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Sempra Energy (SRE)
NYSE:SRE
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Sempra Energy (SRE) AI Stock Analysis

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SRE

Sempra Energy

(NYSE:SRE)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$90.00
▲(9.01% Upside)
Sempra Energy's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators are the primary strengths, supported by a fair valuation and balanced earnings call outlook. However, cash flow challenges and regulatory pressures present risks that need to be managed.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Sempra Energy's 1Q25 EPS of $1.44 beat consensus estimates, indicating stronger than expected financial performance.
Growth Outlook
The company's growth outlook into 2029 is expected to be at or above the high end of the projected 7-9% EPS CAGR range, showcasing strong future growth potential.
Infrastructure Development
Sempra's high-quality infrastructure portfolio and robust cash flow from LNG development are expected to drive consolidated EPS growth and potential multiple expansion.
Negative Factors
Asset Sales Impact
The intended sale of Sempra Infrastructure represents an attractive financing alternative, with management aiming for accretion to earnings and credit.
Potential Dilution
The potential California Wildfire Fund recap could modestly dilute Sempra Energy's stock.
Regulatory Challenges
Oncor faces a regulatory lag, but the new Unified Tracking Mechanism provides a path to improve this starting in late 2026.

Sempra Energy (SRE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sempra Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSempra Energy (SRE) is a leading energy services holding company based in the United States, primarily engaged in the development and operation of energy infrastructure. The company operates through two main segments: Utilities and Infrastructure. Its Utilities segment includes regulated electric and natural gas distribution operations, serving millions of customers in California and Texas. The Infrastructure segment focuses on the development and operation of energy infrastructure projects, including renewable energy assets, natural gas pipelines, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) export facilities, catering to both domestic and international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneySempra Energy generates revenue primarily through its regulated utility operations, which earn returns on investments through rate structures approved by state regulators. This includes customer charges for electricity and natural gas distribution services. Additionally, the company earns revenue from its infrastructure segment by providing transportation and storage services for natural gas and developing renewable energy projects, which can include long-term contracts with customers. Key revenue streams also include fees from its LNG facilities and partnerships with other energy companies for joint ventures and development projects, enhancing its earnings potential in the growing energy market.

Sempra Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Earnings breakdown
Earnings breakdown
Offers a detailed view of earnings sources, helping to assess the sustainability of profits and identify key drivers of financial performance.
Chart InsightsSempra California's earnings surged in 2024, reflecting strategic shifts and infrastructure investments, while SDG&E and SoCalGas earnings ceased, likely due to asset divestments and regulatory challenges. Sempra Texas Utilities showed resilience with consistent growth, aligning with expansion plans in Texas. The earnings call highlighted strong EPS growth and significant infrastructure investments, but also noted safety and regulatory challenges. The sale of a minority interest in Sempra Infrastructure Partners and divestment of non-core assets like Ecogas are key to funding growth and reducing equity reliance.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Sempra Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced outlook with notable progress in capital investments, infrastructure development, and legislative support, contrasted by lower GAAP earnings and ongoing regulatory challenges. The company's initiatives to enhance customer affordability and infrastructure growth are positive, yet there are concerns about earnings performance and regulatory pressures.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Steady Financial Performance
Sempra reported second quarter 2025 adjusted EPS of $0.89, in line with the prior period's results, and affirmed full year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70.
Capital Investment and Growth
Sempra's capital plan targets $13 billion in investments, with $10 billion allocated to U.S. utilities. Over $5 billion has been deployed in the first half of the year.
Oncor's Growth and Legislative Support
Oncor continues to execute on its $36 billion 5-year capital plan, supported by the passage of HB5247 in Texas, which helps reduce regulatory investment lag and improve the return on equity.
Sempra Infrastructure Achievements
Cameron LNG Phase 1 exported its 1,000th LNG cargo; ECA LNG Phase 1 is 94% complete, with commercial operations expected in 2026.
Customer Affordability Initiatives
SDG&E is working to save approximately $300 million by phasing out non-beneficial regulatory programs and passing $200 million of federal tax credits to customers.
Negative Updates
Lower GAAP Earnings
Second quarter 2025 GAAP earnings were $461 million or $0.71 per share, down from $713 million or $1.12 per share in the prior year period.
Challenges in Wildfire Legislation
Ongoing discussions around AB 1054 in California, with concerns about the use of shareholder dollars in supporting wildfire fund replenishment.
Regulatory and Cost Pressures
Oncor's rate case seeks to address rising expenses, past storm-related costs, and improve financial strength amidst growth, reflecting ongoing regulatory challenges.
Company Guidance
During Sempra's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and updates. Sempra reported an adjusted EPS of $0.89 for the second quarter, maintaining the same level as the previous period. The company affirmed its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70 and its 2026 EPS guidance of $4.80 to $5.30. Sempra is targeting an investment of approximately $13 billion in 2025, with over $10 billion allocated to U.S. utilities. The company has already deployed more than $5 billion in capital. Sempra is progressing with its capital recycling initiatives, including a potential equity sale within or above the 15% to 30% range in negotiations with KKR. Additionally, Sempra highlighted the improvement in Oncor's earned ROE by 50 to 100 basis points over time due to the new Unified Tracker Mechanism in Texas. The company's commitment to enhancing customer affordability and operational efficiency was also emphasized, with SDG&E achieving significant milestones in wildfire mitigation and cost reduction strategies.

Sempra Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sempra Energy demonstrates robust profitability with a solid gross profit margin of 42.1% and a net profit margin of 22.2%. However, challenges include high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19 and negative free cash flow growth at -23.3%. The company efficiently utilizes equity with a return on equity of 9.4%, but needs to address cash flow management and leverage.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Sempra Energy exhibits solid profitability metrics with a gross profit margin of 42.1% and a net profit margin of 22.2% on a TTM basis. The revenue growth rate is modest at 1.23% from the previous year, which is steady but not particularly high. The EBIT margin stands at 22.7%, showing efficient operational management. Overall, the company demonstrates consistent profitability, although growth rates are moderate.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19, indicating significant leverage which is common in the utilities industry. However, the return on equity is impressive at 9.4%, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 31.9% reflects a balanced approach to asset financing, but there is room for improvement in reducing leverage.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Sempra Energy faces challenges in cash flow management with negative free cash flow growth at -23.3%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.53, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income, although free cash flow remains negative. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -1.38, highlighting the need for improved capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.23B12.96B15.80B15.55B13.06B11.35B
Gross Profit3.71B3.52B3.75B4.16B3.64B3.28B
EBITDA6.00B5.85B6.12B4.42B3.26B4.23B
Net Income2.71B2.86B3.08B2.14B1.32B3.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets99.91B96.16B87.18B78.57B72.05B66.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments180.00M1.56B236.00M370.00M559.00M960.00M
Total Debt38.59B35.85B31.08B28.92B24.64B24.21B
Total Liabilities61.61B58.37B53.53B49.32B44.63B41.69B
Stockholders Equity31.72B31.24B28.70B27.14B26.00B23.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.37B-3.31B-2.18B-4.21B-1.17B-2.08B
Operating Cash Flow4.65B4.91B6.22B1.14B3.84B2.59B
Investing Cash Flow-10.51B-9.12B-8.72B-5.04B-5.51B553.00M
Financing Cash Flow5.70B5.42B2.42B3.78B1.26B-2.37B

Sempra Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price82.56
Price Trends
50DMA
78.90
Positive
100DMA
76.44
Positive
200DMA
78.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.78
Positive
RSI
57.01
Neutral
STOCH
51.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 82.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.95, above the 50-day MA of 78.90, and above the 200-day MA of 78.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SRE.

Sempra Energy Risk Analysis

Sempra Energy disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sempra Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sempra Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$6.52B5.0522.94%15.58%-3.27%-3.44%
77
Outperform
$4.36B15.088.13%4.48%5.41%-1.89%
72
Outperform
$6.40B12.619.81%6.17%-5.28%14.50%
71
Outperform
$53.87B19.998.87%3.06%0.46%-11.77%
66
Neutral
$17.37B18.105.54%3.61%6.63%11.55%
65
Neutral
$20.52B1,621.131.06%5.39%8.86%
65
Neutral
$9.64B9.5621.17%5.17%-3.19%30.48%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRE
Sempra Energy
82.56
2.54
3.17%
BKH
Black Hills
59.81
3.22
5.69%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
31.45
1.85
6.25%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
2.03
0.21
11.54%
ELP
Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd
9.06
1.94
27.25%
AES
AES
13.54
-2.27
-14.36%

Sempra Energy Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sempra Energy Completes $800M Junior Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Sempra Energy successfully completed a public offering of $800 million in junior subordinated notes with a 6.375% fixed-to-fixed reset rate due in 2056. The proceeds, approximately $792 million after underwriting discounts, are intended to help redeem outstanding shares of the company’s Series C preferred stock, pending board approval. This financial maneuver is part of Sempra’s strategic efforts to optimize its capital structure, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and shareholder value.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sempra Energy Announces Key Executive Leadership Changes
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

On June 21, 2025, Sempra’s Board of Directors promoted Caroline A. Winn to executive vice president overseeing its California utility subsidiaries, SoCalGas and SDG&E, while appointing her as a director and non-executive chairman of both boards. Concurrently, Peter R. Wall announced his resignation as senior vice president, controller, and chief accounting officer of Sempra. Dyan Z. Wold was promoted to replace him, bringing extensive experience from her previous roles within Sempra. These changes, effective July 5, 2025, reflect strategic leadership adjustments within the company.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sempra Energy Benefits from New Texas Utility Law
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 20, 2025, Texas House Bill 5247 was signed into law, establishing a ‘unified tracker mechanism’ (UTM) for electric utilities in Texas. This mechanism allows qualifying utilities to apply for interim rate adjustments annually for transmission and distribution (T&D) capital expenditures, potentially reducing regulatory lag. Oncor, a subsidiary of Sempra, expects to use this method to improve its earnings, cash flows, and credit metrics, with anticipated improvements in annual returns on equity by 50 to 100 basis points. The impact on Sempra’s earnings per share is expected to align with previously announced guidance for 2025 and 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2025