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JetBlue Airways (JBLU)
NASDAQ:JBLU
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JetBlue Airways (JBLU) AI Stock Analysis

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JBLU

JetBlue Airways

(NASDAQ:JBLU)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(5.39%Upside)
JetBlue's overall score is primarily impacted by financial challenges, including high leverage and cash flow pressures. Positive strategic initiatives and operational improvements provide some optimism, but valuation remains a concern.
Positive Factors
Customer Loyalty Programs
The collaboration between UAL and JBLU links their loyalty programs, allowing customers to earn and use points across both airlines, enhancing customer benefits and flight access.
Financial Resilience
JetBlue is believed to have ample liquidity to weather potential economic downturns, with significant assets and undrawn credit facilities.
Partnership Benefits
The Blue Sky partnership with United Airlines is expected to add an incremental $50M of EBIT through 2027.
Negative Factors
Cost and Revenue Dynamics
JetBlue’s unit cost growth is expected to exceed unit revenue growth.
Financial Challenges
The new partnership talks with United could offer opportunities, but they are unlikely to meaningfully change JetBlue's weak earnings or highly-leveraged balance sheet.
Revenue Trends
JetBlue's revenue trend is the second worst among U.S. airlines, reflecting a potential loss of demand momentum in coastal markets.

JetBlue Airways (JBLU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JetBlue Airways Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJetBlue Airways Corporation provides air passenger transportation services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated a fleet of 63 Airbus A321 aircraft, 8 Airbus A220 aircraft, 21 Airbus A321neo aircraft, 130 Airbus A320 aircraft, and 60 Embraer E190 aircraft. It also served 107 destinations in the 31 states in the United States, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and 24 countries in the Caribbean and Latin America. JetBlue Airways Corporation has a strategic partnership with American Airlines Group Inc. to create connectivity for travelers in the Northeast. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Long Island City, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyJetBlue Airways generates revenue primarily through passenger ticket sales, which account for the bulk of its income. The company also earns money from ancillary services, such as baggage fees, premium seating options, and in-flight purchases. Additionally, JetBlue has a loyalty program called TrueBlue, which partners with various businesses to offer rewards and can drive further revenue. Partnerships with other airlines through codeshare agreements also contribute to its revenue by expanding its network and customer base. Fuel hedging and cost management strategies are significant factors that influence profitability, allowing the airline to manage expenses effectively.

JetBlue Airways Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.06%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
JetBlue's earnings call highlighted significant progress in its JetForward initiative, operational improvements, and strategic partnerships, particularly with United Airlines. While the company faced macroeconomic challenges and operational disruptions, the positive developments in customer satisfaction, revenue initiatives, and cost management indicate a strong trajectory towards growth and profitability.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
JetForward Progress and EBIT Growth
JetBlue's JetForward initiative resulted in $180 million EBIT achieved to date, with a target of $290 million by year-end. This was supported by improvements in operations, network adjustments, and product enhancements.
Blue Sky Collaboration with United Airlines
JetBlue introduced Blue Sky, a collaboration with United Airlines, expected to contribute an incremental $50 million in EBIT through 2027 and increase JetForward EBIT target to $850 million to $950 million.
Operational Improvements and Customer Satisfaction
JetBlue's on-time performance improved by 3 points year-over-year, and Net Promoter Score increased double digits, contributing $15 million in EBIT.
Recognition by J.D. Power
JetBlue was recognized as the top airline for first and business class customer satisfaction in the 2025 North America Airline Satisfaction Study.
Improved Aircraft on Ground (AOG) Forecast
JetBlue's forecast for aircraft on the ground due to Pratt & Whitney GTF issue improved, allowing for capacity growth starting in 2026.
Negative Updates
Weather and Air Traffic Control Disruptions
Weather and air traffic control-related disruptions impacted JetBlue's operations, particularly in July.
Challenging Macro Environment
JetBlue faced a challenging macro environment, leading to capacity adjustments and cost-saving measures to mitigate financial pressures.
Pressure on CASM ex Fuel
JetBlue's CASM ex fuel increased by 6% year-over-year in the second quarter, with challenges related to crew member wages and maintenance costs.
Company Guidance
During the JetBlue Airways Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, JetBlue provided guidance for the third quarter and full year 2025, setting targets for long-term financial performance and operational improvements. The company aims to achieve an EBIT range of $850 million to $950 million by 2027, driven by initiatives such as the Blue Sky collaboration with United Airlines, expected to contribute $50 million in EBIT by 2027. JetBlue also reported achieving $180 million in EBIT to date, with a target of $290 million by year-end. The company highlighted improvements in customer satisfaction metrics, including a double-digit year-over-year increase in Net Promoter Score, and operational performance, such as a 3-point improvement in on-time performance and a 0.5-point increase in completion factor. Additionally, JetBlue anticipates capacity growth starting in 2026 due to an improved forecast for aircraft on the ground, which will support a more favorable unit cost trajectory. The airline maintained its cost guidance for 2025, expecting CASM ex-fuel to be up 5% to 7% year-over-year, despite capacity reductions.

JetBlue Airways Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JetBlue is facing substantial financial challenges, marked by negative profitability, significant leverage, and volatile revenue, which pose risks to its financial health. The cash reserves provide a buffer, but operational inefficiencies need addressing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
JetBlue's income statement shows a challenging financial environment with negative net income and EBIT for the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating operational difficulties. Gross profit margin stands at 18.64%, reflecting some capacity to cover costs. Revenue has been volatile, with a slight contraction of 0.74% from the previous year. This instability suggests ongoing struggles to maintain growth, particularly in a highly competitive industry.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a strong cash position with $3.5 billion in cash equivalents, yet the debt-to-equity ratio of 3.85 suggests significant leverage, which poses financial stability risks. The equity ratio of 14.30% indicates limited equity financing, while a negative return on equity (ROE) of -11.74% highlights profitability challenges. These factors underscore the need for strategic financial management.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
JetBlue's cash flow statement reveals a negative free cash flow of -$1.276 billion, indicating cash burn pressures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of -0.19 suggests inefficiency in converting income into operational cash. The negative cash flow metrics raise concerns about the company's ability to sustain operations without external funding.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.28B9.62B9.16B6.04B2.96B
Gross Profit4.64B904.00M1.47B350.00M-1.13B
EBITDA108.00M497.00M314.00M452.00M-1.19B
Net Income-795.00M-310.00M-362.00M-182.00M-1.36B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.84B13.85B13.04B13.64B13.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.61B1.57B1.04B2.02B1.92B
Total Debt9.14B5.38B4.38B4.80B5.73B
Total Liabilities14.20B10.52B9.48B9.79B9.41B
Stockholders Equity2.64B3.34B3.56B3.85B3.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.35B-806.00M-544.00M647.00M-1.47B
Operating Cash Flow144.00M400.00M379.00M1.64B-683.00M
Investing Cash Flow-3.08B-1.38B-908.00M-704.00M-1.35B
Financing Cash Flow3.77B1.11B-360.00M-830.00M2.98B

JetBlue Airways Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.27
Price Trends
50DMA
4.58
Negative
100DMA
4.61
Negative
200DMA
5.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
44.49
Neutral
STOCH
18.32
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBLU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.42, below the 50-day MA of 4.58, and below the 200-day MA of 5.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.32 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JBLU.

JetBlue Airways Risk Analysis

JetBlue Airways disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JetBlue Airways reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JetBlue Airways Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$27.38B8.4727.70%4.23%13.13%
76
Outperform
$34.74B7.7230.07%1.25%3.01%-0.90%
66
Neutral
£2.71B11.994.22%3.39%2.19%-20.98%
59
Neutral
$7.58B14.77-21.27%1.50%
51
Neutral
$1.55B-15.12%-1.90%61.06%
51
Neutral
$997.61M14.8112.71%5.99%
49
Neutral
$16.24B46.514.30%2.42%1.64%284.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBLU
JetBlue Airways
4.27
-1.29
-23.20%
DAL
Delta Air Lines
51.15
11.79
29.95%
LUV
Southwest Airlines
29.80
5.32
21.73%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings
84.57
44.38
110.43%
AAL
American Airlines
11.03
1.40
14.54%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
3.97
0.58
17.11%

JetBlue Airways Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
JetBlue Reports Modest Q2 Profit Amid Strategy Success
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, JetBlue Airways reported a modest operating profit for the second quarter of 2025, driven by improved demand and the successful execution of its JetForward strategy. Despite a net loss under GAAP, the company exceeded its revenue and cost guidance, highlighting strong operational performance and customer satisfaction improvements. JetBlue’s collaboration with United, known as Blue Sky, is expected to enhance customer choice and contribute significantly to its financial targets, with a projected EBIT benefit of up to $950 million by 2027. The airline plans to return to growth in 2026, supported by an improved aircraft on the ground outlook, and continues to advance its fleet modernization efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBLU) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JetBlue Airways stock, see the JBLU Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
JetBlue Airways Shareholders Approve Key Proposals
Neutral
May 16, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 14, 2025, JetBlue Airways Corporation’s shareholders voted on three key proposals. All thirteen director nominees were elected to the board, the advisory vote on executive compensation was approved, and Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBLU) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JetBlue Airways stock, see the JBLU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025