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Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN)
NASDAQ:DRVN
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Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) AI Stock Analysis

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DRVN

Driven Brands Holdings

(NASDAQ:DRVN)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(11.11% Upside)
Driven Brands Holdings' overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with significant leverage risks, offset by strong cash flow improvements. The earnings call provided positive insights into growth segments and deleveraging efforts, but valuation concerns and technical indicators suggest caution. The company's strategic initiatives and operational efficiencies are key strengths, while high debt levels and industry challenges pose risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 6% revenue growth and 3% system-wide sales increase indicate strong demand and successful expansion efforts, supporting long-term growth.
Take 5 Oil Change Expansion
The expansion of Take 5 Oil Change with consistent same-store sales growth highlights a robust business model and market demand.
Deleveraging Progress
Reducing leverage enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and reducing risk.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
High leverage can strain financial resources, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.
Franchise Brands Segment Challenges
Declines in the Franchise Brands segment indicate potential structural challenges that could impact future profitability and growth.
Collision Industry Pressure
Industry pressures in the collision segment could lead to sustained revenue challenges, affecting overall business performance.

Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Driven Brands Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDriven Brands Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides automotive services to retail and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company offers various services, such as paint, collision, glass, vehicle repair, car wash, oil change, and maintenance services. It also distributes automotive parts, including radiators, air conditioning components, and exhaust products to automotive repair shops, auto parts stores, body shops, and other auto repair outlets; windshields and glass accessories through a network of distribution centers; and consumable products, such as oil filters and wiper blades, as well as provides training services to repair and maintenance, and paint and collision shops. The company sells its products and services under the Take 5 Oil Change, IMO, CARSTAR, ABRA, Fix Auto, Maaco, Meineke, Uniban, 1-800-Radiator & A/C, PH Vitres D'Autos, Spire Supply, and Automotive Training Institute names. As of December 25, 2021, it operated 4,412 company-operated, franchised, and independently-operated stores. Driven Brands Holdings Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyDriven Brands generates revenue primarily through a franchise model, where it earns royalties and fees from its network of franchisees operating its various service brands. Key revenue streams include franchise royalties, service fees, and sales of proprietary products. The company also benefits from direct sales at company-operated locations. Additionally, partnerships with automotive manufacturers and suppliers enhance its service offerings and contribute to earnings through co-branding and promotional activities. The growing demand for vehicle maintenance and repair services, as well as the expansion of its franchise network, further supports its revenue growth.

Driven Brands Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Driven Brands delivered strong revenue growth and continued expansion in its Take 5 Oil Change and Car Wash segments, supported by strategic deleveraging efforts. However, the Franchise Brands segment faced challenges, notably in the collision and Maaco businesses, due to industry-wide pressures and consumer spending pullbacks.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Growth Success
Driven Brands reported a 6% increase in revenue and a 3% increase in system-wide sales for Q2 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was $143 million, and Take 5 Oil Change led growth with a 10% adjusted EBITDA increase year-over-year.
Take 5 Oil Change Expansion
Take 5 Oil Change added 169 net new stores over the past 12 months, with 41 new openings in Q2 2025. The segment reported a 7% rise in same-store sales, marking the 20th consecutive quarter of same-store sales growth.
Car Wash Segment Performance
The international carwash segment reported a same-store sales growth of 19% and adjusted EBITDA of $27 million, with a margin increase to 37%.
Deleveraging Progress
Driven Brands reduced net leverage to 3.9x on a pro forma basis after monetizing a seller note for $113 million, fully retiring a term loan, and paying down a revolver.
Negative Updates
Franchise Brands Segment Challenges
The Franchise Brands segment reported a 1.5% decline in same-store sales and a 7.9% decrease in revenue, primarily due to softness in the collision business and Maaco.
Collision Industry Pressure
The collision industry remains under pressure, with high single-digit declines due to claim avoidance and high total loss rates, affecting Driven Brands' collision business.
Maaco Revenue Decline
Maaco faced a pullback in discretionary spending among lower-income consumers, leading to a sequential improvement but still down compared to the previous year.
Competition and Market Conditions
Despite Take 5's success, the broader market is experiencing competitive dynamics, and the company anticipates ongoing challenges in discretionary segments due to economic conditions.
Company Guidance
During the Driven Brands Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided a comprehensive update on its financial performance and strategic initiatives. Driven Brands reported a 6% revenue increase and an adjusted EBITDA of $143 million for the quarter. System-wide sales grew by 3%, supported by the addition of 184 net new stores over the past 12 months, including 52 in the second quarter alone. Take 5 Oil Change was highlighted as a key growth driver, with a 10% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA and same-store sales up 7%, marking its 20th consecutive quarter of growth. The company also emphasized its deleveraging plan, targeting a net leverage ratio of 3x by the end of 2026, having already reduced it from 5x to 3.9x. Additionally, Driven Brands reiterated its fiscal 2025 outlook, expecting revenue between $2.05 billion and $2.15 billion, and adjusted EBITDA between $520 million and $550 million.

Driven Brands Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Driven Brands Holdings faces challenges with declining revenue growth and profitability, as well as high leverage. Despite these issues, the company has shown improvement in cash flow generation. The financial position indicates potential risks due to high debt levels, but operational efficiencies and cash flow improvements provide some positive outlook.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Driven Brands Holdings has experienced declining revenue growth in the TTM period, with a negative revenue growth rate of -2.65%. The company also faces challenges with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively stable, suggesting some operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.90 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses. The equity ratio is not provided, but the high leverage poses a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate of 3698.57% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing some ability to generate cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.22B2.34B2.30B2.03B1.47B904.20M
Gross Profit1.33B1.23B1.19B879.52M650.25M401.87M
EBITDA-13.09M27.71M-504.16M493.17M355.49M180.67M
Net Income-311.21M-292.50M-744.96M43.19M9.63M-4.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.28B5.26B5.91B6.50B5.85B4.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments166.13M169.95M176.52M227.11M523.41M172.61M
Total Debt2.90B4.00B4.35B3.92B3.31B2.94B
Total Liabilities3.54B4.65B5.00B4.85B4.21B3.55B
Stockholders Equity743.39M607.33M906.08M1.65B1.64B1.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow39.77M-47.06M-361.31M-242.41M123.07M31.53M
Operating Cash Flow257.31M241.45M235.17M197.18M283.83M83.99M
Investing Cash Flow283.81M59.02M-451.41M-840.28M-814.94M-57.32M
Financing Cash Flow-523.43M-302.84M170.70M343.37M885.54M118.64M

Driven Brands Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.75
Price Trends
50DMA
17.31
Negative
100DMA
17.46
Negative
200DMA
16.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.54
Positive
RSI
27.60
Positive
STOCH
13.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DRVN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.11, below the 50-day MA of 17.31, and below the 200-day MA of 16.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.60 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DRVN.

Driven Brands Holdings Risk Analysis

Driven Brands Holdings disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Driven Brands Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Driven Brands Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$8.23B9.5912.75%0.67%10.25%9.08%
70
Outperform
$8.43B14.0325.67%3.15%-12.49%
68
Neutral
$11.55B12.3017.04%2.85%2.39%5.84%
66
Neutral
$2.65B17.2420.33%1.87%4.48%-16.26%
56
Neutral
$6.76B13.538.40%2.17%28.59%
51
Neutral
$2.59B552.59-34.63%-4.12%64.24%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DRVN
Driven Brands Holdings
15.75
1.24
8.55%
AN
AutoNation
223.92
52.67
30.76%
KMX
CarMax
46.07
-27.02
-36.97%
LAD
Lithia Motors
320.85
12.46
4.04%
PAG
Penske Automotive Group
174.83
21.42
13.96%
SAH
Sonic Automotive
76.45
20.22
35.96%

Driven Brands Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Driven Brands Appoints New COO Mo Khalid
Neutral
Aug 25, 2025

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. announced the appointment of Mo Khalid as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, effective August 25, 2025. Khalid, who has been instrumental in growing the Take 5 business to over 1,200 locations and achieving system-wide sales exceeding $1.5 billion, will now focus on enhancing operational rigor across all Driven Brands. Tim Austin will succeed Khalid as President of Take 5, following his role as Chief Operating Officer after the sale of the U.S. Car Wash business in April 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (DRVN) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Driven Brands Holdings stock, see the DRVN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2025