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Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais (CIG)
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Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais (CIG) AI Stock Analysis

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CIG

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais

(NYSE:CIG)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(22.55% Upside)
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais scores well due to its strong financial performance and attractive valuation, with a high dividend yield and low P/E ratio. While technical indicators show a positive trend, momentum is limited. The earnings call reflects resilience despite financial challenges, contributing to a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
Investment Program
The substantial investment program indicates Cemig's commitment to infrastructure expansion and modernization, supporting long-term growth and operational efficiency.
Credit Rating
A strong credit rating enhances Cemig's ability to secure favorable financing terms, supporting future investments and financial stability.
Industry Recognition
Recognition as a top energy company underscores Cemig's leadership and excellence, potentially attracting new partnerships and customer trust.
Negative Factors
EBITDA Decline
A decline in EBITDA indicates pressure on profitability, which may affect Cemig's ability to reinvest in growth and maintain competitive margins.
Net Profit Decrease
A significant drop in net profit can strain financial resources, impacting Cemig's capacity to fund operations and strategic initiatives.
Market Reduction
A shrinking market poses challenges for revenue growth, potentially limiting Cemig's ability to expand its customer base and increase sales.

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais (CIG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompanhia Energética de Minas Gerais, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of energy in Brazil. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 70 hydroelectric, wind, and solar plants with an installed capacity of 5,700 MW; 339,086 miles of distribution lines; and 4,449 miles of transmission lines. It is also involved in the acquisition, transportation, and distribution of gas and its sub products and derivatives; provision of cloud solution, IT infrastructure, IT management, and cybersecurity services; provision of technology systems and systems for operational management of public service concessions; sale and trading of energy; provision of telecommunications services; and distributed generation, account services, cogeneration, energy efficiency, and supply and storage management activities. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyCIG generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates a diversified portfolio of power generation facilities, with a significant portion of its output coming from hydroelectric power plants, which are often complemented by thermal plants and renewable energy projects. Revenue is also derived from transmitting electricity through its network of transmission lines and substations. Key partnerships with regulatory bodies and other energy firms facilitate access to new markets and investment opportunities, enhancing its earning potential. Additionally, CIG may engage in long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with large consumers, ensuring stable cash flows and reducing market volatility impacts.

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Cemig's earnings call highlighted substantial investments and achievements, such as maintaining a strong credit rating and receiving industry recognition. However, these positives were balanced by significant financial challenges, including declines in EBITDA and net profit, as well as market pressures. Overall, the sentiment reflects resilience amid difficulties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Investment Program
Cemig announced the largest investment program in its history, totaling BRL 4.7 billion for the quarter, with BRL 3.6 billion allocated to distribution. This represents a significant increase compared to the previous year.
AAA Credit Rating
Cemig maintained a strong financial position, confirmed by AAA ratings from two credit agencies, showcasing its resilience and capacity to withstand various scenarios.
Recognition as Top Energy Company
Cemig was awarded as the best energy company in Brazil by Veja Negócios, highlighting its industry leadership and excellence.
New Substations and Infrastructure Improvements
Cemig inaugurated 5 new substations and completed significant infrastructure improvements, including 5,349 km of low and medium voltage networks.
Negative Updates
Distribution and Generation Challenges
Cemig faced challenges in distribution due to large clients leaving the network and issues with GSF impacting generation, leading to the need to buy energy at spot prices.
EBITDA Decline
The recurring EBITDA dropped by 16.3% compared to the previous year, influenced by lower margins in the trading business and increased operating costs.
Net Profit Decrease
Cemig reported a recurring net profit decrease of approximately 30.2%, affected by greater depreciation, increased interest rates, and the absence of significant nonrecurring events from the previous year.
Market Reduction and Client Migration
The energy market saw a drop of 4.4%, with impacts across various sectors due to economic activity and client migration to the basic network.
Company Guidance
During Cemig's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, significant financial and operational metrics were discussed by key company executives. The company reported a recurring EBITDA of BRL 1.5 billion, despite a 16.3% drop compared to the previous year. Investments for the first nine months of 2025 totaled BRL 4.7 billion, with BRL 3.6 billion allocated to distribution, BRL 199 million to generation, and BRL 149 million to expansion and maintenance. Cemig maintained a strong financial position, boasting a leverage ratio of 1.76 times net debt over recurring EBITDA, and retained a AAA rating from two agencies. Additionally, Cemig received recognition as the best energy company in Brazil by Veja Negócios. However, challenges were noted due to client migration impacting distribution results, and nonrecurring effects from 2024 were highlighted, such as the absence of BRL 1.6 billion from the disposal of Aliança. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic investments and financial management indicate resilience and a positive outlook for future growth and sustainability.

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais demonstrates solid financial performance with strong profitability and efficient equity use. While revenue growth is positive, some pressure on margins and cash flow conversion could pose challenges. The company's moderate leverage and strong return on equity are positive indicators, but careful monitoring of cash flow metrics is advisable.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais shows strong profitability with a consistent EBIT margin of over 20% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the gross profit margin has slightly declined from previous years. Revenue growth is positive, but the net profit margin has decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting some pressure on net earnings.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.55 in TTM, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity remains strong at over 23%, showcasing efficient use of equity. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow has decreased compared to the previous year, impacting the operating cash flow to net income ratio. Free cash flow growth is positive in TTM, but the free cash flow to net income ratio has declined, indicating potential challenges in converting income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.41B39.82B36.85B34.46B33.65B25.23B
Gross Profit6.04B7.83B8.38B6.81B6.72B5.38B
EBITDA6.23B11.74B9.15B6.24B6.92B6.20B
Net Income4.02B7.12B5.76B4.09B3.75B2.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets64.75B59.73B55.00B53.67B52.05B54.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.32B3.45B3.13B4.24B4.05B5.30B
Total Debt15.84B12.71B10.26B10.94B11.61B15.25B
Total Liabilities36.02B32.34B30.34B31.89B32.58B36.60B
Stockholders Equity28.73B27.38B24.65B21.78B19.46B17.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.98B4.58B5.38B6.32B3.45B8.43B
Operating Cash Flow4.28B5.50B6.64B6.61B3.69B8.61B
Investing Cash Flow-3.93B-2.38B-3.97B-3.21B1.37B-5.08B
Financing Cash Flow-2.56B-2.76B-2.58B-2.79B-5.91B-2.39B

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.04
Price Trends
50DMA
2.06
Positive
100DMA
1.98
Positive
200DMA
1.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
52.37
Neutral
STOCH
28.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.13, below the 50-day MA of 2.06, and above the 200-day MA of 1.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CIG.

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Risk Analysis

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
A member of our board of directors is party to judicial proceedings. Q4, 2022
2.
Increases in energy generated by MMGD in Cemig D's concession area could cause an imbalance in its cash flows and financial results. Q4, 2022
3.
The continuing impact of the ongoing military conflict between Russia and Ukraine, or any widening of the conflict, may have a material adverse effect on the global economy, certain material and commodity prices and potentially on our business. Q4, 2022

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$7.86B19.708.00%5.12%1.96%-35.00%
75
Outperform
$7.64B14.578.00%5.19%1.96%-35.00%
74
Outperform
$61.82B29.177.10%2.73%9.07%-28.58%
70
Outperform
$6.65B8.6113.35%12.12%-0.38%-53.94%
69
Neutral
$16.67B56.646.28%4.77%8.14%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
59
Neutral
$10.01B8.5623.02%5.01%-1.55%12.83%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
2.12
0.42
24.71%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
36.09
2.74
8.22%
ELP
Companhia Paranaense de Energia Pfd
10.67
4.56
74.63%
SRE
Sempra Energy
94.72
5.50
6.16%
AES
AES
14.06
1.80
14.68%
ELPC
Companhia Paranaense de Energia Sponsored ADR
10.13
4.84
91.49%

Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais Corporate Events

CEMIG Secures GSF Credits and Plans Financial Valuation
Oct 27, 2025

On August 1, 2025, CEMIG announced that its subsidiary, Cemig GT, along with Cemig PCH S.A. and the Queimado Consortium, won an auction held by the Electric Energy Trading Chamber (CCEE) for Generation Scaling Factor (GSF) credits. This victory will extend the concessions for the Queimado, Pai Joaquim, and Irapé hydroelectric power plants by seven, seven, and three years, respectively, with a total investment of approximately R$200 million. Additionally, CEMIG received an official letter from its controlling shareholder, the State of Minas Gerais, authorizing the Brazilian Development Bank to initiate a Request for Information to identify consultants for preparing CEMIG’s economic and financial valuation report, aimed at debt amortization under the Full Debt Repayment Program for States.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 20, 2025