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Expensify, Inc. (EXFY)
:EXFY
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Expensify (EXFY) AI Stock Analysis

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EXFY

Expensify

(NASDAQ:EXFY)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-6.83% Downside)
Expensify's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and persistent losses, which weigh heavily on its valuation. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, further impacting the score. However, positive cash flow metrics and optimistic earnings call guidance provide some potential for future improvement.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Membership Growth
The increase in revenue and membership indicates a growing user base and market penetration, which are crucial for long-term business sustainability and expansion.
AI and Product Development
AI advancements enhance customer experience and operational efficiency, providing a competitive edge and supporting future scalability.
Expensify Travel Success
The substantial growth in travel bookings highlights successful diversification and potential for increased revenue streams, strengthening the business model.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Trend
A declining revenue trend poses a risk to financial stability and growth potential, necessitating strategic adjustments to reverse the trend.
Net Loss
Ongoing net losses indicate profitability challenges that could hinder long-term financial health and require cost management improvements.
Migration Challenges
Migration challenges affect operational efficiency and revenue consistency, highlighting the need for smoother transitions to new platforms.

Expensify (EXFY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Expensify Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExpensify (EXFY) is a financial technology company that specializes in expense management solutions for businesses of all sizes. Founded in 2008, Expensify offers a cloud-based platform designed to simplify the process of expense reporting and management. Its core products include expense tracking, receipt scanning, and automated reporting, making it easier for organizations to manage their financial workflows efficiently. The company's services are widely used across various sectors, including small businesses, large enterprises, and non-profits.
How the Company Makes MoneyExpensify generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based model. The company offers various pricing tiers that cater to different business needs, including individual users, small teams, and large organizations. Additionally, Expensify earns money through transaction fees associated with its payment processing services and by offering premium features like advanced reporting and integrations with accounting software. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and other software providers also enhance its service offerings and contribute to its revenue streams. Furthermore, Expensify may engage in affiliate marketing and referral programs, thereby diversifying its income sources.

Expensify Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Paid Members
Average Paid Members
Shows the average number of users who subscribe to paid plans, indicating the company's ability to convert free users to paying customers and generate consistent revenue.
Chart InsightsExpensify's average paid members have been on a declining trend since late 2022, which aligns with the recent earnings call highlighting a slight decrease in paid members to 655,000. Despite this, the company is experiencing strong revenue growth and significant increases in free cash flow, driven by strategic pricing adjustments and AI-driven features. The expansion of the Expensify Card and travel services, alongside effective marketing promotions, suggests potential future growth, although economic uncertainties and tariff impacts remain challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Expensify Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in revenue and travel bookings, as well as successful customer acquisitions and AI advancements. However, financial challenges such as a net loss and migration hurdles were also evident.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Membership Growth
Q3 revenue was $35.1 million with an increase in average paid members from 642,000 in Q3 to 653,000 in October, indicating a positive trend in user growth.
Expensify Travel Success
Travel bookings grew 36% from Q2 and 95% since Q1, highlighting significant traction for Expensify Travel.
Marquee Customer Wins
Expensify became the Official Travel and Expense partner of the Brooklyn Nets, showcasing the platform's expanding influence and appeal.
AI and Product Development
Significant advancements in AI integration, with a hybrid system combining AI and human support, enhancing the customer experience.
Negative Updates
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $2.3 million for Q3, indicating financial challenges despite revenue growth.
Free Cash Flow Reduction
Q3 free cash flow was $1.2 million, lower than in prior quarters due to seasonal timing of annual payments.
Migration Challenges
Less than 50% of revenue is from New Expensify, and challenges remain in migrating existing customers over from Classic, affecting operational efficiency.
Company Guidance
During the Expensify Q3 2025 earnings call, guidance was provided with several key metrics. The company reported a revenue of $35.1 million, with average paid members reaching 642,000 and total interchange at $5.4 million. Operating cash flow was $4.2 million, while free cash flow was $1.2 million. Despite a net loss of $2.3 million, the non-GAAP net income was $4.3 million, and adjusted EBITDA was recorded at $6.5 million. The company reiterated its fiscal year 2025 free cash flow guidance of $19 million to $23 million. Additionally, October's paid members rose to 653,000, indicating growth beyond the Q3 average.

Expensify Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Expensify faces challenges with declining revenue and persistent losses, as reflected in its income statement. The balance sheet shows financial stability with low leverage but lacks profitability. Cash flow metrics are a bright spot, with positive free cash flow growth and efficient cash management. The company needs to address revenue decline and improve profitability to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Expensify's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -23.8% in the TTM period. The company has been consistently unprofitable, with negative net profit margins across all periods, reaching -10.8% in the TTM. Gross profit margins have decreased from 63% in 2022 to 50.8% in the TTM, indicating pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.038 in the TTM, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -11.8%, highlighting profitability issues. The equity ratio is stable, with stockholders' equity representing a significant portion of total assets. Overall, the balance sheet shows financial stability but lacks profitability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Expensify's cash flow statement shows positive free cash flow growth of 13% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.57, suggesting that the company is generating cash despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, reflecting efficient cash management. Overall, cash flow metrics are a positive aspect of the company's financials.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue143.91M139.24M150.69M169.50M142.84M88.07M
Gross Profit73.07M75.00M83.80M106.83M89.14M55.66M
EBITDA-7.28M5.99M-27.98M-9.18M-5.05M8.09M
Net Income-15.58M-10.05M-41.46M-27.01M-13.56M-1.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets186.84M173.68M176.78M210.24M183.21M87.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.45M48.77M47.51M103.79M98.40M34.40M
Total Debt5.93M6.47M29.55M67.78M69.97M51.70M
Total Liabilities51.17M45.44M76.04M113.00M106.60M73.66M
Stockholders Equity135.66M128.24M100.74M97.24M76.61M14.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.76M16.25M-5.74M30.67M-2.13M3.29M
Operating Cash Flow25.29M23.88M1.56M32.88M5.49M7.58M
Investing Cash Flow-3.69M-7.63M-7.29M-2.20M-7.61M-4.29M
Financing Cash Flow-2.48M-22.07M-45.32M-8.28M80.56M8.79M

Expensify Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.61
Price Trends
50DMA
1.64
Negative
100DMA
1.80
Negative
200DMA
2.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
50.92
Neutral
STOCH
77.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXFY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.48, below the 50-day MA of 1.64, and below the 200-day MA of 2.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EXFY.

Expensify Risk Analysis

Expensify disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Expensify reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Expensify Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$136.39M11.5618.24%0.59%
57
Neutral
$608.04M-28.65%16.40%22.80%
54
Neutral
$238.90M-20.20%-6.23%28.57%
50
Neutral
$139.56M-12.19%4.71%11.12%
47
Neutral
$308.12M-3.06-24.21%-48.61%-2291.48%
44
Neutral
$75.94M-14.61%-1.83%-642.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXFY
Expensify
1.55
-1.83
-54.14%
SSTI
SoundThinking Inc
6.15
-7.19
-53.90%
OCFT
OneConnect Financial Technology
7.90
5.35
209.80%
MAPS
WM Technology
0.87
-0.49
-36.25%
FRGE
Forge Global Holdings
44.22
29.30
196.38%
ONTF
ON24
5.65
-1.00
-15.04%

Expensify Corporate Events

Expensify, Inc. Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 8, 2025

Expensify, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment with notable achievements and challenges. The company reported significant growth in revenue and travel bookings, alongside successful customer acquisitions and advancements in AI technology. However, financial hurdles such as a net loss and migration issues were also apparent.

Expensify Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 7, 2025

Expensify, Inc., a company specializing in expense management, corporate cards, and travel solutions, has released its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, highlighting its financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company, known for its innovative approach and user-friendly platform, continues to serve a diverse clientele across various industries.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements
Expensify Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results and AI Upgrade
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Expensify announced its Q3 2025 financial results, revealing a slight revenue decline to $35.1 million and a net loss of $2.3 million. Despite these challenges, the company saw an 18% increase in interchange from its Expensify Card and a significant 95% rise in travel bookings since Q1. Expensify also introduced a major upgrade to its AI technology, the Concierge AI, enhancing its capabilities in expense management. The company remains committed to its free cash flow guidance for FY 2025 and continues to transition its user base to the New Expensify platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXFY) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expensify stock, see the EXFY Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Expensify Enters New Credit Facility Agreement
Neutral
Oct 15, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Expensify, Inc. entered into a Letter of Credit Facility and Security Agreement with Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, replacing its previous Loan and Security Agreement. This new agreement allows for the issuance of additional irrevocable standby letters of credit and grants a security interest in the company’s assets to CIBC, impacting the company’s financial operations and obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXFY) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expensify stock, see the EXFY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025