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Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR (ELPC)
NYSE:ELPC
US Market

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR (ELPC) AI Stock Analysis

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ELPC

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR

(NYSE:ELPC)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(9.49% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (steady growth, strong operating margins, and strong free-cash-flow growth). Valuation is supportive due to the high dividend yield. Offsetting these positives are mixed-to-weak technical momentum signals and earnings-call risks tied to lower net income and higher financial costs, despite healthy EBITDA and leverage control.
Positive Factors
Strong Free Cash Flow Growth
The significant growth in free cash flow indicates robust cash generation capabilities, enhancing the company's ability to fund operations and investments without relying heavily on external financing.
Operational Efficiency
High EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect effective cost management and operational efficiency, which can sustain profitability even in competitive or challenging market conditions.
Investment in CapEx
Significant investment in capital expenditures demonstrates a commitment to service quality and asset modernization, preparing the company for future growth and regulatory reviews.
Negative Factors
Decline in Recurring Net Income
A sharp decline in recurring net income can impact the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and may signal underlying operational challenges.
Rising Debt Levels
Rising debt levels, if not managed carefully, can strain financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to interest rate changes, impacting long-term financial health.
Increased Financial Costs
Rising financial costs due to higher interest rates can reduce net income and limit the company's ability to invest in growth, affecting long-term profitability.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR (ELPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompanhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL engages in the generation, transformation, distribution, and sale of electricity to industrial, residential, commercial, rural, and other customers in Brazil. The company operates through Power Generation and Transmission, Power Distribution, GAS, Power Sale, and Holding and Services segments. It is also involved in the piped natural gas distribution. The company operates hydroelectric, wind, and thermoelectric plants; and owns and operates transmission and distribution lines. It holds concessions to distribute electricity in municipalities in the State of Paraná and in the municipality of Porto União in the State of Santa Catarina. Companhia Paranaense de Energia – COPEL was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Curitiba, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyCompanhia Paranaense de Energia generates revenue primarily through the sale and distribution of electricity to a diverse customer base, which includes residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. The company's revenue model is structured around regulated tariffs set by government authorities, ensuring a stable income stream from its utility operations. Key revenue streams include charges for energy consumption, connection fees, and ancillary services. Additionally, ELPC benefits from partnerships with various stakeholders, including governmental bodies and private enterprises, which can enhance its service offerings and operational efficiency. The company also invests in renewable energy projects, which can lead to additional revenue through incentives and green energy credits.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
COPEL demonstrated strong financial and operational resilience with significant EBITDA growth and strategic investments. However, challenges remain in terms of financial costs and trading segment performance, alongside a notable decline in net income.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Recurring EBITDA Growth
COPEL posted a recurring EBITDA of BRL 1.3 billion, up 8% over the same period last year.
Strong Investment in CapEx
Investment reached BRL 981 million in Q3 alone, totaling BRL 2.6 billion for the first nine months of 2025.
Leverage Ratio on Target
Net debt over EBITDA ratio is at 2.8x, aligning with the company's optimal capital structure.
Operational Resilience
Sales recorded at almost 5 gigawatts, with a 1.7% growth in the build market of DISCO.
Successful Divestment
Completed the divestment of 4 photovoltaic solar plants totaling 22 megawatts peak in distributed generation.
Cost Efficiency Improvements
PMSO expenses reduced by 4.1% year-over-year, with an 18.4% reduction in personnel and administrative expenses.
Negative Updates
Decline in Recurring Net Income
Recurring net income decreased by 36.5% to BRL 374.8 million compared to the same period last year.
Increased Financial Costs
The increase in negative financial results was driven by a robust investment cycle and higher CDI costs year-on-year.
Challenges in Trading Segment
COPEL com EBITDA saw a drop of BRL 7.3 million in margin, impacted by legacy contracts and a 39.1% increase in PMSO expenses.
Impact of Curtailment
Generation segment faced curtailment of 34.4%, generating a negative effect of BRL 39 million.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) demonstrated strong financial and operational performance, with recurring EBITDA reaching BRL 1.3 billion, marking an 8% increase over the same period last year, and a recurring net income of BRL 375 million. The company invested BRL 981 million in CapEx during the quarter, contributing to a total of BRL 2.6 billion over the first nine months of 2025. This investment aligns with COPEL's commitment to service quality and asset modernization, preparing for a significant tariff review in 2026. Additionally, the company completed the divestment of four photovoltaic solar plants and the Mashigua Sue HPP, which helped maintain a leverage ratio of 2.8x net debt over EBITDA. COPEL recorded almost 5 gigawatts in sales, with a 1.7% growth in the DISCO build market, despite a challenging scenario with a GSF of approximately 65% and a curtailment of almost 35%. The company also experienced a 50% increase in the PLD spot market price compared to Q3 2024. The integration of Mata de Santa Genebra's results further strengthened COPEL's portfolio, underscoring its robust and integrated market presence.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. Profitability margins are healthy, but rising debt levels need monitoring to maintain financial stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The income statement shows a positive revenue growth rate of 4.51% TTM, indicating a steady increase in sales. The gross profit margin is moderate at 15.83%, and the net profit margin has improved to 8.85% TTM, reflecting better cost management. However, the gross profit margin has decreased compared to previous years, which could indicate rising costs or pricing pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 19.35% and 21.95% TTM, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.82 TTM, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is 8.53% TTM, which is a moderate return for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 41.88%, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the increasing trend in debt levels over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a significant free cash flow growth rate of 23.39% TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.36, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.94, both suggesting efficient cash conversion. The company has shown resilience in maintaining positive cash flows despite fluctuations in net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.95B22.65B21.48B20.54B-13.33B18.63B
Gross Profit4.67B4.89B4.90B4.93B-30.03B5.29B
EBITDA5.48B4.45B3.96B2.27B5.64B6.14B
Net Income2.21B2.81B2.26B1.11B4.95B3.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.05B57.38B55.82B49.70B49.54B46.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.97B4.38B5.65B2.87B3.87B3.40B
Total Debt21.24B17.57B15.23B12.73B12.04B10.08B
Total Liabilities36.10B31.75B31.63B28.57B27.36B26.53B
Stockholders Equity25.99B25.67B23.89B20.82B21.84B19.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.50B603.96M663.41M681.71M564.97M720.12M
Operating Cash Flow2.63B629.49M704.42M755.67M627.64M764.00M
Investing Cash Flow-6.98B-1.06B-627.66M-537.32M5.91M-323.29M
Financing Cash Flow-220.39M149.11M539.87M-372.16M-534.53M-332.50M

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.59
Price Trends
50DMA
9.31
Positive
100DMA
8.82
Positive
200DMA
8.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
52.80
Neutral
STOCH
44.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ELPC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.03, above the 50-day MA of 9.31, and above the 200-day MA of 8.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ELPC.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR Risk Analysis

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$6.32B8.0013.35%12.98%-0.38%-53.94%
67
Neutral
$6.89B17.648.00%5.43%1.96%-35.00%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$9.97B8.5323.02%5.06%-1.55%12.83%
61
Neutral
$59.60B28.127.10%2.91%9.07%-28.58%
48
Neutral
$16.08B54.636.28%4.92%8.14%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ELPC
Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR
9.33
4.34
86.86%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
34.83
5.20
17.55%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
1.98
0.48
32.26%
SRE
Sempra Energy
91.57
9.09
11.02%
AES
AES
14.44
3.30
29.62%

Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR Corporate Events

Copel Updates Per‑Share Dividend and Interest on Equity Values After Treasury Share Change
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Copel announced an adjustment to the per‑share amounts of interest on equity and dividends that had been previously approved by its board of directors on November 18, 2025 and December 10, 2025, respectively. The total distributions remain R$1.1 billion in interest on equity, to be paid on January 19, 2026, and R$1.35 billion in dividends, to be paid by June 30, 2026, but the values per ordinary share were updated due to a new change in the balance of treasury shares as of the December 30, 2025 record date; the interest on equity is also subject to Brazilian withholding tax under applicable law.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELPC) stock is a Hold with a $10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR stock, see the ELPC Stock Forecast page.

Copel Board Sees Resignation of Independent Director Augusto Baião
Jan 8, 2026

On January 7, 2026, Copel received and accepted the resignation of Augusto Cezar Tavares Baião as an independent member of its Board of Directors, effective the same day, following his decision to take on new professional responsibilities outside the Copel group. Baião, who had served on the board since April 2025, leaves with the company’s public acknowledgment of his contributions, and Copel has stated it will undertake the necessary governance procedures to reconstitute the board in line with its bylaws and applicable regulations, signaling a routine but notable change in its leadership structure for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELPC) stock is a Hold with a $10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR stock, see the ELPC Stock Forecast page.

Copel Announces Partial Stake Disposal by GQG Partners
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Copel disclosed that asset manager GQG Partners LLC reduced its stake in the company and now holds 70,577,424 common shares, equivalent to about 2.37% of Copel’s total share capital. The move reflects a partial divestment by a significant institutional investor but leaves GQG Partners with a meaningful minority position, with no operational or strategic changes for Copel indicated in the announcement.

The most recent analyst rating on (ELPC) stock is a Hold with a $10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR stock, see the ELPC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 27, 2025