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SkyWest Inc (SKYW)
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SkyWest (SKYW) AI Stock Analysis

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SKYW

SkyWest

(NASDAQ:SKYW)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$134.00
▲(22.70% Upside)
SkyWest shows robust financial performance and strong technical momentum, supported by strategic growth plans and shareholder-friendly initiatives. While valuation is solid, high capital expenditures could impact future cash flows. The company's proactive measures in fleet expansion and share repurchase enhance its growth outlook and shareholder value.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
SkyWest reported its 9th EPS beat in a row with adjusted EPS of $2.18, indicating strong financial performance.
Revenue and Demand
Revenue momentum and demand remains strong across contract and prorate while margins continue to benefit from the operating leverage embedded in the business.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Environment
Demand for its capacity remains strong despite the macro softening that mainline carriers are facing.

SkyWest (SKYW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SkyWest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) is a leading regional airline company based in the United States. The company operates through its subsidiaries, SkyWest Airlines and SkyWest Leasing, providing scheduled passenger and airfreight services across North America. SkyWest partners with major airlines such as Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, American Airlines, and Alaska Airlines, operating flights under these carriers' respective brands through capacity purchase agreements (CPAs). SkyWest's primary focus is on providing regional air transportation to connect smaller communities with larger airport hubs, enhancing the reach and efficiency of its partner airlines.
How the Company Makes MoneySkyWest makes money primarily through capacity purchase agreements (CPAs) with major airlines, including Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, American Airlines, and Alaska Airlines. Under these agreements, SkyWest operates flights on behalf of these partner airlines, who pay SkyWest a fixed fee for operating the flights, covering both fixed and variable costs. This model allows SkyWest to earn revenue without being directly exposed to fluctuations in passenger revenues or fuel prices. Additionally, SkyWest generates income through its leasing segment, which involves leasing aircraft to its operating partners. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by the efficiency of its operations, fleet management, and the strength of its partnerships with major airlines.

SkyWest Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Aircraft in Service or Under Contract
Total Aircraft in Service or Under Contract
Indicates fleet size and capacity, reflecting the company's operational scale and ability to meet demand.
Chart InsightsSkyWest's aircraft count has stabilized after a peak in 2022, reflecting strategic fleet adjustments amid operational challenges. Recent earnings highlight strong financial performance and expansion plans, including new fleet agreements and a projected 12-13% increase in block hour production for 2025. However, delivery delays and macroeconomic uncertainties pose risks. Despite these, SkyWest's strategic partnerships and cash flow management position it well for future growth, with plans to acquire new aircraft and expand services, potentially unlocking new revenue streams.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

SkyWest Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.76%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
SkyWest demonstrated strong financial performance and growth potential with increased net income, revenue, and strategic fleet expansions. Despite facing challenges related to tariffs and supply chain issues, the company is well-positioned with strong demand and flexibility in managing fleet and capital allocation.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
SkyWest reported net income of $120 million for Q2 2025, an increase from previous periods, with earnings per share of $2.91. Total Q2 revenue was $1 billion, up 19% from Q2 2024, and contract revenue increased to $842 million.
Fleet Expansion and Flexibility
SkyWest announced an agreement to purchase 16 new E175s under a multiyear contract with Delta, and secured delivery positions for 44 more E175s from 2028 to 2032. The company also has flexibility to defer or cancel these aircraft.
Recognition and Workplace Achievement
SkyWest was named one of America's greatest workplaces by Newsweek for the second consecutive year, highlighting their commitment to a rewarding career environment.
Strong Demand and Growth Opportunities
Continued strong demand in small and midsized communities, with block hours expected to increase by approximately 14% in 2025 compared to 2024. SkyWest is well-positioned to meet market demand with fleet flexibility.
Negative Updates
Tariff Uncertainty Impacting Fleet Deliveries
Potential 50% tariffs on aircraft from Brazil could delay delivery of new aircraft. SkyWest is currently working with partners to manage delivery schedules and mitigate the impact of tariffs.
Supply Chain and MRO Challenges
SkyWest is facing continued challenges in the third-party MRO network, including labor and parts shortages, impacting maintenance schedules.
Cash Position Decline
SkyWest's cash position decreased to $727 million in Q2 2025, down from $834 million in Q2 2024, due to debt repayment, share repurchases, and capital expenditures.
Company Guidance
During the SkyWest, Inc. Second Quarter 2025 Results Call, the company provided comprehensive guidance on its financial and operational performance. SkyWest reported a net income of $120 million, or $2.91 per diluted share, driven by a 19% increase in total revenue compared to Q2 2024, reaching $1 billion. The call highlighted a 14% anticipated increase in 2025 block hours over 2024, contributing to an estimated GAAP EPS of around $10 per share for the year. The company also shared plans for fleet expansion, including agreements to purchase 16 new E175 aircraft for Delta by 2027 and securing delivery slots for 44 more E175s from 2028 to 2032. Despite potential tariffs on Brazilian aircraft, SkyWest remains confident in its fleet flexibility, supported by a robust balance sheet and strong demand. The company ended Q2 with $727 million in cash, having repaid $111 million in debt and executed share repurchases totaling $17.3 million. Capital expenditures for 2025 are projected to be between $575 million and $625 million, with ongoing investments in new aircraft and fleet maintenance. SkyWest's strategic focus includes restoring service to underserved communities and enhancing fleet utilization, positioning the company for continued growth despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

SkyWest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SkyWest shows solid financial health with strong revenue growth, efficient operations, and a stable capital structure. Low leverage enhances balance sheet stability, while robust cash flow management supports operations despite significant capital expenditures.
Income Statement
80
Positive
SkyWest has demonstrated strong revenue growth, evident in the TTM total revenue of $3.67 billion, a significant increase from previous years. The gross profit margin is robust at 35.10%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 9.89%, reflecting efficient operations. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, indicating good operational management. However, fluctuating net income in previous years suggests some historical volatility.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 in TTM shows low leverage, indicating conservative financial management. Return on equity is respectable at 14.68%, showcasing effective use of equity. The equity ratio stands at 34.77%, suggesting a stable capital structure. Nevertheless, past high debt levels highlight potential financial risk if not carefully managed.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
SkyWest's free cash flow is strong, with a TTM figure of $410 million. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.13 suggests good cash generation relative to earnings. Operating cash flow is consistently positive, indicating strong cash management. However, capital expenditures remain significant, which could affect future cash dynamics.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.53B2.94B3.00B2.71B2.13B
Gross Profit788.96M372.19M499.31M193.72M-13.89M
EBITDA930.36M554.35M627.10M377.99M238.27M
Net Income322.96M34.34M72.95M111.91M-8.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.14B7.03B7.41B7.13B6.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments801.63M835.22M1.05B860.41M825.91M
Total Debt2.76B3.09B3.54B3.35B3.49B
Total Liabilities4.73B4.91B5.07B4.86B4.75B
Stockholders Equity2.41B2.11B2.35B2.27B2.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow364.18M420.01M-202.22M150.42M185.64M
Operating Cash Flow692.46M736.33M480.38M831.82M633.56M
Investing Cash Flow-228.63M-23.23M-904.89M-698.52M-683.47M
Financing Cash Flow-384.75M-667.81M269.08M-90.60M178.43M

SkyWest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price109.21
Price Trends
50DMA
105.83
Positive
100DMA
98.45
Positive
200DMA
101.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.80
Positive
RSI
47.90
Neutral
STOCH
12.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKYW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 109.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.58, above the 50-day MA of 105.83, and above the 200-day MA of 101.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SKYW.

SkyWest Risk Analysis

SkyWest disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SkyWest reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SkyWest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$0.0011.1216.95%20.45%131.25%
69
Neutral
$1.48B55.881.92%-5.25%-49.90%
67
Neutral
$6.13B21.647.66%27.81%43.03%
64
Neutral
$10.63B16.015.50%2.12%2.74%-23.44%
56
Neutral
$892.11M-24.02%1.25%1.54%-466.46%
51
Neutral
$1.59B-15.12%-1.90%61.06%
51
Neutral
$784.65M13.43-6.63%5.99%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKYW
SkyWest
109.21
38.76
55.02%
ATSG
Air Transport Services
22.48
9.25
69.92%
ALK
Alaska Air
53.18
19.68
58.75%
ALGT
Allegiant Travel Company
48.87
9.74
24.89%
JBLU
JetBlue Airways
4.36
-1.51
-25.72%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
3.44
0.35
11.33%

SkyWest Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SkyWest Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting, Key Decisions Made
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 6, 2025, SkyWest, Inc. held its annual meeting of shareholders where several key decisions were made. The shareholders elected directors to serve until the next annual meeting, approved the compensation of the company’s executive officers, and ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. However, a shareholder proposal was not approved during the meeting.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
SkyWest Expands Share Repurchase Plan by $250 Million
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 6, 2025, SkyWest, Inc.’s Board of Directors approved a $250 million increase to its existing share repurchase plan, allowing the company to buy back shares of common stock at prevailing market prices. This decision supplements a previous plan from May 2023, which had authorized up to $250 million in repurchases, with $22 million remaining after $12 million was repurchased in April 2025. The new authorization brings the total potential repurchase amount to approximately $272 million. The move reflects SkyWest’s strategic financial management and could impact its stock value and shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025