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Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN)
NASDAQ:DRVN

Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) AI Stock Analysis

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Driven Brands Holdings

(NASDAQ:DRVN)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(0.29%Upside)
Driven Brands Holdings faces financial performance challenges, particularly in profitability and leverage, which weigh down its score. Technical analysis is mixed, and valuation concerns exist due to a negative P/E ratio. Strong earnings call highlights and strategic corporate events provide some positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Proceeds from the U.S. car wash divestiture are being used to de-lever the balance sheet and focus on Take 5's strong unit economics.
Financial Performance
Driven Brands Holdings, Inc. reported better-than-expected results with strong 8% comp sales growth in its Take 5 business.
Financial Stability
New CEO Daniel Rivera is prioritizing capex discipline to support free cash flow generation and accelerate de-leveraging, positioning the company for financial stability.
Negative Factors
Discretionary Weakness
The softness in discretionary business, primarily at Maaco, is expected to continue.
Franchise Brands Performance
Not all of DRVN's brands are performing at their potential, with a -2.9% Q1'25 comp within Franchise Brands indicating vulnerability to macro and consumer weakness.
Leverage Concerns
Leverage remains a risk, with DRVN's ~4.3x leverage ratio considered high, creating EPS risk if EBITDA growth slows.

Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Driven Brands Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDriven Brands Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides automotive services to retail and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company offers various services, such as paint, collision, glass, vehicle repair, car wash, oil change, and maintenance services. It also distributes automotive parts, including radiators, air conditioning components, and exhaust products to automotive repair shops, auto parts stores, body shops, and other auto repair outlets; windshields and glass accessories through a network of distribution centers; and consumable products, such as oil filters and wiper blades, as well as provides training services to repair and maintenance, and paint and collision shops. The company sells its products and services under the Take 5 Oil Change, IMO, CARSTAR, ABRA, Fix Auto, Maaco, Meineke, Uniban, 1-800-Radiator & A/C, PH Vitres D'Autos, Spire Supply, and Automotive Training Institute names. As of December 25, 2021, it operated 4,412 company-operated, franchised, and independently-operated stores. Driven Brands Holdings Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyDriven Brands makes money primarily through its network of franchised and company-operated service centers. The revenue model revolves around offering a broad range of automotive services, such as repair, maintenance, and paint and collision services. Franchise fees and royalties from its franchisees constitute a significant portion of its income, alongside direct revenues from company-operated stores. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with automotive suppliers, which help reduce costs and improve service efficiency. Additionally, Driven Brands leverages its extensive brand portfolio and market presence to attract a diverse customer base, enhancing its overall revenue potential.

Driven Brands Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.69%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Driven Brands shows strong revenue and operational growth, particularly in the Take 5 Oil Change and International Car Wash segments. However, challenges persist with the Franchise Brands segment, notably Maaco, and increased SG&A expenses, impacting operating income.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Driven Brands reported Q1 2025 revenue of $516 million, an increase of 7.1% year-over-year, supported by 177 net new stores and 0.7% same-store sales growth, marking the 17th consecutive quarter of positive same-store sales.
Take 5 Oil Change Performance
Take 5 Oil Change achieved same-store sales growth of 8% for the 19th consecutive positive quarter, with revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth of 15% and 14%, respectively, while maintaining healthy adjusted EBITDA margins of 34%.
Debt Reduction
Driven Brands has paid down nearly $290 million in debt since the beginning of 2025 and more than $0.5 billion since the beginning of 2024, aided by the sale of the U.S. Car Wash business.
International Car Wash Segment Success
The International Car Wash segment posted strong results with same-store sales growth of 26%, and year-over-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA increases of 25% and 36%, respectively.
Negative Updates
Franchise Brands Softness
The Franchise Brands segment, particularly Maaco, experienced a 2.9% decline in same-store sales and a 6.1% revenue decline, with adjusted EBITDA decreasing by $3.2 million.
Operating Income Decline
Operating income for Q1 declined by $6.8 million to $61.3 million, with adjusted EBITDA margin decreasing by 120 basis points to 24.2%.
SG&A Increase
SG&A expenses increased by $19.2 million year-over-year, driven by investments in growth initiatives and the absence of gains from the previous year's refranchising.
Company Guidance
During the Driven Brands Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key financial metrics and strategic guidance. Driven Brands reported a revenue of $516 million, reflecting a 7.1% increase compared to the previous year, supported by the addition of 177 net new stores and a 0.7% growth in same-store sales. The company achieved a diluted adjusted EPS from continuing operations of $0.27 and an adjusted EBITDA of $125 million. Driven Brands completed the sale of its U.S. Car Wash business on April 10, using most of the cash proceeds to retire nearly $290 million in debt since the beginning of 2025, contributing to a total debt reduction of over $0.5 billion since early 2024. The Take 5 Oil Change segment spearheaded the positive results with an 8% same-store sales growth, marking its 19th consecutive quarter of positive growth, while achieving a year-over-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth of 15% and 14%, respectively. The company's International Car Wash segment also posted robust results, with a 26% increase in same-store sales and a 36% rise in adjusted EBITDA. Driven Brands reiterated its fiscal 2025 outlook, emphasizing its focus on cash flow generation and debt reduction, aiming for a net leverage target of 3 times by the end of 2026.

Driven Brands Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Driven Brands Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth; however, its profitability and cash flow metrics reveal operational challenges and financial instability. High leverage presents a significant risk, necessitating careful debt management to improve profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Driven Brands Holdings has shown significant revenue growth over the years, indicating expansion. However, profitability metrics such as net profit margin and EBIT margin are negative, reflecting operational challenges and potential inefficiencies. The negative EBITDA margin further highlights the struggles in generating operating profit.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing, which poses a risk in terms of financial stability. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited equity cushion. However, the return on equity has been volatile, with recent years showing negative returns due to net losses.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Driven Brands Holdings has experienced variable free cash flow, with recent periods showing negative free cash flow, indicating cash management challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests that cash generation from operations is better than net income results, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning due to persistent negative values.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.28B2.34B2.30B2.03B1.47B904.20M
Gross Profit1.01B1.23B1.19B879.52M650.25M401.87M
EBITDA27.23M27.71M-504.16M493.17M355.49M180.67M
Net Income-291.25M-292.50M-744.96M43.19M9.63M-4.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.30B5.26B5.91B6.50B5.85B4.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments152.04M169.95M176.52M227.11M523.41M172.61M
Total Debt3.15B4.00B4.35B3.92B3.31B2.94B
Total Liabilities4.66B4.65B5.00B4.85B4.21B3.55B
Stockholders Equity643.24M607.33M906.08M1.65B1.64B1.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.05M-47.06M-361.31M-242.41M123.07M31.53M
Operating Cash Flow222.44M241.45M235.17M197.18M283.83M83.99M
Investing Cash Flow82.50M59.02M-451.41M-840.28M-814.94M-57.32M
Financing Cash Flow-268.97M-302.84M170.70M343.37M885.54M118.64M

Driven Brands Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.45
Price Trends
50DMA
17.36
Positive
100DMA
16.91
Positive
200DMA
16.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
50.41
Neutral
STOCH
46.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DRVN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.49, above the 50-day MA of 17.36, and above the 200-day MA of 16.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DRVN.

Driven Brands Holdings Risk Analysis

Driven Brands Holdings disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Driven Brands Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Driven Brands Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LALAD
80
Outperform
$8.74B10.5712.95%0.66%12.96%-6.25%
PAPAG
77
Outperform
$11.47B12.2218.57%2.91%3.29%-1.29%
SASAH
76
Outperform
$2.74B11.4924.52%1.74%1.59%43.91%
ABABG
75
Outperform
$4.80B11.6211.92%11.11%-23.41%
ANAN
71
Outperform
$7.50B11.7728.45%-0.24%-19.76%
61
Neutral
AU$2.78B25.795.01%5.37%2.63%-29.95%
54
Neutral
$2.87B552.59-35.39%-1.31%61.65%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DRVN
Driven Brands Holdings
17.45
4.57
35.48%
ABG
Asbury
244.13
15.89
6.96%
AN
AutoNation
198.94
37.06
22.89%
LAD
Lithia Motors
335.64
85.18
34.01%
PAG
Penske Automotive Group
173.36
30.48
21.33%
SAH
Sonic Automotive
80.56
27.92
53.04%

Driven Brands Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Driven Brands Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Driven Brands Holdings Inc. conducted its annual meeting of stockholders, where several key decisions were made. Stockholders elected Catherine Halligan, Rick Puckett, and Michael Thompson as Class II directors, approved executive compensation for 2024 on an advisory basis, and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 27, 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its future direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (DRVN) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Driven Brands Holdings stock, see the DRVN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Driven Brands Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. announced the appointment of Rebecca Fondell as the new Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, effective May 9, 2025. Fondell, who brings extensive experience from her previous roles at Papa John’s International and Reliance Worldwide Corporation, will receive a comprehensive compensation package including a base salary, performance-based bonuses, and equity grants. This strategic appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s financial leadership and support its growth objectives.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Driven Brands Sells U.S. Car Wash Business
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

On April 10, 2025, Driven Brands Holdings announced the completion of the sale of its U.S. car wash business to Whistle Express Car Wash for approximately $255 million in cash and a $130 million interest-bearing seller note. This strategic move allows Driven Brands to concentrate on its Take 5 Oil Change business and aims to reduce net leverage to 3x or less by the end of 2026, reflecting a significant shift in the company’s operational focus and financial strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025