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SoundThinking Inc (SSTI)
NASDAQ:SSTI
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SoundThinking Inc (SSTI) AI Stock Analysis

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SSTI

SoundThinking Inc

(NASDAQ:SSTI)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(11.82% Upside)
SoundThinking Inc's stock score is primarily influenced by solid financial performance in terms of revenue growth and cash flow management, despite challenges with profitability. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, while valuation is impacted by negative earnings. The earnings call provides a mixed outlook with strategic expansions but also highlights current revenue challenges. Corporate events contribute positively by ensuring leadership continuity.
Positive Factors
Legislative Opportunities
SafePointe demand is building in the healthcare vertical, supported by California’s AB 2975 weapons-detection mandate at hospitals.
New Contract
The recently announced multi-year contract for the City of Niteroi indicates strong international momentum.
Revenue Guidance
SoundThinking shares are trading up 11%, to $12.50, after the company reiterated its full-year guidance, implying a strong second half.
Negative Factors
Contract Loss
The Chicago contract was not renewed, so respective revenue is now zero going forward.
Delayed Renewals
Q4 revenue and AEBITDA came in short of expectations due to a single customer and unexpected renewal delays.
Financial Performance
Revenue decreased 10% to $23.4M and was below consensus, with a decline in AEBITDA and gross margin.

SoundThinking Inc (SSTI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SoundThinking Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSoundThinking, Inc., a public safety technology company, provides data-driven solutions and strategic advisory services for law enforcement, security teams, and civic leadership. Its SafetySmart platform that includes data-driven tools comprising ShotSpotter, an outdoor gunshot detection, location, and alerting system; CrimeTracer, a law enforcement search engine that enables investigators to search through criminal justice records from across jurisdictions to generate tactical leads and solve cases; CaseBuilder, an investigative management system for tracking, reporting, and collaborating on cases; ResourceRouter, a software that directs deployment of patrol and community anti-violence resources; PlateRanger powered by Rekor, an advanced license plate recognition (ALPR) and vehicle identification solution; and SafePointe, an artificial intelligence-based weapons detection system. The company also offers ShotSpotter for Campus and ShotSpotter for Corporate, to universities, corporate campuses, and key infrastructure centers to mitigate risk and enhance security by notifying authorities of outdoor gunfire incidents and save critical minutes for first responders to arrive. It sells its solutions through its direct sales teams. The company was formerly known as ShotSpotter, Inc. and changed its name to SoundThinking, Inc. in April 2023. SoundThinking, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySoundThinking Inc generates revenue through a multi-faceted model that includes software licensing, subscription services, and customized implementation projects. The company charges clients for the use of its proprietary audio analytics software on a per-license basis, providing businesses with the flexibility to scale according to their needs. Additionally, SSTI offers subscription-based services for ongoing access to updates, technical support, and new features. Significant partnerships with key players in the security and healthcare sectors enhance the company's market reach and provide additional revenue through joint ventures and collaborative projects, allowing SSTI to leverage shared resources and expertise for mutual growth.

SoundThinking Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted continued expansion of the ShotSpotter technology and integration advancements, alongside challenges with revenue decline and contract delays. Financial guidance remains unchanged, indicating confidence in future performance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
ShotSpotter Expansion
ShotSpotter was deployed live in four new cities and expanded in four additional cities, with a new security deployment added. This reflects ongoing growth in the company's core technology.
Strong Pipeline and New Opportunities
The company has a healthy pipeline of over $37 million for the remainder of 2025 and is seeing new corporate security opportunities, particularly after the Midtown NYC shooting.
Integration and Innovation Progress
Progress in drone integration as a first responder to gunfire incidents and the integration between PlateRanger and CrimeTracer were highlighted as significant advancements.
International Growth
Expansion in South America, specifically in Montevideo and Niteroi, Brazil, reflects international growth and expansion potential in Latin America.
Financial Guidance
The company reaffirmed its full year revenue guidance of $111 million to $113 million, and adjusted EBITDA guidance of 20% to 22%.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Second quarter revenue of $25.9 million was a 4% decrease from the previous year, largely due to the nonrenewal of the Chicago contract.
Bookings Shortfall
Bookings fell short of internal targets due to the timing of large deals, including a $2.5 million CrimeTracer transaction and a 400-unit PlateRanger transaction pushed to Q3.
Puerto Rico Contract Delays
Renewal in Puerto Rico was delayed due to bureaucratic processes, forcing a suspension of service and revenue recognition.
Gross Margin Decrease
Gross margin decreased to 53% from 60% in the prior year, due to increased maintenance costs and software expenses.
GAAP Net Loss
The GAAP net loss was $3.1 million, compared to a net loss of $0.8 million in the previous year.
Company Guidance
During SoundThinking's Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported revenues of $25.9 million, which aligned with expectations despite a sequential decline from Q1. The call highlighted the company's strategic investments and growth initiatives, including the expansion of ShotSpotter technology into four new cities and the successful closing of a significant 20-lane SafePointe transaction. SoundThinking noted a healthy pipeline of over $37 million for the remainder of 2025. While GAAP revenue met expectations, there was a shortfall in bookings due to the timing of certain large deals, such as a $2.5 million CrimeTracer transaction and a 400-unit PlateRanger transaction, both deferred to Q3. The company reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance range of $111 million to $113 million and its adjusted EBITDA margin guidance of 20% to 22%. Additionally, SoundThinking reported a cash balance increase to over $16 million as of the call date, supported by strong cash flow generation. Key business metrics, such as annual recurring revenue, are expected to grow from $95.6 million at the start of 2025 to approximately $110 million by 2026, despite the nonrenewal of a $9.7 million contract with the City of Chicago in 2024.

SoundThinking Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SoundThinking Inc exhibits solid revenue growth and cash flow management, but faces challenges with profitability and equity stability. Continued focus on improving margins and maintaining a balanced financial structure will be crucial for future growth.
Income Statement
67
Positive
SoundThinking Inc has shown a steady increase in revenue over the years, with a notable increase from 2021 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative EBIT and net income margins, particularly in the TTM period.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a healthy equity position with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio. However, the recent decrease in stockholders' equity and the presence of net losses could indicate potential stability risks if not addressed.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
SoundThinking Inc demonstrates strong operating cash flow, which consistently covers its capital expenditures resulting in positive free cash flow. The company has maintained a stable free cash flow to net income ratio, despite net income losses, showcasing good cash management practices.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue104.97M102.03M92.72M81.00M58.16M45.73M
Gross Profit59.89M58.49M52.84M46.78M32.52M27.21M
EBITDA3.05M1.82M9.17M7.79M2.45M6.88M
Net Income-7.75M-9.18M-2.72M6.38M-4.43M1.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets136.31M136.79M138.71M122.75M72.30M66.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.66M13.18M5.70M10.48M15.64M16.04M
Total Debt5.81M6.05M9.51M3.42M2.42M945.00K
Total Liabilities62.47M64.39M63.95M61.80M38.49M32.02M
Stockholders Equity73.84M72.40M74.76M60.95M33.81M34.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.01M15.79M5.90M1.26M1.92M7.08M
Operating Cash Flow17.10M22.22M10.95M12.18M9.82M11.21M
Investing Cash Flow-5.20M-6.43M-16.48M-15.54M-7.88M-18.76M
Financing Cash Flow-8.75M-8.25M795.00K-1.75M-2.27M-956.00K

SoundThinking Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.52
Price Trends
50DMA
13.63
Negative
100DMA
14.81
Negative
200DMA
14.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.53
Negative
RSI
57.12
Neutral
STOCH
49.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SSTI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.95, below the 50-day MA of 13.63, and below the 200-day MA of 14.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SSTI.

SoundThinking Inc Risk Analysis

SoundThinking Inc disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SoundThinking Inc reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SoundThinking Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$160.15M-13.49%1.47%-430.99%
61
Neutral
$192.97M14.4522.69%2.37%
58
Neutral
$252.01M-25.48%-28.45%-224.48%
55
Neutral
$294.39M5.58-5.25%2.63%11.03%-74.02%
49
Neutral
$131.15M-68.18%18.53%-16.24%
48
Neutral
$75.30M-269.26%93.83%23.31%
46
Neutral
$190.61M103.42%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SSTI
SoundThinking Inc
12.76
-1.39
-9.82%
AEYE
AudioEye
10.88
-11.45
-51.28%
MAPS
WM Technology
1.18
0.11
10.28%
SMRT
SmartRent
1.32
-0.24
-15.38%
PSQH
PSQ Holdings
1.56
-1.17
-42.86%
MRT
Marti Technologies
2.50
0.41
19.62%

SoundThinking Inc Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SoundThinking Inc Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, SoundThinking, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders where three key proposals were voted on. Stockholders approved the election of two Class II directors, the compensation of named executive officers, and the appointment of Baker Tilly US, LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These approvals ensure continuity in leadership and financial oversight, potentially strengthening the company’s strategic direction and operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (SSTI) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SoundThinking Inc stock, see the SSTI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025