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Forge Global Holdings (FRGE)
NYSE:FRGE
US Market

Forge Global Holdings (FRGE) AI Stock Analysis

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Forge Global Holdings

(NYSE:FRGE)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(2.63%Upside)
Forge Global Holdings shows strong revenue growth and strategic partnerships, which are positive drivers. However, the persistent financial challenges, including ongoing losses and cash flow issues, weigh heavily on the overall score. The stock's technical momentum is strong but is tempered by its high volatility and overbought status, while valuation concerns further detract from its attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Forge reported total net revenue of $25.1 million, marking its best quarterly revenue performance since 2021, driven by strong transaction volumes.
Market Position
Forge is in a unique position within its industry, viewed as a disruptor with credible secular potential.
Strategic Initiatives
Forge is broadening its business through more partnerships and a prospective acquisition, signaling steady progress against its strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Economic Environment
Economic uncertainty is expected to slow tech IPO activity and keep private company valuations under pressure.
Market Volatility
The near-term volume outlook appears choppy due to ongoing volatility in broader markets.
Revenue Growth
Private market conditions remain challenging, which should weigh on revenue growth in the near term.

Forge Global Holdings (FRGE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Forge Global Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionForge Global Holdings (FRGE) is a leading financial services company that specializes in providing marketplace solutions for private equity and pre-IPO companies. The company operates a platform that facilitates the buying and selling of private company shares, catering to a wide range of investors, including institutions, private equity firms, and accredited individuals. Forge Global Holdings is at the forefront of the private market ecosystem, offering liquidity and transparency to a traditionally opaque sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyForge Global Holdings makes money primarily through transaction fees charged on the trades executed on its platform. These fees are levied on both the buy-side and sell-side participants in private equity transactions. Additionally, the company generates revenue through ancillary services such as data analytics and advisory services that provide insights into the private markets. Forge may also engage in strategic partnerships with financial institutions and other entities that facilitate access to a broader range of private market opportunities, thereby enhancing its revenue streams.

Forge Global Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 57.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented strong revenue growth and strategic partnerships as key highlights, suggesting positive momentum for Forge. However, challenges include declining custodial fees, increased operating expenses, and an unpredictable economic environment. The sentiment is mixed due to these positive and negative factors.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue
Forge achieved its best revenue quarter as a public company, with total revenue reaching $25.3 million, up 36% from the last quarter.
Significant Increase in Marketplace Revenues
Marketplace revenues were $16 million, up 85% from the last quarter, driven by a 132% increase in trading volume from $299 million to $692 million quarter-over-quarter.
Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions
Forge announced partnerships with Yahoo Finance and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) to distribute private market pricing data, and plans to acquire Accuidity Capital Management to expand into asset management.
Strong Pipeline and Liquidity
Continuous strong deal pipeline reported for the second quarter, with a liquidity position of $93.1 million at the end of March.
Negative Updates
Decline in Custodial Administration Fees
Custodial administration fees totaled $9.3 million, declining 7% from the last quarter due to the full impact of the 2024 rate cuts.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased to $41.6 million from $37 million, primarily due to higher variable expenses linked to revenue growth and CFO transition costs.
Net Loss and Cash Usage
First quarter net loss was $16.2 million, flat compared to the previous quarter, with net cash used in operating activities at $12.8 million, an increase from $7.9 million last quarter.
Uncertain Economic Landscape
Volatility in public markets and heightened concerns about a potential recession contribute to an unpredictable economic landscape, making business forecasting difficult.
Company Guidance
During the Forge First Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics and insights were highlighted. Forge reported its best revenue quarter as a public company, with total revenue reaching $25.3 million, marking a 36% increase from the previous quarter. Marketplace revenue was a significant contributor, totaling $16 million, driven by a trading volume of $692 million, which represented a 132% increase from the previous quarter. The company also noted a decline in net take rates from 2.8% to 2.3%, primarily due to large SPV block trades. Operating expenses increased to $41.6 million, with a net loss of $16.2 million, remaining flat compared to the previous quarter. The adjusted EBITDA loss was reported at $8.9 million. Forge is actively expanding its wealth management capabilities as its RIA grows beyond $1 billion in AUM, and the company announced its intent to acquire Accuidity Capital Management. The acquisition is expected to be accretive to EPS and transformational to Forge's revenue streams. The company also completed a 15-for-1 reverse stock split and commenced a share repurchase program, buying back approximately 315,000 shares at an average price of $13.15 per share.

Forge Global Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Forge Global Holdings faces significant financial challenges, with persistent losses and cash flow issues. While revenue shows some growth, profitability remains elusive. The balance sheet is relatively strong with low leverage, but the company needs to improve operational efficiency and cash generation to support sustainable growth.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement shows a challenging financial performance, with consistent negative gross profit margins, indicating cost issues. The net profit margin is also negative, reflecting persistent losses. Revenue growth has been volatile, with recent TTM growth slightly positive. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain negative, showing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet is relatively stable, with a low debt-to-equity ratio indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to losses. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting financial stability and a solid capital base, but the company's ability to generate returns from equity investment is concerning.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow metrics highlight liquidity issues, with negative free cash flow growth, indicating potential cash constraints. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting inefficiencies in converting revenue into cash. Despite these challenges, the company maintains sufficient cash reserves to manage short-term obligations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue85.38M79.33M69.82M68.90M128.06M47.76M
Gross Profit-41.09M-42.07M69.39M-112.94M125.02M43.87M
EBITDA-65.93M-72.95M-80.62M-119.90M-713.00K-2.02M
Net Income-63.88M-66.33M-90.22M-111.91M-18.50M-9.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets249.46M263.51M310.73M363.73M257.89M258.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.47M106.21M152.42M193.14M74.78M40.58M
Total Debt13.69M14.57M10.82M7.44M10.53M31.29M
Total Liabilities32.67M36.76M42.31M38.27M64.48M109.15M
Stockholders Equity213.51M223.58M263.51M319.39M193.42M149.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-41.73M-41.33M-41.98M-75.46M7.64M-3.69M
Operating Cash Flow-40.99M-40.53M-41.46M-68.81M10.90M-2.53M
Investing Cash Flow-15.66M5.47M-8.16M-6.65M-3.26M-23.37M
Financing Cash Flow-2.47M-3.89M57.00K192.86M26.58M39.38M

Forge Global Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.00
Price Trends
50DMA
14.62
Positive
100DMA
12.76
Positive
200DMA
14.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.25
Negative
RSI
72.38
Negative
STOCH
87.12
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FRGE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.19, above the 50-day MA of 14.62, and above the 200-day MA of 14.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.38 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.12 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FRGE.

Forge Global Holdings Risk Analysis

Forge Global Holdings disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Forge Global Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Forge Global Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$33.22B5.99-11.76%1.91%5.50%-19.96%
58
Neutral
$234.24M-27.44%16.03%30.99%
58
Neutral
$175.08M-22.66%-25.43%-135.09%
57
Neutral
$134.12M10.7723.24%0.20%
51
Neutral
$93.81M-223.65%221.24%13.36%
49
Neutral
$146.05M-127.52%
44
Neutral
$889.98M0.9080.54%-44.58%1200.82%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FRGE
Forge Global Holdings
19.00
-2.60
-12.04%
MAPS
WM Technology
0.87
-0.25
-22.32%
SMRT
SmartRent
0.93
-1.43
-60.59%
PSQH
PSQ Holdings
2.06
-1.56
-43.09%
NXTT
Next Technology Holding
2.04
-2.55
-55.56%
SVCO
Silvaco Group, Inc.
4.97
-13.07
-72.45%

Forge Global Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Forge Global Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 24, 2025

Forge Global Holdings, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 20, 2025, where 69.27% of the voting power was represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected Class III directors and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. However, proposals concerning executive compensation and amendments to the company’s stock option plan did not pass.

The most recent analyst rating on (FRGE) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Forge Global Holdings stock, see the FRGE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Forge Global Announces Departure of Chief Revenue Officer
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

On April 20, 2025, Forge Global Holdings, Inc. announced the mutual agreement for the separation of Jennifer Phillips as the Chief Revenue and Growth Officer, effective June 26, 2025. Post-separation, Phillips will continue as a consultant until December 2025 to aid in the transition. Her separation agreement includes equity acceleration and extended rights to exercise options for 18 months, alongside a potential cash payment for her consulting services.

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
Forge Global Holdings Announces Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Forge Global Holdings announced that its Board of Directors approved a 1-for-15 reverse stock split of its Common Stock, effective April 14, 2025. This decision follows the approval by stockholders on March 27, 2025, and aims to meet the minimum bid price requirement for continued listing on the New York Stock Exchange. The reverse stock split will convert fifteen current shares into one new share, with adjustments made to equity incentive plans and outstanding warrants. Stockholders will receive cash for fractional shares, and no action is required from them to receive post-split shares.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025