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Volato Group (SOAR)
:SOAR
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Volato Group (SOAR) AI Stock Analysis

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SOAR

Volato Group

(NYSE MKT:SOAR)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(14.50% Upside)
Volato Group's overall stock score is low, primarily due to its dire financial condition characterized by declining revenues, negative equity, and liquidity issues. While the merger with M2i Global offers growth potential, the company's current financial instability and valuation concerns heavily weigh down the score. Corporate events provide some optimism, but significant operational and financial challenges remain.

Volato Group (SOAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Volato Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVolato Group, Inc. operates as a private aviation company. The company offers fractional ownership, aircraft management, jet cards, deposit, and charter programs. As of December 31, 2023, it operated a fleet of 24 HondaJets and a managed fleet of 6 aircraft. The company was founded in 2021 and is based in Chamblee, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyVolato Group generates revenue primarily through its fractional jet ownership program, where customers purchase shares in a private jet, allowing them access to the aircraft for a predetermined number of hours annually. This model offers the benefits of private jet ownership without the associated costs and responsibilities of full ownership. Additionally, Volato earns income from charter services, renting out aircraft to clients on a per-flight basis. The company also provides aircraft management services, handling the operational and maintenance aspects of aircraft owned by private individuals or corporations, which adds a steady stream of income from management fees. Strategic partnerships with aviation service providers and luxury brands further enhance its revenue potential by expanding its market reach and service offerings.

Volato Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Volato Group is experiencing severe financial difficulties, with negative growth trends in revenue and net income, high financial leverage, and liquidity issues as indicated by consistently negative operating and free cash flows.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
The Volato Group's income statement shows significant financial challenges with negative growth trends. The company experienced a sharp decline in total revenue from $96.7M in 2022 to $46.3M in 2024, resulting in a negative revenue growth rate. Gross profit margin is weak, and net income is deeply negative, leading to a poor net profit margin. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
10
Very Negative
The balance sheet reflects financial instability, with a concerning negative stockholders' equity of -$16.3M in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated meaningfully due to negative equity, suggesting high financial leverage. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating potential insolvency risks.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals severe liquidity issues. Operating cash flow is consistently negative, and free cash flow remains deeply negative at -$16.9M in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates cash flow challenges. The company lacks free cash flow growth, pointing towards ongoing cash constraints.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue46.29M35.57M96.71M1.06M
Gross Profit7.50M4.79M2.43M202.56K
EBITDA-14.56M-17.08M-8.43M-1.42M
Net Income-40.65M-52.82M-9.37M-1.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.30M71.71M30.26M14.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.16M14.49M5.78M1.61M
Total Debt33.07M29.68M29.80M6.00M
Total Liabilities62.63M56.96M35.93M7.08M
Stockholders Equity-16.33M14.75M-5.67M3.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.06M-31.03M-21.69M-18.30M
Operating Cash Flow-16.92M-30.39M-21.43M-3.61M
Investing Cash Flow-115.00K1.78M5.14M-11.81M
Financing Cash Flow4.31M37.46M22.56M17.03M

Volato Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.31
Price Trends
50DMA
1.63
Negative
100DMA
1.83
Negative
200DMA
3.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
41.01
Neutral
STOCH
11.84
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOAR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.51, below the 50-day MA of 1.63, and below the 200-day MA of 3.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.84 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SOAR.

Volato Group Risk Analysis

Volato Group disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Volato Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Volato Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$17.04B11.609.79%3.95%10.64%1.80%
50
Neutral
$321.88M-8.39%6.70%63.35%
49
Neutral
$957.46M-2416.94%-20.21%88.09%
47
Neutral
$182.70M28.8626.01%
47
Neutral
$134.51M138.02%31.17%83.01%
45
Neutral
$2.72M-398.23%-4.90%81.88%
45
Neutral
$45.21M-472.57%-11.55%-76.38%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SOAR
Volato Group
1.31
-10.69
-89.08%
MESA
Mesa Air Group
1.08
-0.17
-13.60%
BLDE
Blade Air Mobility
3.94
1.07
37.28%
UP
Wheels Up Experience
1.40
-0.23
-14.11%
FLYX
flyExclusive
2.28
-1.45
-38.87%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
3.99
2.02
102.54%

Volato Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Volato Group Announces Merger with M2i Global
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Volato Group entered into a merger agreement with M2i Global, aiming to create a public company that aligns with the U.S. mineral independence strategy. The merger, which requires stockholder approval, will see M2i Global become a wholly-owned subsidiary of Volato, with its shareholders owning 85% of the combined entity. This strategic move positions Volato to expand into the critical minerals market, enhancing its industry positioning and offering diversified revenue streams. The merger is expected to bring significant growth opportunities and value to stakeholders, with leadership changes including Major General (Ret.) Alberto Rosende becoming CEO of Volato.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Volato Group Holds Virtual Annual Meeting, Elects Director
Neutral
Jul 24, 2025

On July 21, 2025, Volato Group held its Annual Meeting virtually, with 51.05% of the common stock represented. During the meeting, shareholders elected Christopher Burger as a Class II director, approved the 2025 Stock Incentive Plan, and ratified Elliott Davis, LLC as the independent registered accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. No additional matters were voted on, as sufficient votes were present to adopt the proposals.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Volato Group Secures $3 Million in Latest Financing
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

Volato Group, Inc. entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with an institutional investor on December 4, 2024, to issue senior unsecured convertible promissory notes with a 10% original issue discount, convertible into Class A common stock. The agreement involves multiple tranches, with the first tranche closing on December 4, 2024, for $4.5 million, the second on June 13, 2025, for $1.5 million, and the third on July 21, 2025, for $3 million. These financial arrangements are part of Volato’s strategic financing efforts, leveraging exemptions from registration under the Securities Act, and highlight the company’s ongoing capital-raising initiatives.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Volato Group Sells GC Aviation to Refocus Strategy
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On March 20, 2025, Volato Group, Inc. sold GC Aviation, Inc., resulting in the retroactive presentation of GC Aviation’s managed aircraft business as discontinued operations. This move aligns with Volato’s strategic shift to focus on high-growth areas like aircraft sales and proprietary software, following the transition of its fleet operations to flyExclusive in September 2024. The company’s financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2024, showed a significant increase in revenue to $39.1 million, driven by aircraft sales, despite a net loss from continuing operations of $21.2 million.

Private Placements and Financing
Volato Group Completes Second Tranche of Convertible Notes
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On December 4, 2024, Volato Group, Inc. entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with an institutional investor to issue senior unsecured convertible promissory notes totaling up to $36,000,000. The first tranche was closed on December 4, 2024, with an initial note of $4,500,000, and the second tranche was completed on June 13, 2025, with a note of $1,500,000. These notes, sold at a 10% discount, are convertible into the company’s Class A common stock and are exempt from registration under the Securities Act.

Delistings and Listing ChangesLegal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Volato Group Faces Allegations of Settlement Breaches
Negative
Jun 9, 2025

Volato Group, Inc. entered into a Settlement Agreement with Sunpeak Holdings Corporation in November 2024, involving the exchange of outstanding payables for shares of common stock. However, the company received a warning from NYSE Regulation in December 2024 for failing to comply with listing requirements, leading to restrictions on issuing additional shares. By June 2025, a law firm representing Sunpeak Holdings alleged breaches of the Settlement Agreement, including unauthorized financing arrangements and misrepresentations, which Volato Group disputes.

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Volato Group Approves Key Stock Issuance Proposal
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Volato Group, Inc. held a virtual special meeting of stockholders to vote on key proposals. The stockholders approved the issuance of 20% or more of the company’s Class A common stock as per the Securities Purchase Agreement with JAK Opportunities Fund IX LLC. The adjournment proposal was not needed as sufficient votes were already secured for the main proposal.

Shareholder Meetings
Volato Group Stockholder Meeting Adjourned Again
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On April 15, 2025, Volato Group, Inc. held a special meeting of stockholders to vote on two proposals. However, due to insufficient representation of shares, no business was conducted, and the meeting was adjourned. The meeting was reconvened on May 6, 2025, but again, insufficient shares were represented, leading to another adjournment until May 7, 2025. The meeting will continue at the same virtual link, with no changes to the record date or proposals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025