tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Asbury (ABG)
NYSE:ABG

Asbury (ABG) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
306 Followers

Top Page

AB

Asbury

(NYSE:ABG)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$251.00
▲( 11.46% Upside)
Asbury's strong cash flow and strategic growth plans through acquisitions contribute positively to its stock score. Technical indicators and valuation suggest moderate attractiveness, while challenges in used vehicle sales and tariff impacts pose risks.

Asbury (ABG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Asbury Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAsbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) is a leading automotive retailer in the United States. The company operates a broad network of dealerships, offering a diverse range of new and used cars, trucks, and SUVs. Asbury also provides a variety of automotive-related services, including vehicle maintenance and repair, financing, and insurance products. The company is dedicated to delivering an exceptional customer experience and maintaining a strong commitment to operational excellence.
How the Company Makes MoneyAsbury Automotive Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of new and used vehicles. This includes a significant portion from retail sales at its dealership locations. Additionally, Asbury earns revenue from its parts and service departments, which provide maintenance and repair services. The company also profits from its finance and insurance operations, where it facilitates vehicle financing, insurance products, and extended service contracts for customers. These diverse revenue streams, along with strategic partnerships with vehicle manufacturers and financial institutions, contribute to Asbury's financial success.

Asbury Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Asbury's financial health is stable with strong cash flow generation and a solid equity base. Despite stagnant revenue growth, the company maintains healthy profitability margins. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, requiring monitoring but supporting growth initiatives. Continued focus on improving net income and managing debt levels will be crucial for sustained financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Asbury's income statement reflects a stable financial performance with a steady gross profit margin of approximately 17% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the net profit margin has declined to 2.4% from 3.5% a year earlier, indicating pressure on net profitability. The revenue growth rate over the past year was negative at -0.3%, suggesting a need for improvement in sales growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, contributing positively to the overall score.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.33, indicating moderate leverage, which is common in the auto dealership industry. Stockholders' equity increased slightly, enhancing the equity ratio to 35.4% of total assets, reflecting a solid capital base. However, the significant total debt level remains a risk factor.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Asbury's cash flow statement is strong, with the operating cash flow to net income ratio at 1.98, suggesting efficient cash generation from operations. Free cash flow increased by 61.2% year-over-year, improving liquidity and financial flexibility. Despite the strong cash position, attention to capital expenditures is needed.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
17.14B17.19B14.80B15.43B9.84B7.13B
Gross Profit
2.90B2.95B2.76B3.10B1.90B1.22B
EBIT
807.20M835.60M1.07B1.27B791.80M370.80M
EBITDA
877.90M885.00M1.03B1.34B846.40M448.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
415.30M430.30M602.50M997.30M532.40M254.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
83.80M83.80M51.90M240.70M189.90M1.40M
Total Assets
10.34B10.34B10.16B8.02B8.00B3.68B
Total Debt
5.28B5.28B5.48B3.69B4.56B2.37B
Net Debt
5.21B5.21B5.43B3.45B4.38B2.36B
Total Liabilities
6.83B6.83B6.92B5.12B5.89B2.77B
Stockholders Equity
3.50B3.50B3.24B2.90B2.12B905.50M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
585.30M363.00M170.70M588.10M1.08B603.70M
Operating Cash Flow
821.80M671.20M313.00M696.00M1.16B652.50M
Investing Cash Flow
-124.10M-137.20M-1.68B464.70M-3.92B-820.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-509.80M-510.30M1.18B-1.10B2.93B166.20M

Asbury Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price225.19
Price Trends
50DMA
225.96
Negative
100DMA
246.56
Negative
200DMA
243.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Positive
RSI
46.97
Neutral
STOCH
19.50
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ABG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 225.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 226.60, below the 50-day MA of 225.96, and below the 200-day MA of 243.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ABG.

Asbury Risk Analysis

Asbury disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Asbury reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We may not realize the strategic benefits and cost synergies that are anticipated from the planned Herb Chambers Dealerships acquisition. Q4, 2024
2.
The Herb Chambers Dealerships acquisition may not occur at all or may not occur in the expected time frame, which may negatively affect the trading price of our common stock and our future business and financial results. Q4, 2024

Asbury Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GPGPI
76
Outperform
$5.51B12.0016.25%0.45%15.13%-15.98%
LALAD
75
Outperform
$8.11B9.8112.95%0.68%12.96%-6.25%
ABABG
72
Outperform
$4.43B10.7211.92%11.11%-23.41%
ANAN
72
Outperform
$6.87B10.7828.45%-0.24%-19.76%
68
Neutral
$3.86B13.6714.28%1.45%-1.29%-9.44%
SASAH
68
Neutral
$2.28B9.5824.52%1.94%1.59%43.91%
62
Neutral
$6.84B11.222.83%3.93%2.65%-21.93%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ABG
Asbury
225.19
-7.25
-3.12%
AN
AutoNation
182.21
12.46
7.34%
GPI
Group 1 Automotive
425.94
117.82
38.24%
LAD
Lithia Motors
311.45
56.12
21.98%
RUSHA
Rush Enterprises A
48.92
5.13
11.72%
SAH
Sonic Automotive
67.14
12.05
21.87%

Asbury Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance and strategic positioning with record-setting results in parts and service, significant acquisition plans, and robust liquidity. However, uncertainties around tariffs, a decline in used vehicle sales, and market-specific challenges present notable headwinds.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Gross Profit in Parts and Service
The company posted an all-time record in gross profit for the parts and service business, with same-store gross profit up 5% and customer pay gross up 6%.
Significant Long-term Growth in Customer Pay Gross Profit
Compared to 2014, there has been a 97% increase in customer pay gross profit, demonstrating consistent growth over a ten-year period.
Pending Acquisition of Herb Chambers Automotive Group
Asbury Automotive Group is set to acquire Herb Chambers Automotive Group, a strategic entry into the Boston market expected to close by the end of Q2 2025.
Strong Financial Performance
The company generated $4.1 billion in revenue, a gross profit of $724 million, and adjusted earnings per share of $6.82.
Improvement in Same-Store New Vehicle Sales
Same-store new vehicle revenue increased by 6% year-over-year, with units up 4% due to a boost in March sales.
Liquidity and Capital Allocation
The company ended Q1 with $964 million of liquidity and plans to focus on deleveraging over the next 18 to 24 months.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
The introduction of new tariffs has created uncertainties, with approximately 56% of new vehicle units shielded, but the full impact on pricing and metrics remains unclear.
Decline in Used Vehicle Sales
Used vehicle unit volume was down 8% year-over-year, although used retail gross profit per unit showed sequential growth.
Weather-related Disruptions
Weather conditions negatively impacted parts and service growth, which could have been higher without these disruptions.
Challenges in Specific Markets
The DC and Baltimore markets showed weakness due to uncertainties around government jobs, impacting overall performance.
Company Guidance
During the Asbury Automotive Group's Q1 2025 earnings call, several key financial metrics were highlighted. The company reported revenue of $4.1 billion and a gross profit of $724 million, resulting in a gross profit margin of 17.5%. Same-store adjusted SG&A was 63.9% of gross profit, while the adjusted operating margin stood at 5.8%. Adjusted earnings per share were reported at $6.82, with an adjusted EBITDA of $240 million. The company achieved a record gross profit in its parts and service business, with same-store gross profit increasing by 5% and customer pay gross profit up by 6%. New vehicle same-store revenue rose by 6%, and units were up by 4%. However, used vehicle unit volume decreased by 8% year-over-year, with a retail gross profit per unit of $1,587. The F&I PVR was $2,263, and the total front-end yield per vehicle was $4,854. On the capital allocation front, Asbury is focused on reducing leverage following the pending acquisition of Herb Chambers Automotive Group, which is valued at $1.34 billion. The transaction adjusted net leverage was 2.75 times at the end of March, with plans to focus on deleveraging over the next eighteen to twenty-four months.

Asbury Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Asbury Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Key Proposals Passed
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where several key proposals were voted upon. The stockholders elected ten director nominees to serve until the 2026 meeting, approved an advisory resolution on executive compensation, ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm, and passed a proposal regarding a simple majority vote. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its future direction and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (ABG) stock is a Buy with a $305.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asbury stock, see the ABG Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Asbury Reports Record Q1 Earnings Amid Growth Plans
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Asbury Automotive Group reported its first quarter earnings, highlighting a record gross profit in its parts and service business and a 97% increase in customer pay gross profit over a decade. The company is navigating tariff impacts with a significant portion of its vehicles produced in America, thus insulated from potential price increases. Asbury is also expanding its Tekion implementation and planning to acquire the Herb Chambers Automotive Group, aiming for long-term growth and reduced leverage. The company posted $4.1 billion in revenue with a gross profit margin of 17.5% and an adjusted earnings per share of $6.82.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.