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SkyWest (SKYW)
NASDAQ:SKYW
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SkyWest (SKYW) AI Stock Analysis

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SKYW

SkyWest

(NASDAQ:SKYW)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$106.00
▲(6.70% Upside)
SkyWest's strong earnings performance and undervaluation are major positives, but technical indicators suggest caution due to bearish momentum. Cash flow challenges and external risks like government shutdowns also weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
SkyWest's consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand and effective market positioning, enhancing its long-term financial stability.
Debt Reduction
Effective debt reduction strengthens SkyWest's balance sheet, improving financial flexibility and reducing interest burden over the long term.
Fleet Expansion
Expanding the fleet with new aircraft under major contracts enhances SkyWest's operational capacity and competitive edge in regional markets.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining free cash flow growth may limit SkyWest's ability to invest in future opportunities and maintain liquidity, impacting long-term growth.
Government Shutdown Concerns
The government shutdown could disrupt essential services funding, affecting SkyWest's operations in underserved areas and potentially impacting revenue.
E175 Delivery Delays
Delays in aircraft deliveries can hinder fleet expansion plans, affecting SkyWest's ability to meet demand and optimize operational efficiency.

SkyWest (SKYW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SkyWest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSkyWest, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a regional airline in the United States. The company operates through two segment, SkyWest Airlines and SkyWest Leasing. It also leases regional jet aircraft and spare engines to third parties. As of December 31, 2021, the company's fleet consisted of 629 aircraft; and provided scheduled passenger and air freight services with approximately 2,080 total daily departures to various destinations in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and the Caribbean. In addition, it offers airport customer and ground handling services for other airlines. SkyWest, Inc. was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in St. George, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneySkyWest generates revenue primarily through its capacity purchase agreements with major airlines, where it operates regional flights on behalf of these partners. Under these agreements, SkyWest is reimbursed for operating expenses and receives a fee per flight, which provides a stable and predictable revenue stream. Additionally, the company earns revenue from ticket sales for flights operated under its own brand, as well as ancillary services such as baggage fees and in-flight sales. The company benefits from its strategic partnerships with major airlines, which enhance its market reach and allow it to leverage the existing networks of these airlines to fill seats, thus driving profitability.

SkyWest Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Aircraft in Service or Under Contract
Total Aircraft in Service or Under Contract
Indicates fleet size and capacity, reflecting the company's operational scale and ability to meet demand.
Chart InsightsSkyWest's aircraft fleet experienced a decline from late 2022 through 2024, reflecting operational adjustments or market challenges. However, a recovery trend is evident in 2025, with a notable increase in aircraft numbers, suggesting strategic fleet expansion or improved market conditions. This rebound could indicate renewed growth opportunities and operational scaling, potentially enhancing SkyWest's competitive positioning in the regional airline market.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

SkyWest Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
SkyWest reported a strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with significant revenue growth, effective debt reduction, and strategic fleet expansion plans. However, challenges such as the federal government shutdown, delivery delays, and cash balance decrease present notable concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Third Quarter Financial Performance
SkyWest reported a net income of $116 million or $2.81 per diluted share for Q3 2025, benefiting from strong demand and a seasonally strong third quarter.
Revenue Growth
Total Q3 revenue reached $1.1 billion, up from $1 billion in Q2 2025 and up 15% from $913 million in Q3 2024.
Fleet Expansion and Flexibility
SkyWest announced an agreement to purchase and operate 16 new E175s under a multiyear contract with Delta and secured delivery positions for 44 more E175s from 2028 to 2032.
Debt Reduction
The company ended Q3 with $2.4 billion in debt, down from $2.7 billion as of December 31, 2024, and generated nearly $400 million in free cash flow in the first three quarters of 2025.
CRJ200 Fleet Extension
SkyWest extended up to 40 CRJ200s with United into the 2030s, indicating strong demand and partnership confidence.
Negative Updates
Government Shutdown Concerns
The ongoing federal government shutdown poses challenges, particularly in regard to the Essential Air Service (EAS) funding, which is expected to last only until November 18.
E175 Delivery Delays
SkyWest is experiencing delivery delays with Embraer for E175 aircraft, with some planned deliveries being pushed into 2026.
Cash Balance Decrease
Ending cash balance for Q3 was $753 million, down from $836 million in Q3 2024, impacted by debt repayment, share buybacks, and capital expenditures.
Challenges with Brazilian Tariff
SkyWest is dealing with a 10% tariff on Brazilian imports, affecting strategic planning and deployment of capital.
Company Guidance
In the SkyWest, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Results Call, the company reported a net income of $116 million, translating to $2.81 per diluted share, reflecting a strong seasonal performance and robust demand for their services. SkyWest achieved a 15% increase in total revenue compared to the same quarter in 2024, reaching $1.1 billion, with contract revenue at $844 million and prorate and charter revenue at $167 million. The company ended the quarter with $753 million in cash, after repaying $112 million in debt and repurchasing shares worth $27 million. SkyWest projected a 15% increase in block hours for 2025, with an anticipated GAAP EPS in the mid-$10 range. Looking ahead to 2026, they expect low-single-digit growth in block hours and mid-to-high single-digit EPS growth, driven by service expansion to underserved communities and the introduction of new E175s under agreements with major partners. SkyWest also highlighted a strong balance sheet, with total debt reduced by $1 billion since the end of 2022, and expected capital expenditures of $550 million for 2025. The company plans to continue investing in fleet enhancements and community service commitments amid challenges like the federal government shutdown.

SkyWest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SkyWest shows a strong recovery with improved revenue and profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects prudent leverage management, but cash flow challenges highlight the need for careful cash management.
Income Statement
78
Positive
SkyWest's income statement shows a strong recovery with a TTM revenue growth rate of 4.58% and improving profitability. The gross profit margin increased to 26.23% and the net profit margin to 10.62%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the EBITDA margin has slightly decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.998, showing improved leverage management. Return on equity has increased to 16.69%, indicating better profitability for shareholders. However, the equity ratio remains moderate, suggesting a balanced but cautious approach to asset financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 23.65%, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.55, indicating a solid conversion of earnings to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, reflecting challenges in maintaining cash reserves.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.98B3.53B2.94B3.00B2.71B2.13B
Gross Profit952.28M788.96M372.19M499.31M193.72M-13.89M
EBITDA994.01M930.36M554.35M614.22M713.93M590.80M
Net Income434.56M322.96M34.34M72.95M111.91M-8.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.21B7.14B7.03B7.86B7.13B7.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments753.36M801.63M835.22M1.05B860.41M825.91M
Total Debt2.47B2.76B3.09B3.54B3.35B3.49B
Total Liabilities4.54B4.73B4.91B5.51B4.86B5.07B
Stockholders Equity2.68B2.41B2.11B2.35B2.27B2.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow166.37M364.18M420.01M-202.22M150.42M185.64M
Operating Cash Flow613.98M692.46M736.33M480.38M831.82M633.56M
Investing Cash Flow-482.28M-228.63M-23.23M-904.89M-698.52M-683.47M
Financing Cash Flow-260.98M-384.75M-667.81M269.08M-90.60M178.43M

SkyWest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price99.34
Price Trends
50DMA
99.39
Negative
100DMA
106.70
Negative
200DMA
101.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.65
Positive
RSI
47.05
Neutral
STOCH
29.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKYW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 99.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 96.82, below the 50-day MA of 99.39, and below the 200-day MA of 101.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SKYW.

SkyWest Risk Analysis

SkyWest disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SkyWest reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SkyWest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$3.86B9.1917.42%19.27%78.26%
68
Neutral
$667.89M12.079.99%4.27%28.47%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$4.67B32.313.53%31.50%-49.15%
55
Neutral
$1.25B-25.37%3.29%-983.31%
45
Neutral
$1.59B-19.09%-2.49%47.88%
44
Neutral
$886.04M-27.87%1.77%-1964.48%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKYW
SkyWest
99.34
-14.62
-12.83%
ALK
Alaska Air
41.26
-11.42
-21.68%
ALGT
Allegiant Travel Company
72.51
-8.51
-10.50%
JBLU
JetBlue Airways
4.37
-1.59
-26.68%
SNCY
Sun Country Airlines Holdings
13.21
-1.21
-8.39%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
4.18
-1.51
-26.54%

SkyWest Corporate Events

SkyWest Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Oct 31, 2025

SkyWest, Inc. is a holding company for SkyWest Airlines, SkyWest Charter, and SkyWest Leasing, operating in the regional airline industry with partnerships with major airlines like United, Delta, American, and Alaska Airlines, connecting passengers to over 240 destinations across North America.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025