Vinci Partners Investments Ltd. (VINP)
NASDAQ:VINP
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Vinci Partners Investments
(NASDAQ:VINP)
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Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$11.00
â–¼(-12.07% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/25/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (high margins and improved ROE, tempered by weaker cash-flow trends) and attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are partially offset by weak technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD) and some near-term earnings variability noted on the call despite strong FRE/AUM momentum.
Positive Factors
Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) Strength
A rising, high-margin FRE base signals durable, recurring revenue from management fees and fee-related services. Strong FRE and expanding margin reflect operating leverage and cost discipline, improving predictable cash generation and supporting dividends and reinvestment over the medium term.
Negative Factors
2025 Revenue Contraction
A pronounced revenue decline signals vulnerability in top-line consistency and may reflect adverse mix shifts or lower advisory and realized income. Sustained revenue pressure can constrain margin expansion, capex/tech investment pacing, and slow recovery of distributable earnings over several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) Strength
A rising, high-margin FRE base signals durable, recurring revenue from management fees and fee-related services. Strong FRE and expanding margin reflect operating leverage and cost discipline, improving predictable cash generation and supporting dividends and reinvestment over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Vinci Partners Investments (VINP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$634.34M
Dividend Yield4.56%
Average Volume (3M)47.30K
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.2
Beta (1Y)0.69
Revenue Growth46.25%
EPS Growth88.59%
CountryUS
Employees594
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryAsset Management
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)4.14
Shares Outstanding48,778,420
10 Day Avg. Volume49,209
30 Day Avg. Volume47,305
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.38
Price to Book (P/B)2.29
Price to Sales (P/S)4.73
P/FCF Ratio19.35
Enterprise Value/Market Cap6.56
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.54
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.18
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.29
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$14.00Price Target Upside11.91% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)5.04
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.15B
Vinci Partners Investments Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. operates as an asset management firm in Brazil. It operates through six segments: Global Investment Products & Solutions (IP&S), Credit, Private Equity, Equities, Real Assets, and Corporate Advisory. The Global IP&S ...
How the Company Makes Money
Vinci Partners primarily generates revenue from (1) asset management fees earned for managing funds and separately managed accounts, typically calculated as a percentage of assets under management (AUM) and recognized over time as management servi...
Vinci Partners Investments Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 11, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operational and strategic picture: record FRE, strong AUM growth, successful integration of Verde, a strategic Argentina combination (BACS), significant fundraising momentum across credit, real assets and UCITS, and rapid AI adoption driving productivity. Notable near-term challenges include a meaningful decline in advisory fees (-35% YoY), materially lower PRE (down ~50% YoY), reduced realized financial income (-35% YoY), some quarter-to-quarter distributable earnings volatility driven by IRE capital deployment and one-off accounting/tax effects, and near-term pressure in Corporate Advisory due to high rates and election uncertainty. On balance, the sizeable and sustainable growth indicators (FRE, AUM, management fees, strategic M&A and expected one-time indemnification) outweigh the transitory and seasonal headwinds, supporting an overall constructive outlook.Positive Updates
Record Fee-Related Earnings (FRE)
FRE reached BRL 96.3 million (management presented BRL 96m), a record quarter, up ~47% year-over-year (42% per share). FRE margin expanded to 35.4%, driven by Verde full-quarter consolidation, operating leverage and cost discipline.
Negative Updates
Advisory Fees Decline
Advisory fees were BRL 16 million, down 35% year-over-year as deal activity remained slow amid high interest rates and election uncertainty in Brazil.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Fee-Related Earnings (FRE)
FRE reached BRL 96.3 million (management presented BRL 96m), a record quarter, up ~47% year-over-year (42% per share). FRE margin expanded to 35.4%, driven by Verde full-quarter consolidation, operating leverage and cost discipline.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management offered milestone-level guidance and timing: an indemnification payment of ~BRL 100 million (net of taxes/expenses) is expected to boost distributable earnings in Q3–Q4 2026; capital-call pacing remains BRL 300–400 million to be called by year-end 2026 (≈BRL 140 million called so far) with remaining commitments by 2029; the BACS combination should roughly double Argentina AUM to ≈$1.6 billion and be high‑single‑digit accretive locally (limited company‑wide impact); they reiterated FRE as the core growth driver after a record Q1 FRE of BRL 96.3 million (BRL 1.47/sh) and a 35.4% FRE margin (management fees BRL 245m in Q1, fee‑related revenues BRL 272m Q1 / BRL 990m LTM); Q1 adjusted distributable earnings were BRL 62.2m (BRL 0.95/sh) and BRL 292m LTM (BRL 4.55/sh); other metrics: AUM BRL 347bn (+22% YoY ex‑FX; $66bn, +25% YoY), Credit AUM BRL 37bn (BRL 2bn of capital formation/appreciation in Q1), PRE BRL 2m Q1 (BRL 13m LTM), IRE BRL 4m Q1 (BRL 65m LTM), and a declared quarterly dividend of $0.17 per share (payable June 8); they cautioned FRE‑margin seasonality and expect a normalized effective tax rate in the low‑20s (vs. prior mid‑teens) after the full Verde consolidation.Vinci Partners Investments Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.64B | 958.20M | 665.10M | 564.78M | 502.27M | 493.44M |
| Gross Profit | 1.31B | 901.76M | 453.51M | 493.92M | 358.73M | 339.41M |
| EBITDA | 661.48M | 413.32M | 260.82M | 322.71M | 302.77M | 284.14M |
| Net Income | 443.17M | 213.31M | 118.20M | 220.61M | 219.42M | 208.62M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.89B | 4.03B | 3.59B | 2.30B | 1.77B | 1.65B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 950.63M | 1.81B | 1.75B | 1.83B | 1.38B | 1.48B |
| Total Debt | 1.04B | 1.13B | 981.00M | 689.90M | 261.50M | 85.54M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.81B | 1.98B | 1.64B | 918.95M | 391.41M | 232.13M |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.01B | 1.98B | 1.94B | 1.38B | 1.37B | 1.41B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 190.73M | 234.03M | 190.45M | 177.44M | 111.42M | 285.60M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 226.46M | 273.96M | 209.77M | 214.18M | 117.90M | 288.69M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 78.91M | 98.97M | -232.13M | 138.03M | 131.84M | -1.32B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -261.09M | -323.74M | -429.23M | 175.02M | -215.51M | 1.05B |
Vinci Partners Investments Technical Analysis
Negative
12.51
Price Trends
10.44
Negative
11.23
Negative
10.99
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.18
Positive
38.92
Neutral
15.69
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VINP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.48, above the 50-day MA of 10.44, and above the 200-day MA of 10.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VINP.
Vinci Partners Investments Risk Analysis
Vinci Partners Investments disclosed 107 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vinci Partners Investments reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Until the completion or termination of the Compass Transaction, we and Compass are prohibited from entering into certain transactions and taking certain actions that might otherwise be beneficial to us, Compass and/or our respective shareholders. Q4, 2023
2.
Failure to complete the Compass Transaction could negatively impact our stock price and our future business and financial results. Q4, 2023
3.
The market price for our Class A common shares following the completion of the Compass Transaction may be affected by factors different from, or in addition to, those that historically have affected or currently affect the market prices of our Class A common shares. Q4, 2023
Vinci Partners Investments Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $707.09M | 8.31 | 11.45% | 11.47% | -15.44% | -2.66% | |
72 Outperform | $634.34M | 8.17 | 22.87% | 4.56% | 46.25% | 88.59% | |
69 Neutral | $636.11M | 18.08 | 6.76% | 14.71% | -12.61% | -36.66% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
57 Neutral | $418.94M | -7.23 | 2.14% | 13.20% | -18.56% | -69.62% | |
56 Neutral | $707.57M | 11.40 | 9.04% | 10.80% | -3.59% | 2.19% | |
54 Neutral | $312.96M | -4.67 | -19.08% | 21.13% | -153.69% | -168.78% |
* Financial Sector Average
VINP
Vinci Partners Investments
10.03
0.97
10.69%
FDUS
Fidus Investment
18.63
0.58
3.22%
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp.
12.97
-1.82
-12.30%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
3.73
-2.74
-42.38%
CCAP
Crescent Capital BDC
11.37
-2.17
-16.01%
NCDL
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
12.88
-0.94
-6.79%
Vinci Partners Investments Corporate Events
Vinci Compass Details Growth Pipeline and GP Commitments in May 2026 Investor Update
May 14, 2026
On May 14, 2026, Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, furnishing an investor presentation dated May 2026 that details the scale and structure of its Latin American alternative asset mana...
Vinci Compass Posts Record Fee-Related Earnings and Declares Dividend for Q1 2026
May 12, 2026
On May 11, 2026, Vinci Compass Investments reported its first-quarter 2026 results, highlighting record fee-related earnings of R$96.3 million, or R$1.47 per share, and an FRE margin of 35.4%. Adjusted distributable earnings reached R$62.2 million...
Vinci Compass Highlights Growing Performance-Fee Pipeline and Proprietary Commitments in March 2026 Investor Deck
Mar 17, 2026
Vinci Compass Investments Ltd., a Latin American alternative asset manager headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, reported having R$354 billion in assets under management and advisory as of December 2025, spanning credit, private equity, equities, real ...
Vinci Compass Refreshes Board, Taps Mexican Executive to Drive Latin America Expansion
Mar 17, 2026
On March 17, 2026, Rio de Janeiro-based Vinci Compass Investments announced boardroom changes as it marked five years since its IPO and sharpened its strategy to become a leading investment platform in Latin America. The company appointed seasoned...
Vinci Compass Posts Strong 2025 Results and Declares Dividend After Pan-Regional Expansion
Mar 5, 2026
On March 4, 2026, Rio de Janeiro-based Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings, marking its first full year as a pan-regional platform following its combination with Compass and the announced acquisit...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.