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Wheels Up Experience Inc (UP)
:UP
US Market

Wheels Up Experience (UP) AI Stock Analysis

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UP

Wheels Up Experience

(NYSE:UP)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-28.57%Downside)
Wheels Up Experience's overall stock score is negatively impacted by severe financial distress, with significant operational inefficiencies and liquidity issues. While technical analysis and corporate events provide some positive aspects, they are not sufficient to outweigh the financial challenges. The stock's valuation is also unattractive due to ongoing losses.

Wheels Up Experience (UP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wheels Up Experience Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWheels Up Experience Inc. (UP) is a leading provider in the private aviation industry, offering membership-based access to a fleet of owned, managed, and partner aircraft. The company operates in the aviation sector, focusing on providing premium, flexible flying solutions to individuals and businesses. Its core services include private jet charter, aircraft management, and flight support services, designed to offer convenience and luxury to its clientele.
How the Company Makes MoneyWheels Up Experience generates revenue primarily through its membership programs, which offer varying levels of access to its fleet of aircraft. These programs range from pay-as-you-fly options to more comprehensive subscriptions that include a set number of flight hours per year. Additionally, the company earns from direct charter services, where clients can book flights without a membership. Another significant revenue stream comes from aircraft management services, where Wheels Up manages planes on behalf of owners, taking care of operations, maintenance, and regulatory compliance in exchange for management fees. Strategic partnerships with other aviation service providers and potential collaborations for expanding service offerings also contribute to its earnings.

Wheels Up Experience Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 21.74%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with stabilized revenue and significant operational improvements, including a successful fleet modernization strategy. While there are challenges such as a decline in membership revenue and on-time performance issues, the company has made significant strides in reducing losses and improving customer satisfaction.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Revenue and Operational Improvements
Revenue was $194 million in Q3, roughly flat sequentially, highlighting stability. Adjusted contribution margin was 14.8%, nearly double the second quarter, the highest since going public in 2021.
Significant Reduction in Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA loss reduced by nearly 50% sequentially to $20 million, showing meaningful progress towards achieving positive adjusted EBITDA in 2025.
Strong Growth in Block Sales
Block sales were up over 85% year-over-year to $147 million, with joint Delta accounts representing the highest mix of overall block sales in September.
Fleet Modernization Strategy
Announced a fleet modernization strategy including acquisition of Embraer Phenom 300 and Bombardier Challenger 300 series aircraft, expected to complete in approximately 3 years.
Improved Customer Satisfaction
Nearly 50% increase in customer satisfaction, with almost 3/4 rating their experience as excellent or very good.
New Financing Commitment
Entered a commitment letter with Bank of America for up to $332 million revolving credit facility, supported by Delta Airlines.
Negative Updates
Decline in Membership Revenue and Members
Decline in membership revenue and members due to streamlined product portfolio and exit of certain business segments.
On-Time Performance Below Target
On-time performance was 82%, below target due to weather, air traffic control delays, and certificate conformity activity.
Private Jet Gross Bookings Decline
Private jet gross bookings down 20% year-over-year, although only 6% sequentially.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter earnings call for Wheels Up, CEO George Mattson highlighted several key metrics indicating the company's financial and operational progress. The adjusted contribution margin reached nearly 15%, almost doubling from the previous quarter and marking the highest since going public, reflecting improved operational performance and higher fleet utilization. The adjusted EBITDA loss was reduced by nearly 50% sequentially to $20 million, advancing towards the goal of achieving positive adjusted EBITDA in 2025. Block sales saw a significant increase, up 85% year-over-year to $147 million, driven by strong traction in corporate sales, particularly joint Delta accounts. Moreover, the company's fleet modernization strategy, including the acquisition of Embraer's Phenom 300 and 300E aircraft, is expected to enhance operational efficiency and profitability. With the support of a new $332 million credit facility from Bank of America, Wheels Up anticipates improvements in cash flow and liquidity, positioning the company for resumed growth in 2025.

Wheels Up Experience Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wheels Up Experience is facing significant financial challenges. The income statement shows declining revenue and worsening profitability with deeply negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet reveals high financial risk with a very high debt-to-equity ratio and negative return on equity. Cash flow issues are evident with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, indicating severe liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The company's income statement shows declining revenue and worsening profitability. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 7.03% and a net profit margin of -44.22%, highlighting significant financial distress. The revenue growth rate is negative, with a -2.47% decline from the previous annual period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are deeply negative, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high financial risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is extremely high due to low equity, reflecting potential solvency issues. The equity ratio is a mere 0.75%, showing that assets are predominantly financed by liabilities. The return on equity is negative, highlighting poor shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative free cash flow, with a substantial deterioration compared to the previous year. Operating cash flow is negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income and operating cash flow to net income ratios are also negative, pointing to liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue772.53M792.10M1.25B1.58B1.19B694.98M
Gross Profit54.33M59.03M-37.72M39.44M76.63M60.21M
EBITDA-248.01M-216.51M-386.22M-481.93M-133.46M-3.89M
Net Income-341.56M-339.63M-487.39M-507.55M-197.23M-101.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.09B1.16B1.32B1.97B1.98B1.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments171.84M216.43M263.91M585.88M784.57M312.80M
Total Debt84.73M472.82M336.90M365.94M115.08M283.31M
Total Liabilities1.37B1.35B1.22B1.67B1.24B1.07B
Stockholders Equity8.22M-196.23M97.40M299.92M730.15M267.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-196.53M-218.13M-701.95M-382.05M66.41M194.12M
Operating Cash Flow-51.55M-77.89M-665.28M-230.69M126.49M209.64M
Investing Cash Flow-50.28M-46.68M40.87M-175.24M-38.67M81.58M
Financing Cash Flow94.48M78.66M300.95M244.79M374.03M-62.79M

Wheels Up Experience Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.40
Price Trends
50DMA
1.31
Negative
100DMA
1.23
Negative
200DMA
1.63
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
42.75
Neutral
STOCH
21.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.40, above the 50-day MA of 1.31, and below the 200-day MA of 1.63, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UP.

Wheels Up Experience Risk Analysis

Wheels Up Experience disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wheels Up Experience reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wheels Up Experience Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
£2.96B10.478.40%3.16%2.88%-10.00%
65
Neutral
$543.87M12.8014.19%-7.43%-62.49%
58
Neutral
$334.60M-11.64%8.67%49.62%
56
Neutral
$63.06M138.02%31.17%83.01%
UPUP
47
Neutral
$859.62M-2416.94%-29.68%95.14%
47
Neutral
$221.96M28.8626.01%
38
Underperform
$2.68M-398.23%-4.90%81.88%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UP
Wheels Up Experience
1.23
-0.99
-44.59%
VLRS
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV
4.67
-1.55
-24.92%
BLDE
Blade Air Mobility
4.13
0.80
24.02%
FLYX
flyExclusive
2.20
-2.22
-50.23%
SOAR
Volato Group
1.29
-13.07
-91.02%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
3.27
0.49
17.63%

Wheels Up Experience Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wheels Up Experience Announces Key Leadership Changes
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Wheels Up Experience Inc. announced key executive leadership changes to align its go-to-market strategy with customer needs. Mark Briffa was promoted to Chief Sales Officer, Meaghan Wells to Chief Growth Officer, and Kristen Lauria’s role as Chief Marketing Officer was expanded to include customer experience. David Harvey will transition to a senior advisor role through August 2025. These changes are part of Wheels Up’s transformation journey to enhance its customer-centric strategy and drive long-term growth.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wheels Up Experience Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Wheels Up Experience Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key proposals were voted on, including an amendment to the 2021 Long-Term Incentive Plan (LTIP) to increase the number of shares available for awards and extend the plan’s termination date to 2035. The stockholders also voted on the reelection of directors, executive compensation, and performance plans for the CCO and CFO, among other proposals. The approval of these measures, particularly the LTIP amendment, is expected to impact the company’s strategic direction by enhancing its incentive structures and potentially influencing its stock market performance.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Wheels Up Regains NYSE Compliance with Share Price
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Wheels Up Experience Inc. announced that it has regained compliance with the New York Stock Exchange’s continued listing standard for minimum share price. This achievement, realized through market-driven stock appreciation, reflects growing investor confidence in the company’s business transformation and long-term strategy. With a market capitalization of approximately $1 billion, Wheels Up continues to focus on sustainable profitability and delivering high-quality experiences for its customers.

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock SplitRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Wheels Up Faces NYSE Non-Compliance Notice
Negative
Apr 25, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Wheels Up Experience Inc. received a notice from the NYSE indicating non-compliance with the requirement to maintain an average closing price per share of at least $1.00 over a 30-day period. The company has six months to regain compliance and plans to address this by potentially executing a reverse stock split, pending stockholder approval. Despite this notice, Wheels Up’s stock remains listed on the NYSE, and the company continues to focus on strategic initiatives to improve profitability and expand margins.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025