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Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd (ELP)
NYSE:ELP
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Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd (ELP) AI Stock Analysis

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ELP

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd

(NYSE:ELP)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(14.26% Upside)
Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd exhibits strong financial and operational performance, supported by robust technical indicators. However, concerns about increasing leverage, negative free cash flow, and challenges in generation curtailment slightly temper the overall outlook. The attractive dividend yield provides a cushion, but the valuation is not particularly compelling.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Performance
The increase in EBITDA indicates robust operational efficiency and profitability, supporting long-term financial health and investment capacity.
Significant Investment in CapEx
Substantial CapEx investment supports infrastructure expansion and modernization, enhancing service reliability and future growth potential.
Progress Towards Novo Mercado
Migration to Novo Mercado improves governance standards and transparency, potentially increasing investor confidence and market competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Increasing Leverage
Rising leverage could strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting future investment and operational stability.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, limiting the ability to fund operations and investments without external financing.
Curtailment Challenges
Curtailment in generation affects revenue and operational efficiency, posing challenges for consistent energy supply and profitability.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd (ELP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompanhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL engages in the generation, transformation, distribution, and trading of energy to industrial, residential, commercial, rural, and other customers primarily in the State of Paraná, Brazil. The company operates through Power generation and transmission, Power distribution, Gas, and Power sale segments. It is also involved in the piped natural gas distribution. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 20 hydroelectric plants, 30 wind plants, and 1 thermoelectric plant with a total installed capacity of 5,957 megawatts; and owned and operated 3,638 km of transmission lines and 204,957 km of distribution lines. It holds concessions to distribute electricity in 394 municipalities in the State of Paraná and in the municipality of Porto União in the State of Santa Catarina. Companhia Paranaense de Energia – COPEL was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Curitiba, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyCompanhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to its diverse customer base, which includes residential, commercial, and industrial users. The company's revenue model is largely based on regulated tariffs set by the government, which determine the prices ELP can charge for electricity distribution. Key revenue streams also include income from electricity generation, particularly from its hydroelectric facilities, and ancillary services related to energy management and efficiency. Additionally, ELP may benefit from partnerships with other energy providers and government initiatives aimed at promoting renewable energy, further contributing to its earnings.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
COPEL demonstrated strong financial and operational performance with significant investments and efficient cost management. However, challenges in generation curtailment and a decline in net income present areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
COPEL posted a recurring EBITDA of BRL 1.3 billion, up almost 8% over the same period last year, and a recurring net income of BRL 375 million.
Significant Investment in CapEx
COPEL invested BRL 981 million in CapEx in the third quarter alone, totaling BRL 2.6 billion in the 9 months of 2025.
Successful Divestments
Completed the divestment of 4 photovoltaic solar plants and Mashigua Sue HPP, maintaining a leverage ratio of 2.8x net debt over EBITDA.
Operational Resilience
Sales of almost 5 gigawatts and a 1.7% growth in the build market of DISCO.
Cost Efficiency Improvements
Significant cost reductions achieved, including an 18.4% reduction in personnel and administrative expenses, and a 4.1% reduction in PMSO expenses.
Progress Towards Novo Mercado
Steps for migration to Novo Mercado completed, expecting to finalize by the end of December 2025.
Negative Updates
Curtailment Challenges
Experienced a GSF of approximately 65% and a curtailment of almost 35% in the generation segment.
Decline in Net Income
Recurring net income of BRL 374.8 million, down 36.5% over the same period last year, influenced by an increase in negative financial results.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) reported a recurring EBITDA of BRL 1.3 billion, marking an 8% increase compared to the same period last year, along with a recurring net income of BRL 375 million. The company invested significantly, with BRL 981 million in CapEx during the third quarter alone, totaling BRL 2.6 billion for the first nine months of 2025. This investment supports service expansion and asset modernization ahead of a historical tariff review in 2026. COPEL also completed the divestment of four photovoltaic solar plants for BRL 78 million and the Mashigua Sue HPP, achieving a leverage ratio of 2.8x net debt over EBITDA. Operationally, sales reached almost 5 gigawatts, with a build market growth of 1.7%. The company faced a challenging scenario with a GSF of 65% and a curtailment of 35%, but benefited from a 50% increase in the PLD spot market, reaching BRL 250 per megawatt hour. The integration of Mata de Santa Genebra contributed to a robust and efficient portfolio. COPEL is preparing for migration to Novo Mercado, with a special general meeting scheduled for November 17 to ratify share conversion, aiming for completion by year-end, which would also affect dividend distribution strategies.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd shows strong revenue growth and profitability with efficient operations reflected in healthy margins. However, increasing leverage and negative free cash flow pose potential risks that need addressing.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company's income statement shows a solid performance with a consistent revenue growth rate of 4.51% TTM, indicating a positive growth trajectory. The gross profit margin of 18.59% and net profit margin of 12.75% TTM are healthy, reflecting effective cost management and profitability. The EBIT margin of 20.25% and EBITDA margin of 23.03% TTM further emphasize strong operational efficiency. However, the net income has decreased compared to the previous year, which could be a concern if the trend continues.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79 TTM, which is manageable but has increased over the years, indicating rising leverage. The return on equity of 11.82% TTM is respectable, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 41.88% TTM suggests a solid capital structure, but the increasing debt levels could pose a risk if not controlled.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals challenges with free cash flow, which is negative TTM, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.30 TTM suggests that cash generation from operations is not fully covering net income, which could impact future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.95 TTM shows that despite negative free cash flow, the company is close to covering its net income, but improvements are needed.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.95B22.65B21.48B20.54B23.98B18.63B
Gross Profit4.33B4.07B4.05B3.93B4.86B5.29B
EBITDA5.70B5.17B4.69B3.64B6.11B5.02B
Net Income2.21B2.81B2.26B1.11B4.95B3.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.05B57.38B55.82B49.70B49.54B46.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.97B4.16B5.65B2.68B3.87B3.22B
Total Debt21.24B17.57B15.23B12.73B12.04B10.08B
Total Liabilities36.10B31.75B31.63B28.57B27.36B26.53B
Stockholders Equity25.99B25.67B23.89B20.82B21.84B19.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-997.72M603.96M3.30B681.71M564.97M720.12M
Operating Cash Flow3.26B629.49M3.52B755.67M627.64M764.00M
Investing Cash Flow-7.38B-1.06B-3.14B-537.32M5.91M-323.29M
Financing Cash Flow359.76M149.11M2.70B-372.16M-534.53M-332.50M

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.94
Price Trends
50DMA
10.08
Positive
100DMA
9.51
Positive
200DMA
8.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
60.04
Neutral
STOCH
75.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ELP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.63, above the 50-day MA of 10.08, and above the 200-day MA of 8.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ELP.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd Risk Analysis

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$7.86B19.708.00%5.12%1.96%-35.00%
75
Outperform
$7.64B14.578.00%5.18%1.96%-35.00%
70
Outperform
$6.63B8.4913.35%12.30%-0.38%-53.94%
69
Neutral
$16.45B55.876.28%4.72%8.14%
68
Neutral
$3.93B23.685.83%4.28%-4.30%-8.49%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
59
Neutral
$9.96B8.5223.02%5.04%-1.55%12.83%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ELP
Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd
10.94
4.80
78.06%
ALE
Allete
67.65
5.03
8.03%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
36.41
3.53
10.74%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
2.11
0.42
24.85%
AES
AES
13.71
1.06
8.38%
ELPC
Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR
10.27
4.85
89.48%

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd Corporate Events

COPEL Announces Operational Efficiency and Investment Targets at Copel Day 2025
Nov 19, 2025

On November 19, 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) announced its operational efficiency and investment targets during Copel Day 2025. These targets, which are detailed in the company’s presentation, are not guarantees but reflect COPEL’s strategic focus amidst economic and regulatory uncertainties. This announcement highlights COPEL’s commitment to enhancing its market position and operational capabilities, potentially impacting stakeholders by aligning with the company’s strategic and operational decisions.

COPEL Approves Major IOE Distribution and Investment Budget
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, COPEL’s Board of Directors approved a proposal for distributing earnings as Interest on Equity (IOE) amounting to R$1.1 billion, based on the first half of 2025 results. This decision, aligned with the company’s migration to the Novo Mercado, will see payments made in early 2026. Additionally, the Board approved a comprehensive business and investment budget for 2026-2030, with a significant annual investment of R$3 billion for 2026, reflecting COPEL’s strategic focus on growth and financial stability.

COPEL Announces R$ 17.8 Billion Investment Plan for 2026-2030
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, COPEL’s Board of Directors approved a significant investment program of R$ 17.8 billion for 2026-2030. This strategic allocation is aimed at strengthening service quality and expanding operational efficiency. For 2026, approximately R$ 3.0 billion will be invested, with Copel Distribuição focusing on quality improvements and Copel Geração e Transmissão enhancing generation capacity and transmission lines. This investment reflects COPEL’s commitment to sustainable growth and value generation for stakeholders.

COPEL Announces R$1.1 Billion Interest on Equity Distribution
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, COPEL announced that its Board of Directors approved the distribution of interest on equity (IoE) amounting to R$ 1.1 billion, based on the net income for the fiscal year as of June 30, 2025. This distribution aligns with the company’s recent migration to the Novo Mercado of B3, which involves a new shareholding structure composed exclusively of common shares, except for special class preferred shares held by the State of Paraná. The IoE will be paid on January 19, 2026, with the record date set for December 30, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of January 2, 2026. The announcement may impact shareholders, particularly those with preferred shares, as the value per share could be adjusted based on the exercise of withdrawal rights.

COPEL Approves R$ 1.1 Billion Interest on Equity Payment
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, COPEL announced that its Board of Directors approved the payment of R$ 1.1 billion in interest on equity, based on the net income for the fiscal year calculated as of June 30, 2025. This payment will be distributed on January 19, 2026, with the record date set for December 30, 2025, and shares trading ex-dividend from January 2, 2026. The decision to pay interest on equity at the beginning of the subsequent fiscal year is due to the company’s migration to the Novo Mercado, highlighting a strategic shift in its financial operations.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Files SEC Report as Foreign Private Issuer
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) filed a report as a foreign private issuer with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This filing, pursuant to the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, was signed by CEO Daniel Pimentel Slaviero. The report may contain forward-looking statements reflecting management’s current views on future economic circumstances, industry conditions, and company performance, highlighting potential risks and uncertainties.

Copel Advances Towards Novo Mercado Listing with Share Conversion Approval
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (Copel) announced the approval of a significant change in its shareholding structure, marking a decisive step towards its listing on the Novo Mercado of the Brazilian stock exchange. This transition involves the conversion of all preferred shares into new common and class ‘C’ preferred shares, a move ratified at a special meeting of preferred shareholders. The agreement for participation in the Novo Mercado was signed on November 5, 2025, and is contingent upon the completion of this conversion and the redemption of all class ‘C’ preferred shares. This strategic shift is expected to enhance Copel’s corporate governance and transparency, aligning with best practices and benefiting its stakeholders.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Advances Share Conversion and Novo Mercado Migration
Nov 17, 2025

On November 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia held a special meeting where preferred shareholders approved the mandatory conversion of all preferred shares into common and class ‘C’ preferred shares. This move is part of COPEL’s strategy to migrate to the Novo Mercado segment of B3, aiming to enhance its shareholding structure. Dissenting shareholders who did not agree with the conversion have the right to withdraw and will be reimbursed based on the book value of their shares. The conversion and subsequent redemption of class ‘C’ preferred shares are scheduled for December 19, 2025, marking a significant restructuring phase for the company.

COPEL Approves Mandatory Share Conversion in November 2025
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) held a special digital meeting for shareholders holding preferred shares. The meeting resulted in the approval of the mandatory conversion of all preferred shares into common shares and class ‘C’ preferred shares, which are compulsorily redeemable. The conversion was ratified with a significant majority, and shareholders who did not approve the conversion have the right to withdraw from the company. This strategic move aims to streamline the company’s share structure and potentially enhance its market position.

COPEL Rectifies Inaccurate Shareholding Disclosure by Invesco
Nov 17, 2025

On November 13, 2025, COPEL announced a correction regarding a previously reported material shareholding position by Invesco Ltd. An oversight in Invesco’s equity holdings led to inaccurate information being disclosed on November 12, 2025, which COPEL has now rectified, rendering the prior notice null and void.

COPEL Files SEC Report to Maintain Regulatory Compliance
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) filed a report with the Securities and Exchange Commission, signed by CEO Daniel Pimentel Slaviero. The filing is part of COPEL’s compliance with the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, indicating ongoing regulatory adherence. The report underscores COPEL’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and operational stability.

COPEL Submits Regulatory Report to SEC in November 2025
Nov 13, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) submitted a report to the Securities and Exchange Commission, as required by the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The report, signed by CEO Daniel Pimentel Slaviero, highlights the company’s compliance with regulatory requirements. While the release includes forward-looking statements, it primarily serves to fulfill legal obligations without detailing specific operational changes or impacts on stakeholders.

COPEL Announces Preferred Shares Unification Timeline
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) announced the timeline for the unification of its preferred shares, converting all Class ‘B’ preferred shares into Class ‘A’ preferred shares. This process, which follows the approval at the Extraordinary General Meeting on August 22, 2025, is set to complete before the special meeting of preferred shareholders on November 17, 2025. The unification aims to streamline share classes and enhance corporate governance, with implications for shareholders who may exercise withdrawal rights if they dissent from the conversion plan.

Copel Announces Leadership Change in Geração e Transmissão
Nov 5, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Fernando Mano da Silva resigned as the General Director of Copel Geração e Transmissão for personal reasons, with Moacir Carlos Bertol stepping in as his replacement. This change in leadership is aligned with the company’s board and is part of Copel’s ongoing efforts to keep stakeholders informed about significant developments.

COPEL Completes Divestment of Baixo Iguaçu Hydroelectric Plant
Oct 23, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) announced the completion of its divestment in the Baixo Iguaçu Hydroelectric Plant to ENERGO-PRO BRASIL HOLDING S.A. The transaction, valued at R$ 1,683.3 million, was executed after meeting all necessary conditions and receiving approvals from relevant authorities. This strategic move underscores COPEL’s efficiency in asset management, enhancing its ability to generate returns for shareholders.

COPEL Fiscal Council Reviews Financials and Tax Reform Impact
Oct 22, 2025

On October 21, 2025, COPEL’s Fiscal Council convened to discuss several key topics, including the company’s financial scenario up to July 2025, the implementation of tax reform measures, and the company’s legal contingencies for the third quarter of 2025. The council reviewed the company’s financial performance, tax reform impacts, and legal liabilities, emphasizing the need for ongoing updates. Additionally, the council approved updates to its internal regulations due to COPEL’s entry into the ‘Novo Mercado’ segment of the B3 stock market and set the meeting calendar for 2026.

COPEL Approves Capex Supplementation and Updates Corporate Policies
Oct 22, 2025

On October 15, 2025, COPEL’s Board of Directors approved a financial supplementation to the Capex of its subsidiary, Copel Distribuição S.A., following a detailed presentation of economic and financial assessments. Additionally, the Board approved updates to align with Novo Mercado Regulations, including changes to governance documents and corporate policies, such as merging IT and Cyber Security policies and terminating the Investor Relations Policy. These decisions aim to enhance operational efficiency and regulatory compliance.

COPEL Reports 1.7% Growth in Q3 2025 Electricity Consumption
Oct 22, 2025

In the third quarter of 2025, COPEL reported a 1.7% increase in electricity consumption in its distribution grid market compared to the previous year, driven by lower temperatures and increased economic activity. This growth reflects positively on COPEL’s operational performance, indicating a stable demand in the residential sector and a boost in commercial and industrial segments, which could enhance its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

COPEL Announces No Shareholder Withdrawals Following Share Preference Changes
Sep 26, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) announced that the deadline for dissenting shareholders to exercise their right of withdrawal had passed without any shareholders opting to withdraw. This follows the approval at the Extraordinary General Meeting on August 22, 2025, to equalize the preferences and advantages of class ‘B’ preferred shares with class ‘A’ preferred shares. The lack of dissent suggests shareholder support for the changes, which could impact the company’s financial structure and stakeholder relations.

COPEL Advances with Strategic Corporate Restructuring in August 2025
Sep 19, 2025

On August 22, 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) held its 212th Extraordinary General Meeting digitally, where significant decisions were made regarding its corporate structure and market positioning. The shareholders approved several key proposals, including the company’s entry into the Novo Mercado segment of the B3 stock market, amendments to the statutory rules for share conversion, and changes to the preferences of preferred shares. These decisions aim to enhance COPEL’s governance, align share classes, and improve its market competitiveness, potentially impacting its stakeholders positively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025