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Vinci Partners Investments (VINP)
NASDAQ:VINP
US Market

Vinci Partners Investments (VINP) AI Stock Analysis

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VINP

Vinci Partners Investments

(NASDAQ:VINP)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$14.50
â–²(9.35% Upside)
Vinci Partners Investments demonstrates strong technical momentum and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the most significant factors driving the score. Despite operational and cash flow challenges, the company's strategic initiatives and favorable valuation metrics contribute positively to its overall stock score.
Positive Factors
AUM Scale & Fundraising
Substantial AUM and recent BRL 19bn of capital formation increase recurring management fee revenue and scale benefits. Larger AUM supports durable fee income, underwriting power, and product distribution, improving long-term revenue diversification and bargaining power with institutional clients.
High Fee-Related Earnings Margin
A 32% fee-related earnings margin indicates a high-margin, recurring core business. Sustained FRE reflects operating leverage as AUM grows, supporting cash flow stability and enabling reinvestment. Management’s target to lift FRE further to 38% shows focus on structural margin expansion.
Strategic Acquisition Strength
The Verde acquisition is a structural move expanding product capabilities and client reach in alternatives. Inorganic growth enhances scale, deepens expertise, and creates cross-selling opportunities across private equity, forestry and credit, strengthening Vinci’s competitive moat in Latin America over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Poor Cash Conversion
Severe decline in free cash flow growth and very low OCF-to-net-income signal weak cash conversion. Persistent cash generation shortfalls can constrain dividends, reinvestment, and the ability to fund acquisitions, raising funding and liquidity risk over multiple quarters.
Operational Profitability Pressure
Negative EBIT despite a strong gross margin points to elevated operating costs or inefficiencies. Declining net margins reduce retained earnings and limit financial flexibility, challenging sustainable profitability and the conversion of revenue growth into long-term shareholder value.
AUM Risks: Outflows and FX
Persistent equity fund outflows driven by investor shifts to inflation-linked bonds, coupled with material negative FX impacts, can structurally reduce fee-bearing AUM. Sustained investor preference changes and currency volatility threaten the fee base and long-term revenue predictability.

Vinci Partners Investments (VINP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vinci Partners Investments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVinci Compass Investments Ltd. operates as an asset management firm in Brazil. It operates through six segments: Global Investment Products & Solutions (IP&S), Credit, Private Equity, Equities, Real Assets, and Corporate Advisory. The Global IP&S segment provides access to a network of general partners and asset managers, as well as proprietary investment solutions; multi-asset allocation strategies, and portfolio and management services; and liquid and alternative, separate mandates, commingled funds, brokerage, pension plans, solutions, and Vinci retirement services. Its Credit segment operates public and private credit, opportunistic capital solutions, and agribusiness credit. The Private Equity segment focuses on control and co-control investments, and minority investments in small-to-medium enterprises. Its Equities segment delivers investment solutions across Latin America and other country markets. The Real Assets segment comprises investments focused on assets through real estate, infrastructure, and forestry. Its Corporate Advisory segment offers corporate advisory services, including financial and strategic advisory services, focusing on IPO advisory and mergers and acquisition transactions to entrepreneurs, corporate senior management teams, and boards of directors. The company was formerly known as Vinci Partners Investments Ltd. and changed its name to Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. in July 2025. Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyVinci Partners generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees associated with the funds it manages. Management fees are typically a percentage of the assets under management (AUM), providing a steady income stream as the firm grows its client base and manages more capital. Performance fees are earned when the funds exceed predefined return benchmarks, incentivizing the firm to achieve strong investment performance. Additionally, Vinci Partners may earn advisory fees from strategic partnerships and co-investments in specific projects or funds. The company’s strong reputation and established track record in the Brazilian market also facilitate significant institutional relationships, contributing to a reliable flow of capital into its investment products.

Vinci Partners Investments Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a period of strong financial performance and strategic advancements, highlighted by significant earnings, fundraising success, and a favorable macroeconomic environment. Despite challenges such as equity fund outflows and FX impacts, the overall outlook remains positive.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Fee-Related Earnings
Vinci Compass generated fee-related earnings of BRL 77.1 million or BRL 1.22 per share, with a FRE margin of 32.3%.
Successful Investor Day and Strategic Acquisition
Hosted a successful Investor Day and announced the acquisition of Verde, enhancing Vinci Compass' position in Latin America.
FRE Margin Improvement
Achieved a 32% FRE margin, reflecting cost reduction initiatives and operational leverage from strong fundraising.
Significant Fundraising Success
Raised BRL 19 billion in capital formation and appreciation, bringing AUM to BRL 316 billion.
Positive Macro Environment
Broad-based asset appreciation and easing rates in emerging economies, particularly beneficial for Brazil.
Innovative Credit and Forestry Strategies
Raised over BRL 1 billion for LatAm corporate debt strategy and strong international interest in forestry vertical.
Negative Updates
Equity Fund Outflows
Continued outflows from Brazilian domestic equity funds due to a shift towards local inflation-linked government bonds.
Negative FX Impact on AUM
AUM growth partially offset by a negative FX impact of BRL 6 billion.
Company Guidance
During Vinci Compass's third-quarter 2025 results conference call, the firm provided several key metrics highlighting its financial performance and strategic initiatives. Vinci Compass reported fee-related earnings of BRL 77.1 million, or BRL 1.22 per share, with a fee-related earnings (FRE) margin of 32.3%, marking the highest level year-to-date. Adjusted distributable earnings amounted to BRL 73.1 million, or BRL 1.16 per share. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per common share, payable on December 9 to shareholders of record as of November 24. Vinci Compass's assets under management (AUM) reached BRL 316 billion, with capital formation and appreciation totaling BRL 19 billion in the quarter. The firm's Global IP&S segment contributed significantly to inflows, and the FRE margin improvement was attributed to operating leverage from revenue growth and cost reduction initiatives. Vinci Compass also achieved a significant milestone with the acquisition of Verde, enhancing its position as a leading alternative investment platform in Latin America. The firm remains on track to achieve its 38% FRE margin target by 2028, supported by platform growth and continued cost discipline.

Vinci Partners Investments Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vinci Partners Investments shows strong revenue growth and a solid gross profit margin, indicating effective revenue generation and cost management. However, operational challenges are evident with a negative EBIT margin and declining net profit margins. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage and a strong equity base. Cash flow issues are a concern, with significant declines in free cash flow growth and low cash conversion ratios.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Vinci Partners Investments shows strong revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 25.98%, indicating robust expansion. The gross profit margin is healthy at 76.13%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 18.75% from previous highs, and the EBIT margin is negative, indicating operational challenges. Despite these issues, the EBITDA margin remains solid at 32.52%.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is modest at 9.52%, indicating moderate profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 54.10%, showing a strong equity base relative to total assets, which is a positive sign of financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth, down by 1357.04% TTM, which is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.08, suggesting potential issues in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges despite profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.12B665.10M564.78M502.27M493.44M348.72M
Gross Profit922.47M453.51M493.92M358.73M339.41M274.35M
EBITDA378.17M260.82M322.71M302.77M284.14M238.24M
Net Income240.17M118.20M220.61M219.42M208.62M170.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.48B3.59B2.30B1.77B1.65B328.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.67B1.75B1.83B1.38B1.48B91.70M
Total Debt882.62M981.00M689.90M261.50M85.54M106.20M
Total Liabilities1.60B1.64B918.95M391.41M232.13M309.29M
Stockholders Equity1.88B1.94B1.38B1.37B1.41B19.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow162.47M190.45M177.44M111.42M285.60M193.31M
Operating Cash Flow200.17M209.77M214.18M117.90M288.69M195.33M
Investing Cash Flow-114.24M-232.13M138.03M131.84M-1.32B75.31M
Financing Cash Flow-401.56M-429.23M175.02M-215.51M1.05B-193.55M

Vinci Partners Investments Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.26
Price Trends
50DMA
12.57
Positive
100DMA
11.56
Positive
200DMA
10.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
40.94
Neutral
STOCH
28.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VINP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.09, above the 50-day MA of 12.57, and above the 200-day MA of 10.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VINP.

Vinci Partners Investments Risk Analysis

Vinci Partners Investments disclosed 107 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vinci Partners Investments reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Until the completion or termination of the Compass Transaction, we and Compass are prohibited from entering into certain transactions and taking certain actions that might otherwise be beneficial to us, Compass and/or our respective shareholders. Q4, 2023
2.
Failure to complete the Compass Transaction could negatively impact our stock price and our future business and financial results. Q4, 2023
3.
The market price for our Class A common shares following the completion of the Compass Transaction may be affected by factors different from, or in addition to, those that historically have affected or currently affect the market prices of our Class A common shares. Q4, 2023

Vinci Partners Investments Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$725.27M8.4711.92%11.47%-12.17%-14.93%
73
Outperform
$795.62M26.0510.40%4.56%81.45%-26.75%
70
Outperform
$837.41M9.309.07%10.80%-6.30%-6.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$670.18M8.838.46%14.71%-8.32%-33.94%
63
Neutral
$537.50M14.954.92%13.20%-20.18%-61.90%
50
Neutral
$491.23M-54.26-1.15%21.13%-91.81%78.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VINP
Vinci Partners Investments
12.58
3.24
34.69%
FDUS
Fidus Investment
19.91
0.12
0.61%
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp.
15.35
0.12
0.79%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
5.79
-1.84
-24.12%
CCAP
Crescent Capital BDC
14.53
-3.35
-18.74%
NCDL
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
13.57
-1.90
-12.28%

Vinci Partners Investments Corporate Events

Vinci Compass Reports Robust Growth in Latin American Investment Market
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. released an investor presentation highlighting its significant growth and strategic positioning in the Latin American alternative investment market. The company reported R$316 billion in assets under management as of September 2025, reflecting a fourfold growth since 2010. Vinci Compass is recognized as a premier partner for alternative investments, offering customized solutions and maintaining strong relationships with over 2,800 limited partners, including institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. The company’s diversified and resilient business model is designed to create long-term shareholder value through a balanced approach to fee-related, performance-related, and investment-related earnings.

The most recent analyst rating on (VINP) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vinci Partners Investments stock, see the VINP Stock Forecast page.

Vinci Compass Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings and Strategic Acquisition
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. reported its third quarter 2025 earnings results, highlighting a 32% Fee Related Earnings (FRE) margin, the highest level achieved year-to-date. The company also announced the acquisition of Verde Asset Management, enhancing its leadership in Latin America. Vinci Compass declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.15 per share, payable on December 9, 2025, to shareholders of record on November 24, 2025. The company’s strategic moves, including advanced fundraising and regional expansion, are expected to compound value for clients and shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (VINP) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vinci Partners Investments stock, see the VINP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025