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Expensify, Inc. (EXFY)
:EXFY
US Market
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Expensify (EXFY) AI Stock Analysis

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EXFY

Expensify

(NASDAQ:EXFY)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(2.56% Upside)
Expensify's overall stock score reflects a balance of positive revenue growth and cash flow improvements against ongoing profitability challenges and valuation concerns. The earnings call provided a boost with strategic initiatives and brand exposure, but financial performance and valuation remain key areas for improvement.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful product adoption, reinforcing Expensify's competitive position in the expense management sector.
Global Expansion
Global expansion enhances Expensify's market reach and customer base, positioning the company for sustained growth and increased revenue opportunities.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow reflects effective financial management, providing Expensify with the flexibility to invest in growth initiatives and weather economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Net Loss
Ongoing net losses highlight challenges in achieving profitability, which could impact long-term financial health and shareholder value if not addressed.
R&D Investment Concerns
Insufficient R&D investment may hinder innovation and competitiveness, risking Expensify's ability to keep pace with industry advancements and larger competitors.
Profit Margin Challenges
Declining profit margins suggest operational inefficiencies, which could undermine Expensify's ability to sustain profitability and fund future growth initiatives.

Expensify (EXFY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Expensify Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExpensify, Inc. provides a cloud-based expense management software platform to individuals, small businesses, and corporations in the United States and internationally. The company's platform enables users to manage corporate cards, pay bills, generate invoices, collect payments, and book travel. It also offers track and submit plans for individuals. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Portland, Oregon.
How the Company Makes MoneyExpensify generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based model. The company offers various pricing tiers that cater to different business needs, including individual users, small teams, and large organizations. Additionally, Expensify earns money through transaction fees associated with its payment processing services and by offering premium features like advanced reporting and integrations with accounting software. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and other software providers also enhance its service offerings and contribute to its revenue streams. Furthermore, Expensify may engage in affiliate marketing and referral programs, thereby diversifying its income sources.

Expensify Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Paid Members
Average Paid Members
Shows the average number of users who subscribe to paid plans, indicating the company's ability to convert free users to paying customers and generate consistent revenue.
Chart InsightsExpensify's average paid members have been on a declining trend since late 2022, which aligns with the recent earnings call highlighting a slight decrease in paid members to 655,000. Despite this, the company is experiencing strong revenue growth and significant increases in free cash flow, driven by strategic pricing adjustments and AI-driven features. The expansion of the Expensify Card and travel services, alongside effective marketing promotions, suggests potential future growth, although economic uncertainties and tariff impacts remain challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Expensify Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The company reported strong revenue growth and increased free cash flow, boosted by the successful exposure from the F1 movie. The expansion into global markets and the growth in Expensify Travel are promising. However, the financial results were impacted by a net loss due to accounting for movie expenses, and there are concerns about R&D investment compared to competitors.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue was $35.8 million, which is up year-on-year.
Increase in Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was $6.3 million, a 10% increase from last year.
F1 Movie Exposure
Expensify was on screen for an estimated total of over 35 minutes in the F1 movie, generating an estimated $61 million in earned media value.
Brand Awareness Growth
Over a 50% increase in brand awareness in the core demographic from April to July, with a 350% increase among ages 18 to 24.
Global Expansion
Added support for over 10,000 banks globally and expanded the Expensify card to work in the U.K. and EU.
Expensify Travel Growth
Expensify Travel saw a 44% growth in the last quarter.
Negative Updates
Net Loss
Net loss was $8.8 million, with a non-GAAP net loss of $1.9 million and adjusted EBITDA at negative $1.4 million.
Seasonal Decline in Paid Members
July payment members were 641,000, noting a seasonal decline due to summer vacations.
R&D Investment Concerns
14% of payroll was allocated to GAAP R&D, raising concerns about keeping up with larger vendors.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 Expensify earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and forward-looking guidance. Revenue increased year-over-year to $35.8 million, with average paid members totaling 652,000 and total interchange reaching $5.3 million. Despite a net loss of $8.8 million, the non-GAAP net loss was $1.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA was negative $1.4 million. Operating cash flow was $8.9 million, while free cash flow amounted to $6.3 million, marking a 10% increase from the previous year. The company updated its annual free cash flow guidance to $19 million to $23 million, an increase from the prior estimate of $17 million to $21 million. Expensify highlighted its involvement in the F1 Movie, with the brand receiving significant exposure, contributing to a 350% increase in brand awareness among the 18 to 24 demographic. The company's focus remains on expanding its global presence, enhancing its AI capabilities, and transitioning customers to its new platform, all while maintaining strong cash flow generation as part of its long-term strategy.

Expensify Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Expensify's financial performance shows challenges in profitability with negative profit margins and returns on equity. However, the balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and cash flow trends are positive, indicating potential for improvement.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Expensify's income statement reveals a challenging financial landscape. The company has experienced fluctuating revenue growth, with a recent slight increase of 1.75% in TTM after previous declines. Gross profit margins have decreased over time, indicating potential cost management issues. Net profit margins remain negative, reflecting ongoing losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, suggesting operational inefficiencies. Overall, the income statement shows a need for improved profitability and cost control.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 in TTM, indicating low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is solid, suggesting a strong capital structure. While the company maintains a stable asset base, improving profitability is crucial for enhancing shareholder value.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Expensify's cash flow statement highlights some positive trends. The company has achieved a free cash flow growth of 7.78% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting effective cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash flow is not yet sufficient to cover net losses. Continued focus on cash flow management will be essential for financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue144.25M139.24M150.69M169.50M142.84M88.07M
Gross Profit73.94M75.00M83.80M106.83M89.14M55.66M
EBITDA-9.11M5.99M-27.98M-9.18M-5.05M8.09M
Net Income-15.47M-10.05M-41.46M-27.01M-13.56M-1.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets187.14M173.68M176.78M210.24M183.21M87.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments60.52M48.77M47.51M103.79M98.40M34.40M
Total Debt5.38M6.47M29.55M67.78M69.97M51.70M
Total Liabilities55.32M45.44M76.04M113.00M106.60M118.77M
Stockholders Equity131.81M128.24M100.74M97.24M76.61M-31.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow21.53M23.88M-5.74M30.67M-2.13M3.29M
Operating Cash Flow24.81M23.88M1.56M32.88M5.49M7.58M
Investing Cash Flow-4.43M-7.63M-7.29M-2.20M-7.61M-4.29M
Financing Cash Flow-24.34M-22.07M-45.32M-8.28M80.56M8.79M

Expensify Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.95
Price Trends
50DMA
1.95
Negative
100DMA
2.16
Negative
200DMA
2.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
48.85
Neutral
STOCH
45.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXFY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.93, below the 50-day MA of 1.95, and below the 200-day MA of 2.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EXFY.

Expensify Risk Analysis

Expensify disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Expensify reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Expensify Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$237.47M2.8128.27%5.18%3828.94%129.01%
61
Neutral
$153.11M-14.96-12.68%1.47%-430.99%
57
Neutral
$223.79M-14.03-8.04%8.48%-37.74%
56
Neutral
$255.53M-7.01-24.17%-6.88%15.83%
53
Neutral
$178.82M-12.58%4.13%54.44%
53
Neutral
$273.57M1.56-2.66%10.17%-17.17%497.89%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXFY
Expensify
1.93
-0.03
-1.53%
ASUR
Asure
8.24
-0.81
-8.95%
IMMR
Immersion
7.33
-1.19
-13.97%
SSTI
SoundThinking Inc
12.01
0.42
3.62%
MKTW
MarketWise
16.41
4.59
38.83%
ONTF
ON24
6.00
-0.12
-1.96%

Expensify Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Expensify Reports Q2 2025 Results with Revenue Growth
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Expensify announced its Q2 2025 results, highlighting a 31% increase in interchange derived from the Expensify Card, reaching $5.3 million. The company reported a revenue of $35.8 million, a 7% increase from the previous year, despite a net loss of $8.8 million. Expensify’s brand visibility increased significantly due to its presence in ‘F1® The Movie,’ leading to a 50% gain in brand awareness in target demographics. The company is expanding internationally, with the Expensify Card launching in the UK and EU, and support for over 10,000 banks worldwide. Expensify also enhanced its platform with multilingual support and additional billing options, aiming to capture a broader market. The company repurchased $3.0 million worth of shares and increased its full-year 2025 free cash flow guidance to $19.0 million – $23.0 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXFY) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expensify stock, see the EXFY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Expensify Ends Loan Agreement with CIBC
Neutral
Jul 8, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Expensify, Inc. terminated its Second Amended and Restated Loan and Security Agreement with the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce. At the time of termination, there were no borrowings or amounts drawn, and all obligations were settled without penalties, releasing all related liens and returning any collateral held by CIBC.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXFY) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expensify stock, see the EXFY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 25, 2025