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Sempra Energy (SRE)
NYSE:SRE

Sempra Energy (SRE) AI Stock Analysis

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SRE

Sempra Energy

(NYSE:SRE)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$93.00
▲(5.65% Upside)
Sempra Energy's overall score reflects strong earnings growth and strategic initiatives, offset by high leverage, negative cash flow, and regulatory challenges. While the earnings call was positive, technical indicators and corporate events suggest caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business operations, supporting long-term financial health.
Strategic Capital Deployment
Significant capital deployment enhances infrastructure and capacity, positioning Sempra for future growth and competitive advantage.
LNG Project Progress
Progress in LNG projects strengthens Sempra's energy portfolio, ensuring long-term revenue streams and market leadership in energy infrastructure.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting Sempra's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates cash management challenges, which could constrain operational investments and shareholder returns.
Regulatory Challenges
Pending regulatory issues in key markets could lead to operational disruptions and increased costs, affecting Sempra's financial performance.

Sempra Energy (SRE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sempra Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSempra operates as an energy-services holding company in the United States and internationally. The company's San Diego Gas & Electric Company segment provides electric services; and supplies natural gas. It offers electric services to approximately 3.6 million population and natural gas services to approximately 3.3 million population that covers 4,100 square miles. Its Southern California Gas Company segment owns and operates a natural gas distribution, transmission, and storage system that supplies natural gas to a population of approximately 22 million covering an area of 24,000 square miles. The company's Sempra Texas Utilities segment engages in the regulated transmission and distribution of electricity serving 3.8 million homes and businesses, and operation of 140,000 miles of transmission and distribution lines. Its transmission system includes 18,249 circuit miles of transmission lines, a total of 1,174 transmission and distribution substations, and interconnection to 130 third-party generation facilities totaling 45,403 megawatts. The company was formerly known as Sempra Energy and changed its name to Sempra in July 2021. Sempra was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySempra Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates regulated utility businesses that earn revenue through rate-based pricing, which allows them to charge customers based on state-approved rates that ensure recovery of costs and a reasonable return on investment. Additionally, Sempra Infrastructure's operations in LNG and renewable energy projects provide revenue through long-term contracts and sales agreements with energy companies and governments. The company also benefits from partnerships with other energy firms and investments in large-scale infrastructure projects, further diversifying its revenue streams and enhancing its profitability.

Sempra Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Earnings breakdown
Earnings breakdown
Offers a detailed view of earnings sources, helping to assess the sustainability of profits and identify key drivers of financial performance.
Chart InsightsSempra California has emerged as a significant earnings driver, replacing SDG&E and SoCalGas, which have seen earnings drop to zero. This shift aligns with Sempra's strategic focus on regulated utilities, as highlighted in their earnings call. The company's $36 billion capital plan and initiatives in Texas and LNG projects underscore a pivot towards infrastructure and utility growth. However, challenges such as lower GAAP earnings and California's affordability issues may impact future performance. Investors should watch for developments in Sempra's capital recycling and regulatory outcomes in Texas.
Data provided by:The Fly

Sempra Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and significant strategic moves, such as the sale of a stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners and increased capital plans for Oncor. Despite some regulatory challenges and GAAP earnings decline due to tax expenses, the overall outlook is positive with strong growth prospects in Texas and ongoing LNG projects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EPS Growth
Third quarter 2025 adjusted EPS was $1.11, up from $0.89 in the prior period. The full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70 was affirmed, along with 2026 guidance of $4.80 to $5.30.
Significant Capital Deployment
Successfully deployed nearly $9 billion of capital in the first three quarters of 2025, remaining on track to meet or exceed the year-end goal of $13 billion.
Sempra Infrastructure Stake Sale
Announced the sale of a 45% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10 billion, expected to add an average of $0.20 to EPS accretion over five years starting in 2027.
Progress in LNG Projects
Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 is on schedule with Train 1 expected to reach COD in 2027. ECA LNG Phase 1 is over 95% complete.
Oncor's Capital Plan Increase
Oncor's capital plan is expected to increase by over 30%, resulting in an overall target of $55 billion to $60 billion through 2030.
Negative Updates
GAAP Earnings Decline
Third quarter 2025 GAAP earnings were $77 million or $0.12 per share, compared to $638 million or $1 per share in the third quarter of 2024, mainly due to a $514 million tax expense related to Sempra Infrastructure Partners.
Regulatory Challenges in California
Several regulatory matters in California are still pending, including Track 2 of the GRC, the T06 proceeding at FERC, and the CPUC's cost of capital proceeding.
Company Guidance
During Sempra's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided detailed financial guidance, emphasizing its strategic focus on capital allocation and operational efficiency. For Q3 2025, Sempra reported an adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.11, an increase from $0.89 in the prior period. The company affirmed its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70 and its 2026 EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30. Sempra is on track to meet its goal of investing approximately $13 billion this year, with $9 billion already deployed, primarily into U.S. utilities. The strategic sale of a 45% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10 billion is expected to add $0.20 to EPS accretion over a five-year period starting in 2027. Additionally, the company is experiencing significant growth in Texas, with Oncor's capital plan expected to increase by over 30%, a reflection of strong market demand and operational advancements.

Sempra Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sempra Energy demonstrates strong profitability with a solid income statement, but faces challenges with high leverage and negative free cash flow. The company needs to improve operational efficiency and cash flow management to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
Sempra Energy shows a solid performance in its income statement with a consistent revenue growth rate of 3.83% in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is stable at 28.01%, and the net profit margin is strong at 20.52%. However, the EBIT margin slightly decreased to 26.22% from the previous year, indicating some pressure on operating efficiency. Overall, the company maintains healthy profitability metrics, though there is room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.22, indicating a relatively high leverage. The return on equity is 8.73%, which is decent but shows a decline from previous years. The equity ratio stands at 30.70%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the company is leveraging its equity effectively, the high debt levels could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative free cash flow, although there is a 12.31% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, indicating that operating cash flows are not fully covering net income. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.94 highlights the need for improved cash management. While there is some improvement, the cash flow situation remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.73B12.96B15.80B15.55B13.06B11.35B
Gross Profit3.98B3.52B3.75B4.16B3.64B3.28B
EBITDA6.56B5.85B6.12B4.42B3.26B4.23B
Net Income2.16B2.86B3.08B2.14B1.32B3.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets106.92B96.16B87.18B78.57B72.05B66.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments126.00M1.56B236.00M370.00M559.00M960.00M
Total Debt33.59B35.85B31.08B28.92B24.64B24.21B
Total Liabilities66.70B58.37B53.53B49.32B44.63B41.69B
Stockholders Equity31.17B31.24B28.70B27.14B26.00B23.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.91B-3.31B-2.18B-4.21B-1.17B-2.08B
Operating Cash Flow4.74B4.91B6.22B1.14B3.84B2.59B
Investing Cash Flow-11.40B-9.12B-8.72B-5.04B-5.51B553.00M
Financing Cash Flow8.99B5.42B2.42B3.78B1.26B-2.37B

Sempra Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price88.03
Price Trends
50DMA
90.05
Negative
100DMA
87.79
Positive
200DMA
80.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.56
Positive
RSI
47.10
Neutral
STOCH
34.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 88.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 88.16, below the 50-day MA of 90.05, and above the 200-day MA of 80.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SRE.

Sempra Energy Risk Analysis

Sempra Energy disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sempra Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sempra Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$5.43B17.977.90%3.91%7.03%6.64%
70
Outperform
$6.43B8.1313.35%12.98%-0.38%-53.94%
69
Neutral
$15.44B52.796.28%4.92%8.14%
68
Neutral
$94.99B21.6813.06%3.40%9.40%-6.05%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$10.29B8.6623.02%5.06%-1.55%12.83%
61
Neutral
$56.37B27.117.10%2.91%9.07%-28.58%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRE
Sempra Energy
88.03
11.80
15.47%
BKH
Black Hills
71.19
17.31
32.13%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
33.64
3.72
12.43%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
2.00
0.49
32.80%
SO
Southern Co
87.22
7.89
9.95%
AES
AES
14.22
2.90
25.62%

Sempra Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sempra Updates 2025 Earnings Outlook, Reaffirms 2026 Guidance
Neutral
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Sempra said it now expects full-year 2025 adjusted diluted EPS to come in at the high end of its previously announced $4.30–$4.70 range, while updating its 2025 GAAP EPS guidance to $2.38–$2.78 to reflect nine-month results and a sizeable estimated fourth-quarter charge tied to a proposed California Public Utilities Commission decision on San Diego Gas & Electric’s Track 2 rate case and other regulatory disallowances, as well as foreign currency, derivatives and tax items related to assets held for sale. The company also reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.80–$5.30, underscoring confidence in underlying operational performance despite regulatory and tax headwinds and signaling that, once one-off items are stripped out, management sees earnings power strengthening across its regulated utility and infrastructure portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRE) stock is a Hold with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sempra Energy stock, see the SRE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sempra Energy Faces Operational Risks and Uncertainties
Negative
Nov 17, 2025

Sempra Energy has highlighted various risks and uncertainties that could impact its operations, including disruptions in electric power and natural gas availability, as well as potential work stoppages and facility damages. These challenges could affect the company’s ability to maintain satisfactory insurance levels and meet regulatory requirements, potentially influencing its financial stability and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRE) stock is a Buy with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sempra Energy stock, see the SRE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025