Vinci Partners Investments (VINP)
NASDAQ:VINP
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Vinci Partners Investments (VINP) AI Stock Analysis

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VINP

Vinci Partners Investments

(NASDAQ:VINP)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$12.00
▼(-1.48% Downside)
Vinci Partners Investments demonstrates strong financial performance and technical momentum, supported by robust earnings and strategic achievements. While cash flow challenges and valuation concerns exist, the positive earnings call and favorable macroeconomic conditions contribute to a solid overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market presence and effectively manage its diverse investment portfolio, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Strategic Exits
Strategic exits enhance cash flow and profitability, allowing reinvestment into higher-growth opportunities, which supports sustainable business expansion.
Infrastructure Climate Change Fund
The fund's focus on renewable energy projects positions Vinci Partners to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable investments, enhancing its competitive edge and market relevance.
Negative Factors
Currency Headwinds
Currency fluctuations can negatively impact revenue and profitability, particularly for a company with significant international exposure, affecting long-term financial performance.
First Quarter Slowdown
A slow start to the year can hinder annual growth targets and investor confidence, potentially affecting future capital inflows and strategic initiatives.
Decreased Net Profit Margin
A declining net profit margin indicates pressure on cost management and profitability, which could challenge the company's ability to sustain long-term earnings growth.

Vinci Partners Investments (VINP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vinci Partners Investments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVinci Partners Investments (VINP) is a leading independent investment management firm based in Brazil, focused on providing a diverse range of investment solutions across various asset classes including private equity, real estate, infrastructure, and public equities. The company manages funds for institutional and high-net-worth clients, leveraging its deep market knowledge and extensive network to deliver value-driven investment opportunities.
How the Company Makes MoneyVinci Partners generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees associated with the funds it manages. Management fees are typically a percentage of the assets under management (AUM), providing a steady income stream as the firm grows its client base and manages more capital. Performance fees are earned when the funds exceed predefined return benchmarks, incentivizing the firm to achieve strong investment performance. Additionally, Vinci Partners may earn advisory fees from strategic partnerships and co-investments in specific projects or funds. The company’s strong reputation and established track record in the Brazilian market also facilitate significant institutional relationships, contributing to a reliable flow of capital into its investment products.

Vinci Partners Investments Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance with robust earnings, strategic exits, and favorable macroeconomic conditions, despite some currency challenges and a slower first quarter.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Fee-Related Earnings
Vinci Compass generated fee-related earnings of BRL 65.2 million or BRL 1.03 per share and adjusted distributable earnings of BRL 75.8 million or BRL 1.20 per share for the second quarter of 2025.
Successful Strategic Exits
The company executed a series of strategic exits across multiple verticals, including the full divestment of FIP Transmissao and the full exit of Camarada Camarao, marking significant achievements in their real asset and private equity segments.
Robust Capital Formation
Vinci Compass reported BRL 12 billion in capital formation and appreciation during the quarter, with notable inflows in Global IP&S and credit strategies, highlighting the scalability of their distribution capabilities.
Launch of Infrastructure Climate Change Fund
The company announced the final closing of their Infrastructure Climate Change fund, raising close to BRL 2 billion, aimed at expanding investments in renewable energy projects.
Positive Macroeconomic Environment
Improvements in the macroeconomic landscape in Latin America, including declining real interest rates in Brazil and interest rate cuts in countries like Chile and Colombia, create a favorable backdrop for alternative investments.
Negative Updates
Currency Headwinds
The 5% appreciation of the Brazilian real against the U.S. dollar during the quarter created a currency headwind, resulting in approximately BRL 12 billion in negative variation, impacting the AUM and management fees.
First Quarter Slowdown
The first quarter was slower than expected, with negative TPD Liquid outflows, impacting the overall fundraising for the year.
Company Guidance
During the call, Vinci Compass provided guidance on various key metrics, showcasing a strong performance for the second quarter of 2025. The company reported fee-related earnings (FRE) of BRL 65.2 million or BRL 1.03 per share, and adjusted distributable earnings of BRL 75.8 million or BRL 1.20 per share. They declared a quarterly dividend of BRL 0.15 per common share. The quarter highlighted significant accomplishments including BRL 12 billion in capital formation appreciation and robust inflows, particularly BRL 2.3 billion from Global IP&S strategies. Despite a 5% appreciation of the Brazilian real against the U.S. dollar, which posed a currency headwind, the firm ended the quarter with BRL 304 billion in assets under management (AUM). Vinci Compass also completed strategic exits, such as the full divestment of FIP Transmissao and the exit of Camarada Camarao in private equity, contributing to a BRL 50 million pretax boost to cash earnings. The company anticipates continued growth in credit and Global IP&S segments and plans to leverage improving macroeconomic conditions in Latin America, with expectations of significant future gains from proprietary fund commitments. Additionally, Vinci Compass announced the final closing of their Infrastructure Climate Change fund, raising nearly BRL 2 billion, and highlighted ongoing integration and operational advancements, including the inauguration of a new office in São Paulo.

Vinci Partners Investments Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vinci Partners Investments demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient operations. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage and a strong equity base. However, cash flow challenges, particularly negative free cash flow growth, could pose liquidity risks if not addressed.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Vinci Partners Investments shows strong revenue growth with a 19.05% increase in TTM, indicating robust business expansion. The gross profit margin of 76.13% and net profit margin of 18.75% reflect solid profitability, although the net margin has slightly decreased from previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, supporting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47 indicates a moderate level of leverage, which is manageable. Return on equity at 9.52% suggests decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio of 55.07% shows a strong equity base, providing financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -115.55% in TTM, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.08 is low, suggesting cash flow generation is not keeping pace with net income. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue891.91M665.10M564.78M502.27M493.44M348.72M
Gross Profit679.05M453.51M399.28M358.73M339.41M274.35M
EBITDA290.07M260.82M311.38M302.77M284.14M238.24M
Net Income167.26M118.20M220.61M219.42M208.62M170.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.42B3.59B2.30B1.77B1.65B328.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.64B1.75B1.83B1.38B1.48B91.70M
Total Debt893.07M981.00M689.90M261.50M85.54M106.20M
Total Liabilities1.54B1.64B918.95M391.41M232.13M309.29M
Stockholders Equity1.88B1.94B1.38B1.37B1.41B19.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.93M190.45M177.44M111.42M285.60M193.31M
Operating Cash Flow18.89M209.77M214.18M117.90M288.69M195.33M
Investing Cash Flow46.85M-232.13M138.03M131.84M-1.32B75.31M
Financing Cash Flow-470.53M-429.23M175.02M-215.51M1.05B-193.55M

Vinci Partners Investments Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.18
Price Trends
50DMA
10.92
Positive
100DMA
10.28
Positive
200DMA
9.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Negative
RSI
76.64
Negative
STOCH
91.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VINP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.53, above the 50-day MA of 10.92, and above the 200-day MA of 9.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.64 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VINP.

Vinci Partners Investments Risk Analysis

Vinci Partners Investments disclosed 107 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vinci Partners Investments reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Until the completion or termination of the Compass Transaction, we and Compass are prohibited from entering into certain transactions and taking certain actions that might otherwise be beneficial to us, Compass and/or our respective shareholders. Q4, 2023
2.
Failure to complete the Compass Transaction could negatively impact our stock price and our future business and financial results. Q4, 2023
3.
The market price for our Class A common shares following the completion of the Compass Transaction may be affected by factors different from, or in addition to, those that historically have affected or currently affect the market prices of our Class A common shares. Q4, 2023

Vinci Partners Investments Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$770.32M25.2510.03%5.01%53.35%-24.09%
75
Outperform
$705.25M9.308.46%13.94%-8.32%-33.94%
72
Outperform
$839.05M9.329.07%10.57%-6.30%-6.92%
71
Outperform
$719.08M8.4011.92%11.43%-12.17%-14.93%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$515.53M11.675.98%13.00%-7.13%-56.63%
58
Neutral
$481.05M-1.15%22.98%-91.81%78.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VINP
Vinci Partners Investments
12.18
2.24
22.54%
FDUS
Fidus Investment
19.74
1.41
7.69%
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp.
15.48
1.05
7.28%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
5.87
-1.56
-21.00%
CCAP
Crescent Capital BDC
14.23
-2.79
-16.39%
NCDL
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
14.53
-0.76
-4.97%

Vinci Partners Investments Corporate Events

Vinci Compass Investments Highlights Strategic Growth at Investor Day 2025
Oct 8, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. held its Investor Day 2025, highlighting its strategic initiatives and future growth plans. The company emphasized its commitment to delivering durable value creation for shareholders through disciplined expansion and a resilient business model. Vinci Compass aims to strengthen its position as a gateway to alternative investments in Latin America, with a focus on three complementary earnings streams: FRE, PRE, and IRE. The event underscored the company’s ambition to capitalize on the significant opportunities in the region’s total addressable market, estimated at US$7 trillion.

Vinci Compass Acquires Majority Stake in Verde Asset Management
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. announced its acquisition of a 50.1% stake in Verde Asset Management, a prominent Brazilian multi-strategy asset manager with R$16 billion in assets under management. This strategic move is expected to enhance Vinci Compass’s product offerings and discretionary AUM mix, while leveraging Verde’s established brand and expertise in asset allocation. The transaction is anticipated to be immediately accretive to Vinci Compass’s financial metrics and aims to broaden its reach in both local and global markets, ultimately strengthening its leadership position in asset allocation.

Vinci Compass Reports Record Infrastructure Fund Closing in September 2025
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. released an investor presentation highlighting its financial performance and strategic initiatives as of June 2025. The company reported significant growth in assets under management and notable achievements in infrastructure investments, including the final closing of its largest infrastructure vintage fund, VICC, at R$1.8 billion. Vinci Compass continues to strengthen its position as a premier partner for alternative investments in Latin America, leveraging its extensive network of global and local investment solutions.

Vinci Compass Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings and Declares Dividend
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. announced its second quarter 2025 earnings results, highlighting strong financial performance and strategic growth. The company reported Fee Related Earnings of R$65.2 million and Adjusted Distributable Earnings of R$75.8 million, reflecting continued fundraising momentum and strategic initiatives. Vinci Compass declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.15 per share, payable on September 9, 2025, indicating confidence in its robust financial position and commitment to shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025