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Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais (CIG)
NYSE:CIG

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais (CIG) AI Stock Analysis

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Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais

(NYSE:CIG)

Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:―
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais scores 82, driven by strong financial performance, attractive valuation, and positive technical indicators. The company's robust profitability and strategic investment plans are tempered by challenges in their trading company and submarket pricing issues. Overall, the stock's high dividend yield and low P/E ratio offer attractive value, making it appealing for investors seeking both income and potential growth.
Positive Factors
Dividends
The one-offs in the net income could result in a 4% additional dividend yield.
Privatization
The privatization process is the main upside risk, potentially boosting stock value.
Negative Factors
Operational Performance
Cemig reported soft operational results with Adj. EBITDA down 10% YoY.
Privatization Complexity
There is a low likelihood of Minas Gerais state-owned enterprises' privatization concluding due to complexity.

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais (CIG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompanhia Energética de Minas Gerais, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of energy in Brazil. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 70 hydroelectric, wind, and solar plants with an installed capacity of 5,700 MW; 339,086 miles of distribution lines; and 4,449 miles of transmission lines. It is also involved in the acquisition, transportation, and distribution of gas and its sub products and derivatives; provision of cloud solution, IT infrastructure, IT management, and cybersecurity services; provision of technology systems and systems for operational management of public service concessions; sale and trading of energy; provision of telecommunications services; and distributed generation, account services, cogeneration, energy efficiency, and supply and storage management activities. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyCEMIG generates revenue through several key streams within the energy sector. The primary source of income comes from the generation and distribution of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial clients. It owns and operates a diverse portfolio of power plants, including hydroelectric, wind, and solar facilities, which contribute to its energy generation capabilities. Additionally, CEMIG earns money through its transmission services, where it maintains and operates extensive power lines to deliver electricity over long distances. The company also engages in energy trading and sells excess power in the national electricity market. Significant partnerships with other energy firms and investments in new technologies and infrastructure projects further bolster its revenue. Regulatory frameworks and government policies in Brazil also impact its financial performance, influencing tariffs and operational efficiencies.

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Cemig's Q1 2025 earnings call presented a mixed outlook. The company achieved strong operational and financial highlights, such as a robust EBITDA, successful debenture issuance, and significant investments, indicating resilience and strategic growth. However, challenges in the trading company and the impact of submarket price differences contributed to a decline in EBITDA and net profit. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans towards resilience and strategic focus on growth and efficiency.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong EBITDA Performance
Cemig reported a significant EBITDA of BRL1.8 billion for Q1 2025, demonstrating sound results across all segments except for the trading company.
Record Investment Program
The company is executing the largest investment program in its history, with investments growing 6x since 2018, reaching BRL6.3 billion in 2025, an 18% increase from 2024.
Successful Debenture Issuance
Cemig successfully issued BRL5 billion in debentures, with a demand over 2.5 times the booking, extending the average debt tenure to 5.5 years.
AAA Credit Rating
Maintained AAA credit rating from Fitch Ratings, highlighting the company's strong financial position.
Significant Dividends Payment
Cemig is paying BRL541 million in dividends, showing a commitment to return value to shareholders.
Operational Efficiency Achievements
Achieved cost efficiencies through the migration of over 1,000 employees to a new healthcare plan, resulting in a BRL28 million reversal of provisions.
Negative Updates
EBITDA Decline in Trading Company
The trading company experienced a significant impact with a 9% decline in EBITDA due to price differences in submarkets and expected lower margins.
Impact of Submarket Price Differences
Submarket price differences, particularly in March 2025, led to a negative impact of around BRL133 million on EBITDA.
Decrease in Net Profit
Net profit was affected by increased financial expenses and lower equity income from Belo Monte due to submarket impacts.
Volume Reduction in Gasmig
Gasmig faced a reduction in the volume of gas sold, affecting both EBITDA and net profit.
Company Guidance
During Cemig's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a strong EBITDA of BRL1.8 billion and a net profit of BRL1 billion, despite some challenges in their trading company. The company emphasized a significant investment program, with CapEx growing from BRL950 million in 2018 to BRL5.7 billion in 2024, and a forecasted BRL6.3 billion in 2025, marking an 18% increase from the previous year. Over 75% of these investments are dedicated to infrastructure and network development, crucial for energy transition. Cemig maintains a focus on efficiency and compliance with regulatory standards, ensuring cash generation to support investments. The company highlighted the issuance of BRL5 billion in debentures, maintaining a AAA credit rating by Fitch. Cemig's strategic objectives include regionalization to enhance client proximity and operational efficiency, supported by IT innovations like a new ADMS and SAP S4/HANA system. Despite a 9% drop in EBITDA due to submarket price differences, Cemig remains committed to its investment and dividend distribution plans, aiming to maintain its leverage within comfortable levels.

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais demonstrates a solid financial position with strong profitability, efficient asset management, and consistent cash flow generation. The company's increased revenue and net income reflect positive growth, while its balance sheet indicates sound leverage and equity utilization. Cash flow management remains stable, though careful attention to future free cash flow trends is recommended.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais demonstrates strong profitability with a TTM Net Profit Margin of 17.38% and an increasing Revenue Growth Rate of 11.11% from 2023 to 2024. The company maintains a healthy EBIT Margin of 7.06% and EBITDA Margin of 19.01%, indicating sound operational efficiency. However, a dip in gross profit margin from 2022 to 2023 shows a potential area for caution.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a solid financial structure with an improving Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.46 and a strong Equity Ratio of 45.83%. Return on Equity (ROE) for the TTM is impressive at 26.00%, reflecting efficient use of shareholders’ equity. Despite a slight increase in total debt, the balance sheet remains robust with a good asset management approach.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais shows a solid Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.77, suggesting effective cash generation. Although Free Cash Flow has decreased from the previous year, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at 0.49. The company has managed its capital expenditures well, though a decline in operating cash flow compared to net income is an area to monitor.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
39.89B39.82B36.85B34.46B33.65B25.23B
Gross Profit
2.87B3.15B3.81B6.81B6.72B5.38B
EBIT
2.62B5.32B6.43B5.69B5.96B4.94B
EBITDA
7.33B11.74B8.88B5.48B6.82B5.70B
Net Income Common Stockholders
7.00B7.12B5.76B4.09B3.75B2.86B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.03B3.45B3.13B4.24B4.05B5.30B
Total Assets
63.90B59.73B55.00B53.67B52.05B54.08B
Total Debt
15.66B12.71B10.26B10.94B11.61B15.25B
Net Debt
12.42B10.81B8.73B9.49B10.78B13.57B
Total Liabilities
35.98B32.34B30.34B31.89B32.58B36.60B
Stockholders Equity
27.91B27.38B22.79B21.78B19.46B17.47B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.67B4.58B5.38B6.32B3.45B8.43B
Operating Cash Flow
8.15B5.50B6.64B6.61B3.69B8.61B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.65B-2.38B-3.97B-3.21B1.37B-5.08B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.51B-2.76B-2.58B-2.79B-5.91B-2.39B

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.89
Price Trends
50DMA
1.76
Positive
100DMA
1.76
Positive
200DMA
1.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
60.40
Neutral
STOCH
52.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.85, above the 50-day MA of 1.76, and above the 200-day MA of 1.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CIG.

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Risk Analysis

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
A member of our board of directors is party to judicial proceedings. Q4, 2022
2.
Increases in energy generated by MMGD in Cemig D's concession area could cause an imbalance in its cash flows and financial results. Q4, 2022
3.
The continuing impact of the ongoing military conflict between Russia and Ukraine, or any widening of the conflict, may have a material adverse effect on the global economy, certain material and commodity prices and potentially on our business. Q4, 2022

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CICIG
82
Outperform
$6.18B4.1726.38%75.73%-4.14%13.02%
ELELP
78
Outperform
$6.48B12.619.22%3.50%-7.02%17.33%
77
Outperform
$6.48B11.659.22%3.44%-7.02%17.33%
SRSRE
72
Outperform
$49.55B16.729.76%3.40%-0.39%0.75%
64
Neutral
$8.55B10.424.24%4.64%4.05%-13.04%
BIBIP
64
Neutral
$21.72B2,867.590.47%5.16%12.40%-108.27%
AEAES
54
Neutral
$8.17B6.2729.79%6.13%-3.22%141.11%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
1.89
0.30
18.87%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
33.84
7.34
27.70%
ELP
Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd
8.97
2.46
37.79%
SRE
Sempra Energy
76.23
2.46
3.33%
AES
AES
11.54
-7.37
-38.97%
ELPC
Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR
8.23
2.45
42.39%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.