Waldencast (WALD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $232.38M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 145.38K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.28
• Revenue Growth: 14.22%
• EPS Growth: -141.64%
• Country: US
• Employees: 335
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): -0.14
• Shares Outstanding: 118,021,230
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 133,325
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 145,381
• PEG Ratio: 0.18
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.66
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.60
• P/FCF Ratio: -37.13
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.67
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.41
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.43
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -2.54
• 1Y Price Target: $3.17
• Price Target Upside: 75.14% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: $1.50 ▼(-17.13% Downside)

The score is held back primarily by ongoing losses and negative operating/free cash flow despite strong revenue growth and a healthy gross margin. Technicals also weigh heavily, with the stock trading below all major moving averages and weak momentum signals. Valuation is difficult to support due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors

High Gross Margin

A ~70% gross margin indicates durable product economics and pricing power in beauty/wellness. High gross margins provide long-term flexibility to invest in marketing, R&D and channel expansion while cushioning operating losses as the business scales.

Robust Revenue Growth

Sustained top-line growth of 25.5% signals expanding brand traction and market demand across core product lines. Durable revenue expansion supports scale benefits, helps absorb fixed costs over time and underpins medium-term recovery toward profitability.

Stronger Liquidity and Capital Availability

Proceeds from the trademark sale plus a $225m credit facility materially boost liquidity and financial flexibility. This structural capital improvement funds brand investment, M&A execution and working capital needs, reducing short-term refinancing risk.

Negative Factors

Negative Operating and Free Cash Flow

Persistent negative operating and free cash flow undermines self-funding ability and forces reliance on external financing or asset disposals. Over months, this constrains reinvestment, increases liquidity risk, and limits flexibility to pursue growth initiatives.

Ongoing Unprofitability and Weak EBIT Margin

A -21.4% EBIT margin and negative net income indicate structural operating inefficiencies or high fixed costs relative to current scale. Unless operating leverage improves, sustained losses will depress returns on equity and prolong dependence on external capital.

Acquisition Share Issuance and Integration Risk

Issuing 3.27M shares for Novaestiq increases share count and can dilute existing holders while creating integration and execution risk to commercialize injectable fillers in the U.S. Successful long-term value depends on smooth integration and realized synergies.

Waldencast Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Waldencast Acquisition Corp. a skin care company, provides advanced skin care treatments. Its products are designed to help minimize the appearance of premature skin aging, skin damage, hyperpigmentation, acne, and sun damage primarily available through dermatologists, plastic surgeons, medical spas, and other skin care professionals. Its portfolio includes Obagi Medical that provides transformational skin care products formulated to minimize signs of skin aging, address dark spots, hyperpigmentation, fine lines, and wrinkles and to protect and enhance skin tone and texture; and Obagi Clinical that offers skin care products designed to prevent the early signs of skin aging. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in White Plains, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

Waldencast generates revenue primarily through the sale of its branded beauty and wellness products across various channels, including direct-to-consumer online sales, retail partnerships, and wholesale distribution. Key revenue streams include product sales from its proprietary brands, collaborations with other companies, and potential licensing agreements. The company may also benefit from strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors that enhance brand visibility and accessibility. Additionally, Waldencast's focus on sustainable and innovative products aligns with current consumer trends, potentially driving higher margins and repeat purchases as customers seek out ethical and eco-friendly options.

Waldencast Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue grew 25.5% (2023 to 2024) and gross margin is strong at ~70%, but profitability remains weak with negative net income and a -21.4% EBIT margin. Balance sheet leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity 0.27) with a solid equity ratio (67.9%), yet cash generation is a key issue with negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow (despite improvement).

Income Statement

Waldencast Acquisition has demonstrated revenue growth from 2023 to 2024, with a notable increase of 25.5% in total revenue. However, the company is still not profitable, as indicated by negative net income and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin shows strength at 70% for 2024, suggesting efficient production processes, but the negative EBIT margin of -21.4% highlights ongoing operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a solid equity base with an equity ratio of 67.9%, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio remains manageable at 0.27, suggesting the company is not overly reliant on debt financing. However, the return on equity is negative due to persistent losses, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns from shareholders' equity.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow, although there is an improvement from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow remains negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from core operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is not meaningful due to negative values, highlighting cash constraints.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	274.56M	273.87M	218.14M	166.13M	142.47M	94.43M
Gross Profit	160.01M	131.73M	141.58M	39.44M	87.44M	65.33M
EBITDA	-152.61M	28.63M	-33.54M	-99.25M	15.05M	13.94M
Net Income	-201.81M	-42.44M	-89.98M	-116.62M	-19.58M	-2.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	797.75M	975.86M	1.04B	1.09B	184.59M	166.79K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	10.48M	14.80M	22.58M	8.69M	12.79M	0.00
Total Debt	193.08M	182.11M	177.72M	199.25M	118.86M	0.00
Total Liabilities	248.78M	245.92M	273.44M	290.18M	145.35M	177.74K
Stockholders Equity	499.14M	662.32M	624.63M	639.24M	39.24M	-10.95K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-12.96M	-11.83M	-31.82M	-87.51M	2.24M	-9.14M
Operating Cash Flow	-8.96M	-8.82M	-29.77M	-85.01M	3.53M	-7.43M
Investing Cash Flow	-4.86M	-2.92M	-1.99M	-545.28M	-3.79M	-1.71M
Financing Cash Flow	4.34M	5.58M	44.33M	633.35M	5.16M	14.32M

Waldencast Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 1.81
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WALD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.63, below the 50-day MA of 1.98, and below the 200-day MA of 2.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WALD.

Waldencast Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MKTW	66 Neutral	$265.28M	1.59	―	14.78%	-19.17%	308.81%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
ONTF	59 Neutral	$338.43M	-10.78	-20.20%	―	-6.23%	28.57%
PERF	56 Neutral	$158.89M	27.76	3.80%	―	14.47%	11.29%
FRGE	52 Neutral	$618.85M	-9.07	-28.65%	―	16.40%	22.80%
WALD	51 Neutral	$232.38M	-1.01	-36.11%	―	14.22%	-141.64%
NRDY	48 Neutral	$183.59M	-2.86	-120.79%	―	-9.86%	0.87%

Waldencast Corporate Events

Waldencast Sets January 2026 AGM and Reshapes Board Following Director Resignations

On December 19, 2025, Waldencast plc announced that it will hold its 2025 annual general meeting of shareholders on January 14, 2026, at Michelin House in London, with voting rights reserved for shareholders of record as of December 9, 2025, when the company had just over 128 million ordinary shares outstanding across its Class A and Class B stock. The company also disclosed that directors Lindsay Pattison and Zack Werner have notified the board of their intention to resign ahead of the meeting, prompting a board reclassification approved on December 2, 2025, that organizes directors into three classes and, assuming the reappointment of all Class III directors, will result in a nine-member board with concentrated experience in beauty, finance and consumer products, signaling a continued emphasis on sector-specific governance and continuity for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (WALD) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Waldencast stock, see the WALD Stock Forecast page.

Waldencast Expands U.S. Market Presence with Novaestiq Acquisition

On July 22, 2025, Waldencast plc acquired Novaestiq Corp., gaining exclusive U.S. rights to commercialize Saypha® dermal fillers, pending FDA approval. This strategic acquisition aligns with Waldencast’s expansion into the high-growth injectable dermal filler market. Following FDA approval of Saypha® MagIQ™ on September 10, 2025, Waldencast issued 3,273,000 class A shares as part of the acquisition agreement. Additionally, Waldencast amended its TCW Credit Agreement, increasing financial flexibility to support its growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (WALD) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Waldencast stock, see the WALD Stock Forecast page.

Waldencast Reports Q2 2025 Results and Strategic Updates

On November 24, 2025, Waldencast plc announced its Q2 2025 financial results and provided a Q3 2025 trading update. The company reported a 5.6% year-over-year net revenue growth in Q2, driven by strong performance in the U.S. for Milk Makeup and international growth for Obagi Medical. However, Milk Makeup faced challenges in international markets during Q3. Waldencast advanced strategic initiatives, including acquiring Novaestiq and selling the Obagi Japan trademark, to strengthen its balance sheet and focus on long-term growth. The company updated its full-year guidance to reflect these trends and investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (WALD) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Waldencast stock, see the WALD Stock Forecast page.

Waldencast Enhances Financial Position with Trademark Sale and New Credit Facility

On November 14, 2025, Waldencast plc announced the sale of its rights to the ‘Obagi’ trademark in Japan to Rohto Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. for $82.5 million. This transaction, along with a new $225 million credit agreement with Lumina Capital Management, strengthens Waldencast’s balance sheet and liquidity position, allowing the company to invest in its Obagi Medical and Milk Makeup brands. These strategic moves are part of Waldencast’s ongoing review to maximize shareholder value and improve its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (WALD) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Waldencast stock, see the WALD Stock Forecast page.