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JetBlue Airways (JBLU)
NASDAQ:JBLU

JetBlue Airways (JBLU) AI Stock Analysis

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JBLU

JetBlue Airways

(NASDAQ:JBLU)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(5.71% Upside)
JetBlue's overall stock score is primarily impacted by significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative cash flows. However, positive technical indicators and optimistic earnings call guidance provide some support. The valuation remains unattractive due to ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
Strategic Expansion
Expanding in Fort Lauderdale strengthens JetBlue's market position and enhances its competitive edge, supporting long-term growth.
Operational Improvements
Enhanced operational metrics improve customer satisfaction and efficiency, contributing to sustained profitability and market reputation.
JetForward Plan
The JetForward plan's financial targets and strategic initiatives are pivotal for long-term profitability and competitive differentiation.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage limits financial flexibility, increasing risk and potentially impacting future investment and operational capabilities.
Negative Cash Flows
Persistent negative cash flows hinder JetBlue's ability to invest and grow, posing challenges to long-term financial health.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory scrutiny can lead to fines and operational disruptions, affecting JetBlue's long-term strategic and financial plans.

JetBlue Airways (JBLU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JetBlue Airways Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJetBlue Airways Corporation provides air passenger transportation services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated a fleet of 63 Airbus A321 aircraft, 8 Airbus A220 aircraft, 21 Airbus A321neo aircraft, 130 Airbus A320 aircraft, and 60 Embraer E190 aircraft. It also served 107 destinations in the 31 states in the United States, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and 24 countries in the Caribbean and Latin America. JetBlue Airways Corporation has a strategic partnership with American Airlines Group Inc. to create connectivity for travelers in the Northeast. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Long Island City, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyJetBlue generates revenue primarily through the sale of passenger tickets, which account for the largest portion of its income. In addition to ticket sales, the airline earns money through ancillary services, which include fees for checked baggage, seat selection, and in-flight purchases. JetBlue also benefits from partnerships with other airlines and travel companies, enabling it to offer codeshare flights and vacation packages. Furthermore, the airline's loyalty program, TrueBlue, encourages repeat customers and contributes to revenue through loyalty point redemptions and associated spending. Overall, JetBlue's revenue model is built on a combination of low-cost fares and value-added services that enhance customer experience.

JetBlue Airways Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several positive developments, such as improved operational performance, the Blue Sky collaboration with United, and strong financial management. However, challenges like weather disruptions, a difficult macroeconomic environment, and expected revenue declines balanced the positive achievements.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Operational Performance
JetBlue achieved a completion factor of 99.6% and improved on-time performance by 3 points year-over-year, contributing to increased customer satisfaction and Net Promoter Score.
Blue Sky Collaboration with United Airlines
The collaboration is expected to contribute an incremental $50 million in EBIT through 2027, increasing JetForward EBIT target to $850 million to $950 million through 2027.
Strong Financial Management
JetBlue maintained liquidity at $3.4 billion and achieved a modest operating profit in the second quarter, with a revised fleet plan enabling sustainable and capital-efficient growth.
Recognition for Customer Satisfaction
JetBlue was recognized by J.D. Power as the top airline for first and business class customer satisfaction in The 2025 North America Airline Satisfaction Study.
Strong Demand and Revenue Management
Close-in bookings increased 7% year-over-year, and premium cabin and loyalty revenues showed resilience, with premium unit revenues up mid-single digits and loyalty remunerations up 9%.
Negative Updates
Weather and Air Traffic Control Challenges
Weather and air traffic control-related disruptions in July impacted operations and pressured the completion factor in the third quarter.
Challenging Macro Environment
Despite achieving some financial targets, the overall macroeconomic environment remained challenging, impacting demand and creating uncertainty in revenue forecasting.
Capacity and Revenue Challenges
Third quarter unit revenue is expected to be down between 6% and 2%, with capacity ranging from down 1% to up 2%, reflecting ongoing demand and revenue challenges.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, JetBlue Airways exceeded guidance across key metrics, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, achieving a modest operating profit. The airline's Net Promoter Score (NPS) rose by double digits year-over-year, reflecting significant improvements in customer satisfaction. JetBlue's collaboration with United Airlines, dubbed Blue Sky, is projected to contribute an incremental $50 million in EBIT by 2027, enhancing the airline's JetForward EBIT target to a range of $850 million to $950 million. Operational enhancements led to a 3-point improvement in on-time performance and a 0.5-point increase in completion factor, delivering approximately $15 million in incremental EBIT in the first half of 2025. Additionally, network optimization yielded $15 million in incremental EBIT, while product and perk enhancements generated $35 million. Cost transformation initiatives produced $25 million in EBIT, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of cost outperformance. Overall, JetBlue realized $180 million in JetForward EBIT by mid-2025, with expectations to reach $290 million by year-end.

JetBlue Airways Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JetBlue is facing significant financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement shows declining revenues and persistent losses, while the balance sheet indicates high leverage and financial risk. Cash flow issues are evident, with negative cash flows and limited operational cash generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
JetBlue's income statement reflects significant challenges, with a declining revenue trend and negative profit margins. The TTM data shows a sharp revenue decline of 47.1%, and the net profit margin is negative at -5.16%. Despite a slight improvement in gross profit margin to 29.13% in TTM, the overall profitability remains weak, with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.15 in TTM, indicating significant financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. Although the equity ratio is not calculated, the high debt levels suggest limited financial flexibility and potential solvency concerns.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
JetBlue's cash flow statement highlights substantial challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 6.12, indicating cash flow issues despite accounting losses. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, further emphasizing cash generation difficulties.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.10B9.28B9.62B9.16B6.04B2.96B
Gross Profit2.65B2.29B2.32B1.97B890.00M-590.00M
EBITDA429.00M490.00M526.00M349.00M-418.00M-1.51B
Net Income-469.00M-795.00M-310.00M-362.00M-182.00M-1.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.60B16.84B15.33B14.45B14.85B13.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.62B3.61B1.57B1.39B2.84B3.05B
Total Debt9.42B9.14B5.38B4.38B4.80B5.73B
Total Liabilities14.33B14.20B11.99B10.88B11.00B9.46B
Stockholders Equity2.27B2.64B3.34B3.56B3.85B3.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.15B-1.35B-806.00M-544.00M647.00M-1.47B
Operating Cash Flow-160.00M144.00M400.00M379.00M1.64B-683.00M
Investing Cash Flow46.00M-3.08B-1.38B-908.00M-704.00M-1.35B
Financing Cash Flow-38.00M3.77B1.11B-360.00M-830.00M2.98B

JetBlue Airways Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.73
Price Trends
50DMA
4.53
Positive
100DMA
4.74
Negative
200DMA
4.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
51.25
Neutral
STOCH
34.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBLU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.76, above the 50-day MA of 4.53, and above the 200-day MA of 4.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JBLU.

JetBlue Airways Risk Analysis

JetBlue Airways disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JetBlue Airways reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JetBlue Airways Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$763.84M13.809.99%4.27%28.47%
66
Neutral
$21.49B63.334.22%1.73%0.65%
64
Neutral
$10.30B18.751.27%118.64%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$5.94B41.073.53%31.50%-49.15%
51
Neutral
$1.72B-3.61-19.09%-2.49%47.88%
50
Neutral
$1.11B-8.05-27.87%1.77%-1964.48%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBLU
JetBlue Airways
4.73
-3.09
-39.51%
ALK
Alaska Air
51.18
-15.84
-23.63%
LUV
Southwest Airlines
41.56
7.96
23.69%
AAL
American Airlines
15.60
-1.75
-10.09%
SNCY
Sun Country Airlines Holdings
14.49
-0.66
-4.36%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
4.84
-2.45
-33.61%

JetBlue Airways Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
JetBlue Airways Updates Bylaws with New Amendments
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 9, 2025, JetBlue Airways Corporation’s Board of Directors approved amendments to the company’s bylaws, which became effective immediately. These amendments clarify procedural requirements for stockholder nominations, update proxy access provisions in line with Delaware law, and revise the process for director elections and indemnification terms. The changes also designate exclusive legal forums for certain actions and claims, while removing obsolete provisions and incorporating technical updates.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
JetBlue Airways Updates on Q4 2025 Operations
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

JetBlue Airways announced an operational and financial update for its expected fourth quarter 2025 results, highlighting that demand remained healthy despite disruptions. The company’s operations were impacted by Hurricane Melissa in Jamaica and FAA-related cancellations in November, leading to a reduction in available seat mile growth and increased non-fuel unit costs. JetBlue completed necessary software updates on its A320 and A321 fleet following an FAA directive, resuming normal operations and continuing to assess potential financial impacts.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
JetBlue Airways Reports Strong Q3 Performance
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, JetBlue Airways announced its third-quarter results, highlighting better-than-expected performance due to increased demand and effective cost management. The company is advancing its JetForward strategy, aiming for $290 million in incremental EBIT by the end of the year. JetBlue is expanding its presence in Fort Lauderdale with new routes and increased frequencies, reinforcing its position as the largest airline in the region. The airline is also enhancing its loyalty program and premium offerings, including a partnership with United Airlines and plans for domestic first-class services. Despite a slight decrease in operating revenue, JetBlue maintained strong operational metrics and improved customer satisfaction scores, setting a solid foundation for 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025