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Asbury (ABG)
NYSE:ABG
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Asbury (ABG) AI Stock Analysis

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ABG

Asbury

(NYSE:ABG)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$270.00
▲(4.86% Upside)
Asbury's strong financial performance, attractive valuation, and strategic acquisitions drive a positive outlook. Challenges such as high leverage and potential overbought technical indicators are notable risks.

Asbury (ABG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Asbury Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAsbury (ABG) is a leading automotive retail and service company in the United States, specializing in the sale of new and used vehicles, as well as providing automotive repair and maintenance services. The company operates a network of dealerships representing various automotive brands, offering customers a wide range of vehicles and comprehensive automotive solutions. Asbury is committed to delivering an exceptional customer experience through its innovative sales processes and technology-driven service offerings.
How the Company Makes MoneyAsbury generates revenue primarily through the sale of new and used vehicles, along with financing and insurance products associated with these sales. The company earns significant income from its service department, which includes routine maintenance, repairs, and parts sales. Additionally, Asbury benefits from ancillary products like vehicle warranties and service contracts. Key revenue streams include gross profit from vehicle sales, service and parts revenue, and F&I (finance and insurance) income. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers and financial institutions, enhancing its product offerings and securing additional revenue opportunities.

Asbury Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook for Asbury Automotive Group, highlighting strong revenue and profit margins, successful strategic acquisitions, and operational efficiency improvements. However, challenges such as declining used vehicle volumes, tariff uncertainties, and increased SG&A costs due to system implementations were noted. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans towards optimism given the company's strategic initiatives and market positioning.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and Profit Margins
Asbury Automotive Group generated $4.4 billion in revenue, with a gross profit of $752 million and a gross profit margin of 17.2%, along with an adjusted operating margin of 5.8% and an adjusted EBITDA of $256 million.
New and Used Vehicle Performance
Same-store new vehicle revenue was up 9% year-over-year with units up 7%, while used vehicle profitability remained strong despite a 4% decrease in unit volume.
Parts and Service Business Growth
Same-store gross profit for parts and service was up 7%, with a gross profit margin of 59.2% and a fixed absorption rate over 100%.
Herb Chambers Acquisition
Successfully closed on the acquisition of Herb Chambers Automotive Group, which had a full-year 2024 adjusted EBITDA of $176.8 million. The acquisition is expected to enhance Asbury's presence in New England.
Operational Efficiency
Same store adjusted SG&A as a percentage of gross profit was 63.2%, an improvement of over 100 basis points from the second quarter of 2024.
Negative Updates
Decline in Used Vehicle Volume
Used vehicle unit volume declined by 4% year-over-year, attributed to a constrained supply environment.
Tariff Impact Uncertainty
Concerns about how various tariff decisions might affect consumer pricing and impact the outlook for the second half of the year.
Adjusted SG&A Costs
Adjusted SG&A as a percentage of gross profit was impacted by Tekion implementation costs, and there are anticipations of maintaining SG&A in the mid-60s due to potential tariff and trade developments.
Impact of Deferred Revenue Headwind
The deferred revenue headwind from TCA resulted in a $0.43 decrease in adjusted EPS for the quarter.
Company Guidance
In Asbury Automotive Group's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several metrics and insights into their performance and future outlook. They reported $4.4 billion in revenue, a gross profit of $752 million, and a gross profit margin of 17.2%. Their adjusted operating margin was 5.8%, with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $7.43 and adjusted EBITDA of $256 million. Despite the SAAR decline, new vehicle gross profit per unit (GPU) was resilient, trending towards $2,500 to $3,000. Meanwhile, used retail gross profit per unit was $1,729, showing sequential growth. The parts and service business also performed well, with same-store gross profit up 7% and a margin of 59.2%. The company's SG&A as a percentage of gross profit improved to 63.2%, and they plan to continue reducing this over time. Asbury is focusing on strategic acquisitions, like the recent Herb Chambers acquisition, while also divesting nine stores, with proceeds aiding leverage reduction efforts. They anticipate prioritizing leverage reduction over the next 12 to 18 months, while also remaining open to opportunistic share repurchases.

Asbury Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Asbury's financial health is stable with strong cash flow generation and a solid equity base. Despite stagnant revenue growth, healthy profitability margins and moderate leverage support growth initiatives. Continued focus on improving net income and managing debt levels is crucial.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Asbury's income statement reflects a stable financial performance with a steady gross profit margin of approximately 17% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the net profit margin has declined to 2.4% from 3.5% a year earlier, indicating pressure on net profitability. The revenue growth rate over the past year was negative at -0.3%, suggesting a need for improvement in sales growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, contributing positively to the overall score.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.33, indicating moderate leverage, which is common in the auto dealership industry. Stockholders' equity increased slightly, enhancing the equity ratio to 35.4% of total assets, reflecting a solid capital base. However, the significant total debt level remains a risk factor.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Asbury's cash flow statement is strong, with the operating cash flow to net income ratio at 1.98, suggesting efficient cash generation from operations. Free cash flow increased by 61.2% year-over-year, improving liquidity and financial flexibility. Despite the strong cash position, attention to capital expenditures is needed.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.41B17.19B14.80B15.43B9.84B7.13B
Gross Profit3.65B2.95B2.76B3.10B1.90B1.22B
EBITDA1.04B885.00M1.15B1.55B838.60M448.50M
Net Income540.00M430.30M602.50M997.30M532.40M254.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.13B10.34B10.16B8.02B8.00B3.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments54.80M83.80M51.90M240.70M189.90M1.40M
Total Debt4.55B5.28B5.48B3.69B4.56B2.37B
Total Liabilities6.35B6.83B6.92B5.12B5.89B2.77B
Stockholders Equity3.78B3.50B3.24B2.90B2.12B905.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow789.50M363.00M170.70M588.10M1.08B603.70M
Operating Cash Flow964.90M671.20M313.00M696.00M1.16B652.50M
Investing Cash Flow9.90M-137.20M-1.68B464.70M-3.92B-820.80M
Financing Cash Flow-987.10M-510.30M1.18B-1.10B2.93B166.20M

Asbury Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price257.48
Price Trends
50DMA
242.54
Positive
100DMA
235.83
Positive
200DMA
245.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.74
Negative
RSI
62.60
Neutral
STOCH
69.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ABG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 257.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 246.13, above the 50-day MA of 242.54, and above the 200-day MA of 245.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ABG.

Asbury Risk Analysis

Asbury disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Asbury reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Asbury Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$12.39B13.0718.11%2.66%2.39%5.84%
75
Outperform
$5.06B9.4015.19%8.39%40.35%
75
Outperform
$6.26B13.4015.72%0.41%19.75%-10.74%
73
Outperform
$8.74B10.1013.34%0.63%10.25%9.08%
70
Outperform
$8.55B14.2127.24%3.15%-12.49%
68
Neutral
$2.84B18.5015.99%1.62%4.48%-16.26%
61
Neutral
$17.92B12.81-3.11%2.97%1.30%-14.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ABG
Asbury
257.48
34.27
15.35%
AN
AutoNation
226.82
62.94
38.41%
GPI
Group 1 Automotive
483.87
131.04
37.14%
LAD
Lithia Motors
341.07
66.75
24.33%
PAG
Penske Automotive Group
187.63
35.46
23.30%
SAH
Sonic Automotive
83.13
26.97
48.02%

Asbury Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Asbury Completes Acquisition of Herb Chambers Companies
Positive
Jul 21, 2025

On July 21, 2025, Asbury Automotive Group completed the acquisition of The Herb Chambers Companies, a major privately-owned dealership group in the U.S., for approximately $1.45 billion. This acquisition, funded through credit facilities and cash, adds 33 dealerships and 52 franchises to Asbury’s portfolio, expanding its presence into the Northeastern U.S. and is expected to generate significant value for shareholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Asbury Announces Acquisition of Herb Chambers Dealerships
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Asbury Automotive Group announced that its acquisition of The Herb Chambers Companies’ automotive dealerships is expected to close by the end of July 2025, pending customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals. This acquisition is a strategic move for Asbury, potentially enhancing its market position and operational scale within the automotive retail sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025