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First Horizon National (FHN)
:FHN

First Horizon (FHN) AI Stock Analysis

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First Horizon

(NYSE:FHN)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$22.50
â–²(3.40%Upside)
First Horizon's strong financial management and operational efficiency are the most significant strengths. Technical analysis supports a stable trend, while recent corporate performance highlights effective strategic execution. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and revenue growth concerns slightly temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Higher net interest margin and lower expense outlook push earnings per share estimates higher.
Stock Valuation
Improving visibility on medium-term return on tangible common equity target should drive a re-rating in the stock.
Negative Factors
Earnings Outlook
First Horizon-FHN shares ended the day largely unchanged after reporting a fourth quarter earnings per share beat and leaving fiscal year 2025 outlook unchanged.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Credit trends remained solid, but reserves were increased due to broader macro uncertainty.

First Horizon (FHN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Horizon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Horizon Corporation operates as the bank holding company for First Horizon Bank that provides various financial services. The company operates through three segments: Regional Banking, Specialty Banking, and Corporate. It offers general banking services for consumers, businesses, financial institutions, and governments. The company also underwrites bank-eligible securities and other fixed-income securities eligible for underwriting by financial subsidiaries; sells loans and derivatives; and offers advisory services. In addition, it offers various services, such as mortgage banking; title insurance and loan-closing; brokerage; correspondent banking; nationwide check clearing and remittance processing; trust, fiduciary, and agency; equipment finance; and investment and financial advisory services. Further, the company sells mutual fund and retail insurance products; and credit cards. It operates approximately 500 banking offices in 22 states under the First Horizon Bank brand; and 400 banking centers in 12 states under the FHN Financial brand in the United States. The company was formerly known as First Horizon National Corporation and changed its name to First Horizon Corporation in November 2020. First Horizon Corporation was founded in 1864 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Horizon makes money through a variety of revenue streams primarily centered around traditional banking services. It earns interest income from loans provided to individuals and businesses, such as mortgages, personal loans, and commercial loans. The company also generates non-interest income through fees for services such as asset management, investment banking, and transaction processing. Additionally, First Horizon benefits from interchange fees and other charges associated with its credit and debit card offerings. Key partnerships with financial technology firms and collaborations with regional businesses further enhance its revenue-generating capabilities. Overall, the company's earnings are influenced by interest rate environments, economic conditions, and regulatory factors that impact the banking industry.

First Horizon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 16, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 24.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
First Horizon demonstrated strong operational and financial management with improvements in net interest margin and effective capital deployment. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and increased provisions posed challenges, resulting in a balanced sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Interest Margin Expansion
First Horizon achieved a 9 basis point increase in net interest margin, reaching 3.42%, driven by a 27 basis point decline in average total deposit costs.
Strong Capital Management
The company repurchased $360 million of stock in the first quarter, reflecting a strategic deployment of excess capital, and maintained a CET1 ratio of 10.9%.
Robust Credit Performance
Credit performance remained strong with a charge-off ratio of 19 basis points, consistent with prior performance, and an ACL to loans ratio increased to 1.45%.
Expense Reduction
First Horizon managed to reduce expenses by $20 million, excluding deferred compensation, evidencing efficient expense management.
Countercyclical Business Strength
The countercyclical businesses provided a natural revenue hedge, supporting earnings stability amidst economic fluctuations.
Negative Updates
Earnings Per Share Decline
Adjusted EPS decreased by $0.01 from the prior quarter, indicating slight pressure on earnings performance.
Provision Expense Increase
Provision expense increased by $30 million due to heightened macroeconomic uncertainty, leading to a 2 basis point increase in the ACL to loans ratio.
Fee Income Decline
Fee income, excluding deferred compensation, declined by $5 million, impacted by lower brokerage, Wealth and Trust income, and market volatility.
Loan Portfolio Contraction
Period-end loans were down 1% from the prior quarter, influenced by continued paydowns in commercial real estate.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
The ongoing uncertainty due to tariffs and trade policies contributed to a cautious market outlook, affecting borrower sentiment and investment decisions.
Company Guidance
During the First Horizon First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance and detailed several key financial metrics. They reported an adjusted EPS of $0.42 per share, a slight decrease from the previous quarter. The pre-provision net revenue grew by $16 million, and there was a 9 basis point expansion in net interest margin to 3.42%, primarily driven by a reduction in deposit rates. Expenses were reduced by $20 million, excluding deferred compensation. The company repurchased $360 million in stock, impacting the CET1 ratio, which ended the quarter at 10.9%. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, including potential impacts from tariffs, First Horizon maintained a strong risk-adjusted credit performance with a charge-off ratio of 19 basis points. They also increased their coverage ratio to account for potential future losses. Looking ahead, First Horizon reiterated its 2025 guidance, emphasizing discipline in deposit pricing and loan growth, while aiming for a 15% return on tangible common equity over the intermediate term.

First Horizon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Horizon exhibits a mixed financial performance with declining revenues and profitability concerns marked by zero net income in 2024. However, the company maintains a strong balance sheet with reduced leverage and stable cash flows, supporting financial stability amidst operational challenges.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a declining revenue trend from $3.209B in 2022 to $1.155B in 2024. Gross profit margin remains at 100% due to the nature of banking operations. The absence of EBIT and net income for 2024 significantly impacts profitability analysis, indicating potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with stockholders' equity rising from $8.253B in 2022 to $9.111B in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio improved from 0.50 in 2022 to 0.37 in 2024, indicating reduced leverage. Equity ratio slightly increased to approximately 11.1% in 2024, suggesting a stable financial foundation.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow shows resilience, maintaining around $1.268B in 2024 despite revenue declines. Free cash flow remains strong at $1.268B, but growth has stagnated. The operating cash flow to net income ratio cannot be assessed due to zero net income in 2024, highlighting a potential risk in earnings sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.86B4.94B4.71B3.41B3.15B2.80B
Gross Profit2.95B2.95B2.90B3.02B3.30B2.06B
EBITDA1.13B1.11B1.23B1.24B1.33B995.00M
Net Income801.00M775.00M897.00M900.00M999.00M845.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.49B82.15B81.66B78.95B89.09B84.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.75B8.94B10.73B11.28B24.76B17.60B
Total Debt5.49B4.59B3.70B4.10B3.71B3.87B
Total Liabilities72.45B73.04B72.37B70.41B80.60B75.90B
Stockholders Equity8.75B8.82B9.00B8.25B8.20B8.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow736.00M1.22B1.26B2.26B672.00M114.00M
Operating Cash Flow779.00M1.27B1.30B2.31B725.00M172.00M
Investing Cash Flow511.00M-1.06B-2.60B8.33B-4.60B-4.97B
Financing Cash Flow-1.21B-404.00M1.49B-10.87B4.02B5.18B

First Horizon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.76
Price Trends
50DMA
19.53
Positive
100DMA
19.36
Positive
200DMA
18.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.51
Negative
RSI
73.44
Negative
STOCH
95.09
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FHN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.20, above the 50-day MA of 19.53, and above the 200-day MA of 18.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.44 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.09 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FHN.

First Horizon Risk Analysis

First Horizon disclosed 111 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Horizon reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Horizon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SSSSB
80
Outperform
$9.82B15.267.18%2.23%9.38%3.47%
WBWBS
79
Outperform
$9.56B12.798.59%2.81%2.69%-9.07%
FHFHN
76
Outperform
$11.04B15.189.09%2.76%-0.50%-1.31%
74
Outperform
$8.50B15.8116.82%1.73%-4.27%17.70%
WFWF
73
Outperform
$12.29B6.249.43%2.72%-0.86%13.17%
71
Outperform
$8.09B5.3828.17%2.15%-35.65%70.23%
58
Neutral
$12.52B5.23-2.71%5.27%5.88%-56.03%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FHN
First Horizon
21.76
7.01
47.53%
CBSH
Commerce Bancshares
63.98
12.46
24.18%
GGAL
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA
50.38
23.28
85.90%
WBS
Webster Financial
57.76
16.01
38.35%
WF
Woori Finance Holdings Co
50.17
17.87
55.33%
SSB
SouthState Corporation
96.74
22.92
31.05%

First Horizon Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Horizon Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

First Horizon Corporation reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with a net income available to common shareholders of $213 million and an earnings per share of $0.41, marking an increase from the previous quarter. The company’s business model, which emphasizes safety, profitability, and growth, has enabled it to navigate economic uncertainties and achieve sustainable growth, benefiting its stakeholders in the long term.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 22, 2025