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Asure (ASUR)
NASDAQ:ASUR

Asure (ASUR) AI Stock Analysis

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Asure

(NASDAQ:ASUR)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(1.95%Upside)
Asure's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and strategic acquisitions enhancing growth potential. However, persistent profitability challenges and a negative P/E ratio weigh on the valuation. Optimistic earnings guidance and strategic initiatives provide a positive outlook despite financial pressures.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
The acquisition broadens the company’s time and attendance capabilities and adds clients.
Financial Performance
Asure's bookings grew 45% year-over-year and its sales backlog grew 339% year-over-year to $82 million, indicating strong organic growth potential.
Stock Rating
The investment rating on ASUR stock is OUTPERFORM with a 12-month price target of $17.
Negative Factors
Debt Financing
The acquisition of Lathem Time Corporation was funded through Asure's credit line, indicating financial flexibility but also increased debt obligations.

Asure (ASUR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Asure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAsure Software, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management solutions the United States. It helps various small and mid-sized businesses to build productive teams to help them stay compliant and allocate resources to grow their business. The company's solutions include Asure Payroll & Tax, an integrated cloud-based solution automates regulations associated with payroll and taxes, including wages, benefits, overtime, garnishments, tips, direct deposits, and fair labor standard act, as well as federal, state, and local payroll taxes; Asure (human resource) HR, a cloud-based functionality that handles HR complexities, such as employee self-service that enable employees to access information, pay history, and company documents; and Asure Time & Attendance that provides cost savings and return on investment gains come in the form of strategic use of labor dollars and the elimination of time theft. It also provides HR services that offers services comprising on-demand HR resource library, phone and email support for any HR issues, and compliance and policy updates; support for strategic HR decision making; and HR outsourcing solution, as well as data integration with related third-party systems, such as 401(k), benefits, and insurance provider systems. Asure Software, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyAsure makes money primarily through the sale of its cloud-based software subscriptions and related services. The company's revenue model is largely based on recurring subscription fees charged to clients for using its HCM platform and solutions. These fees are typically structured on a per-employee, per-month basis, allowing Asure to scale its services with the growth of its clients. Additionally, Asure generates revenue from professional services such as implementation, training, and consulting, which help clients integrate and optimize the use of its software. The company's partnerships with various technology providers and resellers also contribute to its market reach and sales growth, enabling it to expand its customer base across different sectors and geographical locations.

Asure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.88%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and strategic advancements, such as new product launches and increased bookings. However, financial challenges such as increased net loss and EBITDA decline were noted. The company remains optimistic about future growth and profitability, supported by a solid contracted backlog and strategic investments.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
First quarter revenues reached $34.9 million, a 10% increase from the previous year. Excluding ERTC, revenues grew by 13%.
Increased New Bookings and Backlog
New bookings increased by 45% compared to the prior year. The contracted revenue backlog rose 339% year-over-year to $82 million.
Successful Product Launches and Expansions
The Payroll Tax Management product continued its momentum, launching new capabilities for Canadian companies. AsurePay is witnessing positive trends with over 70% of active card users using it more than three times per month.
Improved Profitability Forecast
The company expects adjusted EBITDA margins of 23% to 24% for the full year 2025, indicating expected profitability as revenue growth continues.
Positive Strategic Developments
Entered into a new $60 million credit facility to drive customer acquisition and potential acquisitions, aligning with the growth strategy.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Increase
Reported a net loss of $2.4 million for the first quarter, compared to a net loss of $308,000 in the prior year.
EBITDA Decline
EBITDA for the first quarter decreased to $4.1 million from $4.4 million in the prior year.
HR Compliance Revenue Depressed
HR compliance remains depressed due to product attachment activity in 2023, with expectations of better performance in the second half of 2025.
Slight Decline in Float Revenue
Float revenue was slightly down due to rate reductions in the federal funds rate, though mitigated by increases in average fund balances.
Company Guidance
During Asure's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, significant guidance was provided regarding the company's financial outlook and strategic initiatives. Asure reported strong first-quarter revenues of $34.9 million, marking a 10% increase year-over-year, driven by robust performance in Payroll Tax Management and other offerings. The company's contracted revenue backlog surged by 339% to $82 million, providing confidence for the remainder of the year. Asure reiterated its full-year 2025 revenue guidance of $134-$138 million, with adjusted EBITDA margins anticipated to be between 23% and 24%. The firm highlighted increased attach rates and noted that 45% growth in new bookings was achieved. Asure is also investing in technology and sales infrastructure, including expanding AsurePay and enhancing their product suite, to support future revenue growth and cross-selling opportunities. The company secured a $60 million credit facility to fuel potential acquisitions, reflecting its commitment to both organic and inorganic growth strategies.

Asure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Asure shows revenue growth and improved equity positions. However, profitability is challenged by persistent net losses and liquidity pressures from negative free cash flow. Better leverage management is a positive, but operational efficiency needs enhancement.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Asure's revenue has shown a consistent growth trend, with a notable increase from $65.5M in 2020 to $123M in TTM 2025. However, the net profit margin has remained negative, indicating ongoing losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also fluctuated, with EBIT consistently negative, reflecting challenges in operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has improved its equity position, with stockholders' equity increasing to $197.7M in TTM 2025. The debt-to-equity ratio has decreased, indicating better leverage management. However, total liabilities remain significant, posing a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has improved over time, reaching $15.3M in TTM 2025. However, free cash flow remains negative due to high capital expenditures, which could strain liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some cash-generating ability despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue122.99M119.79M119.08M95.83M76.06M65.51M
Gross Profit80.06M82.11M85.54M62.51M46.56M38.09M
EBITDA6.60M-10.74M15.81M10.49M23.85M1.42M
Net Income-13.86M-11.77M-9.21M-14.47M3.19M-16.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets498.94M436.64M443.87M419.91M433.25M515.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.08M21.43M30.32M17.01M13.43M28.58M
Total Debt19.44M17.73M10.44M43.22M41.32M31.73M
Total Liabilities301.28M247.29M252.21M274.84M275.00M369.77M
Stockholders Equity197.66M197.31M191.66M145.07M158.24M145.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.61M-14.75M2.64M4.84M-28.42M-5.34M
Operating Cash Flow15.33M9.39M18.90M13.67M1.38M-1.71M
Investing Cash Flow-27.39M-19.26M-29.52M-36.00M-36.97M-201.13M
Financing Cash Flow20.82M-22.04M24.20M-12.38M-90.65M202.59M

Asure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.79
Price Trends
50DMA
9.84
Positive
100DMA
9.95
Positive
200DMA
9.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.26
Negative
RSI
61.98
Neutral
STOCH
84.42
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASUR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.91, above the 50-day MA of 9.84, and above the 200-day MA of 9.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASUR.

Asure Risk Analysis

Asure disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Asure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Asure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$33.79B5.88-11.85%1.81%5.29%-18.24%
59
Neutral
$308.20M-7.01%4.52%-20.60%
58
Neutral
$225.47M-7.83%-1.63%77.80%
54
Neutral
$233.61M-24.47%-8.39%7.79%
52
Neutral
$278.29M-24.28%-1.87%61.90%
51
Neutral
$223.63M-27.44%16.03%30.99%
48
Neutral
$307.55M-104.69%-1.64%9.99%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASUR
Asure
10.79
2.60
31.75%
EGHT
8X8
2.06
-0.21
-9.25%
NRDY
Nerdy
1.60
0.07
4.58%
FRGE
Forge Global Holdings
18.14
-2.86
-13.62%
ONTF
ON24
5.40
-0.42
-7.22%
EXFY
Expensify
2.44
0.44
22.00%

Asure Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Asure Completes Acquisition of Lathem Time 2025
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Asure Software, Inc. acquired Lathem Time 2025, LLC for $39.5 million, enhancing its portfolio in time and attendance solutions. Concurrently, Asure amended its Credit Agreement to include Lathem as a guarantor and increased its minimum liquidity threshold, reflecting strategic financial adjustments post-acquisition.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASUR) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asure stock, see the ASUR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Asure Software Approves Amended Rights Agreement at Meeting
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

Asure Software, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors approved a Fourth Amended and Restated Rights Agreement, which was subsequently approved by stockholders at the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 2, 2025. The agreement, effective October 28, 2025, extends the expiration date to October 28, 2028, and involves a change in the rights agent. Additionally, stockholders voted on several proposals, including the election of directors, ratification of the audit committee’s appointment of CBIZ CPAs PC, an amendment to the 2018 Incentive Award Plan, and advisory votes on executive compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASUR) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asure stock, see the ASUR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025