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Eagle Financial Services Inc (EFSI)
NASDAQ:EFSI
US Market

Eagle Financial Services (EFSI) AI Stock Analysis

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EFSI

Eagle Financial Services

(NASDAQ:EFSI)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$43.00
â–²(12.24% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—strong cash generation and reduced leverage offset by a notable TTM decline in revenue and profitability/returns. Technicals add support with a constructive uptrend, while valuation is fair with a moderate P/E and a ~3.1% yield. Recent corporate events are incrementally positive due to governance upgrades and strategic balance-sheet actions.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained free cash flow roughly matching net income provides durable financial flexibility: it funds dividends, debt reduction, and strategic investments without relying on equity issuance. Reliable cash conversion reduces refinancing risk and supports multi-quarter execution of growth plans.
Improved balance-sheet leverage
Meaningful deleveraging materially lowers solvency and funding risk, improving capital cushions and lending capacity. A stronger capital structure increases resilience to credit cycles, provides flexibility for targeted acquisitions or returns, and supports steady operations over the medium term.
Governance and strategic repositioning
Board refresh brings expertise in technology, risk oversight and complex accounting during a strategic transition (uplisting, capital raise). Stronger governance should improve execution of strategic initiatives, risk controls and reporting quality over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
A near-30% top-line drop and margin compression materially reduce the firm’s core earnings power, limiting reinvestment capacity and making dividend and capital-return plans more vulnerable. Persistent revenue weakness would strain long-term profitability and strategic optionality.
Collapsed return on equity
Very low ROE signals poor capital efficiency and weak profitability relative to equity base; this undermines shareholder returns and may force management to reprice risk, cut costs, or pursue structural changes to lift long-term returns, constraining growth decisions.
Rising noninterest costs and revenue mix risk
Higher operating expenses coupled with a greater dependence on fee-based income increases earnings volatility and compresses sustainable margins. If fee inflows or wealth volumes slow, elevated expense levels could persistently weigh on profitability and cash returns over multiple quarters.

Eagle Financial Services (EFSI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eagle Financial Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEagle Financial Services, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Bank of Clarke County that provides various retail and commercial banking products and services in the Shenandoah Valley and Northern Virginia. The company's deposit products include checking, NOW, money market, and regular savings accounts; and demand and time deposits. Its loan portfolio comprises one-to-four-family residential real estate, commercial real estate, construction and land development, and commercial and industrial loans, as well as secured and unsecured consumer loans, which include personal installment loans, personal lines of credit, automobile loans, and credit card loans. The company also offers personal and retirement plan services; investment services comprising tax-deferred annuities, IRAs and rollovers, mutual funds, retirement plans, college savings plans, life insurance, long term care insurance, fixed income investing, brokerage CDs, and full service or discount brokerage services; non-deposit investment products; and title insurance products. In addition, it provides ATM and debit cards; and telephone, internet, and mobile banking services, as well as other commercial deposit account services, such as ACH origination and remote deposit capture services. The company operates through twelve full-service branches, two loan production offices, one wealth management office, and one drive-through only facility, as well as 13 ATM locations in the Virginia communities of Berryville, Winchester, Boyce, Stephens City, Purcellville, Warrenton, Leesburg, Ashburn, and Fairfax. Eagle Financial Services, Inc. was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Berryville, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyEagle Financial Services generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from fees and commissions related to its financial advisory services and investment management. The company charges asset management fees based on the total assets under management (AUM) for its investment portfolios. Additionally, EFSI earns commission income from insurance brokerage activities and financial product sales, including life, health, and property insurance. The firm may also receive performance-based fees tied to the success of its investment strategies. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers enhance its service offerings and contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach and operational efficiency.

Eagle Financial Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: strong TTM operating/free cash flow ($22.9M/$22.6M) and improved leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.38) support stability, but TTM profitability weakened with revenue down ~28%, net margin compressing to ~6%, and ROE falling to ~2.7%.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Profitability has weakened meaningfully in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months): revenue fell about 28% versus the prior period and net margin compressed to ~6% (from ~14% in 2024). While the company remains profitable and still posts positive operating earnings, the step-down in revenue and margins versus 2022–2024 highlights a less favorable earnings trajectory and higher sensitivity to the rate/credit cycle typical for regional banks.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage has improved substantially: debt-to-equity declined to ~0.38 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) from ~1.26 in 2024 and ~1.79–2.01 in 2022–2023, which reduces balance-sheet risk. However, returns on equity also dropped sharply to ~2.7% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) from ~12.9% in 2024, suggesting the stronger capital/leverage position is currently coming with much weaker profitability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is a relative bright spot: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow were strong ($22.9M and $22.6M), and free cash flow grew ~8%. Free cash flow is also roughly in line with net income (near 1x), indicating earnings are generally supported by cash. The main watch item is that cash flow metrics have been more volatile across years (notably weaker in 2023), which can happen in banking due to working-capital and balance-sheet movements.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue102.23M105.92M95.92M66.73M52.66M46.62M
Gross Profit60.35M63.28M61.43M59.43M49.50M41.88M
EBITDA13.35M19.88M11.63M18.65M13.78M14.34M
Net Income10.07M15.34M9.36M14.52M11.02M11.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.93B1.87B1.83B1.62B1.30B1.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments226.66M176.72M249.51M216.05M256.16M244.65M
Total Debt69.66M149.51M194.44M237.36M0.004.11M
Total Liabilities1.75B1.75B1.72B1.51B1.19B1.03B
Stockholders Equity185.58M118.99M108.38M101.73M110.28M105.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow21.44M17.74M5.80M12.98M15.94M10.55M
Operating Cash Flow22.89M18.76M6.88M13.81M16.46M11.01M
Investing Cash Flow37.44M16.75M-130.28M-331.34M-193.22M-201.47M
Financing Cash Flow26.61M19.30M194.87M320.35M160.91M236.73M

Eagle Financial Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price38.31
Price Trends
50DMA
38.89
Negative
100DMA
37.84
Positive
200DMA
34.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
39.66
Neutral
STOCH
16.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EFSI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 38.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.48, below the 50-day MA of 38.89, and above the 200-day MA of 34.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EFSI.

Eagle Financial Services Risk Analysis

Eagle Financial Services disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eagle Financial Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Eagle Financial Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$208.10M8.1310.99%3.32%9.10%12.36%
69
Neutral
$244.25M10.3214.27%2.39%0.16%258.06%
69
Neutral
$220.69M11.5310.41%3.41%1.11%14.44%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$205.97M24.096.63%3.11%-1.45%-31.32%
67
Neutral
$228.48M10.769.91%2.51%12.06%10.38%
66
Neutral
$237.44M13.427.36%2.49%48.94%11.61%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EFSI
Eagle Financial Services
38.31
3.12
8.87%
HWBK
Hawthorn Bancshares
35.41
3.65
11.49%
OPBK
OP Bancorp
13.98
0.70
5.26%
FXNC
First National
26.35
1.95
7.99%
FRAF
Franklin Financial Services
51.01
17.62
52.77%
VABK
Virginia National Bankshares
40.92
6.64
19.37%

Eagle Financial Services Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Eagle Financial Services Announces Board Leadership Transition
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Eagle Financial Services, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors had appointed Brian T. Strosser and Susan D. Davies as new directors of both the company and its subsidiary, Bank of Clarke, effective February 25, 2026, adding substantial expertise in strategic governance, technology-sector leadership, risk oversight, and complex public-company accounting and reporting. The same day, long-serving director Robert W. Smalley, Jr., a key figure in the bank’s development over more than 35 years through roles including Vice Chair and chairing and serving on key committees, notified the board of his intention to retire at the company’s 2026 annual shareholders’ meeting, signaling a significant transition in board composition that blends seasoned continuity with fresh operational and financial oversight capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (EFSI) stock is a Hold with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eagle Financial Services stock, see the EFSI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Eagle Financial Services Reports Q4 Results, Highlights 2025 Transformation
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 26, 2026, Eagle Financial Services reported fourth quarter 2025 net income of $4.3 million, down from $5.6 million in the prior quarter and $6.2 million a year earlier, with earnings per share of $0.81, annualized return on average equity of 9.18% and return on average assets of 0.91%. The year-ago quarter’s results were elevated by a one-time gain from a 2024 sale-leaseback transaction; excluding that, adjusted fourth quarter 2024 net income was $3.1 million, meaning underlying earnings rose year over year, driven by a $2.9 million increase in net interest income and a $919,000 rise in wealth management fee income, partly offset by $2.0 million higher noninterest expenses. Fourth quarter 2025 performance was supported by higher noninterest income to average assets (up to 1.12%), a 25.8% quarter-over-quarter increase in wealth management fee income to $2.3 million, and an improved net interest margin of 3.61% as loan yields and net interest spread both expanded. Management highlighted 2025 as a pivotal year marked by a capital raise, balance sheet repositioning, a sale of lower-yielding securities in favor of higher-yielding instruments, a pool sale of mortgage loans to bolster liquidity ahead of a public offering, and an uplisting to Nasdaq, all of which strengthened the balance sheet, enhanced net interest margin and return on assets, and are intended to position the franchise for sustained growth and competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (EFSI) stock is a Hold with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eagle Financial Services stock, see the EFSI Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Eagle Financial Services Declares Dividend, Schedules Earnings Call
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Eagle Financial Services, Inc. declared a regular cash dividend of $0.31 per common share, payable on February 13, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 2, 2026, underscoring the company’s ongoing capital return to investors. The company also set January 26, 2026, as the date it will release financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025, and announced plans to host a listen-only conference call and webcast on January 27, 2026, to discuss fourth-quarter performance, signaling upcoming visibility into its recent operating and financial trends for shareholders and analysts.

The most recent analyst rating on (EFSI) stock is a Buy with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eagle Financial Services stock, see the EFSI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026