Sun Country Airlines Holdings (SNCY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $548.57M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.03M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.7
• Beta (1Y): 1.10
• Revenue Growth: 3.76%
• EPS Growth: 17.44%
• Country: US
• Employees: 3,124
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Airlines, Airports & Air Services
• EPS (TTM): 0.14
• Shares Outstanding: 53,207,687
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,089,378
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,031,916
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.92
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.96
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 1.67
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 5.93
• 1Y Price Target: $17.67
• Price Target Upside: 67.49% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: $11.00 ▲(4.27% Upside)

Sun Country Airlines demonstrates solid financial performance and attractive valuation, suggesting potential for growth. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and short-term challenges from elevated costs and reduced scheduled services impact the outlook.

Positive Factors

Cash Flow

Sun Country remains in an enviable position from a capital allocation standpoint with limited CapEx needs and low net leverage.

Fleet Expansion

Sun Country recently took delivery of its first of 8 additional freighters from its renewed agreement with Amazon.

Revenue Growth

The shift in growth focus from scheduled services to the Cargo segment is paying off, with significant revenue growth and fleet expansion expected.

Negative Factors

Management Turnover

Management turnover is noted as a potential challenge, but it's not expected to hinder the achievement of normalized earnings targets.

Sun Country Airlines Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc., an air carrier company, provides scheduled passenger, air cargo, charter air transportation, and related services in the United States, Latin America, and internationally. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated a fleet of 48 aircraft, including 36 passenger and 12 cargo aircraft. Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

How the Company Makes Money

Sun Country Airlines Holdings generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source is passenger ticket sales from scheduled flights, where the company offers competitive pricing aimed at leisure travelers. Additional income is derived from ancillary services such as baggage fees, seat selection, and onboard purchases. The company also earns significant revenue from its charter services, offering tailored flight solutions for sports teams, government agencies, and other organizations. Moreover, Sun Country has a cargo operation that contributes to its income, notably through a partnership with Amazon to provide air freight services under the Amazon Air network. This diversification of services allows the company to maintain a robust revenue model, balancing passenger services with charter and cargo operations.

Sun Country Airlines Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Sun Country Airlines demonstrates strong cash flow management and operational efficiency with robust margins. However, declining net income and decreased cash highlight potential profitability and liquidity challenges.

Income Statement

Sun Country Airlines shows a strong gross profit margin of 43.76% and a solid net profit margin of 4.96% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue growth is modest at 1.41% annually. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 9.81% and 17.32%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the net income has decreased compared to the previous year, which could be a concern for sustained profitability.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43 indicates moderate leverage, while the return on equity (ROE) of 8.98% is reasonable but could be improved. The equity ratio of 37.88% reflects a stable capital structure, although higher equity would provide more financial stability. The balance sheet shows a decrease in cash and short-term investments, highlighting potential liquidity challenges.

Cash Flow

The company demonstrates strong cash flow management with a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.48 and a free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.15. Free cash flow growth is stable with only a slight decrease of 0.87% annually, indicating efficient capital expenditure management and strong operational cash generation.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.10B	1.08B	1.05B	894.44M	623.01M	401.49M
Gross Profit	630.55M	748.96M	269.17M	177.74M	135.22M	18.11M
EBITDA	177.22M	210.58M	226.24M	123.35M	200.21M	91.36M
Net Income	58.89M	52.90M	72.18M	17.68M	81.25M	-3.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.55M	1.63B	1.62B	1.52B	1.38B	1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	37.00K	187.27M	187.41M	271.02M	315.62M	67.65M
Total Debt	256.10K	619.03M	697.78M	629.66M	545.62M	536.83M
Total Liabilities	939.10K	1.06B	1.11B	1.03B	889.83M	769.45M
Stockholders Equity	613.00K	570.37M	514.40M	492.71M	490.59M	283.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	133.32M	117.53M	-44.04M	-60.50M	35.70M	-95.92M
Operating Cash Flow	142.44M	164.86M	174.12M	127.40M	152.00M	374.00K
Investing Cash Flow	4.87M	8.40M	-171.23M	-349.30M	-117.00M	-96.03M
Financing Cash Flow	-64.51M	-136.47M	-42.14M	7.00M	212.40M	101.54M

Sun Country Airlines Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 10.55
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNCY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.13, below the 50-day MA of 11.83, and below the 200-day MA of 13.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SNCY.

Sun Country Airlines Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ATSG	69 Neutral	$1.48B	55.88	1.92%	―	-5.25%	-49.90%
SNCY	68 Neutral	$548.57M	9.69	10.15%	―	3.76%	17.44%
VLRS	65 Neutral	$661.07M	12.09	-12.00%	―	-7.05%	-128.03%
Sector *	64 Neutral	$10.61B	16.59	6.44%	2.15%	2.84%	-28.64%
ALGT	56 Neutral	$878.42M	―	-24.02%	1.25%	1.54%	-466.46%
JBLU	51 Neutral	$1.59B	―	-15.12%	―	-1.90%	61.06%
ULCC	51 Neutral	$904.23M	13.43	12.71%	―	5.99%	―

Sun Country Airlines Holdings Corporate Events

Sun Country Airlines Holds Annual Stockholder Meeting

On June 11, 2025, Sun Country Airlines Holdings held its annual meeting of stockholders, where several key proposals were voted upon. The stockholders re-elected Thomas C. Kennedy, Gail Peterson, and Jennifer Vogel as Class I directors for a term expiring in 2028. Additionally, the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved on a non-binding, advisory basis, and KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (SNCY) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Country Airlines Holdings stock, see the SNCY Stock Forecast page.