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Volato Group (SOAR)
XASE:SOAR
US Market

Volato Group (SOAR) AI Stock Analysis

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SOAR

Volato Group

(NYSE MKT:SOAR)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$0.63
▼(-42.91% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/28/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (profitability, leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow) and a bearish technical setup (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include positive corporate developments (regained NYSE compliance and strategic merger progress) and an optically low P/E, but these are not enough to outweigh the fundamental and trend risks.
Positive Factors
Listing Compliance Restored
Restoring NYSE American compliance removes a structural listing overhang, stabilizes access to public capital markets, and reduces delisting risk. This durable improvement supports strategic initiatives and investor confidence as the company pursues its planned pivot and merger activity.
Strategic Merger Pivot into Critical Minerals
The planned acquisition of M2i positions the company into critical minerals and a software/data-driven model, aligning with secular demand for supply-chain visibility and electrification. If executed, this durable strategic pivot could diversify revenue and address long-term market opportunities.
Strengthened Board Governance
Adding an independent director as audit committee chair enhances financial oversight and corporate governance. Strengthened board-level controls and oversight are durable supports for improved reporting, risk management, and credibility with investors and partners over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Severe Revenue Decline
A multi-period, large revenue contraction undermines scale economics and reduces headroom to cover fixed costs. Sustained top-line weakness erodes pricing leverage, limits reinvestment, and makes margin recovery and strategic pivots harder to fund organically over the coming months.
Negative Operating and Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative OCF and FCF indicate the business is not generating sufficient cash to sustain operations or fund growth. This structural cash shortfall increases reliance on external financing, risks dilution, and constrains the company's ability to execute long-term strategic plans.
High Leverage and Negative ROE
Elevated leverage and negative ROE reduce financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to interest-cost shocks. Over time, high debt levels limit strategic options, raise refinancing risk during downturns, and can impede the company's ability to invest in the pivot or withstand execution delays.

Volato Group (SOAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Volato Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVolato Group (SOAR) is an innovative aviation company specializing in private jet services, including fractional ownership, private jet charter, and aircraft management. The company operates within the luxury travel and aviation sector, focusing on providing efficient, customer-centric solutions that cater to high-net-worth individuals and businesses seeking personalized air travel experiences. Volato Group's core offerings include a fleet of modern aircraft, tailored travel solutions, and exceptional customer service aimed at enhancing the flying experience for its clientele.
How the Company Makes MoneyVolato Group generates revenue through multiple key streams. Its primary source of income is from fractional ownership sales, where clients purchase shares in an aircraft, allowing them access to private jet travel without the full cost of ownership. Additionally, the company earns revenue from private jet charters, charging customers for on-demand flights. Aircraft management services also contribute to earnings, as Volato manages private jets on behalf of clients, taking a management fee. Furthermore, strategic partnerships with luxury brands and travel agencies help enhance its market reach and attract new clientele, supporting its overall revenue growth.

Volato Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak: income statement shows declining revenue growth and negative profitability, the balance sheet remains highly leveraged with negative ROE, and cash flows are negative for both operating and free cash flow—signaling ongoing financial strain despite modest gross margin improvement and some equity improvement.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement shows significant challenges with profitability and revenue growth. The TTM data reveals a negative net profit margin and a substantial decline in revenue growth rate, indicating financial instability. However, there is a slight improvement in gross profit margin compared to previous periods, suggesting some cost management efforts.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Despite this, the company has managed to improve its equity position in the TTM period. The negative return on equity highlights ongoing profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests some alignment between cash flow and reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.14M46.29M35.57M96.71M1.06M
Gross Profit8.96M7.50M4.79M2.43M202.56K
EBITDA-1.38M-14.56M-4.30M-8.43M-1.42M
Net Income9.30M-40.65M-52.82M-9.37M-1.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.59M46.30M71.71M30.26M14.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.35M2.16M14.49M5.78M1.61M
Total Debt3.20M33.07M29.68M29.80M6.00M
Total Liabilities9.48M62.63M56.96M35.93M7.08M
Stockholders Equity4.11M-16.33M14.75M-5.67M3.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.23M-17.06M-31.03M-21.69M-1.22M
Operating Cash Flow-8.16M-16.92M-30.39M-21.43M-1.22M
Investing Cash Flow-9.00K-115.00K1.78M5.14M-281.52M
Financing Cash Flow6.92M4.31M37.46M22.56M285.32M

Volato Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.10
Price Trends
50DMA
0.65
Negative
100DMA
1.11
Negative
200DMA
1.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
26.58
Positive
STOCH
5.23
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOAR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.47, above the 50-day MA of 0.65, and below the 200-day MA of 1.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.58 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.23 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SOAR.

Volato Group Risk Analysis

Volato Group disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Volato Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Volato Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
$1.06B20.828.83%4.27%28.47%
52
Neutral
$1.07B-7.69-27.87%1.77%-1964.48%
48
Neutral
$202.61M-1.96
46
Neutral
$123.31M-0.66-8.51%82.15%
45
Neutral
$2.23M0.29-63.27%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SOAR
Volato Group
0.30
-1.58
-84.11%
SNCY
Sun Country Airlines Holdings
19.91
3.16
18.87%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
4.64
-2.86
-38.13%
FLYX
flyExclusive
2.17
-0.97
-30.89%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
1.97
-1.40
-41.54%

Volato Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Volato Group Extends M2i Global Merger Agreement Deadline
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On July 28, 2025, Volato Group entered into a merger agreement under which its wholly owned subsidiary would merge with M2i Global, Inc., resulting in M2i Global becoming a wholly owned subsidiary focused on critical minerals supply chains. On January 19, 2026, Volato Group and M2i Global signed an amendment extending the merger agreement’s end date to March 31, 2026, a move the company characterized as a prudent adjustment designed to increase the likelihood of closing the transaction while preserving the original deal’s key terms and protections, underscoring both parties’ continued commitment to the strategic combination and its potential operational and strategic benefits.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOAR) stock is a Sell with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volato Group stock, see the SOAR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Volato Group Appoints Alan Gaines to Board, Committees
Neutral
Dec 29, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Volato Group, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors elected Alan D. Gaines as a Class III director, effective December 19, 2025, to serve until the company’s 2026 annual meeting of stockholders or until a successor is chosen. Gaines was also named Chairman of the Audit Committee and appointed to the Audit, Nominating and Corporate Governance, and Compensation Committees, and will receive compensation in line with other non-employee independent directors, with the company noting there were no special arrangements or related-party transactions tied to his election, underscoring standard corporate governance practices for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOAR) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volato Group stock, see the SOAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Volato Group Regains NYSE Compliance, Stabilizing Listing Status
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Volato Group received written notice from NYSE American that its consolidated shareholders’ equity again exceeds the minimum requirements of Section 1003(a), formally restoring the company to full compliance with the exchange’s continued listing standards and removing the “.BC” below‑compliance indicator from its Class A common stock. The regained listing status, which follows earlier deficiencies cited in June 2024, removes a structural overhang for investors and gives Volato a more stable platform to pursue its strategic priorities, notably the proposed merger with M2i Global expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, as the company pivots from divested aviation assets toward a software‑ and data‑driven model aligned with critical‑minerals supply chains.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOAR) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volato Group stock, see the SOAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Volato Group Declares Stock Dividend of flyExclusive
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Volato Group‘s Board of Directors declared a stock dividend of flyExclusive shares to its shareholders, with distribution expected after December 26, 2025. This strategic move aims to enhance shareholder value by aligning with flyExclusive, a prominent private jet charter and aircraft management service provider, reflecting Volato’s commitment to innovation and growth in the private aviation sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOAR) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volato Group stock, see the SOAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Volato Group Signs ATM Sales Agreement with Virtu
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Volato Group, Inc. entered into an ATM Sales Agreement with Virtu Americas LLC to act as the sole sales agent for the sale of up to $9,300,000 worth of its Class A Common Stock. This agreement allows for the sale of shares directly on the NYSE American LLC and includes a commission of up to 3.0% for the agent. The company is not obligated to sell any shares, and the agreement can be terminated by either party. This move is part of Volato Group’s strategy to potentially raise capital, though there is no guarantee of sales or the timing of such sales.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOAR) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volato Group stock, see the SOAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsStock Split
Volato Group Announces Merger with M2i Global
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Volato Group, Inc. announced a merger agreement with M2i Global, Inc., a Nevada corporation specializing in the critical minerals supply chain. The merger will result in M2i Global becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of Volato, subject to stockholder approval and customary closing conditions. The company also plans a reverse stock split to increase its stock price, facilitating its listing on the NYSE American. The merger is expected to impact Volato’s operations by expanding its market reach and enhancing its industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOAR) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volato Group stock, see the SOAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Volato Group Announces Merger with M2i Global
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Volato Group, Inc. entered into a Merger Agreement with M2i Global, Inc., a Nevada corporation specializing in critical minerals supply chains. The merger, which will result in M2i Global becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of Volato, is pending stockholder approval and customary closing conditions. This strategic move is expected to strengthen Volato’s market position and operational capabilities in the critical minerals industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOAR) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volato Group stock, see the SOAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026