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Pra Group Inc. (PRAA)
NASDAQ:PRAA

Pra Group (PRAA) AI Stock Analysis

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PRAA

Pra Group

(NASDAQ:PRAA)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(0.89% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance quality—large GAAP loss and persistently negative operating/free cash flow—despite better revenue and substantially reduced leverage. Technicals show an uptrend but overbought conditions increase near-term risk. Valuation is constrained by loss-making earnings, while the latest earnings call was constructive with strong operational/adjusted momentum and guidance focused on disciplined investing and leverage reduction.
Positive Factors
Record Cash Collections
Sustained, record cash collections and revenue provide durable operating cash inflows tied to core collection capabilities and scale. Strong collections improve portfolio payback timelines and support disciplined reinvestment in portfolios, helping sustain earnings power and ERC replenishment over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow erodes internal funding capacity, increasing reliance on external capital to buy portfolios. Over time this constrains reinvestment flexibility, raises financing cost exposure, and limits the firm's ability to sustain growth or absorb adverse portfolio performance.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Record Cash Collections
Sustained, record cash collections and revenue provide durable operating cash inflows tied to core collection capabilities and scale. Strong collections improve portfolio payback timelines and support disciplined reinvestment in portfolios, helping sustain earnings power and ERC replenishment over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Pra Group (PRAA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pra Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
PRA Group, Inc., a financial and business services company, engages in the purchase, collection, and management of portfolios of nonperforming loans in the Americas, Australia, and Europe. It is involved in the purchase of accounts that are primar...
How the Company Makes Money
Pra Group generates revenue primarily through the purchase of non-performing loans at a discount, followed by the recovery of the outstanding balances from borrowers. The company's key revenue streams include the collections on acquired debt portf...

Pra Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was largely positive: management reported multiple record metrics (cash collections, revenue, ERC, portfolio income), demonstrated improving operating leverage and declining net leverage, and outlined a multi-year strategy focused on disciplined investing, technology and AI, and cost flexibility. These operational gains were partially offset by a large non-cash goodwill impairment that produced a GAAP net loss, rising legal and interest costs due to strategic investments, and some near-term variability and execution risks from workforce changes and higher purchase multiples. On balance, the operational momentum, improved adjusted metrics, and clear strategic path outweigh the one-time impairment and transitional costs.
Positive Updates
Record Cash Collections and Revenue
Cash collections were a record $2.1 billion for 2025, up 13% year-over-year; Q4 cash collections were $532 million, up 14% year-over-year. Revenue reached a record $1.2 billion for the year.
Negative Updates
Large Non-Cash Goodwill Impairment and GAAP Loss
Recorded a non-cash goodwill impairment of $413 million in Q3 2025, which contributed to a full-year net loss attributable to PRA of $305 million despite positive adjusted results.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Cash Collections and Revenue
Cash collections were a record $2.1 billion for 2025, up 13% year-over-year; Q4 cash collections were $532 million, up 14% year-over-year. Revenue reached a record $1.2 billion for the year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided to disciplined investing of $1.0–$1.3 billion per year (2026 expected similar to 2025’s $1.2B) while driving adjusted EBITDA to grow faster than cash collections and pushing net leverage down to the mid‑2x area from 2.7x at 12/31/25 (peak 2.9x), with opportunistic buybacks (2025 repurchases $20M, $50M remaining authorization). They highlighted record ERC of $8.6B (+15% YoY; 42% U.S., 51% Europe) with a replenishment need of ~$982M, strong cash collections of $2.1B in 2025 (Q4 $532M, +14% YoY; FY +13%), digital collections +25%, U.S. cash +17%, U.S. legal collections +28% to $483M (legal = 48% of U.S. core), Europe cash +11% Q4/+13% FY, and Q4 purchases of $315M (U.S. $112M, Europe $157M, other $45M). Key profitability and cost metrics to watch: cash efficiency ~60% (61% Q4, adjusted FY 61%), LTM adjusted EBITDA $1.3B (+16% YoY), adjusted net income $73M ($1.84/share), adjusted operating expenses $819M (+6% YoY), legal costs $162M (+30% YoY), net interest $252M FY, and liquidity of $3.2B committed capital with $1.1B total availability ($825M ERC‑based + $274M additional).

Pra Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue improved in 2025, and leverage fell sharply (very low debt-to-equity), but results deteriorated to a large GAAP net loss and cash generation remains weak with negative operating and free cash flow across 2023–2025, limiting financial flexibility and earnings quality.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24B1.12B815.50M966.52M1.10B
Gross Profit1.23B685.65M416.04M550.31M669.61M
EBITDA18.99M209.13M10.49M170.37M266.11M
Net Income-305.14M70.60M-83.48M117.15M183.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.10B4.93B4.53B4.18B4.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments104.41M161.70M172.00M150.19M87.58M
Total Debt32.16M3.36B4.40B3.61B3.84B
Total Liabilities4.06B3.74B3.29B2.89B3.04B
Stockholders Equity979.85M1.14B1.17B1.23B1.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-90.36M-98.64M-100.42M8.34M73.71M
Operating Cash Flow-85.54M-94.59M-97.53M21.59M84.92M
Investing Cash Flow-55.72M-382.47M-234.86M120.45M160.38M
Financing Cash Flow111.75M490.84M355.30M-121.34M-262.81M

Pra Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price16.85
Price Trends
50DMA
14.80
Positive
100DMA
15.65
Positive
200DMA
15.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Positive
RSI
53.01
Neutral
STOCH
35.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRAA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 16.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.55, above the 50-day MA of 14.80, and above the 200-day MA of 15.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PRAA.

Pra Group Risk Analysis

Pra Group disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pra Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pra Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$2.74B6.0953.92%10.18%-2.51%17.47%
68
Neutral
$6.04B10.2523.40%6.07%9.51%29.38%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
61
Neutral
$1.60B16.109.47%9.68%94.85%
53
Neutral
$647.94M-2.27-27.34%13.89%-899.50%
51
Neutral
$11.68B16.525.74%2.58%-6.89%-33.20%
49
Neutral
$2.43B78.357.29%73.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRAA
Pra Group
16.85
-3.77
-18.28%
WU
Western Union
8.73
-0.79
-8.26%
ALLY
Ally Financial
37.79
2.47
6.99%
LC
LendingClub
13.87
3.55
34.40%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
51.55
6.24
13.77%
UPST
Upstart Holdings
24.77
-21.26
-46.19%

Pra Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
PRA Group Reports Strong Q4 2025 Results, PRA 3.0 Launch
Positive
Feb 26, 2026
PRA Group reported fourth-quarter 2025 net income attributable to the company of $56.5 million, or $1.46 per diluted share, on total cash collections of $531.7 million, up 13.6% year over year, and portfolio purchases of $314.8 million, driving re...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026