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Sempra Energy (SRE)
NYSE:SRE

Sempra Energy (SRE) AI Stock Analysis

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SRE

Sempra Energy

(NYSE:SRE)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$93.00
▲(5.79% Upside)
Sempra Energy's overall score reflects strong earnings growth and strategic initiatives, offset by high leverage, negative cash flow, and regulatory challenges. While the earnings call was positive, technical indicators and corporate events suggest caution.

Sempra Energy (SRE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sempra Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSempra operates as an energy-services holding company in the United States and internationally. The company's San Diego Gas & Electric Company segment provides electric services; and supplies natural gas. It offers electric services to approximately 3.6 million population and natural gas services to approximately 3.3 million population that covers 4,100 square miles. Its Southern California Gas Company segment owns and operates a natural gas distribution, transmission, and storage system that supplies natural gas to a population of approximately 22 million covering an area of 24,000 square miles. The company's Sempra Texas Utilities segment engages in the regulated transmission and distribution of electricity serving 3.8 million homes and businesses, and operation of 140,000 miles of transmission and distribution lines. Its transmission system includes 18,249 circuit miles of transmission lines, a total of 1,174 transmission and distribution substations, and interconnection to 130 third-party generation facilities totaling 45,403 megawatts. The company was formerly known as Sempra Energy and changed its name to Sempra in July 2021. Sempra was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySempra Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates regulated utility businesses that earn revenue through rate-based pricing, which allows them to charge customers based on state-approved rates that ensure recovery of costs and a reasonable return on investment. Additionally, Sempra Infrastructure's operations in LNG and renewable energy projects provide revenue through long-term contracts and sales agreements with energy companies and governments. The company also benefits from partnerships with other energy firms and investments in large-scale infrastructure projects, further diversifying its revenue streams and enhancing its profitability.

Sempra Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and significant strategic moves, such as the sale of a stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners and increased capital plans for Oncor. Despite some regulatory challenges and GAAP earnings decline due to tax expenses, the overall outlook is positive with strong growth prospects in Texas and ongoing LNG projects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EPS Growth
Third quarter 2025 adjusted EPS was $1.11, up from $0.89 in the prior period. The full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70 was affirmed, along with 2026 guidance of $4.80 to $5.30.
Significant Capital Deployment
Successfully deployed nearly $9 billion of capital in the first three quarters of 2025, remaining on track to meet or exceed the year-end goal of $13 billion.
Sempra Infrastructure Stake Sale
Announced the sale of a 45% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10 billion, expected to add an average of $0.20 to EPS accretion over five years starting in 2027.
Progress in LNG Projects
Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 is on schedule with Train 1 expected to reach COD in 2027. ECA LNG Phase 1 is over 95% complete.
Oncor's Capital Plan Increase
Oncor's capital plan is expected to increase by over 30%, resulting in an overall target of $55 billion to $60 billion through 2030.
Negative Updates
GAAP Earnings Decline
Third quarter 2025 GAAP earnings were $77 million or $0.12 per share, compared to $638 million or $1 per share in the third quarter of 2024, mainly due to a $514 million tax expense related to Sempra Infrastructure Partners.
Regulatory Challenges in California
Several regulatory matters in California are still pending, including Track 2 of the GRC, the T06 proceeding at FERC, and the CPUC's cost of capital proceeding.
Company Guidance
During Sempra's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided detailed financial guidance, emphasizing its strategic focus on capital allocation and operational efficiency. For Q3 2025, Sempra reported an adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.11, an increase from $0.89 in the prior period. The company affirmed its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70 and its 2026 EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30. Sempra is on track to meet its goal of investing approximately $13 billion this year, with $9 billion already deployed, primarily into U.S. utilities. The strategic sale of a 45% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10 billion is expected to add $0.20 to EPS accretion over a five-year period starting in 2027. Additionally, the company is experiencing significant growth in Texas, with Oncor's capital plan expected to increase by over 30%, a reflection of strong market demand and operational advancements.

Sempra Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Sempra Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price87.91
Price Trends
50DMA
91.06
Negative
100DMA
86.65
Positive
200DMA
79.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.80
Positive
RSI
40.08
Neutral
STOCH
24.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 87.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 90.18, below the 50-day MA of 91.06, and above the 200-day MA of 79.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SRE.

Sempra Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$5.33B17.847.90%3.83%7.03%6.64%
70
Outperform
$6.23B8.0913.35%12.91%-0.38%-53.94%
69
Neutral
$15.63B53.116.28%5.08%8.14%
65
Neutral
$9.70B8.2923.02%5.06%-1.55%12.83%
64
Neutral
$94.38B21.3113.06%3.43%9.40%-6.05%
61
Neutral
$57.38B27.077.10%2.93%9.07%-28.58%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRE
Sempra Energy
86.78
4.39
5.33%
BKH
Black Hills
70.67
14.87
26.65%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
34.10
5.23
18.12%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
1.96
0.39
24.84%
SO
Southern Co
87.03
7.52
9.46%
AES
AES
13.62
1.84
15.62%

Sempra Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sempra Energy Faces Operational Risks and Uncertainties
Negative
Nov 17, 2025

Sempra Energy has highlighted various risks and uncertainties that could impact its operations, including disruptions in electric power and natural gas availability, as well as potential work stoppages and facility damages. These challenges could affect the company’s ability to maintain satisfactory insurance levels and meet regulatory requirements, potentially influencing its financial stability and stakeholder interests.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sempra Energy Sells Stake in Infrastructure Partners
Neutral
Sep 23, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Sempra entered into a purchase and sale agreement to sell 45% of the outstanding Class A Units and all general partner interests of Sempra Infrastructure Partners to KKR and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board for $9.99 billion. The transaction, expected to close in the second or third quarter of 2026, involves cash payments, promissory notes, and adjustments based on performance and capital expenditures. Post-closing, KKR will own 65% of Sempra Infrastructure Partners, with Sempra retaining certain control rights. The agreement includes provisions for potential project developments and financial commitments, impacting Sempra’s strategic positioning and financial obligations.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sempra Energy Faces Operational and Regulatory Challenges
Negative
Sep 19, 2025

Sempra Energy‘s recent announcement highlights various risks and uncertainties that could impact its operations, including potential work stoppages, disruptions in electric power and natural gas availability, and regulatory challenges affecting Oncor Electric Delivery Company LLC’s dividends. These factors could lead to operational disruptions, financial liabilities, and challenges in obtaining insurance, posing significant implications for the company’s stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025