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JetBlue Airways (JBLU)
NASDAQ:JBLU
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JetBlue Airways (JBLU) AI Stock Analysis

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JBLU

JetBlue Airways

(NASDAQ:JBLU)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-3.23% Downside)
JetBlue's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by declining revenues, high leverage, and negative cash flows. While the earnings call provided some optimism with strategic initiatives and improved operational metrics, the financial instability and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Expansion
Expanding routes in Fort Lauderdale strengthens JetBlue's market presence and can drive long-term revenue growth by capturing more market share.
JetForward Initiatives
The JetForward plan aims to enhance profitability through operational efficiencies and strategic changes, supporting sustainable financial improvements.
New International Routes
Introducing new international routes can diversify revenue streams and enhance JetBlue's competitive position in the transatlantic market.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially impacting JetBlue's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.
Negative Cash Flows
Negative cash flows indicate challenges in generating sufficient cash to cover operations and investments, posing a risk to long-term financial health.
Declining Revenue Trend
A significant decline in revenue reflects potential market share loss and operational challenges, affecting JetBlue's ability to sustain growth.

JetBlue Airways (JBLU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JetBlue Airways Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) is a major American low-cost airline headquartered in New York City. Founded in 1998, JetBlue operates flights to over 100 destinations across the United States, the Caribbean, and Latin America. The airline is known for its customer-centric approach, offering amenities such as free in-flight entertainment, comfortable seating, and complimentary snacks and beverages, differentiating itself from traditional carriers. JetBlue's core services include passenger air travel, with a focus on providing affordable fares and a unique flying experience.
How the Company Makes MoneyJetBlue generates revenue primarily through the sale of passenger tickets, which account for the largest portion of its income. In addition to ticket sales, the airline earns money through ancillary services, which include fees for checked baggage, seat selection, and in-flight purchases. JetBlue also benefits from partnerships with other airlines and travel companies, enabling it to offer codeshare flights and vacation packages. Furthermore, the airline's loyalty program, TrueBlue, encourages repeat customers and contributes to revenue through loyalty point redemptions and associated spending. Overall, JetBlue's revenue model is built on a combination of low-cost fares and value-added services that enhance customer experience.

JetBlue Airways Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several positive developments, such as improved operational performance, the Blue Sky collaboration with United, and strong financial management. However, challenges like weather disruptions, a difficult macroeconomic environment, and expected revenue declines balanced the positive achievements.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Operational Performance
JetBlue achieved a completion factor of 99.6% and improved on-time performance by 3 points year-over-year, contributing to increased customer satisfaction and Net Promoter Score.
Blue Sky Collaboration with United Airlines
The collaboration is expected to contribute an incremental $50 million in EBIT through 2027, increasing JetForward EBIT target to $850 million to $950 million through 2027.
Strong Financial Management
JetBlue maintained liquidity at $3.4 billion and achieved a modest operating profit in the second quarter, with a revised fleet plan enabling sustainable and capital-efficient growth.
Recognition for Customer Satisfaction
JetBlue was recognized by J.D. Power as the top airline for first and business class customer satisfaction in The 2025 North America Airline Satisfaction Study.
Strong Demand and Revenue Management
Close-in bookings increased 7% year-over-year, and premium cabin and loyalty revenues showed resilience, with premium unit revenues up mid-single digits and loyalty remunerations up 9%.
Negative Updates
Weather and Air Traffic Control Challenges
Weather and air traffic control-related disruptions in July impacted operations and pressured the completion factor in the third quarter.
Challenging Macro Environment
Despite achieving some financial targets, the overall macroeconomic environment remained challenging, impacting demand and creating uncertainty in revenue forecasting.
Capacity and Revenue Challenges
Third quarter unit revenue is expected to be down between 6% and 2%, with capacity ranging from down 1% to up 2%, reflecting ongoing demand and revenue challenges.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, JetBlue Airways exceeded guidance across key metrics, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, achieving a modest operating profit. The airline's Net Promoter Score (NPS) rose by double digits year-over-year, reflecting significant improvements in customer satisfaction. JetBlue's collaboration with United Airlines, dubbed Blue Sky, is projected to contribute an incremental $50 million in EBIT by 2027, enhancing the airline's JetForward EBIT target to a range of $850 million to $950 million. Operational enhancements led to a 3-point improvement in on-time performance and a 0.5-point increase in completion factor, delivering approximately $15 million in incremental EBIT in the first half of 2025. Additionally, network optimization yielded $15 million in incremental EBIT, while product and perk enhancements generated $35 million. Cost transformation initiatives produced $25 million in EBIT, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of cost outperformance. Overall, JetBlue realized $180 million in JetForward EBIT by mid-2025, with expectations to reach $290 million by year-end.

JetBlue Airways Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JetBlue faces significant financial challenges with negative net profit margins, high leverage, and negative cash flows. The income statement shows declining revenues and persistent profitability issues, while the balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, increasing financial risk.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
JetBlue's income statement shows significant challenges with negative net profit margins and declining revenue growth. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 29.37%, but the net profit margin is negative at -4.22%, reflecting ongoing profitability issues. Revenue has decreased by 7.82% in the TTM period, indicating a concerning trend. The EBIT margin is slightly positive, but overall, the company struggles with profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.91, indicating significant leverage. The return on equity is negative at -15.23%, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the high leverage poses a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -18.10% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unusually high due to negative net income, highlighting cash flow issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.10B9.28B9.62B9.16B6.04B2.96B
Gross Profit2.65B2.29B2.32B1.97B890.00M-590.00M
EBITDA429.00M490.00M526.00M349.00M-418.00M-1.51B
Net Income-469.00M-795.00M-310.00M-362.00M-182.00M-1.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.60B16.84B15.33B14.45B14.85B13.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.62B3.61B1.57B1.39B2.84B3.05B
Total Debt9.42B9.14B5.38B4.38B4.80B5.73B
Total Liabilities14.33B14.20B11.99B10.88B11.00B9.46B
Stockholders Equity2.27B2.64B3.34B3.56B3.85B3.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.15B-1.35B-806.00M-544.00M647.00M-1.47B
Operating Cash Flow-160.00M144.00M400.00M379.00M1.64B-683.00M
Investing Cash Flow46.00M-3.08B-1.38B-908.00M-704.00M-1.35B
Financing Cash Flow-38.00M3.77B1.11B-360.00M-830.00M2.98B

JetBlue Airways Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.65
Price Trends
50DMA
4.50
Positive
100DMA
4.69
Negative
200DMA
4.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
59.06
Neutral
STOCH
86.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBLU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.35, above the 50-day MA of 4.50, and below the 200-day MA of 4.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JBLU.

JetBlue Airways Risk Analysis

JetBlue Airways disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JetBlue Airways reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JetBlue Airways Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$725.35M13.119.99%4.27%28.47%
65
Neutral
$18.32B53.994.22%2.01%0.65%
64
Neutral
$9.40B17.501.27%118.64%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$4.95B36.413.53%31.50%-49.15%
46
Neutral
$1.66B-19.09%-2.49%47.88%
45
Neutral
$1.14B-27.87%1.77%-1964.48%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBLU
JetBlue Airways
4.65
-1.94
-29.44%
ALK
Alaska Air
47.32
-7.02
-12.92%
LUV
Southwest Airlines
35.81
2.39
7.15%
AAL
American Airlines
14.34
-3.06
-17.59%
SNCY
Sun Country Airlines Holdings
13.76
-0.56
-3.91%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
4.98
-0.83
-14.29%

JetBlue Airways Corporate Events

JetBlue Airways Earnings Call: Optimism Amidst Challenges
Oct 30, 2025

JetBlue Airways Corp’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, underscoring the airline’s substantial progress in operational metrics, strategic expansions, and collaborative initiatives. Despite facing challenges from external factors and maintenance costs, the company expressed optimism about its future growth and profitability, driven by its JetForward plan and premium offerings.

JetBlue Airways Faces Persistent Business Risks: 2024 Form 10-K Analysis
Oct 29, 2025

JetBlue Airways Corp faces ongoing business risks as outlined in Part I, Item 1A of their 2024 Form 10-K, with no significant changes to these risk factors since their previous disclosure. This suggests that the company continues to navigate the same challenges that could impact its operational and financial performance. Stakeholders should remain vigilant about these persistent risks, as they could affect JetBlue’s strategic decisions and market position. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding the potential vulnerabilities in JetBlue’s business model.

JetBlue Airways Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 29, 2025

JetBlue Airways Corporation, a prominent player in the airline industry, is known for its low fares and exceptional service, operating flights to over 100 destinations across the United States, Latin America, the Caribbean, Canada, and Europe. The company is headquartered in New York and is a leading carrier in several major U.S. cities, including Boston and Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
JetBlue Airways Reports Strong Q3 Performance
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, JetBlue Airways announced its third-quarter results, highlighting better-than-expected performance due to increased demand and effective cost management. The company is advancing its JetForward strategy, aiming for $290 million in incremental EBIT by the end of the year. JetBlue is expanding its presence in Fort Lauderdale with new routes and increased frequencies, reinforcing its position as the largest airline in the region. The airline is also enhancing its loyalty program and premium offerings, including a partnership with United Airlines and plans for domestic first-class services. Despite a slight decrease in operating revenue, JetBlue maintained strong operational metrics and improved customer satisfaction scores, setting a solid foundation for 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBLU) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JetBlue Airways stock, see the JBLU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
JetBlue Airways to Present at Laguna Conference
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 4, 2025, JetBlue Airways announced its participation in Morgan Stanley’s 13th Annual Laguna Conference on September 11, 2025. The company highlighted its strategic initiatives under the JetForward program, which have delivered significant financial benefits and operational improvements. JetBlue is strengthening its position as the leading carrier in Fort Lauderdale by expanding its flight offerings and introducing new routes, aiming to enhance its market presence and customer experience.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBLU) stock is a Sell with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JetBlue Airways stock, see the JBLU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
JetBlue Airways Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance Update
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

JetBlue Airways announced an operational and financial update for its expected third quarter 2025 results, highlighting strong demand for air travel during the summer, which extended into August and through the Labor Day holiday. The company reported better-than-expected revenue performance due to improved operational reliability and cost initiatives, alongside a decline in fuel prices. JetBlue remains optimistic about continuing these positive trends into the fourth quarter, with updated guidance reflecting stable capacity and revenue metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBLU) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JetBlue Airways stock, see the JBLU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 30, 2025