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Allegiant Travel (ALGT)
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Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) AI Stock Analysis

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ALGT

Allegiant Travel Company

(NASDAQ:ALGT)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$52.00
▲(6.40% Upside)
Allegiant Travel Company's overall score reflects a challenging financial environment with operational and profitability concerns. However, the company's strategic initiatives, including securing additional credit and appointing a new COO, show adaptability and potential for recovery. Technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution, while the earnings call provides a more optimistic view of operational progress.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
ALGT reported adjusted EPS well above expectations, driven by better than expected performance.
Fleet and Product Strategy
Management is positive on benefits from increasing the number of MAX aircraft in the fleet and growing premium seat mix to drive better ancillary performance.
Operational Focus
With the sale of the Sunseeker Resort expected to close, ALGT's focus shifts back to its core airline business, simplifying its operations.
Negative Factors
Earnings Forecast
Forecasts for ALGT earnings are below consensus, suggesting weaker performance expectations.
Market Reaction
ALGT stock dropped 15% largely driven by their surprising announcement to grow capacity significantly by year end, which flew in the face of the industry trend to prioritize RASM over growth-driven margin expansion.
Sale Valuation
The announced sale of Sunseeker is below the estimated value, leading to shares underperforming the group.

Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Allegiant Travel Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllegiant Travel Company (ALGT) is a leisure-focused travel company that operates in the United States. Its core business includes scheduled and charter air transportation and it is known for offering low-cost flights primarily to smaller, underserved cities. Allegiant also provides travel-related services, such as hotel room bookings, rental car reservations, and other ancillary services to enhance the travel experience of its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllegiant Travel Company makes money primarily through passenger ticket sales for its air transportation services, which constitute the bulk of its revenue. Additionally, Allegiant generates significant income from ancillary services, including baggage fees, seat selection fees, and onboard purchases. The company also earns revenue through commissions on hotel bookings, rental car reservations, and the sale of travel packages that combine flights with other travel services. Allegiant's strategy of serving underserved markets with limited competition allows it to maintain a solid pricing power, contributing to its profit margins. Partnerships with hotels, car rental agencies, and other travel-related businesses further bolster its revenue through commission-based arrangements.

Allegiant Travel Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of positive operational achievements and strategic improvements, countered by challenges in demand and specific financial setbacks. Record passenger numbers and cost management were notable highlights, while weaker demand and specific losses posed challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Passenger Numbers
Allegiant flew more than 5 million passengers, setting a record for the second quarter. Approximately 70% of those passengers are repeat customers, indicating strong customer loyalty.
Improved Operating Margin
Achieved an airline operating margin of 8.6%, exceeding initial guidance and improving from the first half of 2024.
Increased Aircraft Utilization
Aircraft utilization increased by 17% in the first half compared to the previous year, while the total number of aircraft and personnel remained flat.
Recognition for Service Quality
Allegiant was named Skytrax Best Low-Cost Carrier in North America for the second consecutive year.
Successful Cost Management
Despite a softer domestic leisure demand environment, Allegiant maintained solid profitability by being one of the lowest-cost providers in the industry.
Positive Revenue Trends
Allegiant reported $669 million in airline revenue, approximately 3% above the prior year.
Fleet Optimization
The new MAX aircraft are performing as expected, contributing to significant margin advantages. By year-end, MAX aircraft are expected to exceed 15% of ASMs.
Negative Updates
Weak Domestic Leisure Demand
Domestic leisure demand was softer than anticipated in the first half of the year, impacting overall performance.
Expected Third Quarter Loss
The company anticipated an operating loss in the third quarter, driven by a seasonally weak period and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.
TRASM Decline
Total revenue per available seat mile (TRASM) was down 11.2% year-over-year, impacted by several factors including capacity growth and softer off-peak demand.
Sunseeker Resort Losses
Sunseeker Resort operations contributed to special charges of $103 million, with expected losses continuing through the third quarter.
Capacity Growth Pullback
Allegiant reduced its capacity growth expectations for the full year due to increased macro and geopolitical uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During Allegiant Travel Company's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a strong operating performance despite a softer domestic leisure demand environment. They achieved a record second quarter with over 5 million passengers and a 99.9% controllable completion rate. The airline's operating margin was 8.6%, exceeding initial guidance, and their first half operating margin was close to 9%, showing improvement from 2024. Aircraft utilization increased by 17% compared to the previous year, and Allegiant maintained flat aircraft and personnel levels. The introduction of new MAX aircraft contributed to performance improvement, accounting for about 10% of ASMs in the second quarter, with expectations to exceed 15% by year-end. Allegiant also noted a significant demand for their premium Allegiant Extra offering, contributing to margin and TRASM. Despite challenges, the company remains optimistic about the future, with plans to manage capacity growth, improve yields, and enhance commercial initiatives to drive revenue.

Allegiant Travel Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Allegiant Travel Company faces operational and profitability challenges. The income statement shows losses, the balance sheet reveals high leverage, and cash flow improvements suggest some resilience. Continued focus on improving profitability and managing leverage will be crucial.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Allegiant Travel Company shows mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is 26.5%, reflecting a reasonable level of profitability. However, the net profit margin is negative, indicating losses, which is a concern. Revenue growth is modest, at approximately 1.7% from 2024 to 2025. EBIT and EBITDA margins are weak due to negative EBIT, pointing to operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet of Allegiant Travel Company presents a moderately stable financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 1.88, suggesting significant leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is negative due to net losses, which is a downside. However, the equity ratio is 24.7%, showing some level of asset backing by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement indicates some positive aspects. Free cash flow has grown significantly, showing financial improvement in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.75, demonstrating a strong ability to generate cash from operations despite net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is low, reflecting the challenges in maintaining cash flows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.56B2.51B2.51B2.30B1.71B990.07M
Gross Profit677.12M1.57B664.37M340.47M231.54M-4.34M
EBITDA115.98M60.86M490.24M305.57M446.06M-128.37M
Net Income-207.22M-240.24M117.60M2.49M151.85M-184.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.50B4.43B4.86B4.51B3.99B685.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments878.60M781.13M814.67M955.10M1.18B685.30M
Total Debt2.09B2.15B2.36B2.21B1.88B1.78B
Total Liabilities3.39B3.34B3.53B3.29B2.77B2.56B
Stockholders Equity1.11B1.09B1.33B1.22B1.22B699.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow119.29M38.30M-447.39M-131.64M232.66M-45.70M
Operating Cash Flow362.06M338.46M423.09M303.05M488.20M234.50M
Investing Cash Flow-22.74M5.58M-721.88M-491.42M-593.28M-365.69M
Financing Cash Flow-246.80M-201.30M212.92M33.12M285.47M164.60M

Allegiant Travel Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price48.87
Price Trends
50DMA
53.83
Negative
100DMA
52.27
Negative
200DMA
66.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.39
Positive
RSI
40.83
Neutral
STOCH
25.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALGT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 48.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.90, below the 50-day MA of 53.83, and below the 200-day MA of 66.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALGT.

Allegiant Travel Company Risk Analysis

Allegiant Travel Company disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allegiant Travel Company reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allegiant Travel Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$549.16M9.9210.15%3.76%17.44%
65
Neutral
$652.64M12.09-12.00%-7.05%-128.03%
64
Neutral
$10.63B16.035.49%2.12%2.74%-23.62%
56
Neutral
$892.11M-24.02%1.25%1.54%-466.46%
51
Neutral
$1.59B-15.12%-1.90%61.06%
49
Neutral
$957.46M-2416.94%-29.68%95.14%
45
Neutral
$784.65M13.43-6.63%4.60%49.81%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALGT
Allegiant Travel Company
48.87
7.97
19.49%
JBLU
JetBlue Airways
4.36
-1.69
-27.93%
VLRS
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV
5.61
0.17
3.12%
UP
Wheels Up Experience
1.37
-0.30
-17.96%
SNCY
Sun Country Airlines Holdings
10.30
-0.05
-0.48%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
3.44
0.26
8.18%

Allegiant Travel Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Allegiant Travel Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

Allegiant Travel Company reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a GAAP diluted loss per share of $(3.62) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.23. Despite the challenging demand environment, the company achieved a record number of flights and a 99.9% controllable completion factor, which contributed to its operational success. Allegiant’s commercial initiatives and digital transformation efforts are beginning to yield positive outcomes, with improvements in ancillary revenue and cost reductions. The company remains optimistic about strengthening domestic demand in the latter half of the year and plans to continue focusing on core strengths and cost improvements, including the sale of its Sunseeker Resort.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALGT) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allegiant Travel Company stock, see the ALGT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Allegiant Travel Sells Sunseeker Resort to Blackstone
Neutral
Jul 8, 2025

On July 3, 2025, Allegiant Travel Company announced an agreement to sell its Sunseeker Resort Charlotte Harbor, Aileron Golf Course, and related properties in Southwest Florida to Blackstone Real Estate Group for $200 million, with the transaction expected to close in September 2025. Additionally, the company borrowed $158.6 million through credit facilities secured by Boeing 737-MAX aircraft to finance aircraft deliveries and manage debt, with $151 million in loan commitments still available.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALGT) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allegiant Travel Company stock, see the ALGT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Allegiant Travel Confirms Board Election and Key Approvals
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Allegiant Travel Company held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. The election of an eight-member Board of Directors was confirmed, with Maurice J. Gallagher, Jr. and Gregory Anderson receiving the highest votes. Additionally, the stockholders approved the executive compensation and an amendment to the Company’s 2022 Long-term Incentive Plan. The appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was also ratified.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALGT) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allegiant Travel Company stock, see the ALGT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Allegiant Secures $144 Million Credit Facility
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Allegiant Travel Company secured a credit facility allowing it to borrow up to $144 million, backed by Boeing 737 MAX aircraft. The funds will be used for aircraft purchases, debt repayment, and general corporate purposes, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALGT) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allegiant Travel Company stock, see the ALGT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Allegiant Travel Appoints Tyler Hollingsworth as COO
Positive
May 6, 2025

Allegiant Travel Company announced the appointment of Tyler Hollingsworth as the chief operating officer, effective May 1, 2025, following his interim role since March 2025. Hollingsworth has been with the company since 2010, holding various leadership roles in flight operations and safety. The company also reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with a notable increase in operating margin and earnings per share despite economic uncertainties impacting the airline industry. Allegiant has adjusted its capacity growth plans to maintain profitability amid volatile demand, demonstrating resilience in challenging market conditions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025