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Sempra Energy (SRE)
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Sempra Energy (SRE) AI Stock Analysis

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SRE

Sempra Energy

(NYSE:SRE)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$103.00
▲(11.48% Upside)
Sempra Energy's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call insights and positive technical analysis, indicating a bullish trend. Financial performance is solid but hampered by cash flow challenges, and valuation is moderate. The strategic focus on capital allocation and operational efficiency enhances the growth outlook, despite some regulatory hurdles.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Robust revenue growth indicates strong demand and effective market positioning, enhancing long-term business sustainability.
Strategic Capital Allocation
Effective capital allocation supports infrastructure expansion and operational efficiency, driving future growth and profitability.
Long-term EPS Growth
Consistent EPS growth guidance reflects strong strategic planning and execution, ensuring sustained shareholder value creation.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow could limit financial flexibility and investment capacity, impacting long-term growth and stability.
Regulatory Challenges
Ongoing regulatory challenges in key markets may affect operational efficiency and increase compliance costs, impacting profitability.
GAAP Earnings Decline
Significant GAAP earnings decline due to tax expenses could signal underlying financial pressures, affecting investor confidence.

Sempra Energy (SRE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sempra Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSempra operates as an energy-services holding company in the United States and internationally. The company's San Diego Gas & Electric Company segment provides electric services; and supplies natural gas. It offers electric services to approximately 3.6 million population and natural gas services to approximately 3.3 million population that covers 4,100 square miles. Its Southern California Gas Company segment owns and operates a natural gas distribution, transmission, and storage system that supplies natural gas to a population of approximately 22 million covering an area of 24,000 square miles. The company's Sempra Texas Utilities segment engages in the regulated transmission and distribution of electricity serving 3.8 million homes and businesses, and operation of 140,000 miles of transmission and distribution lines. Its transmission system includes 18,249 circuit miles of transmission lines, a total of 1,174 transmission and distribution substations, and interconnection to 130 third-party generation facilities totaling 45,403 megawatts. The company was formerly known as Sempra Energy and changed its name to Sempra in July 2021. Sempra was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySempra Energy generates revenue primarily through its regulated utility operations, which earn returns on investments through rate structures approved by state regulators. This includes customer charges for electricity and natural gas distribution services. Additionally, the company earns revenue from its infrastructure segment by providing transportation and storage services for natural gas and developing renewable energy projects, which can include long-term contracts with customers. Key revenue streams also include fees from its LNG facilities and partnerships with other energy companies for joint ventures and development projects, enhancing its earnings potential in the growing energy market.

Sempra Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Earnings breakdown
Earnings breakdown
Offers a detailed view of earnings sources, helping to assess the sustainability of profits and identify key drivers of financial performance.
Chart InsightsSempra California's earnings surged in 2024, reflecting strategic shifts and infrastructure investments, while SDG&E and SoCalGas earnings ceased, likely due to asset divestments and regulatory challenges. Sempra Texas Utilities showed resilience with consistent growth, aligning with expansion plans in Texas. The earnings call highlighted strong EPS growth and significant infrastructure investments, but also noted safety and regulatory challenges. The sale of a minority interest in Sempra Infrastructure Partners and divestment of non-core assets like Ecogas are key to funding growth and reducing equity reliance.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Sempra Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and significant strategic moves, such as the sale of a stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners and increased capital plans for Oncor. Despite some regulatory challenges and GAAP earnings decline due to tax expenses, the overall outlook is positive with strong growth prospects in Texas and ongoing LNG projects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EPS Growth
Third quarter 2025 adjusted EPS was $1.11, up from $0.89 in the prior period. The full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70 was affirmed, along with 2026 guidance of $4.80 to $5.30.
Significant Capital Deployment
Successfully deployed nearly $9 billion of capital in the first three quarters of 2025, remaining on track to meet or exceed the year-end goal of $13 billion.
Sempra Infrastructure Stake Sale
Announced the sale of a 45% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10 billion, expected to add an average of $0.20 to EPS accretion over five years starting in 2027.
Progress in LNG Projects
Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 is on schedule with Train 1 expected to reach COD in 2027. ECA LNG Phase 1 is over 95% complete.
Oncor's Capital Plan Increase
Oncor's capital plan is expected to increase by over 30%, resulting in an overall target of $55 billion to $60 billion through 2030.
Negative Updates
GAAP Earnings Decline
Third quarter 2025 GAAP earnings were $77 million or $0.12 per share, compared to $638 million or $1 per share in the third quarter of 2024, mainly due to a $514 million tax expense related to Sempra Infrastructure Partners.
Regulatory Challenges in California
Several regulatory matters in California are still pending, including Track 2 of the GRC, the T06 proceeding at FERC, and the CPUC's cost of capital proceeding.
Company Guidance
During Sempra's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided detailed financial guidance, emphasizing its strategic focus on capital allocation and operational efficiency. For Q3 2025, Sempra reported an adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.11, an increase from $0.89 in the prior period. The company affirmed its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70 and its 2026 EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30. Sempra is on track to meet its goal of investing approximately $13 billion this year, with $9 billion already deployed, primarily into U.S. utilities. The strategic sale of a 45% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10 billion is expected to add $0.20 to EPS accretion over a five-year period starting in 2027. Additionally, the company is experiencing significant growth in Texas, with Oncor's capital plan expected to increase by over 30%, a reflection of strong market demand and operational advancements.

Sempra Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sempra Energy demonstrates robust profitability with a solid gross profit margin of 42.1% and a net profit margin of 22.2%. However, challenges include high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19 and negative free cash flow growth at -23.3%. The company efficiently utilizes equity with a return on equity of 9.4%, but needs to address cash flow management and leverage.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Sempra Energy exhibits solid profitability metrics with a gross profit margin of 42.1% and a net profit margin of 22.2% on a TTM basis. The revenue growth rate is modest at 1.23% from the previous year, which is steady but not particularly high. The EBIT margin stands at 22.7%, showing efficient operational management. Overall, the company demonstrates consistent profitability, although growth rates are moderate.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19, indicating significant leverage which is common in the utilities industry. However, the return on equity is impressive at 9.4%, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 31.9% reflects a balanced approach to asset financing, but there is room for improvement in reducing leverage.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Sempra Energy faces challenges in cash flow management with negative free cash flow growth at -23.3%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.53, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income, although free cash flow remains negative. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -1.38, highlighting the need for improved capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.23B12.96B15.80B15.55B13.06B11.35B
Gross Profit3.71B3.52B3.75B4.16B3.64B3.28B
EBITDA6.00B5.85B6.12B4.42B3.26B4.23B
Net Income2.71B2.86B3.08B2.14B1.32B3.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets99.91B96.16B87.18B78.57B72.05B66.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments180.00M1.56B236.00M370.00M559.00M960.00M
Total Debt38.59B35.85B31.08B28.92B24.64B24.21B
Total Liabilities61.61B58.37B53.53B49.32B44.63B41.69B
Stockholders Equity31.72B31.24B28.70B27.14B26.00B23.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.37B-3.31B-2.18B-4.21B-1.17B-2.08B
Operating Cash Flow4.65B4.91B6.22B1.14B3.84B2.59B
Investing Cash Flow-10.51B-9.12B-8.72B-5.04B-5.51B553.00M
Financing Cash Flow5.70B5.42B2.42B3.78B1.26B-2.37B

Sempra Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price92.39
Price Trends
50DMA
87.69
Positive
100DMA
82.75
Positive
200DMA
78.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.21
Positive
RSI
59.07
Neutral
STOCH
58.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 92.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.02, above the 50-day MA of 87.69, and above the 200-day MA of 78.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SRE.

Sempra Energy Risk Analysis

Sempra Energy disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sempra Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sempra Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.69B16.298.13%4.20%5.41%-1.89%
76
Outperform
$6.63B5.3322.94%12.06%-3.27%-3.44%
72
Outperform
$60.34B22.398.87%2.77%0.46%-11.77%
69
Neutral
$15.75B1,757.221.06%4.90%8.86%
69
Neutral
$102.11B23.0513.06%2.99%9.40%-6.05%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
59
Neutral
$9.57B8.1823.02%4.95%-1.55%12.83%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRE
Sempra Energy
92.39
5.43
6.24%
BKH
Black Hills
64.75
7.77
13.64%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
34.62
2.14
6.59%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
2.18
0.42
23.86%
SO
Southern Co
91.41
7.30
8.68%
AES
AES
14.22
1.36
10.58%

Sempra Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Sempra Energy Sells Stake in Infrastructure Partners
Neutral
Sep 23, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Sempra entered into a purchase and sale agreement to sell 45% of the outstanding Class A Units and all general partner interests of Sempra Infrastructure Partners to KKR and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board for $9.99 billion. The transaction, expected to close in the second or third quarter of 2026, involves cash payments, promissory notes, and adjustments based on performance and capital expenditures. Post-closing, KKR will own 65% of Sempra Infrastructure Partners, with Sempra retaining certain control rights. The agreement includes provisions for potential project developments and financial commitments, impacting Sempra’s strategic positioning and financial obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRE) stock is a Buy with a $86.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sempra Energy stock, see the SRE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sempra Energy Faces Operational and Regulatory Challenges
Negative
Sep 19, 2025

Sempra Energy‘s recent announcement highlights various risks and uncertainties that could impact its operations, including potential work stoppages, disruptions in electric power and natural gas availability, and regulatory challenges affecting Oncor Electric Delivery Company LLC’s dividends. These factors could lead to operational disruptions, financial liabilities, and challenges in obtaining insurance, posing significant implications for the company’s stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRE) stock is a Buy with a $86.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sempra Energy stock, see the SRE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Sempra Energy Completes $800M Junior Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Sempra Energy successfully completed a public offering of $800 million in junior subordinated notes with a 6.375% fixed-to-fixed reset rate due in 2056. The proceeds, approximately $792 million after underwriting discounts, are intended to help redeem outstanding shares of the company’s Series C preferred stock, pending board approval. This financial maneuver is part of Sempra’s strategic efforts to optimize its capital structure, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRE) stock is a Buy with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sempra Energy stock, see the SRE Stock Forecast page.

Sempra Energy Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Sempra is a leading North American energy infrastructure company, delivering energy to nearly 40 million consumers across California, Texas, Mexico, and global markets, recognized for its sustainable business practices and operational excellence.

Sempra Energy’s Earnings Call: Stability and Strategic Growth
Aug 8, 2025

Sempra Energy’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, highlighting stable financial performance and strategic capital investments. The company affirmed its guidance and showcased significant progress in U.S. utilities and infrastructure projects. Legislative advancements in Texas and strides in LNG and renewable projects further underscored the optimistic outlook. However, the call also acknowledged challenges such as decreased GAAP earnings and ongoing regulatory reviews in Texas, alongside California’s affordability issues.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025