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Flyexclusive, Inc. (FLYX)
XASE:FLYX
US Market

flyExclusive (FLYX) AI Stock Analysis

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FLYX

flyExclusive

(NYSE MKT:FLYX)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(2.64% Upside)
flyExclusive's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by negative profitability and high leverage. While technical analysis and valuation also present challenges, the positive earnings call and strategic corporate events provide some optimism for future improvements. However, significant risks remain due to the company's financial instability.
Positive Factors
Fleet Modernization
Fleet modernization enhances operational efficiency and reliability, reducing costs and improving margins, supporting long-term growth.
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates increasing market demand and effective business strategies, positioning the company for sustained expansion.
MRO Revenue Expansion
Significant growth in MRO revenue underscores the company's ability to diversify income streams and enhance profitability.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, affecting long-term stability.
Negative Profitability Metrics
Negative margins highlight ongoing challenges in achieving profitability, potentially hindering long-term financial health and growth.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates cash management challenges, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

flyExclusive (FLYX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

flyExclusive Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionflyExclusive (FLYX) is a premier private aviation company specializing in providing private jet charter services, aircraft management, and fractional ownership solutions. Serving a diverse clientele ranging from corporate executives to leisure travelers, flyExclusive offers a fleet of modern jets that ensure luxury, comfort, and safety. The company operates primarily in the private aviation sector, catering to the needs of customers looking for bespoke travel experiences and efficient air transportation.
How the Company Makes MoneyflyExclusive generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily focusing on private jet charters, aircraft management services, and fractional ownership programs. The charter service is a significant revenue source, allowing customers to book flights on-demand and pay based on flight hours and distance traveled. Additionally, the company earns income through managing aircraft on behalf of owners, charging management fees and taking a percentage of charter revenue generated by those aircraft. The fractional ownership model allows customers to purchase shares in a jet, providing them with access to the aircraft for a set number of hours per year, thereby creating another steady stream of income. Partnerships with other aviation service providers and strategic marketing initiatives further enhance its earnings potential by broadening its customer base and service offerings.

flyExclusive Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in flyExclusive, Inc.'s fleet modernization, revenue growth, and improved profitability metrics. While there were some challenges, such as delays due to the government shutdown and remaining non-performing aircraft, the overall sentiment of the call was positive, driven by strong growth and operational improvements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Fleet Modernization and Performance
Over the past year, flyExclusive, Inc. has modernized its fleet, eliminating 26 non-performing aircraft and replacing them with high-performing models like Challenger 350s, XLSs, and CJ3 Plus. This has resulted in increased reliability, utilization, and margins. Fleet utilization reached 7,000 hours in October, the largest month in history.
Revenue Growth and Contracted Demand
Total company revenue for Q3 2025 rose 20% year over year to $92 million, with contracted hours growing 30%. The shift towards more contractually committed demand and recurring revenue streams now accounts for approximately 45% of total flight revenue.
Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) Growth
MRO revenue grew 103% year over year in Q3, reflecting both external demand and expanded internal throughput. The MRO business generated $7.7 million in revenue in the first nine months of 2025, surpassing 2024's full-year revenue.
Improved Profitability Metrics
Year-to-date gross profit increased 82% year over year, with gross margin expanding by 500 basis points. Adjusted EBITDA improved 72% and adjusted EBITDAR increased 104% year over year.
Retail Membership and Sales Growth
Retail membership grew 51% year over year. Year-to-date Jet Club sales increased 17%, and fractional sales rose 68%, driven by demand for the Challenger platform.
Negative Updates
Delays Due to Government Shutdown
The federal government shutdown delayed the completion of the merger agreement with JetAI and the finalization of the ATM sales facility, impacting capital access and the company's growth plans.
Remaining Non-Performing Aircraft
Despite significant progress, flyExclusive, Inc. still plans to reduce the number of non-performing aircraft to mid-single digits by the end of 2025 and fully eliminate them in 2026.
Company Guidance
During flyExclusive, Inc.'s third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted a series of impressive metrics and improvements. Revenue for the quarter rose by 20% year-over-year to $92 million, fueled by a 15% increase in flight hours and a surge in retail membership by 51%. The company's fleet modernization initiative, which included eliminating 26 non-performing aircraft and adding high-performing models like the Challenger 350, resulted in an 85% reduction in operational losses from these jets. Total SG&A expenses declined by 9%, translating to $7 million in savings year-to-date, and the gross margin expanded by roughly 500 basis points. The company also reported an adjusted EBITDA margin improvement of 1,550 basis points, supported by increased fleet utilization and a 650 basis point improvement in dispatch availability. Additionally, flyExclusive's MRO revenue grew by 103% year-over-year in Q3, contributing significantly to profitability and fleet uptime. With these strategic shifts, the company expects to sustain positive adjusted EBITDA going forward into 2026, positioning itself for continued growth and profitability.

flyExclusive Financial Statement Overview

Summary
flyExclusive is experiencing revenue growth but faces significant profitability and leverage challenges. The negative equity position and high debt levels pose financial risks, despite some improvement in cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
flyExclusive's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced revenue growth of 4.37% in the TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. However, profitability metrics such as the net profit margin (-5.04%) and EBIT margin (-15.60%) are negative, highlighting ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 11.39%, suggesting limited pricing power or high cost of goods sold.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a negative stockholders' equity, resulting in a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of -0.69 in the TTM. This indicates potential financial instability. The return on equity is slightly positive at 7.10%, but this is primarily due to the negative equity base. The equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, further emphasizing the need for capital restructuring.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows some improvement with a positive operating cash flow of $33.2 million in the TTM. However, free cash flow remains negative at -$23.8 million, though it has improved by 18.23% compared to the previous period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.12, indicating some cash generation capability, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.72 highlights ongoing cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue362.95M327.27M315.36M320.04M208.28M
Gross Profit41.33M37.06M24.20M41.49M31.69M
EBITDA-32.83M-54.56M-5.53M27.25M23.81M
Net Income-18.29M-21.07M-46.84M6.05M8.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets448.10M538.29M521.03M494.22M225.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.70M97.23M82.86M92.63M319.22K
Total Debt265.05M315.66M312.63M300.46M71.94K
Total Liabilities526.82M549.96M485.70M446.80M15.62M
Stockholders Equity-384.31M-195.74M46.46M-5.12M210.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-37.73M-68.09M-75.77M-100.85M-8.74M
Operating Cash Flow33.57M-10.93M8.66M45.64M57.21M
Investing Cash Flow48.76M-7.87M-62.03M-167.27M-70.79M
Financing Cash Flow-82.28M38.87M41.81M123.67M21.21M

flyExclusive Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.41
Price Trends
50DMA
3.57
Negative
100DMA
3.78
Negative
200DMA
3.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
45.04
Neutral
STOCH
7.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLYX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.45, below the 50-day MA of 3.57, and above the 200-day MA of 3.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FLYX.

flyExclusive Risk Analysis

flyExclusive disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. flyExclusive reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

flyExclusive Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$769.63M14.249.99%4.27%28.47%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
$331.24M55.341.35%-1.64%1966.67%
50
Neutral
$1.12B-8.42-27.87%1.77%-1964.48%
47
Neutral
$252.55M-2.93
47
Neutral
$114.55M-0.69-8.51%82.15%
38
Underperform
$55.26M-0.31-509.71%-15.06%-119.79%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLYX
flyExclusive
3.25
0.67
25.97%
MESA
Mesa Air Group
20.06
2.96
17.31%
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
7.15
0.85
13.49%
SNCY
Sun Country Airlines Holdings
14.95
-0.27
-1.77%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
5.06
-2.08
-29.13%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
2.07
-1.44
-41.03%

flyExclusive Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
flyExclusive Expands Through Strategic Acquisition and Agreement
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

On October 1, 2025, flyExclusive entered into a Fourth Amendment to its Aircraft Management Services Agreement with Volato Group, allowing flyExclusive to purchase certain aviation-related assets from Volato and assume related obligations. The amendment also extended the agreement’s term and involved a $4.1 million payment from flyExclusive to Volato, partially in Class A common stock. Additionally, flyExclusive announced a strategic acquisition of Volato’s aircraft sales division and secured rights to acquire Volato’s Vaunt Platform and Mission Control software, enhancing its service offerings and positioning for growth in the aviation sector.

Business Operations and Strategy
flyExclusive Expands Stock Plans to Boost Engagement
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 10, 2025, flyExclusive, Inc.’s board of directors approved amendments to the company’s Employee Stock Purchase Plan and 2023 Equity Incentive Plan. These amendments increased the number of shares reserved for issuance under the plans, with the ESPP increasing from 1.5 million to 2.5 million shares and the Equity Incentive Plan from 6 million to 15 million shares. This move is likely aimed at enhancing employee engagement and retention, potentially strengthening the company’s position in the competitive private aviation market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025