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Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN)
NASDAQ:DRVN

Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) AI Stock Analysis

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DRVN

Driven Brands Holdings

(NASDAQ:DRVN)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(50.00% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/28/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (declining TTM growth, negative profitability, and high leverage). Technicals and recent updates are more supportive—momentum is positive and earnings commentary/corporate actions emphasize Take 5 strength and debt reduction—but valuation remains constrained by losses (negative P/E).
Positive Factors
High‑margin Take 5 growth
Sustained Take 5 same‑store growth and a 35% adjusted EBITDA margin indicate a scalable, repeatable quick‑service oil change model. High margin, unit economics and continued unit openings support durable cash generation and franchise roll‑out over the next several years.
Portfolio simplification and proceeds
Disposing of the international car wash business for substantial cash is a structural move to refocus on core North American franchise growth and deleveraging. Proceeds primarily earmarked for debt reduction improve balance sheet flexibility and reallocate capital to higher‑return units.
Board and financial oversight upgrade
Adding an experienced independent director with CFO and retail background strengthens governance and financial oversight. Better board expertise can improve capital allocation, execution of deleveraging plans and disciplined franchising strategy over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 3.5 is a persistent constraint on strategic flexibility, increasing interest burden and refinancing risk. High leverage limits investment in growth initiatives and makes the company more vulnerable to economic downturns despite asset sales.
Negative profitability and declining revenue
Negative TTM revenue growth and losses signal structural challenges in restoring profitable scale across some segments. Persistent margin pressure reduces retained earnings and slows deleveraging, constraining the company’s ability to self‑fund strategic expansion.
Weak cash conversion
Low conversion of net income into operating cash (0.42x) and modest FCF growth mean earnings aren't reliably translating into free cash. That impairs the firm’s ability to service debt, invest in unit growth, or return capital, raising long‑term funding risk.

Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Driven Brands Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDriven Brands Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides automotive services to retail and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company offers various services, such as paint, collision, glass, vehicle repair, car wash, oil change, and maintenance services. It also distributes automotive parts, including radiators, air conditioning components, and exhaust products to automotive repair shops, auto parts stores, body shops, and other auto repair outlets; windshields and glass accessories through a network of distribution centers; and consumable products, such as oil filters and wiper blades, as well as provides training services to repair and maintenance, and paint and collision shops. The company sells its products and services under the Take 5 Oil Change, IMO, CARSTAR, ABRA, Fix Auto, Maaco, Meineke, Uniban, 1-800-Radiator & A/C, PH Vitres D'Autos, Spire Supply, and Automotive Training Institute names. As of December 25, 2021, it operated 4,412 company-operated, franchised, and independently-operated stores. Driven Brands Holdings Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyDriven Brands generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from service fees charged at its franchise and company-owned locations. This includes revenue from automotive maintenance and repair services, collision repair, and detailing services. Additionally, the company earns royalties and franchise fees from its franchisees, which contribute significantly to its overall revenue. Partnerships with automotive parts suppliers and other service providers also enhance its revenue model, allowing for discounts and promotions that attract more customers. The company's growth strategy includes expanding its brand portfolio and increasing its market presence through new franchise openings and acquisitions, further driving its earnings.

Driven Brands Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: TTM revenue growth is negative (-2.52%) with negative net profit and EBIT margins. Balance sheet leverage is high (debt-to-equity 3.47) with negative ROE and a low equity ratio, while cash flow shows only modest improvement (FCF growth 3.92%) and weak cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income 0.42).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Driven Brands Holdings has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -2.52% in the TTM period. The company has struggled with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. Gross profit margin remains moderate at 46.37%, but the overall income statement reflects challenges in maintaining revenue and profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.47, indicating significant leverage, which poses a financial risk. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses and inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate of 3.92% in the TTM period, indicating some improvement. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.42, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is also low, suggesting challenges in converting income into cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.17B2.34B2.30B2.03B1.47B904.20M
Gross Profit1.13B1.23B1.03B967.51M725.01M557.24M
EBITDA14.96M27.71M-506.24M329.59M223.58M164.92M
Net Income-198.04M-292.50M-744.96M43.19M9.63M-4.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.15B5.26B5.91B6.50B5.86B4.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments225.98M169.95M176.52M227.11M523.41M172.61M
Total Debt2.76B4.00B4.28B3.92B3.31B2.94B
Total Liabilities3.36B4.65B5.00B4.85B4.21B3.55B
Stockholders Equity793.49M607.33M906.08M1.65B1.64B1.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.33M-47.06M-361.31M-239.03M123.07M31.53M
Operating Cash Flow269.10M241.45M235.17M197.18M283.83M83.99M
Investing Cash Flow257.44M59.02M-451.41M-840.28M-814.94M-57.32M
Financing Cash Flow-572.41M-302.84M170.70M343.37M885.54M118.64M

Driven Brands Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.00
Price Trends
50DMA
15.54
Negative
100DMA
15.17
Negative
200DMA
16.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.75
Positive
RSI
18.33
Positive
STOCH
20.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DRVN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.88, below the 50-day MA of 15.54, and below the 200-day MA of 16.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 18.33 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DRVN.

Driven Brands Holdings Risk Analysis

Driven Brands Holdings disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Driven Brands Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Driven Brands Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.37B11.1516.56%3.14%2.25%8.92%
62
Neutral
$6.54B8.6612.36%0.64%8.56%17.84%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$6.12B14.287.46%0.12%2.78%
58
Neutral
$6.77B11.4427.05%6.06%-1.71%
56
Neutral
$1.81B-8.82-24.67%-6.96%-3223.14%
56
Neutral
$2.11B18.3312.51%2.27%9.09%-33.59%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DRVN
Driven Brands Holdings
11.00
-6.20
-36.05%
AN
AutoNation
195.16
19.78
11.28%
KMX
CarMax
43.17
-38.34
-47.04%
LAD
Lithia Motors
279.58
-43.36
-13.43%
PAG
Penske Automotive Group
157.52
-4.93
-3.03%
SAH
Sonic Automotive
62.72
-2.01
-3.11%

Driven Brands Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Driven Brands Completes IMO Sale to Refocus Portfolio
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

On January 27, 2026, Driven Brands Holdings Inc. announced it had completed the sale of IMO, its international car wash business, to Franchise Equity Partners for total aggregate consideration of approximately €411 million. Management described the divestiture as a strategic move to sharpen the company’s focus on scaling its Take 5 business and enhancing cash generation from its franchise brands, while simplifying the portfolio and strengthening the balance sheet, with cash proceeds primarily earmarked for debt reduction. Following the transaction, Driven Brands plans to report its Car Wash segment as discontinued operations beginning in the fourth quarter of 2025, elevate Auto Glass Now to a stand-alone reporting segment in the same period, and provide investors with recast unaudited quarterly financials for the first three quarters of fiscal 2025 to reflect the updated segment structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (DRVN) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Driven Brands Holdings stock, see the DRVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Driven Brands Appoints Timothy Johnson to Board, Audit Committee
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Driven Brands Holdings announced that Timothy Johnson had been elected as an independent director to its Board of Directors, effective January 1, 2026, and that he will also serve on the Audit Committee. Johnson, a veteran executive with more than three decades of experience in global retail and consumer companies and former CFO and Chief Administrative Officer of Victoria’s Secret and Big Lots, is expected to strengthen Driven Brands’ financial oversight and strategic execution as it pursues growth and cash generation initiatives, potentially enhancing governance and bolstering confidence among investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (DRVN) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Driven Brands Holdings stock, see the DRVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Driven Brands Sells IMO to Focus on Core Operations
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. announced on December 2, 2025, that it has entered into a definitive agreement to sell its international car wash business, IMO, to Franchise Equity Partners for €406 million. This divestiture is part of Driven Brands’ strategy to focus on its core North American operations, particularly scaling Take 5 and enhancing cash generation through its Franchise Brands. The transaction, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, aims to reduce the company’s net leverage ratio and strengthen its balance sheet, with proceeds primarily used to pay down debt. The company has updated its financial outlook for fiscal year 2025 to reflect the reclassification of the international car wash business as discontinued operations, anticipating adjusted diluted EPS from continuing operations to range from $1.18 to $1.23.

The most recent analyst rating on (DRVN) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Driven Brands Holdings stock, see the DRVN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026