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Engie (ENGIY)
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ENGIE SA (ENGIY) AI Stock Analysis

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ENGIY

ENGIE SA

(OTC:ENGIY)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(42.29% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/28/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial quality—multi-year revenue contraction, elevated leverage, and a sharp 2025 drop into negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, but overbought signals add risk. Valuation is balanced with a solid dividend yield, and the latest earnings call was generally positive on guidance and renewables/network execution despite pressure in gas and energy management.
Positive Factors
Renewables capacity additions
Sustained additions to wind, solar and BESS increase recurring cash flows via long-term contracts and PPAs, deepen technical expertise, and expand generation scale. Over multi-year horizons this strengthens ENGIE's renewable earnings base and reduces exposure to commodity-driven volatility.
Regulated networks growth
Network businesses with tariff mechanisms deliver predictable, regulated-like cash flows and higher margin stability versus merchant generation. Material EBIT growth from networks supports durable earnings resilience and provides predictable cash to fund renewables and infrastructure investments.
Management performance program
A defined, measurable performance program that already delivered sizeable EBIT gains indicates disciplined operational execution. If sustained, it can improve margins, fund investments and partially offset cyclical headwinds, strengthening medium-term profitability and cash conversion.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue decline
Sustained revenue contraction reduces scale benefits and weakens the company's ability to absorb fixed costs, pressuring margins and free cash flow. Over 2–6 months this trend constrains reinvestment capacity and makes execution of growth plans and dividend sustainability more challenging.
Rising leverage
An elevated and rising leverage profile limits financial flexibility for large capital projects typical in utilities, increases refinancing and interest risks, and reduces resilience to cash-flow shocks. High leverage can force prioritization of debt reduction over growth investments.
Cash generation deterioration
A sudden shift to negative operating and free cash flow signals structural pressure from working capital, capex or margin erosion. Persisting weak cash conversion forces external financing, risks dividend or capex cuts, and undermines the sustainability of the business model over the medium term.

ENGIE SA (ENGIY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ENGIE SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionENGIE SA engages in the power, natural gas, and energy services businesses. It operates through Renewables, Networks, Energy Solutions, Thermal, Supply, Nuclear, and Others segments. The Renewables segment comprises renewable energy generation activities, including financing, construction, operation, and maintenance of renewable energy facilities using various energy sources, such as hydroelectric, onshore wind, photovoltaic solar, biomass, offshore wind, and geothermal. The Networks segment comprises the electricity and gas infrastructure activities and projects, including the management and development of gas and electricity transportation networks and natural gas distribution networks in and outside of Europe, natural gas underground storage in Europe, and regasification infrastructure in France and Chile. The Energy Solutions encompasses the construction and management of decentralized energy networks to produce low-carbon energy and related services. The Thermal segment encompasses power generation activities using thermal assets; operation of power plants fueled mainly by gas or coal, as well as pump -operated storage plants; and financing, construction, and operation of desalination plants, as well as the development of hydrogen production. The Supply segment engages in the sale of gas and electricity to professional, individual, and residential clients. The Nuclear segment engages in the nuclear power generation activities. The company was formerly known as GDF SUEZ S.A. and changed its name to ENGIE SA in April 2015. The company was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Courbevoie, France.
How the Company Makes MoneyENGIE generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from electricity generation, natural gas distribution, and energy services. The company earns significant income from its renewable energy projects, which include wind, solar, and hydropower facilities, capitalizing on the global shift towards sustainable energy. Additionally, ENGIE provides energy efficiency solutions and consulting services, which contribute to its revenue by helping clients reduce their energy consumption and costs. Partnerships with various stakeholders, including governments and private enterprises, enhance its market reach and project funding. Furthermore, the company's investments in infrastructure and energy management systems create recurring revenue opportunities and long-term contracts, solidifying its financial footing in the evolving energy landscape.

ENGIE SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a resilient performance by ENGIE with a strong focus on renewables and network growth, despite facing challenges in gas generation and energy management. The company remains confident in achieving the upper end of its guidance range.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow and Solid Balance Sheet
Cash flow from operations stood at EUR 11.4 billion, with economic net debt equating to 3.2x of EBITDA, indicating a strong financial position.
Resilient Performance in Challenging Environment
ENGIE reported resilient earnings and robust cash flow despite market normalization and lower volumes, with EBIT excluding nuclear at EUR 6.3 billion.
Significant Progress in Renewables
Added over 2 gigawatts of renewables and BESS in Q3 alone, making 4 gigawatts for the first 9 months. Notable projects include the Dieppe Le Tréport offshore wind farm and a 1.5 gigawatt solar project in Abu Dhabi.
Growth in Networks Segment
EBIT from networks increased by EUR 705 million, driven by tariff increases and strong performance in French activities.
Nuclear Restart in Belgium
Restart of both reactors in a joint venture with the Belgian government, transferring remaining waste liability off the balance sheet.
Negative Updates
Decline in Gas Generation EBIT
Gas generation EBIT declined by EUR 126 million organically due to a continued drop in capture spreads in Europe.
Challenges in Energy Management
Energy Management EBIT decreased by EUR 75 million organically, reflecting market normalization and lower reserve releases.
Volume and Price Headwinds
Renewables and Flex Power EBIT negatively impacted by lower hydro volumes and FX headwinds, with a 7.3% decline in EBIT excluding nuclear on an organic basis.
Company Guidance
During the ENGIE conference call, guidance was provided for the fiscal year 2025, indicating an optimistic outlook. The company projects net recurring income group share to reach the upper end of their guidance range, estimated at EUR 4.4 billion to EUR 5 billion. With a strong cash flow from operations at EUR 11.4 billion and economic net debt at 3.2x of EBITDA, ENGIE maintains a solid balance sheet. Their EBIT, excluding nuclear, was reported at EUR 6.3 billion, down 7.3% on an organic basis. The company highlighted an impressive performance improvement, achieving a EUR 477 million boost to EBIT over the first nine months, contributing to their goal of EUR 1 billion minimum performance improvement from 2025 to 2027. The company has added over 2 gigawatts of renewables and BESS in Q3, making it 4 gigawatts for the first nine months, and signed 3.1 gigawatts of green PPAs to date. Looking forward, ENGIE anticipates continued growth in renewables and flexible power, positioning itself strategically to meet the burgeoning demand from data centers and electrification trends.

ENGIE SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has recovered versus prior lows (2025 net margin ~5.3%, EBIT margin ~11.8%), but the profile is pressured by three straight years of revenue decline (including ~-7.1% in 2025), rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.66 in 2025), and a sharp 2025 deterioration in operating and free cash flow (both turning negative).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Profitability has improved meaningfully versus the 2022 trough and the 2020 loss, with net margin rising from ~0.2% (2022) to ~5.3% (2025) and operating profitability remaining solid (2025 EBIT margin ~11.8%, EBITDA margin ~19.3%). However, revenue momentum is a clear weak spot: growth has been negative for three consecutive years (2023–2025), including a ~7.1% decline in 2025. In addition, 2025 gross margin (~12.3%) is sharply lower than prior years, suggesting either higher costs or a less favorable mix.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a leveraged utility profile, with debt consistently exceeding equity and debt-to-equity rising to ~1.66 in 2025 (vs. ~1.11 in 2021). Equity has trended down since 2021, while total debt has moved higher overall, increasing balance-sheet risk if cash generation is pressured. A positive offset is that profitability on equity has been reasonable in the mid-cycle (e.g., ~11.9% in 2024), but leverage remains the primary constraint on the score.
Cash Flow
32
Negative
Cash generation is the main concern: operating cash flow swung from strongly positive in 2023–2024 (~€13.1B each year) to negative in 2025 (~-€2.1B), and free cash flow also turned sharply negative in 2025 (~-€9.1B). While free cash flow growth is shown as positive in 2025 and free cash flow relative to net income appears unusually high, the absolute shift into negative operating and free cash flow indicates significant pressure from working capital, capital spending, or other cash demands. The 2025 cash conversion profile is therefore materially weaker and more volatile than prior years.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue69.10B73.81B82.56B93.86B57.87B
Gross Profit8.51B24.35B25.65B19.33B19.00B
EBITDA13.34B16.14B17.44B8.79B10.42B
Net Income3.68B4.11B2.21B216.00M3.66B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets169.18B189.54B194.64B235.49B225.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.08B17.74B17.35B16.42B14.22B
Total Debt54.54B52.01B47.29B40.59B41.05B
Total Liabilities128.37B148.09B158.92B196.21B183.35B
Stockholders Equity32.94B34.56B30.06B34.25B36.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.10B3.76B5.79B2.21B1.32B
Operating Cash Flow-2.12B13.14B13.12B8.59B7.31B
Investing Cash Flow143.12M-11.34B-11.82B-4.29B-11.04B
Financing Cash Flow158.49M-1.46B-218.00M-2.98B4.85B

ENGIE SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.30
Price Trends
50DMA
28.90
Positive
100DMA
26.47
Positive
200DMA
24.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.27
Negative
RSI
73.92
Negative
STOCH
94.06
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ENGIY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.33, below the 50-day MA of 28.90, and above the 200-day MA of 24.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.92 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.06 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ENGIY.

ENGIE SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$7.39B9.6313.35%12.98%-0.38%-53.94%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$12.31B10.5223.02%5.06%-1.55%12.83%
63
Neutral
$62.89B35.017.10%2.91%9.07%-28.58%
59
Neutral
$82.78B19.9312.08%6.37%2.35%2.25%
59
Neutral
$18.04B40.007.99%4.92%8.14%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ENGIY
ENGIE SA
34.16
17.25
101.97%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
39.04
9.55
32.37%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
2.37
0.74
45.49%
SRE
Sempra Energy
96.27
27.10
39.17%
AES
AES
17.28
6.70
63.27%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026