at 4.7x at year-end (down from 5.6x), with management noting continued deleveraging is expected; management also emphasized that investments to scale MotoGP will take time to generate returns.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
F1 Revenue and Adjusted OIBDA Growth
Full-year Formula 1 revenue grew 14% year-over-year and adjusted OIBDA increased 20%, driven by growth across sponsorship, media rights (including F1 TV and one-time movie revenue), race promotion, hospitality and licensing.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance emphasized deleveraging, margin improvement and disciplined investment: Liberty finished FY25 with $1.1B of cash & liquid investments (incl. $539M at F1 and $197M at MotoGP) and $5.0B of principal debt (≈$3.4B F1, $1.2B MotoGP, $499M corporate) with F1's $500M revolver and MotoGP's €100M revolver undrawn; F1 OpCo net leverage was 2.8x (down from 3.3x pro forma), MotoGP net leverage 4.7x (from 5.6x at 9/30) and consolidated net leverage 3.6x, and both businesses were covenant compliant. They expect MotoGP to continue delevering this year, project team payments to leverage roughly ~200 bps in 2026 (implying ~59.7% in 2025 → ~57.7% in 2026) consistent with the ~200 bps annual average over the past four years with payout levels broadly stable after 2026 through 2030, and warned 2026 comparables will be affected by race-count/mix differences (e.g., Q4'25 had 7 races vs 6 in Q4'24; MotoGP 22 races in 2025 vs 20 in 2024), while noting strong FY25 operating momentum (F1 revenue +14%, adj. OIBDA +20%) and continued focus on growing sponsorship, media and hospitality.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is the clearest strength (solid operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2021–2024 with improvement in 2024), and leverage appeared manageable through 2024. Offsetting this, earnings have been volatile (back to a net loss in 2024) and the 2025 annual figures show major comparability concerns (e.g., zero revenue alongside sizable assets/cash flow), reducing confidence in the underlying run-rate.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.48B3.65B3.22B2.57B2.14B
Gross Profit1.12B1.17B982.00M823.00M647.00M
EBITDA1.15B577.00M794.00M762.00M363.00M
Net Income555.00M-30.00M185.00M558.00M-190.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.40B11.76B10.27B11.02B11.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.05B2.63B1.41B1.73B2.07B
Total Debt5.12B2.99B2.91B2.95B3.63B
Total Liabilities6.95B4.37B3.85B4.08B4.72B
Stockholders Equity7.76B7.39B6.42B6.91B6.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow751.00M492.00M193.00M243.00M464.00M
Operating Cash Flow870.00M567.00M619.00M534.00M481.00M
Investing Cash Flow-3.20B-292.00M-510.00M394.00M-600.00M
Financing Cash Flow408.00M965.00M-435.00M-1.27B512.00M

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price87.86
Price Trends
50DMA
86.19
Positive
100DMA
90.61
Negative
200DMA
96.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.53
Negative
RSI
57.10
Neutral
STOCH
76.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FWONK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 87.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 84.39, above the 50-day MA of 86.19, and below the 200-day MA of 96.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FWONK.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Risk Analysis

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One disclosed 106 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Media Liberty Formula One reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$171.15B21.1111.35%1.10%3.61%152.34%
64
Neutral
$23.64B30.6916.22%0.85%14.91%9.30%
62
Neutral
$21.82B44.3810.50%9.81%-42.40%
62
Neutral
$39.55B86.444.89%1.07%56.31%
62
Neutral
$67.75B98.112.05%-4.29%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$36.19B66.61157.65%5.39%36.94%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FWONK
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One
86.20
7.13
9.02%
LYV
Live Nation Entertainment
160.12
40.89
34.30%
DIS
Walt Disney
96.28
13.89
16.86%
TKO
TKO Group Holdings
197.02
57.78
41.50%
FOX
Fox
53.48
9.41
21.36%
WBD
Warner Bros
27.41
19.32
238.81%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026