tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
JetBlue Airways (JBLU)
NASDAQ:JBLU

JetBlue Airways (JBLU) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
3,544 Followers

Top Page

JB

JetBlue Airways

(NASDAQ:JBLU)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-12.28%Downside)
JetBlue's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges with negative profitability and cash flow issues being the most impactful factors. While liquidity is a strength, the negative valuation metrics and bearish technicals weigh heavily on the score. Operational improvements and strategic adjustments provide some positive outlook, but the unpredictable demand environment remains a concern.
Positive Factors
Customer Benefits
The collaboration between UAL and JBLU links their loyalty programs, allowing customers to earn and use points across both airlines, enhancing customer benefits and flight access.
Liquidity
JetBlue is believed to have ample liquidity to weather potential economic downturns, with significant assets and undrawn credit facilities.
Partnerships
The UAL-JBLU partnership announcement is expected to be well received by investors, and the deal is beneficial to both sides, though it will make a bigger difference to JBLU.
Negative Factors
Financial Outlook
Lower expected revenue per available seat mile and slightly higher costs per available seat mile contribute to the neutral/high risk rating.
Pricing Uncertainty
Uncertainty over pricing improvements in the industry is impacting the financial outlook for JetBlue Airways.
Revenue Trends
JetBlue's revenue trend is the second worst among U.S. airlines, reflecting a potential loss of demand momentum in coastal markets.

JetBlue Airways (JBLU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JetBlue Airways Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJetBlue Airways Corporation is a major American low-cost airline headquartered in Long Island City, New York. It operates over 1,000 flights daily and serves more than 100 domestic and international destinations in the United States, the Caribbean, and Latin America. JetBlue is known for its customer-focused services, including in-flight entertainment, complimentary snacks and drinks, and spacious legroom.
How the Company Makes MoneyJetBlue Airways generates revenue primarily through passenger ticket sales, which account for the bulk of its income. The company also earns money from ancillary services, such as baggage fees, premium seating options, and in-flight purchases. Additionally, JetBlue has a loyalty program called TrueBlue, which partners with various businesses to offer rewards and can drive further revenue. Partnerships with other airlines through codeshare agreements also contribute to its revenue by expanding its network and customer base. Fuel hedging and cost management strategies are significant factors that influence profitability, allowing the airline to manage expenses effectively.

JetBlue Airways Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.04%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
JetBlue demonstrated strong liquidity and operational improvements, particularly in its Premium and transatlantic segments. However, the company faces significant challenges with softening demand, domestic market weakness, and unresolved issues with Pratt & Whitney engines, leading to an unpredictable outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Liquidity Position
JetBlue ended 2024 with $3.9 billion in liquidity, excluding a $600 million revolver, representing 42% of trailing 12-month revenue, which is the strongest liquidity ratio in the industry.
Improvement in Operational Metrics
JetBlue's A14 metric improved by nearly four points year-over-year in Q1 2025, despite weather challenges. Net Promoter Score (NPS) also improved double digits year-over-year, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of growth.
Premium Segment Performance
Premium RASM, including Mint and EvenMore, outperformed Core RASM by high single digits. The new Premium co-branded credit card launched in January exceeded sign-up goals.
Transatlantic RASM Growth
Transatlantic RASM was up 28% year-over-year on 25% fewer ASMs, benefiting from seasonal optimization.
Negative Updates
Softening Demand and Unpredictable Outlook
The first quarter saw softening demand, deteriorating further in March. The outlook for the second half of the year remains unpredictable due to macroeconomic uncertainty.
Capacity and Revenue Challenges
RASM increased only 1.3% year-over-year, and capacity reductions pressured unit costs. The second quarter is expected to see unit revenues down between 7.5% and 3.5%.
Domestic Market Weakness
There was significant weakness across the domestic network, particularly on off-peak days and times, which negatively affected unit revenues.
Pratt & Whitney Engine Constraints
Pratt & Whitney constraints are driving three points of margin degradation, and compensation from Pratt & Whitney remains unresolved.
Company Guidance
During JetBlue's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several metrics and insights regarding its performance and future outlook. The Revenue per Available Seat Mile (RASM) met initial guidance despite a challenging demand environment, while capacity finished at the low end of the range and CASM ex-fuel beat the midpoint of initial guidance. The company experienced a deterioration in booking trends from January through March, leading to an unpredictable outlook for the second half of the year. JetBlue highlighted improvements in operational performance, with A14 reliability nearly four points better year-over-year and a double-digit improvement in Net Promoter Score (NPS). The airline reported a strong liquidity position, ending 2024 with $3.9 billion in liquidity, representing 42% of trailing 12-month revenue. Despite economic challenges, JetBlue remains committed to its long-term JetForward strategy, focusing on cost transformation and capacity adjustments to better match supply with demand throughout 2025. The company also plans to announce a domestic airline partnership to enhance its network and loyalty program.

JetBlue Airways Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JetBlue faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, persistent negative net income, high leverage, and negative cash flows. These factors raise concerns about its financial sustainability, requiring improvements in revenue generation and cost management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
JetBlue's income statement shows significant challenges, including declining revenues in recent years and persistent negative net income. The gross profit margin has been volatile, and EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating operational inefficiencies and profitability concerns. Revenue growth was negative in 2024 compared to 2023, which raises further concerns about growth prospects.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a rising debt-to-equity ratio, indicating increased financial risk. Stockholders' equity has been declining, and the company's equity ratio is under pressure. These factors reflect financial instability and potential risk if the company cannot improve operational performance or manage its debt levels.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
JetBlue's cash flow statement highlights substantial liquidity challenges, with negative free cash flow and declining operating cash flow visibility. The free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning, and free cash flow growth has been negative, indicating cash management issues and potential capital expenditure constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.21B9.28B9.62B9.16B6.04B2.96B
Gross Profit1.72B4.64B904.00M1.47B350.00M-1.13B
EBITDA711.00M108.00M497.00M314.00M452.00M-1.19B
Net Income-287.00M-795.00M-310.00M-362.00M-182.00M-1.36B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.0018.53B13.85B13.04B13.64B13.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.003.61B1.57B1.04B2.02B1.92B
Total Debt9.41B9.14B5.38B4.38B4.80B5.73B
Total Liabilities14.66B14.20B10.52B9.48B9.79B9.41B
Stockholders Equity2.44B2.64B3.34B3.56B3.85B3.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.28B-1.35B-806.00M-544.00M647.00M-1.47B
Operating Cash Flow54.00M144.00M400.00M379.00M1.64B-683.00M
Investing Cash Flow-2.32B-3.08B-1.38B-908.00M-704.00M-1.35B
Financing Cash Flow3.41B3.77B1.11B-360.00M-830.00M2.98B

JetBlue Airways Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.56
Price Trends
50DMA
4.67
Negative
100DMA
4.96
Negative
200DMA
5.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Negative
RSI
52.72
Neutral
STOCH
42.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBLU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.35, below the 50-day MA of 4.67, and below the 200-day MA of 5.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JBLU.

JetBlue Airways Risk Analysis

JetBlue Airways disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JetBlue Airways reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JetBlue Airways Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DADAL
80
Outperform
$33.10B8.2430.07%1.18%3.01%-0.90%
UAUAL
78
Outperform
$26.52B7.3133.57%5.31%35.95%
LULUV
66
Neutral
$19.36B40.355.63%2.08%3.26%27.77%
AAAAL
64
Neutral
$7.64B13.25-21.27%1.92%36.07%
64
Neutral
kr59.90B13.371.88%7.71%0.78%-4.41%
53
Neutral
$906.50M13.5612.71%5.99%
47
Neutral
$1.53B-11.30%-3.02%66.90%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBLU
JetBlue Airways
4.56
-1.54
-25.25%
DAL
Delta Air Lines
56.78
13.67
31.71%
LUV
Southwest Airlines
37.35
10.45
38.85%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings
91.67
46.95
104.99%
AAL
American Airlines
12.94
2.26
21.16%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
4.36
0.11
2.59%

JetBlue Airways Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
JetBlue Airways Shareholders Approve Key Proposals
Neutral
May 16, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 14, 2025, JetBlue Airways Corporation’s shareholders voted on three key proposals. All thirteen director nominees were elected to the board, the advisory vote on executive compensation was approved, and Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBLU) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JetBlue Airways stock, see the JBLU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
JetBlue Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results, Net Loss
Negative
Apr 29, 2025

JetBlue Airways reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a net loss of $208 million under GAAP and a decrease in operating revenue and expenses compared to the previous year. Despite the challenging macroeconomic environment, the company demonstrated strong operational performance and customer satisfaction improvements driven by its JetForward strategy. JetBlue is proactively managing capacity and costs to navigate uncertainties, with significant liquidity and unencumbered assets supporting its financial resilience. The airline also introduced new products and enhancements, including a premium co-branded credit card and sustainable aviation fuel supply at JFK Airport, as part of its commitment to long-term growth and profitability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025