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First Business Financial Services (FBIZ)
NASDAQ:FBIZ
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First Business Financial (FBIZ) AI Stock Analysis

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FBIZ

First Business Financial

(NASDAQ:FBIZ)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$62.00
▲(4.50% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/06/26
FBIZ scores well on fundamentals, led by solid profitability/ROE, improved leverage, and strong cash-flow quality, with supportive (low) valuation. The score is moderated by softer near-term technical momentum and earnings-call risks around Q2 growth softness, expense pressure, and credit/NPL resolution timing.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability / ROE
Sustained mid-teens ROE indicates the franchise earns attractive returns on shareholder capital across cycles, enabling capital accumulation, dividend capacity, and reinvestment. This durability supports growth funding without excessive leverage and underpins long-term shareholder value creation.
Negative Factors
Top-line Softness & Margin Normalization
A modest TTM revenue decline and normalization of margins from prior peak levels indicate pressure on sustainable revenue growth and profit expansion. If revenue growth lags expense control, operating leverage weakens, possibly constraining reinvestment, dividend growth, or margin recovery over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Profitability / ROE
Sustained mid-teens ROE indicates the franchise earns attractive returns on shareholder capital across cycles, enabling capital accumulation, dividend capacity, and reinvestment. This durability supports growth funding without excessive leverage and underpins long-term shareholder value creation.
Read all positive factors

First Business Financial (FBIZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

First Business Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
First Business Financial Services, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for First Business Bank that provides commercial banking products and services for small and medium-sized businesses, business owners, executives, professionals, and high...
How the Company Makes Money
FBIZ primarily makes money through (1) net interest income and (2) noninterest (fee) income. Net interest income is earned from the spread between interest the bank receives on interest-earning assets—primarily commercial and industrial loans, com...

First Business Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Loans & Leases Receivable Breakdown
Gross Loans & Leases Receivable Breakdown
Shows how the bank’s loan portfolio is split by loan type, industry, and term, revealing where its interest income and credit risk are concentrated. A mix heavy in commercial real estate or equipment finance can lift yields but increase vulnerability to sector downturns, while broader diversification suggests steadier earnings and lower concentration risk. Useful for spotting potential future losses, funding needs, and how changes in the economy or interest rates could impact profitability.
Chart InsightsLoan mix is shifting decisively toward higher‑yield commercial lines—C&I, non‑owner CRE and multi‑family now drive most of the growth—consistent with management’s push into C&I/ABL to lift margins and diversify revenue. Elevated payoffs masked some headline growth, and land‑development exposure has been largely wound down, reducing one source of volatility. That said, a growing negative “Other” bucket and an isolated CRE downgrade/nonaccrual underline concentration and legacy‑credit risks to monitor despite the favorable NII and loan‑growth backdrop.
Data provided by:The Fly

First Business Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive operational and financial performance with multiple strong metrics: double-digit loan and deposit growth, 16% fee income growth, record Private Wealth revenue, >9% net income/EPS growth and 14% tangible book value per share increase. These positives are tempered by timing-driven margin noise (late-quarter loan deployment and fewer accrual days), a slightly elevated Q1 charge-off rate versus target, higher early-year compensation and professional expenses, and a lighter pipeline going into Q2 with some known payoffs. Management expects margins and growth to normalize into targeted ranges in the back half of 2026 and continues to project 10% annual growth targets and controlled expense/run-rate assumptions.
Positive Updates
Strong Loan Growth
Loans grew $126 million or 15% year-over-year in Q1, with $90 million (72% of the quarter's growth) occurring in March, driven by C&I, asset-based lending, and strong markets in Madison, Milwaukee and Kansas City.
Negative Updates
Timing-Driven Margin Noise
Late-quarter loan growth (heavy March concentration) and 5 basis point Q1 impact from fewer accrual days produced NIM timing noise; reported NIM sat marginally outside range this quarter and was influenced by deployment/funding timing rather than structural yield deterioration.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Loan Growth
Loans grew $126 million or 15% year-over-year in Q1, with $90 million (72% of the quarter's growth) occurring in March, driven by C&I, asset-based lending, and strong markets in Madison, Milwaukee and Kansas City.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to continuing its 5‑year plan targets including 10% annual loan and core deposit growth and 10% fee‑income growth, reiterating a full‑year net interest margin target of $3.60–$3.65 (360–365 bps) and a goal of annual positive operating leverage (expense growth modestly below 10% revenue growth). Key metrics cited: Q1 loan growth of $126M (15%) with $90M (72%) in March, core deposits +18% linked quarter / +14% YoY, fee income +~16% YoY, Private Wealth revenue a record $3.9M (+11% YoY) and >40% of quarterly fee income, net income and EPS +>9% YoY, and tangible book value per share +14% YoY. Margin and credit notes included reported NIM of 356 bps (+3 bps), adjusted NIM 361 bps after a 5‑bp fewer‑accrual‑days impact, Q1 charge‑offs ~25 bps versus a modeled ~20 bps for the year, a 15.2% Q1 effective tax rate (guidance 16–18% for 2026), provisions partly driven by 2.9% loan growth in the quarter (≈$1M), and ongoing resolution of a $20.4M downgraded CRE position ( $3.4M sold at par, $17M remaining) with further resolution expected in H2 2026.

First Business Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid profitability and returns (mid-teens ROE) with meaningful leverage improvement over time and strong operating cash flow tracking net income. Offsetting factors include slight TTM revenue decline, margin normalization versus prior peak levels, and a recent pullback in free cash flow.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue282.81M279.25M262.38M226.24M150.80M124.09M
Gross Profit163.13M159.97M144.63M135.71M131.72M118.56M
EBITDA63.33M60.45M54.89M50.77M56.31M50.58M
Net Income51.35M50.32M44.24M37.03M40.86M35.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.32B4.08B3.85B3.51B2.98B2.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments513.54M39.48M499.09M436.52M314.71M262.81M
Total Debt310.48M259.41M327.98M339.87M466.98M418.93M
Total Liabilities3.94B3.71B3.52B3.22B2.72B2.42B
Stockholders Equity380.08M371.58M328.59M289.59M260.64M232.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.80M61.10M57.27M49.41M35.42M35.60M
Operating Cash Flow53.45M61.70M57.49M52.29M38.65M35.99M
Investing Cash Flow-414.46M-373.38M-328.47M-506.85M-245.27M-111.01M
Financing Cash Flow327.52M193.47M289.17M491.38M252.19M75.22M

First Business Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price59.33
Price Trends
50DMA
55.61
Positive
100DMA
55.45
Positive
200DMA
52.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.26
Negative
RSI
68.76
Neutral
STOCH
76.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FBIZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 59.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.86, above the 50-day MA of 55.61, and above the 200-day MA of 52.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FBIZ.

First Business Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$584.88M1.4924.82%30.36%306.20%
80
Outperform
$599.84M12.4212.46%0.73%7.26%25.66%
79
Outperform
$505.30M10.3010.86%1.92%3.07%25.18%
73
Outperform
$473.21M9.0514.12%2.08%5.94%10.27%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$528.27M11.714.75%5.80%-0.49%
58
Neutral
$470.84M7.7012.28%3.69%59.56%203.82%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FBIZ
First Business Financial
56.59
10.13
21.80%
HBCP
Home Bancorp
64.43
14.57
29.22%
KRNY
Kearny Financial
8.16
2.20
36.89%
CARE
Carter Bankshares
26.32
10.70
68.50%
RRBI
Red River Bancshares
91.20
36.59
67.01%
COFS
ChoiceOne Financial Services
31.48
3.57
12.77%

First Business Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Business Financial Highlights Strong Q1 2026 Growth
Positive
May 5, 2026
On May 5, 2026, First Business Financial Services, Inc. published a first-quarter 2026 investor presentation detailing recent operating performance, financial condition, and strategy, which it will use in interactions with investors and analysts. ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
First Business Financial shareholders back leadership and incentives
Positive
Apr 29, 2026
On April 24, 2026, First Business Financial Services, Inc. held its annual meeting of shareholders, where investors elected Class I directors Carla C. Chavarria, Jerry L. Kilcoyne, and Daniel P. Olszewski to terms running until the 2029 meeting, e...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Business Financial Reports Solid First Quarter 2026 Results
Positive
Apr 23, 2026
On April 23, 2026, First Business Bank reported first quarter 2026 net income available to common shareholders of $12.0 million, or $1.44 per share, down from $1.58 in the prior quarter but up from $1.32 a year earlier, supported by double-digit y...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
First Business Financial Names David Seiler as CEO
Positive
Apr 16, 2026
On April 15, 2026, First Business Financial Services, Inc. named David R. Seiler as its next president and chief executive officer and appointed him to its board of directors, both effective May 3, 2026, succeeding retiring CEO Corey A. Chambas an...
Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
First Business Financial Announces Superior PRSU Vesting for Executives
Positive
Apr 14, 2026
On April 9, 2026, the Compensation Committee of First Business Financial Services, Inc. approved the vesting of Performance Restricted Stock Units granted in 2023 to eligible executive officers under its Long-Term Incentive Plan for the 2023&#8211...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Business Financial Highlights Strong 2025 Strategic Performance
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
On March 12, 2026, First Business Financial Services, Inc. released a CEO letter reviewing its performance for the year ended December 31, 2025, highlighting the execution of a long-term strategy centered on business banking without branches and a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 06, 2026