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Sempra Energy (SRE)
NYSE:SRE
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Sempra Energy (SRE) AI Stock Analysis

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SRE

Sempra Energy

(NYSE:SRE)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$93.00
▲(14.96% Upside)
Sempra Energy's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive corporate events, which enhance its financial outlook. While the company shows robust profitability, high leverage and negative free cash flow present risks. Affirmed earnings guidance and strategic investments in infrastructure and renewable projects further bolster the score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Sempra Energy's 1Q25 EPS of $1.44 beat consensus estimates, indicating stronger than expected financial performance.
Legislative Support
The Texas growth story is only strengthening with legislative support, which includes the passage of HB 5247 that will effectively eliminate much of the capex investment regulatory lag across Oncor’s capital plan.
Market Position
Sempra's high-quality infrastructure portfolio has core positions in the attractive So Central/Southwest markets of No. America.
Negative Factors
Credit Concerns
Credit concerns remain following Moody's outlook downgrade to Negative.
Financial Outlook
Earnings outlook remains challenging, with higher corporate interest rate assumption leading to marginally lower estimates.
Regulatory Issues
Oncor faces a regulatory lag, but the new Unified Tracking Mechanism provides a path to improve this starting in late 2026.

Sempra Energy (SRE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sempra Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSempra Energy (SRE) is a leading energy services holding company based in the United States, primarily engaged in the development and operation of energy infrastructure. The company operates through two main segments: Utilities and Infrastructure. Its Utilities segment includes regulated electric and natural gas distribution operations, serving millions of customers in California and Texas. The Infrastructure segment focuses on the development and operation of energy infrastructure projects, including renewable energy assets, natural gas pipelines, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) export facilities, catering to both domestic and international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneySempra Energy generates revenue primarily through its regulated utility operations, which earn returns on investments through rate structures approved by state regulators. This includes customer charges for electricity and natural gas distribution services. Additionally, the company earns revenue from its infrastructure segment by providing transportation and storage services for natural gas and developing renewable energy projects, which can include long-term contracts with customers. Key revenue streams also include fees from its LNG facilities and partnerships with other energy companies for joint ventures and development projects, enhancing its earnings potential in the growing energy market.

Sempra Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Earnings breakdown
Earnings breakdown
Offers a detailed view of earnings sources, helping to assess the sustainability of profits and identify key drivers of financial performance.
Chart InsightsSempra California's earnings surged in 2024, reflecting strategic shifts and infrastructure investments, while SDG&E and SoCalGas earnings ceased, likely due to asset divestments and regulatory challenges. Sempra Texas Utilities showed resilience with consistent growth, aligning with expansion plans in Texas. The earnings call highlighted strong EPS growth and significant infrastructure investments, but also noted safety and regulatory challenges. The sale of a minority interest in Sempra Infrastructure Partners and divestment of non-core assets like Ecogas are key to funding growth and reducing equity reliance.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Sempra Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.31%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights a stable financial performance with affirmed guidance and significant capital investments, particularly in U.S. utilities and infrastructure. Legislative advancements in Texas and progress in LNG and renewable projects further underscore positive developments. However, challenges such as lower GAAP earnings and ongoing base rate review in Texas, along with California's affordability concerns, present areas of concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Earnings and Affirmed Guidance
Reported second quarter 2025 adjusted EPS of $0.89, consistent with the prior period, and affirmed the full year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70.
Significant Capital Investments
Sempra plans to invest approximately $13 billion in 2025, with over $10 billion allocated to U.S. utilities. Over $5 billion has already been deployed in the first half of the year.
Progress on Capital Recycling Initiatives
Extended the right of first offer process with KKR for an equity sale at Sempra Infrastructure, potentially within or above the 15% to 30% range.
Oncor's Constructive Legislative Outcomes
Passage of Texas House Bill 5247 allows Oncor to improve the earned return on equity by 50 to 100 basis points, supporting Texas' infrastructure expansion.
SDG&E's Transmission Project Awards
SDG&E awarded $600 million in transmission projects, demonstrating ongoing commitment to California's energy infrastructure.
LNG and Renewable Energy Milestones
Significant progress on Cameron LNG Phase 1, ECA LNG Phase 1, Cimarron Wind, and Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 projects, with new agreements advancing Port Arthur LNG Phase 2.
Negative Updates
Lower GAAP Earnings
Second quarter 2025 GAAP earnings decreased to $461 million or $0.71 per share from $713 million or $1.12 per share in the second quarter of 2024.
Challenges in Base Rate Review
Oncor filed a base rate review request to recover storm-related costs and align with rising expenses, seeking increases in equity layer and ROE to improve financial strength.
California Affordability Issues
Efforts to improve customer affordability continue, with regulatory programs and tax credits targeted for savings, but the long-term impact and legislative support remain uncertain.
Company Guidance
During Sempra's second-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.89, consistent with the same period last year, and reaffirmed its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70, along with a 2026 EPS guidance of $4.80 to $5.30. The company highlighted its $36 billion five-year capital plan, with over $13 billion targeted for 2025, including more than $10 billion allocated to U.S. utilities. For the first half of 2025, Sempra deployed over $5 billion of new capital. Additionally, Sempra discussed its capital recycling initiatives, including a potential equity sale at Sempra Infrastructure with KKR, expected to close by mid-2026, anticipated to be accretive to EPS and credit. The company aims to enhance its business risk profile by increasing its earnings contribution from regulated utilities. Sempra is focused on operational efficiency, with SDG&E achieving significant wildfire mitigation milestones and reducing undergrounding costs by 40% over two years. The company also touched on Oncor’s investment opportunities, regulatory developments in Texas, and progress on LNG projects, with ECA LNG Phase 1 nearing completion and Phase 2 advancing.

Sempra Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sempra Energy exhibits solid profitability with a gross profit margin of 42.1% and a net profit margin of 22.2%. The revenue growth rate is modest at 1.23%, and the EBIT margin is 22.7%. The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19, indicating significant leverage, and faces challenges in cash flow management with negative free cash flow growth. Overall, robust profitability and efficient equity utilization are key strengths, but high leverage and negative free cash flow pose risks.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Sempra Energy exhibits solid profitability metrics with a gross profit margin of 42.1% and a net profit margin of 22.2% on a TTM basis. The revenue growth rate is modest at 1.23% from the previous year, which is steady but not particularly high. The EBIT margin stands at 22.7%, showing efficient operational management. Overall, the company demonstrates consistent profitability, although growth rates are moderate.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19, indicating significant leverage which is common in the utilities industry. However, the return on equity is impressive at 9.4%, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 31.9% reflects a balanced approach to asset financing, but there is room for improvement in reducing leverage.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Sempra Energy faces challenges in cash flow management with negative free cash flow growth at -23.3%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.53, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income, although free cash flow remains negative. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -1.38, highlighting the need for improved capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.35B12.96B15.80B15.55B13.06B11.35B
Gross Profit5.63B3.52B3.75B4.16B3.64B3.28B
EBITDA5.98B5.85B6.12B4.42B3.26B4.23B
Net Income2.97B2.86B3.08B2.14B1.32B3.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets99.01B96.16B87.18B78.57B72.05B66.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.74B1.56B236.00M370.00M559.00M960.00M
Total Debt37.73B35.85B31.08B28.92B24.64B24.21B
Total Liabilities60.81B58.37B53.53B49.32B44.63B41.69B
Stockholders Equity31.66B31.24B28.70B27.14B26.00B23.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.08B-3.31B-2.18B-4.21B-1.17B-2.08B
Operating Cash Flow4.54B4.91B6.22B1.14B3.84B2.59B
Investing Cash Flow-9.80B-9.12B-8.72B-5.04B-5.51B553.00M
Financing Cash Flow6.20B5.42B2.42B3.78B1.26B-2.37B

Sempra Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price80.90
Price Trends
50DMA
77.03
Positive
100DMA
74.65
Positive
200DMA
78.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.56
Positive
RSI
57.00
Neutral
STOCH
44.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 80.00, above the 50-day MA of 77.03, and above the 200-day MA of 78.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SRE.

Sempra Energy Risk Analysis

Sempra Energy disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sempra Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sempra Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$6.47B12.519.81%6.21%-5.28%14.50%
77
Outperform
$52.79B19.598.87%3.13%0.46%-11.77%
75
Outperform
$6.36B4.3726.38%4.68%-4.14%13.02%
72
Outperform
$4.40B15.228.13%4.39%5.41%-1.89%
67
Neutral
$17.80B18.566.87%3.44%6.79%9.13%
64
Neutral
$9.34B9.2621.17%5.47%-3.19%30.48%
63
Neutral
$19.67B1,554.641.06%5.54%8.86%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRE
Sempra Energy
80.90
4.87
6.41%
BKH
Black Hills
60.38
5.78
10.59%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
30.16
1.47
5.12%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
1.93
0.20
11.56%
ELP
Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd
8.99
1.76
24.34%
AES
AES
12.80
-3.15
-19.75%

Sempra Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sempra Energy Announces Key Executive Leadership Changes
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

On June 21, 2025, Sempra’s Board of Directors promoted Caroline A. Winn to executive vice president overseeing its California utility subsidiaries, SoCalGas and SDG&E, while appointing her as a director and non-executive chairman of both boards. Concurrently, Peter R. Wall announced his resignation as senior vice president, controller, and chief accounting officer of Sempra. Dyan Z. Wold was promoted to replace him, bringing extensive experience from her previous roles within Sempra. These changes, effective July 5, 2025, reflect strategic leadership adjustments within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRE) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sempra Energy stock, see the SRE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sempra Energy Benefits from New Texas Utility Law
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 20, 2025, Texas House Bill 5247 was signed into law, establishing a ‘unified tracker mechanism’ (UTM) for electric utilities in Texas. This mechanism allows qualifying utilities to apply for interim rate adjustments annually for transmission and distribution (T&D) capital expenditures, potentially reducing regulatory lag. Oncor, a subsidiary of Sempra, expects to use this method to improve its earnings, cash flows, and credit metrics, with anticipated improvements in annual returns on equity by 50 to 100 basis points. The impact on Sempra’s earnings per share is expected to align with previously announced guidance for 2025 and 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRE) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sempra Energy stock, see the SRE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Sempra Energy Subsidiary Completes $1.1 Billion Bond Offering
Positive
May 16, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Southern California Gas Company, an indirect subsidiary of Sempra, completed a public offering of $600 million in 5.450% First Mortgage Bonds due 2035 and $500 million in 6.000% First Mortgage Bonds due 2055. The proceeds from these offerings will support the company’s financial activities, potentially strengthening its market position and providing benefits to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRE) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sempra Energy stock, see the SRE Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sempra Energy Shareholders Approve Key Proposals
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Sempra held its Annual Shareholders Meeting where shareholders elected all eleven director nominees, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, and approved the company’s executive compensation. These decisions reflect strong shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction, potentially reinforcing Sempra’s position in the energy sector and influencing its future operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRE) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sempra Energy stock, see the SRE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sempra Energy Subsidiary Issues $1.1 Billion Bonds
Positive
May 13, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Southern California Gas Company, a subsidiary of Sempra, entered into an underwriting agreement to issue $1.1 billion in First Mortgage Bonds. This strategic move aims to strengthen the company’s financial position and enhance its market offerings, potentially impacting stakeholders positively by ensuring long-term financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRE) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sempra Energy stock, see the SRE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025