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Western Union (WU)
NYSE:WU
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Western Union (WU) AI Stock Analysis

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WU

Western Union

(NYSE:WU)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-2.68% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/31/26
Overall score reflects mixed fundamentals: strong cash generation but a sharp revenue downtrend and high leverage weigh most heavily. Valuation is a major positive (low P/E and high dividend yield), but technicals are weak with the stock trading below key moving averages. The latest earnings call was moderately supportive due to reaffirmed guidance and catalysts (Intermex and efficiency initiatives), tempered by near-term margin, cash flow, and leverage headwinds.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Consistent trailing‑twelve‑month operating cash flow (~$610M) and solid FCF (~$403M, +21.5% growth) provide durable internal funding for capex, dividends, and debt service. Strong cash conversion helps buffer cyclical revenue weakness and supports execution of efficiency and M&A plans over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High financial leverage
A debt‑heavy capital structure (debt/equity ~3.2x) limits financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest‑rate risk. High leverage reduces the company's ability to absorb earnings volatility or fund opportunistic investments without increasing financing costs or cutting shareholder returns over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow generation
Consistent trailing‑twelve‑month operating cash flow (~$610M) and solid FCF (~$403M, +21.5% growth) provide durable internal funding for capex, dividends, and debt service. Strong cash conversion helps buffer cyclical revenue weakness and supports execution of efficiency and M&A plans over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Western Union (WU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Western Union Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Western Union operates as a global financial services provider, specializing in fund transfers and diverse payment solutions. The company's operations are divided into two main segments: Consumer-to-Consumer and Business Solutions. The Consumer-to...
How the Company Makes Money
Western Union primarily makes money by charging fees and earning foreign-exchange-related revenue on money transfers. (1) Transaction fees: When a customer sends money, WU charges a transfer fee that varies based on factors such as corridor (origi...

Western Union Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced near‑term challenges (notably a sharp EPS decline, margin and cash flow headwinds, FX and Americas retail softness) against clear signs of operational stabilization, strong digital and Consumer Services momentum, active strategic M&A, and a detailed digital asset rollout. Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance and accelerated an efficiency program to offset quarter‑specific pressures, signaling confidence in a recovery across the remainder of the year.
Positive Updates
Revenue stabilization and improving transaction trends
GAAP revenue of $983M (CEO cited ~$1.0B); adjusted revenue down 1% YoY but a 400 bps improvement versus Q4. Consumer money transfer (CMT) transactions were slightly positive for the first time since Q1 2025 (≈+300 bps vs Q4). Cross-border principal grew mid-single digits, signaling resilience in core flows.
Negative Updates
Material EPS decline and margin pressures in Q1
Adjusted EPS was $0.25 versus $0.41 a year ago. Adjusted operating margin was 13%, with management calling the quarter below expectations due to quarter‑specific items and seasonality tied to Travel Money fixed cost coverage.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue stabilization and improving transaction trends
GAAP revenue of $983M (CEO cited ~$1.0B); adjusted revenue down 1% YoY but a 400 bps improvement versus Q4. Consumer money transfer (CMT) transactions were slightly positive for the first time since Q1 2025 (≈+300 bps vs Q4). Cross-border principal grew mid-single digits, signaling resilience in core flows.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Western Union reaffirmed 2026 guidance of adjusted revenue growth of 6%–9% (inclusive of the expected Intermex close in Q2) and adjusted EPS of $1.75–$1.85, assuming no material macro changes or significant Middle East impact, with Q2 EPS expected to be roughly in line with last year and acceleration into the back half of the year; catalysts cited include Intermex (expected to add ~10,000 U.S. agent locations and ~6 million customers and targeted synergies of $30 million, potentially front‑loaded), new agent wins that should add roughly $100 million of revenue when fully rolled out, and digital/digital‑asset initiatives. Management expects to deliver a $150 million operating efficiency program by year‑end 2028 with large contributions in 2026–2027, and noted near‑term metrics from Q1 (GAAP revenue ~$983M, adjusted revenue down 1%, adjusted operating margin 13%, adjusted EPS $0.25, operating cash flow $109M, CapEx $47M, cash & equivalents ~$900M, debt $2.6B, leverage 2.8x gross / 1.8x net) while continuing capital returns (>$120M returned in Q1).

Western Union Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals. Income statement shows sharp TTM revenue decline (~-31.9%) and some margin compression despite remaining profitable (TTM net margin ~10.9%). Balance sheet is a key weakness with high leverage (debt-to-equity ~3.2x) elevating risk. Cash flow is comparatively stronger (TTM OCF ~$610M; FCF ~$403M; FCF growth ~+21.5%), partially offsetting the revenue and leverage concerns.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.03B4.04B4.21B4.36B4.48B5.07B
Gross Profit1.33B1.16B1.59B1.69B1.85B2.17B
EBITDA585.70M934.30M917.50M1.03B1.29B1.25B
Net Income395.40M499.60M934.20M626.00M910.60M805.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.97B8.31B8.37B8.20B8.50B8.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments919.80M3.08B3.44B1.27B1.29B1.21B
Total Debt0.003.10B3.13B2.50B2.78B3.21B
Total Liabilities7.05B7.35B7.40B7.72B8.02B8.47B
Stockholders Equity914.70M957.80M968.90M479.00M477.80M355.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow402.60M392.90M368.90M635.30M373.40M830.70M
Operating Cash Flow609.70M543.70M406.30M783.10M581.60M1.05B
Investing Cash Flow-178.00M-230.30M-16.30M-140.80M525.50M192.00M
Financing Cash Flow-473.80M-782.60M-69.30M-896.80M-1.18B-1.27B

Western Union Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.22
Price Trends
50DMA
7.78
Negative
100DMA
8.27
Negative
200DMA
8.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
55.41
Neutral
STOCH
48.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.13, above the 50-day MA of 7.78, and below the 200-day MA of 8.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WU.

Western Union Risk Analysis

Western Union disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Western Union reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Western Union Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$42.17B15.9810.13%2.45%16.88%32.25%
74
Outperform
$49.92B10.9424.42%0.75%6.32%12.89%
71
Outperform
$24.39B7.8220.94%1.65%-2.40%18.50%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$7.27B9.2223.07%7.01%6.93%
61
Neutral
$19.56B35.037.11%34.08%-0.29%
58
Neutral
$2.53B6.0247.95%11.44%-2.34%-49.33%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WU
Western Union
7.69
0.48
6.67%
IX
Orix
40.40
17.85
79.16%
SYF
Synchrony Financial
77.17
8.64
12.61%
PYPL
PayPal Holdings
57.65
-10.52
-15.43%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
63.40
9.72
18.10%
SOFI
SoFi
16.47
-6.11
-27.06%

Western Union Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Western Union Announces Chief Legal Officer Retirement Plans
Neutral
Jul 23, 2026
On July 20, 2026, Western Union announced that Benjamin Adams, Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer, intends to participate in the company’s Voluntary Retirement Program and will depart his role effective November 2, 2026. During...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Western Union Extends Term Loan Drawdown Commitment Period
Positive
Jun 24, 2026
The Western Union Company has amended its existing Delayed Draw Term Loan Credit Agreement, originally dated January 9, 2026, with a First Amendment executed on June 17, 2026. The amendment, arranged with a syndicate of banks and Bank of America, ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Western Union Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Stock Plan
Positive
May 18, 2026
At its May 14, 2026 annual meeting, Western Union shareholders elected all nominated directors to one-year terms and gave advisory approval to the compensation of the company’s named executive officers. Investors also ratified Ernst Young L...
Private Placements and Financing
Western Union Expands 2029 Debt Through New Note Offering
Positive
May 5, 2026
On May 5, 2026, Western Union completed an offering and sale of $165 million aggregate principal amount of 4.750% notes due 2029 as an additional issuance to its existing 2029 notes series. The new notes, issued under its shelf registration and ex...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2026