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Asbury (ABG)
NYSE:ABG
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Asbury (ABG) AI Stock Analysis

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ABG

Asbury

(NYSE:ABG)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$262.00
▲(15.62% Upside)
Asbury's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation, despite technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum. The earnings call provided a balanced view with significant achievements in revenue and profitability, offset by challenges in used vehicle sales and market conditions. The absence of corporate events further concentrates the analysis on these key areas.

Asbury (ABG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Asbury Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAsbury Automotive Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. It offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles; and vehicle repair and maintenance services, replacement parts, and collision repair services. The company also provides finance and insurance products, including arranging vehicle financing through third parties; and aftermarket products, such as extended service contracts, guaranteed asset protection debt cancellation, prepaid maintenance, and credit life and disability insurance. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated 205 new vehicle franchises representing 31 brands of automobiles at 155 dealership locations; and 35 collision centers in the United States. Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAsbury generates revenue primarily through the sale of new and used vehicles, along with financing and insurance products associated with these sales. The company earns significant income from its service department, which includes routine maintenance, repairs, and parts sales. Additionally, Asbury benefits from ancillary products like vehicle warranties and service contracts. Key revenue streams include gross profit from vehicle sales, service and parts revenue, and F&I (finance and insurance) income. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers and financial institutions, enhancing its product offerings and securing additional revenue opportunities.

Asbury Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with record revenue and strong gross profit margins but faced challenges in used vehicle sales and revised TCA earnings outlook due to macroeconomic factors.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Achievement
Asbury Automotive Group generated a record $4.8 billion in revenue for the third quarter.
Strong Gross Profit and Margins
The company reported a gross profit of $803 million and a gross profit margin of 16.7%.
Successful Acquisition Integration
The acquisition of the Chambers Group positively impacted operating metrics and contributed to the company's performance.
Increasing New Vehicle Sales
Same-store revenue for new vehicles was up 8% year-over-year, with units up 7% driven by elevated EV demand.
Consistent Parts and Service Growth
Parts and service business delivered a same-store gross profit increase of 7% and a customer pay segment increase of 8%.
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Adjusted operating cash flow increased by 11% year-to-date over the comparable period last year.
Negative Updates
Used Vehicle Sales Decline
Used vehicle unit volume was down 4% year-over-year in the third quarter.
TCA Earnings Revision
Revised TCA earnings outlook due to lower projected SAAR and impact from recent acquisition and divestiture activities.
SG&A Concerns
Adjusted SG&A as a percentage of gross profit is expected to be impacted by transition-related expenses due to the Tekion rollout.
Softening Market Expectations
Anticipated headwinds through year-end with a softening labor market and challenges with vehicle affordability.
Company Guidance
During the Asbury Automotive Group Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. The acquisition of the Chambers Group positively influenced Asbury's operating metrics, with a reported record revenue of $4.8 billion and a gross profit of $803 million, resulting in a gross profit margin of 16.7%. The adjusted operating margin stood at 5.5%, while adjusted earnings per share were $7.17, and adjusted EBITDA reached $261 million. The company's parts and service business saw a same-store gross profit increase of 7%, with the customer pay segment rising by 8%. Additionally, same-store SG&A as a percentage of gross profit decreased by 32 basis points to 63.6%. Asbury's capital deployment strategy includes deleveraging the balance sheet and optimizing the portfolio, highlighted by the divestiture of four stores generating $300 million in annualized revenue. The company repurchased $50 million in shares, with future buybacks influenced by portfolio activities and market conditions. Looking ahead, Asbury anticipates headwinds due to a softening labor market and vehicle affordability challenges but remains focused on strategic growth and operational efficiency.

Asbury Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Asbury demonstrates a robust financial performance with consistent revenue growth and stable profitability. The balance sheet shows a balanced capital structure, though the high leverage requires careful management. Cash flow remains healthy despite recent declines in free cash flow growth. Overall, Asbury is well-positioned in the auto dealership industry, with opportunities for margin improvement and leverage management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Asbury's income statement shows a solid performance with a consistent revenue growth rate of 3.27% in the TTM period. The gross profit margin stands at 16.99%, and the net profit margin is 3.15%, indicating stable profitability. However, there is a slight decline in margins compared to previous years, suggesting potential pressure on profitability. Overall, the company demonstrates a strong revenue base with room for improvement in margin expansion.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54, indicating a relatively high leverage. The return on equity is 15.18%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 32.94%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the company maintains a stable equity base, the high leverage poses a potential risk that needs monitoring.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 7.11% in the TTM period, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.26, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, indicating a reasonable conversion of income to cash. Despite the decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains a healthy cash flow position, supporting its operational needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.83B17.19B14.80B15.43B9.84B7.13B
Gross Profit3.03B2.95B2.76B3.10B1.90B1.22B
EBITDA1.07B919.30M1.03B1.55B841.70M451.10M
Net Income421.22M430.30M602.50M997.30M532.40M254.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.77B10.34B10.16B8.02B8.00B3.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.20M83.80M51.90M240.70M189.90M1.40M
Total Debt5.99B5.28B5.48B3.69B4.56B2.37B
Total Liabilities7.90B6.83B6.92B5.12B5.89B2.77B
Stockholders Equity3.88B3.50B3.24B2.90B2.12B905.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow733.40M363.00M170.70M588.10M1.08B603.70M
Operating Cash Flow867.50M671.20M313.00M696.00M1.16B652.50M
Investing Cash Flow-1.65B-137.20M-1.68B464.70M-3.92B-820.80M
Financing Cash Flow750.60M-510.30M1.18B-1.10B2.93B166.20M

Asbury Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price226.61
Price Trends
50DMA
243.65
Negative
100DMA
242.34
Negative
200DMA
243.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.11
Positive
RSI
36.27
Neutral
STOCH
12.10
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ABG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 226.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 239.08, below the 50-day MA of 243.65, and below the 200-day MA of 243.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.10 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ABG.

Asbury Risk Analysis

Asbury disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Asbury reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Asbury Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$4.41B7.9515.49%8.07%60.95%
69
Neutral
$7.11B8.4813.44%0.74%8.56%17.84%
68
Neutral
$10.20B10.9117.30%3.15%2.25%8.92%
66
Neutral
$4.86B13.5412.27%0.50%19.45%-24.27%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$2.04B16.1212.51%1.84%9.09%-33.59%
55
Neutral
$6.96B11.4127.16%6.06%-1.71%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ABG
Asbury
226.61
-39.14
-14.73%
AN
AutoNation
193.86
25.82
15.37%
GPI
Group 1 Automotive
390.87
-19.97
-4.86%
LAD
Lithia Motors
293.27
-86.94
-22.87%
PAG
Penske Automotive Group
158.64
2.46
1.58%
SAH
Sonic Automotive
61.75
-3.43
-5.26%

Asbury Corporate Events

Asbury Automotive Reports Record Q3 2025 Results
Oct 29, 2025

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc., headquartered in Sandy Springs, GA, is a leading automotive retailer in the U.S., operating 175 new vehicle dealerships and offering a wide range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles, parts and service, and finance and insurance products.

Asbury Automotive’s Earnings Call: Record Revenue Amid Challenges
Oct 29, 2025

Asbury Automotive Group’s recent earnings call presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting both achievements and challenges. The company celebrated record revenue and strong gross profit margins, yet faced hurdles in used vehicle sales and adjusted TCA earnings outlook due to macroeconomic conditions.

Asbury Automotive Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 30, 2025

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc., a Fortune 500 company based in Duluth, GA, is a prominent player in the U.S. automotive retail and service industry, operating numerous vehicle dealerships and offering a wide range of automotive products and services.

Asbury Automotive’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Jul 30, 2025

The recent earnings call for Asbury Automotive Group painted a picture of robust financial performance, underscored by significant revenue growth and strategic acquisitions. The company showcased its operational efficiencies and successful integration of new acquisitions, although challenges such as declining used vehicle volumes and tariff uncertainties were acknowledged. Overall, the sentiment leaned positively, with the strengths slightly outweighing the concerns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025