Fidus Investment (FDUS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $702.69M
• Dividend Yield: 11.47%
• Average Volume (3M): 212.11K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.48
• Revenue Growth: -12.17%
• EPS Growth: -14.93%
• Country: US
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Asset Management
• EPS (TTM): 0.50
• Shares Outstanding: 36,427,490
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 187,986
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 212,108
• PEG Ratio: -0.48
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.04
• Price to Sales (P/S): 6.03
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.98
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.16
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 6.66
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 8.44
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 9.48
• 1Y Price Target: $21.33
• Price Target Upside: 11.91% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3
• EPS Forecast (FY): 1.95
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $158.96M

• Rating: 78 Outperform
• Price Target: $22.50 ▲(18.05% Upside)

The score is driven primarily by strong profitability and improved balance-sheet leverage, supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Technicals add a modest tailwind with neutral-to-positive momentum, while earnings-call takeaways were generally positive but noted some pressure in total investment income.

Positive Factors

Strong Portfolio Performance

The strong performance of Fidus' debt portfolio indicates robust credit quality and effective investment strategies, supporting long-term income stability.

New SPV Credit Facility

The new SPV credit facility enhances Fidus's financing capabilities, supporting strategic growth and providing financial flexibility for future investments.

Net Asset Value Growth

Growth in net asset value reflects successful portfolio management and accretive investments, strengthening Fidus's financial position.

Negative Factors

Challenges in Revenue Growth

Negative revenue growth indicates potential difficulties in expanding business operations and capturing market opportunities, impacting long-term growth prospects.

Cash Flow Generation Issues

Significant negative cash flow growth suggests challenges in maintaining liquidity, which could constrain investment and operational flexibility.

Decrease in Total Investment Income

The decrease in investment income may reflect challenges in generating returns from current investments, potentially affecting future profitability.

Fidus Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Fidus Investment Corporation is a business development company. It specializing in leveraged buyouts, refinancings, change of ownership transactions, recapitalizations, strategic acquisitions, mezzanine, growth capital, business expansion, lower middle market investments, debt investments, subordinated and second lien loans, senior secured and unitranche debt, preferred equity, warrants, subordinated debt, senior subordinated notes, junior secured loans, and unitranche loans. It does not invest in turnarounds or distressed situations. The fund prefers to invest in aerospace and defense, business services, consumer products and services including retail, food, and beverage, healthcare products and services, industrial products and services, information technology services, niche manufacturing, transportation and logistics, and value-added distribution sectors. It seeks to invest in companies based in United States. The fund typically invests between $5 million and $15 million per transaction in companies with annual revenues between $10 million and $150 million and an annual EBITDA between $3 million and $20 million, but it can occasionally invest in larger or smaller companies. It seeks to acquire minority equity stakes and board observation rights in conjunction with its investments.

How the Company Makes Money

Fidus Investment generates revenue primarily through interest income from its debt investments and dividends from equity investments in portfolio companies. The company typically invests in senior secured loans, subordinated debt, and equity securities, which allows it to earn interest and capital appreciation. Additionally, FDUS earns management fees and incentive fees from its investment portfolio, which are based on the performance of its investments. The company's ability to identify and invest in promising middle-market companies, combined with its strategic partnerships and relationships within various industries, contributes to its revenue generation and overall financial performance.

Fidus Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability is very strong (TTM net margin ~66%, operating margin ~70%) and leverage has improved meaningfully (debt-to-equity down to ~0.26 in TTM). Offsets include historically volatile revenue and uneven cash-flow reliability, with TTM free cash flow down ~19% and prior cycle volatility.

Income Statement

FDUS shows very strong profitability, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net margin around 66% and operating margin around 70%, staying consistently high across recent years. Revenue has grown modestly in the latest TTM period (about 4% YoY) after steadier growth in 2023–2024, but the longer-term revenue path has been volatile (notably a sharp drop in 2022). Overall, earnings power is strong, but the top-line trajectory is less stable year-to-year.

Balance Sheet

Leverage appears well-controlled in the latest TTM period, with debt-to-equity around 0.26 versus higher levels in prior annual periods (roughly 0.72–0.85 in 2022–2024), indicating meaningful deleveraging. Equity and assets have grown over time, and returns on equity have been solid and fairly steady (~12% in TTM/2024), though below the peak level seen in 2021. Key watch-out: the business has historically operated with moderate leverage, so balance sheet risk can rise if conditions weaken.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and 2023–2024, with free cash flow matching operating cash flow and broadly tracking reported profits. However, free cash flow declined about 19% in the latest TTM period, and cash flow has shown significant volatility historically (including a large negative operating/free cash flow year in 2022). This profile suggests decent current cash production but uneven reliability across cycles.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	122.71M	113.68M	108.60M	71.62M	146.41M	57.38M
Gross Profit	96.81M	91.39M	88.00M	55.05M	129.47M	39.97M
EBITDA	86.21M	82.21M	79.83M	47.64M	118.67M	32.66M
Net Income	81.67M	78.29M	77.13M	35.82M	116.10M	31.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.28B	1.16B	1.09B	935.96M	897.18M	875.74M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	62.32M	57.16M	119.13M	62.35M	169.42M	124.31M
Total Debt	184.97M	474.89M	466.51M	410.10M	366.04M	443.25M
Total Liabilities	566.71M	508.45M	501.42M	455.62M	409.42M	464.98M
Stockholders Equity	711.03M	655.67M	589.47M	480.34M	487.76M	410.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	59.48M	62.37M	48.41M	-105.54M	167.90M	55.96M
Operating Cash Flow	59.48M	62.37M	48.41M	-105.54M	167.90M	55.96M
Investing Cash Flow	-81.16M	-117.67M	-77.87M	-139.87B	126.05B	20.78M
Financing Cash Flow	29.56M	-6.67M	86.24M	-1.53M	-122.79M	53.33M

Fidus Investment Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 19.06
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FDUS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.59, below the 50-day MA of 19.37, and below the 200-day MA of 19.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FDUS.

Fidus Investment Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FDUS	78 Outperform	$702.69M	8.21	11.92%	11.47%	-12.17%	-14.93%
VINP	73 Outperform	$808.90M	26.48	10.40%	4.56%	81.45%	-26.75%
SLRC	70 Outperform	$815.59M	9.06	9.07%	10.80%	-6.30%	-6.92%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
NCDL	66 Neutral	$658.82M	8.68	8.46%	14.71%	-8.32%	-33.94%
CCAP	63 Neutral	$528.62M	14.71	4.92%	13.20%	-20.18%	-61.90%
TCPC	50 Neutral	$432.69M	-46.58	-1.15%	21.13%	-91.81%	78.46%

Fidus Investment Corporate Events

Fidus Investment Announces Q3 2025 Financial Results

On November 6, 2025, Fidus Investment Corporation announced its third-quarter financial results for 2025, reporting a total investment income of $37.3 million and a net investment income of $17.4 million. The company declared a total dividend of $0.50 per share for the fourth quarter of 2025, consisting of a base dividend of $0.43 and a supplemental dividend of $0.07 per share, payable on December 29, 2025. The results highlighted a decrease in total investment income compared to the previous year, attributed to changes in interest, dividend, and fee income. Despite this, Fidus continued to build its portfolio with net originations of $37.8 million and invested in new portfolio companies, reflecting its strategy to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns and grow its net asset value over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (FDUS) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fidus Investment stock, see the FDUS Stock Forecast page.

Fidus Investment Launches New SPV Credit Facility

On October 16, 2025, Fidus Investment Corporation announced the establishment of a new special purpose vehicle credit facility with initial commitments of $175 million, which can be increased to $250 million. This facility, secured by the SPV’s assets, is expected to enhance Fidus’s financing capabilities and support its strategic growth objectives. Concurrently, the company terminated its previous revolving credit agreement and related security agreement, fulfilling all associated obligations, which marks a significant shift in its financial strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (FDUS) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fidus Investment stock, see the FDUS Stock Forecast page.