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EZCORP Inc (EZPW)
NASDAQ:EZPW

EZCORP (EZPW) AI Stock Analysis

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EZ

EZCORP

(NASDAQ:EZPW)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(6.91%Upside)
EZCORP's strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives are significant strengths, bolstered by positive earnings call sentiment and corporate events. However, mixed technical indicators and valuation constraints slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company now has stronger earnings momentum, a fortified balance sheet, and even more excess cash.
Latin America Turnaround
The turnaround in Latin America has been underappreciated, in our view, and is beginning to pay meaningful dividends.
Share Buyback
A share buyback program is viewed as the clearest way to build credibility with shareholders, employees, analysts, and the broader investment community.
Negative Factors
Currency Impact
The Mexican peso has weakened considerably, which impacts EBITDA for EZPW.
Dilution from Convertible Notes
The conversion of notes was more dilutive than the market was expecting, with the stock closing -5.3% since April 30.
Inventory Concerns
Worried about EZCORP's rising inventories building and slowing turnover rate, which could imply customers are being overextended and forfeiting more.

EZCORP (EZPW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EZCORP Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEZCORP, Inc. provides pawn loans in the United States and Latin America. It offers pawn loans collateralized by tangible personal property, jewelry, consumer electronics, tools, sporting goods, and musical instruments. The company also sells merchandise, primarily collateral forfeited from pawn lending operations and pre-owned merchandise purchased from customers. In addition, it offers Lana and EZ+ web-based engagement platforms to manage pawn loans. As of September 30, 2021, the company owned and operated 516 pawn stores in the United States; 508 pawn stores in Mexico; and 124 pawn stores in Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras. EZCORP, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyEZCORP primarily generates revenue through its pawn loan operations, which involve providing short-term, secured loans to customers who use personal property, such as jewelry, electronics, or tools, as collateral. The company earns interest and fees on these loans, which constitute a significant portion of its income. Additionally, when customers do not redeem their pawned items, EZCORP sells these items through its retail operations, contributing another substantial revenue stream. The company also earns money from ancillary services, including the sale of scrap gold and other precious metals, and occasionally from non-pawn-related financial services. EZCORP's earnings are further supported by strategic acquisitions and partnerships that enhance its market presence and operational efficiency.

EZCORP Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -13.93%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, particularly in Latin America and the U.S. pawn segment. Despite some challenges with merchandise margin and inventory turnover, the overall sentiment is positive due to the record revenue, strategic expansions, and growth initiatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Q2 Revenue and Growth
EZCORP achieved record Q2 revenue of $318.9 million, marking a 12% year-on-year increase. PLO grew 15% to a Q2 record of $271.8 million. EBITDA increased by 23% to $45.1 million and diluted EPS grew by 21% to $0.34.
Strong Performance in Latin America
Total revenues in Latin America increased by 25% to $97.5 million. PLO growth was 17%, and EBITDA grew by 36% to $13.6 million, indicating robust performance in the region.
U.S. Pawn Segment Growth
Revenue for the U.S. pawn segment increased by 7% to $221.4 million. Earning assets grew by 21%, with a 15% increase in average loan size for the quarter across the U.S.
Expansion of De Novo Stores
EZCORP opened nine De Novo stores in Latin America and acquired one store in Guatemala, expanding their footprint and operational efficiency.
EZ+ Rewards Program Growth
The EZ+ Rewards program saw a 34% increase in membership to 6.2 million, accounting for 77% of all transactions this quarter.
Negative Updates
Merchandise Margin Contraction
Merchandise margin contracted by 150 basis points due to increased price negotiations at the counter, leading to a lower merchandise margin of 34%.
Decline in Inventory Turnover
Inventory turnover decreased to 2.5 times from 2.9 times, attributed to the expansion of the layaway program and a greater composition of jewelry inventory.
Company Guidance
During the EZCORP Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance emphasizing strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company reported a record Q2 revenue of $318.9 million, marking a 12% year-on-year increase, with a 15% rise in Pawn Loans Outstanding (PLO) to a record $271.8 million. EBITDA increased by 23% to $45.1 million, and diluted EPS grew by 21% to $0.34. The company's cash balance reached $505.2 million, up significantly due to a $300 million debt financing in March. EZCORP highlighted its robust operational execution and commitment to innovation with the opening of nine new stores in Latin America and an acquisition in Guatemala. The EZ+ Rewards program saw a 34% growth in membership, accounting for 77% of transactions, with a 15% increase in new layaways noted. This strategic focus supports further growth in revenue and profit margins, amidst persistent inflation and economic pressures driving consumer demand for accessible pawn services.

EZCORP Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EZCORP exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, improved profit margins, and efficient operations. The balance sheet is stable with prudent leverage, and cash flow generation is strong, providing flexibility for future growth. However, continuous monitoring of debt levels is advised.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
EZCORP has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a notable TTM increase of 3.52% over the previous year. Gross profit margin improved to 58.72% in the TTM, highlighting effective cost management. The net profit margin also rose to 7.45%, indicating enhanced profitability. The EBIT margin and EBITDA margin are healthy at 10.34% and 14.21%, respectively, showing strong operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects robust growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41 in the TTM, suggesting reasonable leverage. The equity ratio stands at 46.55%, indicating a solid equity position relative to total assets. Return on equity improved to 10.52%, underscoring the company's effective use of equity to generate profit. While the balance sheet shows strength, continuous monitoring of debt levels is advised.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
EZCORP's cash flow is strong, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 53.73% in the TTM period, demonstrating enhanced liquidity and financial flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.58, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 1.34. The cash flow statement highlights solid cash management and operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.16B1.05B886.23M729.55M822.81M
Gross Profit705.96M682.27M609.84M528.15M449.49M449.24M
EBITDA170.86M162.26M100.22M162.03M117.39M28.85M
Net Income89.55M83.09M38.46M50.16M8.61M-68.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.83B1.49B1.47B1.35B1.27B1.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments505.24M170.51M220.59M206.03M253.67M304.54M
Total Debt862.24M566.94M610.48M545.99M477.78M454.01M
Total Liabilities978.05M688.67M721.94M655.65M594.67M547.90M
Stockholders Equity851.58M804.57M745.77M692.23M672.24M649.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow111.30M77.84M61.39M34.64M22.84M20.55M
Operating Cash Flow141.77M113.60M101.83M66.53M46.44M49.08M
Investing Cash Flow-108.39M-111.85M-110.89M-113.28M-84.61M109.90M
Financing Cash Flow245.81M-50.18M23.69M-2.83M-16.25M-6.25M

EZCORP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.03
Price Trends
50DMA
14.08
Negative
100DMA
14.23
Negative
200DMA
13.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
59.55
Neutral
STOCH
92.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EZPW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.49, below the 50-day MA of 14.08, and above the 200-day MA of 13.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EZPW.

EZCORP Risk Analysis

EZCORP disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. EZCORP reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

EZCORP Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$6.07B21.9013.70%1.11%5.06%21.62%
75
Outperform
$771.84M12.3710.84%8.14%14.79%
YRYRD
73
Outperform
$522.76M2.8414.69%3.64%12.45%-36.64%
69
Neutral
$927.50M10.6920.78%-1.46%25.24%
OMOMF
68
Neutral
$7.11B12.6517.46%7.02%9.07%
62
Neutral
AU$9.88B7.9410.79%5.20%32.02%38.31%
60
Neutral
$619.47M8.736.03%23.90%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EZPW
EZCORP
14.03
4.04
40.44%
FCFS
FirstCash
136.77
35.76
35.40%
PRAA
Pra Group
15.62
-3.73
-19.28%
WRLD
World Acceptance
174.76
48.66
38.59%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
59.76
15.75
35.79%
YRD
Yiren Digital
6.05
1.96
47.92%

EZCORP Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
EZCORP Expands in Mexico with Pawn Store Acquisition
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

On June 18, 2025, EZCORP, Inc. announced the acquisition of 40 pawn stores in Mexico, operating under the names Monte Providencia and Tu Empeño Efectivo, as part of its strategic expansion in Latin America. This acquisition not only increases EZCORP’s footprint in Mexico, a market with strong financial performance and growth potential, but also diversifies its pawn portfolio by expanding into the auto pawn segment, which allows for higher dollar auto loan transactions and attracts a new customer base.

The most recent analyst rating on (EZPW) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EZCORP stock, see the EZPW Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
EZCORP Completes Retirement of Convertible Senior Notes
Neutral
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, EZCORP announced the retirement of its $103.4 million aggregate principal amount of 2.375% Convertible Senior Notes due 2025. Holders converted approximately $97 million of the notes into 6.1 million shares of EZCORP Class A Common Stock, while the company repaid the remaining principal balance of $6.4 million in cash, along with interest and cash in lieu of fractional shares totaling $1.2 million. This financial maneuver marks a significant step in EZCORP’s financial strategy, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
EZCORP Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

EZCORP reported strong financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, ending March 31, with an 11% increase in pawn loans outstanding to $261.8 million and an 18% rise in net income to $25.4 million. The company completed a $300 million private offering of senior notes due 2032, enhancing its financial flexibility and capital structure, while its operational performance reflected robust demand across geographies, contributing to a 23% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $45.1 million.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025