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Asbury (ABG)
NYSE:ABG

Asbury (ABG) AI Stock Analysis

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ABG

Asbury

(NYSE:ABG)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$229.00
▼(-8.64% Downside)
Asbury's overall stock score reflects a strong financial foundation with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The valuation is attractive due to a low P/E ratio, suggesting potential undervaluation. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which could pose short-term risks. The earnings call provided a balanced view with record achievements but highlighted challenges in the market environment. The absence of significant corporate events leaves the focus on financial performance and strategic initiatives.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Record revenue achievement indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term growth prospects.
Acquisition Integration
Successful integration of acquisitions enhances operational efficiency and expands market reach, contributing to sustainable growth.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports financial flexibility and investment capacity, crucial for long-term strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, necessitating careful debt management to ensure long-term stability.
Used Vehicle Sales Decline
Declining used vehicle sales may impact overall revenue and profitability, highlighting a need for strategic adjustments in this segment.
Softening Market Expectations
Market softening and affordability issues may pressure sales and margins, requiring strategic focus to navigate economic challenges.

Asbury (ABG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Asbury Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAsbury Automotive Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. It offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles; and vehicle repair and maintenance services, replacement parts, and collision repair services. The company also provides finance and insurance products, including arranging vehicle financing through third parties; and aftermarket products, such as extended service contracts, guaranteed asset protection debt cancellation, prepaid maintenance, and credit life and disability insurance. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated 205 new vehicle franchises representing 31 brands of automobiles at 155 dealership locations; and 35 collision centers in the United States. Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAsbury generates revenue primarily through the sale of new and used vehicles, which constitutes a significant portion of its income. The company earns additional revenue from its finance and insurance (F&I) operations, where it offers vehicle financing options and insurance products to customers. Asbury also profits from its service and parts departments, which provide maintenance and repair services. Key partnerships with automotive manufacturers and financial institutions further enhance its revenue streams, allowing the company to offer competitive financing options and access to exclusive vehicle inventory. Overall, Asbury's diversified approach in the automotive sector, along with its strategic dealership network, contributes substantially to its earnings.

Asbury Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with record revenue and strong gross profit margins but faced challenges in used vehicle sales and revised TCA earnings outlook due to macroeconomic factors.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Achievement
Asbury Automotive Group generated a record $4.8 billion in revenue for the third quarter.
Strong Gross Profit and Margins
The company reported a gross profit of $803 million and a gross profit margin of 16.7%.
Successful Acquisition Integration
The acquisition of the Chambers Group positively impacted operating metrics and contributed to the company's performance.
Increasing New Vehicle Sales
Same-store revenue for new vehicles was up 8% year-over-year, with units up 7% driven by elevated EV demand.
Consistent Parts and Service Growth
Parts and service business delivered a same-store gross profit increase of 7% and a customer pay segment increase of 8%.
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Adjusted operating cash flow increased by 11% year-to-date over the comparable period last year.
Negative Updates
Used Vehicle Sales Decline
Used vehicle unit volume was down 4% year-over-year in the third quarter.
TCA Earnings Revision
Revised TCA earnings outlook due to lower projected SAAR and impact from recent acquisition and divestiture activities.
SG&A Concerns
Adjusted SG&A as a percentage of gross profit is expected to be impacted by transition-related expenses due to the Tekion rollout.
Softening Market Expectations
Anticipated headwinds through year-end with a softening labor market and challenges with vehicle affordability.
Company Guidance
During the Asbury Automotive Group Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. The acquisition of the Chambers Group positively influenced Asbury's operating metrics, with a reported record revenue of $4.8 billion and a gross profit of $803 million, resulting in a gross profit margin of 16.7%. The adjusted operating margin stood at 5.5%, while adjusted earnings per share were $7.17, and adjusted EBITDA reached $261 million. The company's parts and service business saw a same-store gross profit increase of 7%, with the customer pay segment rising by 8%. Additionally, same-store SG&A as a percentage of gross profit decreased by 32 basis points to 63.6%. Asbury's capital deployment strategy includes deleveraging the balance sheet and optimizing the portfolio, highlighted by the divestiture of four stores generating $300 million in annualized revenue. The company repurchased $50 million in shares, with future buybacks influenced by portfolio activities and market conditions. Looking ahead, Asbury anticipates headwinds due to a softening labor market and vehicle affordability challenges but remains focused on strategic growth and operational efficiency.

Asbury Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Asbury demonstrates a robust financial performance with consistent revenue growth and stable profitability. The balance sheet shows a balanced capital structure, though the high leverage requires careful management. Cash flow remains healthy despite recent declines in free cash flow growth. Overall, Asbury is well-positioned in the auto dealership industry, with opportunities for margin improvement and leverage management.
Income Statement
Asbury's income statement shows a solid performance with a consistent revenue growth rate of 3.27% in the TTM period. The gross profit margin stands at 16.99%, and the net profit margin is 3.15%, indicating stable profitability. However, there is a slight decline in margins compared to previous years, suggesting potential pressure on profitability. Overall, the company demonstrates a strong revenue base with room for improvement in margin expansion.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54, indicating a relatively high leverage. The return on equity is 15.18%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 32.94%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the company maintains a stable equity base, the high leverage poses a potential risk that needs monitoring.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 7.11% in the TTM period, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.26, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, indicating a reasonable conversion of income to cash. Despite the decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains a healthy cash flow position, supporting its operational needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.83B17.19B14.80B15.43B9.84B7.13B
Gross Profit3.03B2.95B2.76B3.10B1.90B1.22B
EBITDA1.07B919.30M1.03B1.55B841.70M451.10M
Net Income421.22M430.30M602.50M997.30M532.40M254.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.77B10.34B10.16B8.02B8.00B3.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.10M83.80M51.90M240.70M189.90M1.40M
Total Debt5.99B5.28B5.48B3.69B4.56B2.37B
Total Liabilities7.90B6.83B6.92B5.12B5.89B2.77B
Stockholders Equity3.88B3.50B3.24B2.90B2.12B905.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow688.50M363.00M170.70M588.10M1.08B603.70M
Operating Cash Flow867.50M671.20M313.00M696.00M1.16B652.50M
Investing Cash Flow-1.65B-137.20M-1.68B464.70M-3.92B-820.80M
Financing Cash Flow750.60M-510.30M1.18B-1.10B2.93B166.20M

Asbury Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price250.65
Price Trends
50DMA
233.67
Positive
100DMA
240.10
Positive
200DMA
236.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.12
Negative
RSI
65.18
Neutral
STOCH
86.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ABG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 250.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 240.57, above the 50-day MA of 233.67, and above the 200-day MA of 236.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ABG.

Asbury Risk Analysis

Asbury disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Asbury reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Asbury Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$8.16B9.7313.44%0.64%8.56%17.84%
73
Outperform
$5.06B14.1712.27%0.49%19.45%-24.27%
71
Outperform
$10.89B11.6517.30%3.14%2.25%8.92%
70
Neutral
$7.75B12.6727.16%6.06%-1.71%
67
Neutral
$4.87B8.7915.49%8.07%60.95%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$2.21B17.4912.51%2.27%9.09%-33.59%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ABG
Asbury
250.65
8.73
3.61%
AN
AutoNation
215.30
39.91
22.76%
GPI
Group 1 Automotive
400.97
-25.35
-5.95%
LAD
Lithia Motors
332.61
-14.61
-4.21%
PAG
Penske Automotive Group
164.80
16.24
10.93%
SAH
Sonic Automotive
64.47
1.81
2.89%

Asbury Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Asbury Announces CEO Transition to Executive Chairman
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Asbury Automotive Group announced that David W. Hult will transition from President and CEO to Executive Chairman following the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. This transition involves an amendment to his employment agreement, outlining his new compensation and responsibilities. Concurrently, Daniel E. Clara, the current COO, will assume the roles of President and CEO, with plans to nominate him to the Board. These leadership changes are expected to impact the company’s strategic direction and governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (ABG) stock is a Hold with a $230.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asbury stock, see the ABG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025