Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN)
NASDAQ:DRVN
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Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) AI Stock Analysis

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DRVN

Driven Brands Holdings

(NASDAQ:DRVN)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(0.72% Upside)
Driven Brands Holdings faces significant challenges with declining revenue growth, high leverage, and a bearish technical outlook. However, improvements in cash flow and strong performance in specific segments, particularly Take 5 Oil Change, provide some positive aspects. The earnings call offered optimistic guidance, but macroeconomic uncertainties and segment-specific challenges remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Improvement
Significant improvement in free cash flow indicates enhanced cash generation ability, providing financial flexibility for reinvestment and debt reduction.
Take 5 Oil Change Performance
Consistent growth in the Take 5 segment underscores strong market demand and operational success, contributing positively to overall company performance.
Leadership Appointments
Strategic leadership appointments reflect strong internal talent development, potentially enhancing operational efficiency and strategic execution.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage poses a risk to financial stability, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.
Declining Revenue Growth
Decreasing revenue growth indicates challenges in maintaining market share and could pressure profitability if not addressed through strategic initiatives.
Franchise Segment Challenges
Challenges in the franchise segment, including revenue decline, suggest potential difficulties in sustaining franchisee satisfaction and network expansion.

Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Driven Brands Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDriven Brands Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides automotive services to retail and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company offers various services, such as paint, collision, glass, vehicle repair, car wash, oil change, and maintenance services. It also distributes automotive parts, including radiators, air conditioning components, and exhaust products to automotive repair shops, auto parts stores, body shops, and other auto repair outlets; windshields and glass accessories through a network of distribution centers; and consumable products, such as oil filters and wiper blades, as well as provides training services to repair and maintenance, and paint and collision shops. The company sells its products and services under the Take 5 Oil Change, IMO, CARSTAR, ABRA, Fix Auto, Maaco, Meineke, Uniban, 1-800-Radiator & A/C, PH Vitres D'Autos, Spire Supply, and Automotive Training Institute names. As of December 25, 2021, it operated 4,412 company-operated, franchised, and independently-operated stores. Driven Brands Holdings Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyDriven Brands generates revenue primarily through a franchise model, where it earns royalties and fees from its network of franchisees operating its various service brands. Key revenue streams include franchise royalties, service fees, and sales of proprietary products. The company also benefits from direct sales at company-operated locations. Additionally, partnerships with automotive manufacturers and suppliers enhance its service offerings and contribute to earnings through co-branding and promotional activities. The growing demand for vehicle maintenance and repair services, as well as the expansion of its franchise network, further supports its revenue growth.

Driven Brands Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Driven Brands reported strong financial results for the third quarter, with significant growth in revenue and the Take 5 Oil Change segment. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and specific segment challenges, particularly in the franchise and collision industries, present potential headwinds as the company navigates the fourth quarter.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and EBITDA Performance
Driven Brands reported a 7% increase in revenue and achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $136 million. System-wide sales increased by 5% with 167 net new stores added over the past 12 months.
Take 5 Oil Change Success
Take 5 Oil Change delivered its 21st consecutive quarter of same-store sales growth, with system-wide sales growing 18% year-over-year and same-store sales up 7%. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 15%, and margins expanded to 35%.
Franchise and Car Wash Segments Performance
The franchise segment achieved a same-store sales growth of 1% and improved adjusted EBITDA margins by 90 basis points. The car wash segment saw a 4% increase in same-store sales and revenue, with adjusted EBITDA margins at 28%.
Operational Innovations
Implemented a new media mix model for advertising and tested AI-driven camera technology to improve efficiency in staffing and workflow at Take 5 locations.
Leadership Appointments
Mo Khalid appointed as Chief Operating Officer and Tim Austin as President of Take 5 Oil Change, reflecting strong internal talent development.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
The fourth quarter is experiencing choppiness due to macroeconomic factors such as a government shutdown and potential disruptions in military and social program funding.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Decline
Adjusted EBITDA margin decreased by 85 basis points compared to the previous year due to increased operating expenses and investments in growth initiatives.
Franchise Segment Challenges
Revenue in the franchise segment declined by 2.3% due to a decrease in weighted average royalty rate, and Maaco's performance remained pressured.
Collision Industry Headwinds
The collision industry faces ongoing challenges with high insurance premiums and deductibles, impacting performance despite improved sequential results.
Company Guidance
During the Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, Driven Brands provided guidance detailing their financial performance and expectations. The company reported a 7% revenue growth and an adjusted EBITDA of $136 million. System-wide sales increased by 5%, supported by 167 net new stores over the past year, including 39 additions this quarter. Same-store sales rose by 3% for the 19th consecutive quarter. The Take 5 Oil Change segment showed robust performance with a 7% growth in same-store sales and an 18% year-over-year increase in system-wide sales, driving a 15% growth in adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA margins for Take 5 expanded to 35%. Driven Brands aims to open approximately 170 new Take 5 locations in 2025. The company reduced its net leverage to 3.8x, with a target of 3x by the end of 2026. Despite a dynamic consumer environment and macroeconomic uncertainties, Driven Brands narrowed their full-year guidance, projecting total revenue of $2.1 billion to $2.12 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $525 million and $535 million.

Driven Brands Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Driven Brands Holdings faces challenges with declining revenue growth and profitability, as well as high leverage. Despite these issues, the company has shown improvement in cash flow generation. The financial position indicates potential risks due to high debt levels, but operational efficiencies and cash flow improvements provide some positive outlook.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Driven Brands Holdings has experienced declining revenue growth in the TTM period, with a negative revenue growth rate of -2.65%. The company also faces challenges with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively stable, suggesting some operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.90 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses. The equity ratio is not provided, but the high leverage poses a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate of 3698.57% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing some ability to generate cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.17B2.34B2.30B2.03B1.47B904.20M
Gross Profit1.07B1.23B1.03B967.51M725.01M557.24M
EBITDA8.91M27.71M-506.24M329.59M223.58M164.92M
Net Income-198.04M-292.50M-744.96M43.19M9.63M-4.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.15B5.26B5.91B6.50B5.86B4.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments225.98M169.95M176.52M227.11M523.41M172.61M
Total Debt2.76B4.00B4.28B3.92B3.31B2.94B
Total Liabilities3.36B4.65B5.00B4.85B4.21B3.55B
Stockholders Equity793.49M607.33M906.08M1.65B1.64B1.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.33M-47.06M-361.31M-239.03M123.07M31.53M
Operating Cash Flow269.10M241.45M235.17M197.18M283.83M83.99M
Investing Cash Flow257.44M59.02M-451.41M-840.28M-814.94M-57.32M
Financing Cash Flow-572.41M-302.84M170.70M343.37M885.54M118.64M

Driven Brands Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.90
Price Trends
50DMA
15.65
Negative
100DMA
16.59
Negative
200DMA
16.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.50
Negative
RSI
40.21
Neutral
STOCH
26.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DRVN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.66, below the 50-day MA of 15.65, and below the 200-day MA of 16.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DRVN.

Driven Brands Holdings Risk Analysis

Driven Brands Holdings disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Driven Brands Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Driven Brands Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$7.13B8.5013.44%0.74%8.56%17.84%
68
Neutral
$10.48B11.2017.30%3.26%2.25%8.92%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$2.18B17.2612.51%1.84%9.09%-33.59%
58
Neutral
$5.06B9.438.42%2.17%28.59%
55
Neutral
$7.17B11.5727.16%6.06%-1.71%
47
Neutral
$2.29B-24.67%-6.96%-3223.14%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DRVN
Driven Brands Holdings
14.08
-2.40
-14.56%
AN
AutoNation
193.20
28.93
17.61%
KMX
CarMax
32.11
-44.99
-58.35%
LAD
Lithia Motors
285.25
-85.45
-23.05%
PAG
Penske Automotive Group
155.75
0.19
0.12%
SAH
Sonic Automotive
61.17
-0.98
-1.58%

Driven Brands Holdings Corporate Events

Driven Brands Q3 Earnings: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 5, 2025

Driven Brands Holdings, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a strong financial performance for the third quarter. The company reported significant revenue growth, particularly in its Take 5 Oil Change segment. However, there are concerns about macroeconomic uncertainties and challenges in specific segments, such as franchise and collision industries, which could pose potential headwinds as the company moves into the fourth quarter.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Driven Brands Holdings Closes $500M Senior Secured Notes
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

On October 20, 2025, Driven Brands Holdings Inc. announced the closure of a $500 million offering of Series 2025-1 Fixed Rate Senior Secured Notes, Class A-2, with an anticipated repayment date in October 2030 and a final maturity in October 2055. This issuance, part of a whole business securitization, aims to refinance existing debt, pay transaction-related fees, and support general corporate purposes, reflecting Driven Brands’ strategic financial management and positioning within the automotive services industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (DRVN) stock is a Hold with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Driven Brands Holdings stock, see the DRVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Driven Brands Appoints New COO Mo Khalid
Neutral
Aug 25, 2025

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. announced the appointment of Mo Khalid as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, effective August 25, 2025. Khalid, who has been instrumental in growing the Take 5 business to over 1,200 locations and achieving system-wide sales exceeding $1.5 billion, will now focus on enhancing operational rigor across all Driven Brands. Tim Austin will succeed Khalid as President of Take 5, following his role as Chief Operating Officer after the sale of the U.S. Car Wash business in April 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (DRVN) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Driven Brands Holdings stock, see the DRVN Stock Forecast page.

Driven Brands Reports Steady Q2 2025 Performance
Aug 6, 2025

Driven Brands Holdings Inc., headquartered in Charlotte, NC, is the largest automotive services company in North America, offering a wide range of consumer and commercial automotive services including paint, collision, glass, vehicle repair, oil change, maintenance, and car wash services. The company operates approximately 4,800 locations across the United States and 13 other countries, servicing tens of millions of vehicles annually.

Driven Brands Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

Driven Brands Holdings, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment among its business segments. The company showcased robust growth in its Take 5 Oil Change and international car wash operations, yet faced challenges within its collision and Maaco businesses. Despite these hurdles, Driven Brands is making strides in debt reduction and maintaining a solid financial footing.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025