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Asure (ASUR)
NASDAQ:ASUR
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Asure (ASUR) AI Stock Analysis

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ASUR

Asure

(NASDAQ:ASUR)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(1.19% Upside)
Asure's overall stock score reflects a mix of moderate financial performance, bearish technical indicators, and concerning valuation metrics. The earnings call provided positive highlights with improved guidance and strategic acquisitions, but these are counterbalanced by profitability challenges and declining bookings.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Opportunity
The acquisition of Lathem Time Corporation should provide a significant opportunity to cross-sell human capital management services to Lathem’s 14,000 clients.
Contracted Backlog
The company’s contracted backlog is $82 million, up 68% YOY and remains at record levels.
Investment Rating
The investment rating on ASUR stock remains OUTPERFORM despite reducing the 12-month price target to $15.
Negative Factors
Bookings Decline
Bookings were down 53% year-over-year due to a difficult comparison with large enterprise deals.
Organic Growth Challenges
Organic growth of 1.2% year-over-year was below expectations, impacted by the ongoing HR Compliance bundling issue.
Revenue and EPS Performance
Asure reported Q2/25 revenue of $30.1 million, which was 3% less than both the forecast and the FactSet consensus forecast of $31.0 million.

Asure (ASUR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Asure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAsure Software, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management solutions the United States. It helps various small and mid-sized businesses to build productive teams to help them stay compliant and allocate resources to grow their business. The company's solutions include Asure Payroll & Tax, an integrated cloud-based solution automates regulations associated with payroll and taxes, including wages, benefits, overtime, garnishments, tips, direct deposits, and fair labor standard act, as well as federal, state, and local payroll taxes; Asure (human resource) HR, a cloud-based functionality that handles HR complexities, such as employee self-service that enable employees to access information, pay history, and company documents; and Asure Time & Attendance that provides cost savings and return on investment gains come in the form of strategic use of labor dollars and the elimination of time theft. It also provides HR services that offers services comprising on-demand HR resource library, phone and email support for any HR issues, and compliance and policy updates; support for strategic HR decision making; and HR outsourcing solution, as well as data integration with related third-party systems, such as 401(k), benefits, and insurance provider systems. Asure Software, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyAsure generates revenue primarily through subscription-based models for its software services. This includes recurring fees from clients who utilize its HCM and workforce management platforms, providing a stable income stream. Additionally, the company earns revenue from professional services such as implementation, training, and customer support. Partnerships with other technology firms and integrations with various payroll and HR systems further enhance its offerings, potentially leading to increased customer acquisition and retention. The company also benefits from upselling opportunities as clients expand their service usage over time.

Asure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were positive developments such as solid revenue growth, a strategic acquisition, and an increase in contracted revenue backlog, challenges like a decline in bookings, increased net loss, and headwinds in the HR Compliance product were notable. The updated revenue guidance and strategic acquisition are positive indicators, but the lowlights suggest underlying challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Revenue Growth
Second quarter revenues were reported at $30.1 million, representing a 7% increase compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Excluding the impact of ERTC, revenue growth was 10%.
Acquisition of Lathem Time Corporation
Asure acquired Lathem Time Corporation, which has approximately 14,000 clients. The acquisition is expected to bring additional high-margin revenue and is seen as a strategic fit with Asure's existing business.
Increase in Contracted Revenue Backlog
Contracted revenue backlog increased to $82 million, up 68% compared to the previous year, reaching record levels.
Updated Full Year 2025 Revenue Guidance
Full year 2025 revenue guidance increased to a range of $138 million to $142 million, up from the previous guidance of $134 million to $138 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Bookings
Bookings for the second quarter declined by 53% year-over-year, primarily due to large enterprise deals booked in the second quarter of 2024.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss for the second quarter was $6.1 million, compared to a net loss of $4.4 million during the prior year.
Challenges with HR Compliance Product
HR Compliance faced headwinds due to ERTC-related bundling activity in 2023, negatively impacting growth in the second quarter.
Weaker Professional Service Revenue
Professional service revenue was weaker than forecasted, impacted by the timing of enterprise implementations.
Company Guidance
During Asure's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance were discussed. The company reported second-quarter revenues of $30.1 million, marking a 7% increase from the previous year, with an organic growth of 1%, though excluding certain pressures, the organic growth was 5%. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased to $5.2 million from $4.1 million the prior year, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 17%. Asure's contracted revenue backlog reached $82 million, a 68% increase year-over-year. The company's full-year 2025 revenue guidance was raised to a range of $138 million to $142 million, with adjusted EBITDA margins expected between 22% and 24%. This adjustment reflects the anticipated impact of the recent acquisition of Lathem Time Corporation, which is projected to contribute approximately $7 million in revenue for the second half of 2025. The acquisition aims to enhance Asure's offerings and client base, with Lathem's 14,000 clients and established products in time and attendance solutions.

Asure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Asure exhibits consistent revenue growth but faces profitability challenges with negative net income and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is stable, yet there's a reliance on debt financing. Cash flow improvements are present in operating cash but free cash flow remains a concern due to capital expenditures.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Asure has demonstrated moderate revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $125 million, up from $119 million in the previous year. However, profitability remains a challenge as reflected by negative net income and EBIT margins. The company shows consistent gross profit margins but struggles to turn this into net profit.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. However, the company's equity ratio has decreased slightly, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing. Despite these challenges, Asure maintains a strong cash position of $66 million, which provides some financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Asure's cash flow results are mixed. The company has shown improvement in operating cash flow but faces challenges with free cash flow due to ongoing capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, indicating difficulties in converting profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue125.07M119.79M119.08M95.83M76.06M65.51M
Gross Profit85.15M82.11M85.54M62.51M46.56M38.09M
EBITDA6.75M-10.74M15.81M10.49M23.85M1.42M
Net Income-15.63M-11.77M-9.21M-14.47M3.19M-16.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets505.56M436.64M443.87M419.91M433.25M515.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments66.00M21.43M30.32M17.01M13.43M28.58M
Total Debt73.03M17.73M10.44M43.22M41.32M31.73M
Total Liabilities311.31M239.32M252.21M274.84M275.00M369.77M
Stockholders Equity194.25M197.31M191.66M145.07M158.24M145.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.24M-14.75M2.64M4.84M-28.42M-5.34M
Operating Cash Flow16.26M9.39M18.90M13.67M1.38M-1.71M
Investing Cash Flow-29.71M-19.26M-29.52M-36.00M-36.97M-201.13M
Financing Cash Flow78.99M-22.04M24.20M-12.38M-90.65M202.59M

Asure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.40
Price Trends
50DMA
9.44
Negative
100DMA
9.54
Negative
200DMA
9.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Negative
RSI
38.78
Neutral
STOCH
47.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASUR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.38, below the 50-day MA of 9.44, and below the 200-day MA of 9.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ASUR.

Asure Risk Analysis

Asure disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Asure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Asure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$35.62B8.22-10.94%1.88%8.86%-10.36%
58
Neutral
$260.47M-28.14%14.78%21.87%
57
Neutral
$229.82M-8.02%8.48%-37.74%
51
Neutral
$253.65M-18.25%-0.73%67.98%
49
Neutral
$317.35M-36.64%4.05%-100.64%
48
Neutral
$250.83M-105.81%-10.85%-15.09%
47
Neutral
$194.51M-6.60%25.55%61.22%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASUR
Asure
8.40
-0.32
-3.67%
EGHT
8X8
1.91
0.04
2.14%
NRDY
Nerdy
1.35
0.34
33.66%
FRGE
Forge Global Holdings
18.82
-3.83
-16.91%
WALD
Waldencast
1.62
-1.44
-47.06%
LAW
CS Disco
5.15
-0.35
-6.36%

Asure Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Asure Completes Acquisition of Lathem Time 2025
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Asure Software, Inc. acquired Lathem Time 2025, LLC for $39.5 million, enhancing its portfolio in time and attendance solutions. Concurrently, Asure amended its Credit Agreement to include Lathem as a guarantor and increased its minimum liquidity threshold, reflecting strategic financial adjustments post-acquisition.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASUR) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asure stock, see the ASUR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Asure Software Approves Amended Rights Agreement at Meeting
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

Asure Software, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors approved a Fourth Amended and Restated Rights Agreement, which was subsequently approved by stockholders at the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 2, 2025. The agreement, effective October 28, 2025, extends the expiration date to October 28, 2028, and involves a change in the rights agent. Additionally, stockholders voted on several proposals, including the election of directors, ratification of the audit committee’s appointment of CBIZ CPAs PC, an amendment to the 2018 Incentive Award Plan, and advisory votes on executive compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASUR) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asure stock, see the ASUR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 03, 2025