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Volato Group (SOAR)
:SOAR
US Market

Volato Group (SOAR) AI Stock Analysis

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SOAR

Volato Group

(SOAR)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-9.09% Downside)
Volato Group's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its significant financial challenges, which weigh heavily on its prospects. However, the undervaluation of the stock and positive corporate events provide some optimism. The technical analysis suggests bearish momentum, which is a concern for short-term investors.
Positive Factors
NYSE Compliance
Regaining NYSE compliance stabilizes Volato's listing status, providing a more secure platform for strategic initiatives and enhancing investor confidence.
Strategic Merger
The merger with M2i Global is expected to strengthen Volato's market position by expanding its reach and capabilities in critical minerals, aligning with long-term growth strategies.
Li-NCA Collaboration
Progress in Li-NCA collaboration positions Volato in the critical minerals supply chain, potentially driving future revenue and enhancing industry positioning.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, which can impact long-term stability.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow indicates operational inefficiencies and financial strain, which can hinder growth and investment in strategic initiatives.
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue reflects challenges in market demand and competitiveness, potentially affecting long-term growth and profitability.

Volato Group (SOAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Volato Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVolato Group (SOAR) is an innovative aviation company specializing in private jet services, including fractional ownership, private jet charter, and aircraft management. The company operates within the luxury travel and aviation sector, focusing on providing efficient, customer-centric solutions that cater to high-net-worth individuals and businesses seeking personalized air travel experiences. Volato Group's core offerings include a fleet of modern aircraft, tailored travel solutions, and exceptional customer service aimed at enhancing the flying experience for its clientele.
How the Company Makes MoneyVolato Group generates revenue through multiple key streams. Its primary source of income is from fractional ownership sales, where clients purchase shares in an aircraft, allowing them access to private jet travel without the full cost of ownership. Additionally, the company earns revenue from private jet charters, charging customers for on-demand flights. Aircraft management services also contribute to earnings, as Volato manages private jets on behalf of clients, taking a management fee. Furthermore, strategic partnerships with luxury brands and travel agencies help enhance its market reach and attract new clientele, supporting its overall revenue growth.

Volato Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Volato Group faces significant financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement reveals declining revenues and profitability issues, while the balance sheet shows high leverage. Cash flow difficulties further compound these issues, indicating a need for strategic financial restructuring to improve stability and growth prospects.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement shows significant challenges with profitability and revenue growth. The TTM data reveals a negative net profit margin and a substantial decline in revenue growth rate, indicating financial instability. However, there is a slight improvement in gross profit margin compared to previous periods, suggesting some cost management efforts.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Despite this, the company has managed to improve its equity position in the TTM period. The negative return on equity highlights ongoing profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests some alignment between cash flow and reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue105.04M46.29M35.57M96.71M1.06M
Gross Profit18.44M7.50M4.79M2.43M202.56K
EBITDA-7.86M-14.56M-4.30M-8.43M-1.42M
Net Income32.89M-40.65M-52.82M-9.37M-1.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.59M46.30M71.71M30.26M14.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.35M2.16M14.49M5.78M1.61M
Total Debt3.20M33.07M29.68M29.80M6.00M
Total Liabilities9.48M62.63M56.96M35.93M7.08M
Stockholders Equity4.11M-16.33M14.75M-5.67M3.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-22.38M-17.06M-31.03M-21.69M-1.22M
Operating Cash Flow-22.10M-16.92M-30.39M-21.43M-1.22M
Investing Cash Flow-156.00K-115.00K1.78M5.14M-281.52M
Financing Cash Flow19.05M4.31M37.46M22.56M285.32M

Volato Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.10
Price Trends
50DMA
1.64
Negative
100DMA
1.63
Negative
200DMA
1.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
39.61
Neutral
STOCH
20.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOAR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.22, below the 50-day MA of 1.64, and below the 200-day MA of 1.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SOAR.

Volato Group Risk Analysis

Volato Group disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Volato Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Volato Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$769.63M13.919.99%4.27%28.47%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
51
Neutral
$8.04M1.05-63.27%
50
Neutral
$1.12B-8.15-27.87%1.77%-1964.48%
47
Neutral
$252.55M-2.83
47
Neutral
$114.55M-0.61-8.51%82.15%
38
Underperform
$55.26M-0.31-509.71%-15.06%-119.79%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SOAR
Volato Group
1.08
-4.85
-81.79%
MESA
Mesa Air Group
20.06
2.66
15.29%
SNCY
Sun Country Airlines Holdings
14.60
-0.47
-3.12%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
4.90
-2.22
-31.18%
FLYX
flyExclusive
3.13
0.68
27.76%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
1.83
-1.58
-46.33%

Volato Group Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Volato Group Regains NYSE Compliance, Stabilizing Listing Status
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Volato Group received written notice from NYSE American that its consolidated shareholders’ equity again exceeds the minimum requirements of Section 1003(a), formally restoring the company to full compliance with the exchange’s continued listing standards and removing the “.BC” below‑compliance indicator from its Class A common stock. The regained listing status, which follows earlier deficiencies cited in June 2024, removes a structural overhang for investors and gives Volato a more stable platform to pursue its strategic priorities, notably the proposed merger with M2i Global expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, as the company pivots from divested aviation assets toward a software‑ and data‑driven model aligned with critical‑minerals supply chains.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Volato Group Declares Stock Dividend of flyExclusive
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Volato Group‘s Board of Directors declared a stock dividend of flyExclusive shares to its shareholders, with distribution expected after December 26, 2025. This strategic move aims to enhance shareholder value by aligning with flyExclusive, a prominent private jet charter and aircraft management service provider, reflecting Volato’s commitment to innovation and growth in the private aviation sector.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Volato Group Signs ATM Sales Agreement with Virtu
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Volato Group, Inc. entered into an ATM Sales Agreement with Virtu Americas LLC to act as the sole sales agent for the sale of up to $9,300,000 worth of its Class A Common Stock. This agreement allows for the sale of shares directly on the NYSE American LLC and includes a commission of up to 3.0% for the agent. The company is not obligated to sell any shares, and the agreement can be terminated by either party. This move is part of Volato Group’s strategy to potentially raise capital, though there is no guarantee of sales or the timing of such sales.

M&A TransactionsStock SplitBusiness Operations and Strategy
Volato Group Announces Merger with M2i Global
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Volato Group, Inc. announced a merger agreement with M2i Global, Inc., a Nevada corporation specializing in the critical minerals supply chain. The merger will result in M2i Global becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of Volato, subject to stockholder approval and customary closing conditions. The company also plans a reverse stock split to increase its stock price, facilitating its listing on the NYSE American. The merger is expected to impact Volato’s operations by expanding its market reach and enhancing its industry positioning.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Volato Group Announces Merger with M2i Global
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Volato Group, Inc. entered into a Merger Agreement with M2i Global, Inc., a Nevada corporation specializing in critical minerals supply chains. The merger, which will result in M2i Global becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of Volato, is pending stockholder approval and customary closing conditions. This strategic move is expected to strengthen Volato’s market position and operational capabilities in the critical minerals industry.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Volato Group Awaits Approval for M2i Merger
Neutral
Oct 27, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Volato Group, Inc. entered into a Merger Agreement with M2i Global, Inc., a company specializing in the global value supply chain for critical minerals. The merger, which will make M2i Global a wholly-owned subsidiary of Volato, is pending approval from Volato’s stockholders and other customary conditions. This strategic move is expected to enhance Volato’s market position by integrating M2i Global’s expertise in critical minerals, potentially impacting the company’s operational and financial landscape.

Private Placements and Financing
Volato Group Finalizes Convertible Notes Agreement
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Volato Group, Inc. has entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with an institutional investor to issue senior unsecured convertible promissory notes with a 10% original issue discount. The company completed multiple tranches between December 2024 and October 2025, raising funds with notes convertible into shares of its Class A common stock, enhancing its financial flexibility and potentially impacting its market position.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Volato Group Amends Agreement Amid M2i Global Merger
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

On September 2, 2024, Volato Group, Inc. entered into an Aircraft Management Services Agreement with flyExclusive, Inc., designating flyExclusive as the exclusive provider of certain aircraft management services. This agreement included a merger option allowing flyExclusive to merge with Volato. On July 28, 2025, Volato announced a merger with M2i Global, Inc., a company specializing in the global value supply chain for critical minerals. This merger is subject to stockholder approval and other conditions. On October 1, 2025, Volato amended its agreement with flyExclusive to align with its new business directives and the proposed M2i Global merger. The amendment includes asset options and financial settlements, with flyExclusive agreeing to pay Volato in cash or stock for certain aviation-related assets and obligations.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Volato Group Enters Share Exchange Agreement with M2i
Positive
Sep 30, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Volato Group, Inc. entered into Share Exchange Agreements with Tysadco Partners, LLC, and Douglas Cole, who are shareholders of M2i Global, Inc. The agreement involves exchanging 1,197,604 shares of Volato’s Class A common stock for 16,000,000 shares of M2i Global common stock, valuing the transaction at $2,000,000. This strategic move indicates Volato’s efforts to strengthen its market position by acquiring a significant stake in a publicly traded company. The Volato Shares issued are not registered under the Securities Act of 1933, but the company plans to file a registration statement with the SEC within 60 days to facilitate the resale of these shares.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025