tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Forge Global Holdings Inc. (FRGE)
:FRGE
US Market
Advertisement

Forge Global Holdings (FRGE) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
295 Followers

Top Page

FRGE

Forge Global Holdings

(NYSE:FRGE)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$46.00
▲(3.81% Upside)
Forge Global Holdings' overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive earnings call sentiment, indicating potential growth and strategic progress. However, significant financial performance challenges and valuation concerns weigh down the score, reflecting the need for improved profitability and cash flow management.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong marketplace performance and suggests that Forge is effectively expanding its market reach and customer base.
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions like Accuidity enhance Forge's service offerings, potentially leading to increased market share and long-term competitive advantage.
Acquisition by Charles Schwab
The acquisition by Charles Schwab could provide Forge with greater resources and market reach, enhancing its platform capabilities and strategic positioning.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues indicate operational challenges that could hinder Forge's ability to sustain growth and invest in future opportunities.
Cash Flow Issues
Weak cash flow generation limits Forge's financial flexibility and ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives, posing a risk to long-term stability.
Forecasting Challenges
Difficulty in forecasting revenue due to reliance on transaction-based income can lead to financial instability and complicate strategic planning.

Forge Global Holdings (FRGE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Forge Global Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionForge Global Holdings, Inc. provides marketplace infrastructure, data services, and technology solutions for private market participants. It enables private company shareholders to trade private company shares with accredited investors. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyForge Global Holdings generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by charging fees for transactions conducted on its platform. This includes commissions on trades executed between buyers and sellers of private equity shares. Additionally, the company may earn revenue by providing data analytics services to institutional investors, offering insights into market trends and valuations of private companies. Significant partnerships with venture capital firms and private equity funds also enhance its service offerings and contribute to its earnings, as these partnerships enable Forge to expand its network and attract more users to its platform.

Forge Global Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements, including record-breaking revenue and improved adjusted EBITDA, alongside strategic acquisitions and positive trends in the private AI sector. However, challenges in forecasting transaction-based income and expected seasonal revenue declines were noted. Overall, the sentiment was positive with the company's growth and strategic initiatives outweighing the anticipated challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Q2 2025 was the second consecutive record-breaking quarter for revenue, reaching $27.6 million, a 10% increase from the prior quarter, driven by strong marketplace performance.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA
The adjusted EBITDA loss was the lowest since going public, improving by 39% quarter-over-quarter, with operating cash burn also decreasing significantly.
Successful Launch of Next-Generation Marketplace
Forge launched its next-generation marketplace, which is designed to reduce friction and enable investors to transact with confidence and autonomy.
Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships
Closed the acquisition of Accuidity, enhancing asset management and wealth capabilities. Also signed data agreements with ICE and Fortune.
Positive Market Trends in Private AI Sector
The private AI sector led with a return of 63.1% year-to-date, outperforming public benchmarks.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Predicting Transaction-Based Income
Despite growth, a large proportion of revenue remains transaction-based, making forecasting difficult, especially in an unpredictable macroenvironment.
Seasonal Revenue Decline Anticipated
Revenues in Q3 are expected to be lower than Q2 and Q4 due to seasonality, particularly in July and early August.
Company Guidance
During the Forge Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance were highlighted. The company reported a record revenue of $27.6 million, marking a 10% increase from the previous quarter, and a trading volume increase of 9% to $756 million. The adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $5.4 million, a significant improvement from the $8.9 million loss in the prior quarter. Forge's strategic initiatives have led to a more evenly distributed volume mix, with an improvement in net take rates from 2.3% to 2.4%. Custodial administration fees remained stable at $9.1 million, while the company's net cash used in operating activities decreased significantly. The call also underscored the company's expectation to reach adjusted EBITDA breakeven in 2026, supported by ongoing operational scalability, enhanced technology platforms, and the integration of their recent acquisition of Accuidity.

Forge Global Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Forge Global Holdings faces significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow generation. Despite some revenue growth, persistent losses and negative margins overshadow these gains. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but operational inefficiencies need addressing to improve financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Forge Global Holdings has shown some revenue growth, but profitability remains a significant concern. The company has consistently reported negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges. The gross profit margin has improved slightly in the TTM period, but it remains negative, reflecting cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is stable, but the negative ROE highlights profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining trend in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and reported earnings, but overall cash generation remains weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue92.88M79.33M69.82M69.38M128.06M47.76M
Gross Profit11.09M-34.34M69.39M68.90M125.02M47.76M
EBITDA-60.93M-72.95M-81.34M-107.47M-3.72M-284.00K
Net Income-62.62M-66.33M-90.22M-111.86M-18.50M-9.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets252.03M263.51M310.73M363.73M257.89M258.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.77M106.21M152.42M193.14M74.78M40.58M
Total Debt4.53M14.57M10.82M7.44M23.98M31.29M
Total Liabilities45.63M36.76M42.31M38.27M64.48M109.15M
Stockholders Equity202.64M223.58M263.51M319.39M193.42M149.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-40.30M-41.33M-41.98M-75.46M7.64M-3.69M
Operating Cash Flow-39.86M-40.53M-41.46M-68.81M10.90M-2.53M
Investing Cash Flow-37.21M5.47M-8.16M-6.65M-3.26M-23.37M
Financing Cash Flow-5.57M-3.89M57.00K192.86M26.58M39.38M

Forge Global Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.31
Price Trends
50DMA
25.85
Positive
100DMA
22.37
Positive
200DMA
17.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.92
Positive
RSI
87.62
Negative
STOCH
55.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FRGE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.09, above the 50-day MA of 25.85, and above the 200-day MA of 17.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.92 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 87.62 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FRGE.

Forge Global Holdings Risk Analysis

Forge Global Holdings disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Forge Global Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Forge Global Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
57
Neutral
$609.56M-28.65%16.40%22.80%
54
Neutral
$253.80M-11.81%-11.54%-54.32%
54
Neutral
$235.94M-20.20%-6.23%28.57%
48
Neutral
$271.65M-41.5991.86%52.66%
48
Neutral
$234.17M-120.79%-9.86%0.87%
43
Neutral
$67.57M-23.85%30.91%-1632.95%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FRGE
Forge Global Holdings
44.31
27.96
171.01%
COE
China Online Education Group
41.36
28.36
218.15%
EB
Eventbrite
2.46
-1.06
-30.11%
NRDY
Nerdy
1.25
-0.33
-20.89%
ONTF
ON24
5.58
-1.03
-15.58%
TEAD
Teads Holding
0.71
-4.72
-86.92%

Forge Global Holdings Corporate Events

Forge Global’s Merger with Schwab: Navigating Regulatory Hurdles and Stockholder Approval Risks
Nov 15, 2025

Forge Global Holdings Inc. faces significant risk regarding its proposed merger with Schwab, as the completion of this merger is contingent upon satisfying various conditions, including regulatory approvals and stockholder agreement. The uncertainty surrounding these conditions, which are beyond the control of both companies, poses a threat to the timely and successful completion of the merger. Any failure to meet these conditions by the November 5, 2026 deadline could result in termination of the merger agreement, delaying or preventing the realization of anticipated benefits. Additionally, waiving any conditions could adversely affect Forge Global and its stockholders.

M&A Transactions
Forge Global Holdings Announces Merger with Schwab
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Forge Global Holdings entered into a merger agreement with The Charles Schwab Corporation, where Schwab will acquire Forge Global through a merger with its subsidiary, Ember-Falcon Merger Sub. The merger will result in Forge Global becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of Schwab, with each Forge share being converted to a cash payment of $45. The agreement outlines the treatment of Forge’s equity awards and includes conditions such as shareholder approval and regulatory clearances. The merger is expected to impact Forge’s operations and market positioning by integrating into Schwab’s broader financial services platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (FRGE) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Forge Global Holdings stock, see the FRGE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Forge Global Holdings Enters New Headquarters Lease Agreement
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

Forge Global Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary Forge Global, Inc., has entered into a lease agreement for its headquarters at Four Embarcadero Center in San Francisco, California. The lease, effective from February 1, 2026, to May 31, 2031, follows a previous sublease and includes an initial annual base rent of approximately $1,983,000 with a 3% annual increase. The company will also cover a share of the building’s operating expenses and provide a security deposit.

The most recent analyst rating on (FRGE) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Forge Global Holdings stock, see the FRGE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025