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Autonation (AN)
NYSE:AN
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AutoNation (AN) AI Stock Analysis

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AutoNation

(NYSE:AN)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$205.00
▲(6.24% Upside)
AutoNation's overall score reflects moderate financial performance and bearish technical indicators, offset by a positive earnings call and attractive valuation. The company's strong EPS growth and strategic initiatives are promising, but challenges in profitability and market competition remain.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
AutoNation's revenue growth exceeding expectations indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term stability.
EPS Growth
Significant EPS growth reflects operational efficiency and strategic initiatives, enhancing shareholder value and financial health over time.
After-Sales Performance
Record after-sales performance demonstrates strong customer retention and recurring revenue potential, bolstering long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent cash flow issues could constrain investment capacity and operational flexibility, impacting long-term growth prospects.
New Vehicle Profitability
Declining new vehicle profitability suggests margin pressures, potentially affecting overall financial performance and competitive positioning.
Debt Levels
Elevated debt levels may limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting future investment and expansion opportunities.

AutoNation (AN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AutoNation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAutoNation, Inc. is the largest automotive retailer in the United States, operating a network of over 300 dealerships across various states. The company focuses on new and used vehicle sales, automotive service and repair, and parts distribution. AutoNation offers a diverse range of vehicle brands, including both domestic and foreign manufacturers, and is committed to enhancing the customer experience through innovative digital tools and services.
How the Company Makes MoneyAutoNation generates revenue primarily through the sale of new and used vehicles, which constitutes a significant portion of its overall income. The company also earns money from automotive financing and insurance products, often through partnerships with financial institutions. Additionally, AutoNation has a robust service department that provides maintenance and repair services, contributing to recurring revenue streams. The company benefits from its extensive footprint and brand recognition, as well as its investments in digital sales platforms, which enhance customer engagement and streamline the purchasing process.

AutoNation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a largely positive outlook with strong EPS growth, increases in new and used vehicle sales, and record performances in customer financial services and after-sales. However, there were challenges such as declines in new vehicle profitability and increased competition in the used vehicle market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong EPS Growth
AutoNation reported a 25% increase in adjusted EPS and strong cash flow, driven by strategic share repurchases and acquisitions.
New Vehicle Sales Growth
Same-store sales of new vehicles increased by 4.5%, with domestic segment sales up 11% year-over-year.
Increase in Used Vehicle Sales
Used vehicle unit sales increased by 4% overall, with gross profit increasing by 3% year-over-year.
Record Customer Financial Services Performance
Customer Financial Services gross profit reached a record high, increasing by 12% from the previous year.
After-Sales Revenue and Gross Profit
After-sales revenue and gross profit hit record levels, with gross profit increasing by 7% year-over-year.
AN Finance Growth
AN Finance nearly doubled its originations from the previous year, with the portfolio now exceeding $2 billion.
Negative Updates
New Vehicle Profitability Decline
New vehicle gross profit declined due to a mix of sales weighted towards domestic and BEV vehicles.
Increased Competition in Used Vehicle Market
Strong competition for retail-grade used inventory led to upward pressure on wholesale prices.
Pressure on Domestic Combustion Vehicle Margins
Domestic internal combustion engines faced margin compression, particularly in the middle of the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the AutoNation Q3 2025 Earnings Call, CEO Mike Manley highlighted several key metrics and aspects of the company's performance. The company reported a 25% growth in adjusted EPS and a 7% increase in total revenue to $7 billion. New Vehicle same-store sales grew by 4.5%, with domestic segment sales increasing 11%. Used Vehicle gross profit rose by 3%, driven by a 4% increase in unit sales. Customer Financial Services achieved a 12% gross profit increase, maintaining more than two product attachments per vehicle. After-Sales reported record revenue and gross profit with a 7% growth, and the company's finance portfolio exceeded $2 billion. Cost management efforts were effective, maintaining SG&A at 67.4% of gross profit. Additionally, AutoNation repurchased $435 million worth of shares and invested $350 million in acquisitions. The call indicated a strategic focus on maintaining inventory levels and optimizing vehicle acquisition channels.

AutoNation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AutoNation shows moderate financial health with stable revenue growth and improved leverage. However, profitability margins have slightly declined, and cash flow management remains a concern.
Income Statement
65
Positive
AutoNation's income statement shows moderate performance with a stable gross profit margin of approximately 17.8% in TTM. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 2.38% from 2.59% in the previous year, indicating a slight decline in profitability. Revenue growth is positive at 1.64% in TTM, showing a recovery from previous declines. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen a slight decrease, reflecting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.13 in TTM, which has improved significantly from 3.54 in the previous year, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased to 26.95% from 28.17%, suggesting a slight decline in shareholder returns. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -60.58% in TTM, highlighting cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.018, suggesting limited cash generation from operations relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.92B26.77B26.95B26.98B25.84B20.39B
Gross Profit4.91B4.79B5.13B5.27B4.95B3.57B
EBITDA1.59B1.60B1.92B2.21B2.12B906.50M
Net Income663.10M692.20M1.02B1.38B1.37B381.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.20B13.00B11.98B10.06B8.94B9.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.60M59.80M60.80M72.60M60.40M569.60M
Total Debt2.85B8.70B8.12B6.42B4.95B5.25B
Total Liabilities11.69B10.54B9.77B8.01B6.57B6.65B
Stockholders Equity2.51B2.46B2.21B2.05B2.38B3.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-178.20M-13.80M313.70M1.34B1.41B1.05B
Operating Cash Flow111.20M314.70M724.00M1.67B1.63B1.21B
Investing Cash Flow-485.30M12.30M-569.90M-479.30M-460.30M-73.70M
Financing Cash Flow401.70M-300.60M-172.50M-1.15B-1.68B-606.70M

AutoNation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price192.96
Price Trends
50DMA
213.83
Negative
100DMA
209.28
Negative
200DMA
193.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.33
Positive
RSI
34.25
Neutral
STOCH
35.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 192.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 203.74, below the 50-day MA of 213.83, and below the 200-day MA of 193.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AN.

AutoNation Risk Analysis

AutoNation disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AutoNation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AutoNation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$4.41B7.8115.49%8.07%60.95%
69
Neutral
$7.11B8.4813.44%0.74%8.56%17.84%
68
Neutral
$10.45B11.1717.30%3.14%2.25%8.92%
66
Neutral
$4.94B13.7512.27%0.50%19.45%-24.27%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$4.75B9.508.42%2.17%28.59%
55
Neutral
$7.07B11.4127.16%6.06%-1.71%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AN
AutoNation
192.96
24.92
14.83%
ABG
Asbury
222.61
-43.14
-16.23%
KMX
CarMax
33.25
-43.53
-56.69%
GPI
Group 1 Automotive
389.70
-21.14
-5.15%
LAD
Lithia Motors
294.27
-85.94
-22.60%
PAG
Penske Automotive Group
158.81
2.63
1.68%

AutoNation Corporate Events

AutoNation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 24, 2025

AutoNation Inc., a leading automotive retailer in the United States, offers a wide range of new and used vehicles, customer financing, and expert maintenance services across its nationwide network of dealerships. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, AutoNation announced a 7% increase in revenue, reaching $7 billion, and a 23% rise in earnings per share (EPS) to $5.65. The company also reported a record gross profit in its After-Sales and Customer Financial Services segments, highlighting its strong performance across multiple revenue streams.

AutoNation Inc Shines in Earnings Call with Strong EPS Growth
Oct 24, 2025

AutoNation Inc’s recent earnings call painted a largely positive picture, highlighting strong EPS growth and record performances in several key areas. Despite challenges such as declining new vehicle profitability and heightened competition in the used vehicle market, the overall sentiment was optimistic, driven by significant achievements in sales and financial services.

AutoNation Inc. Reports Strong Q2 Earnings Amid Challenges
Jul 29, 2025

AutoNation Inc.’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust performance across several key areas, including revenue growth, expansion of AutoNation Finance, and record results in After-Sales. Despite these positive outcomes, the company acknowledged challenges such as the CDK outage, tariff-related shifts, and impairment charges, which were notable concerns during the discussion.

AutoNation’s Q2 2025: Revenue Growth Amid EPS Decline
Jul 26, 2025

AutoNation, Inc., one of the largest automotive retailers in the United States, provides a comprehensive range of products and services including new and used vehicles, customer financing, parts, and maintenance services, with a strong focus on community engagement through its DRV PNK initiative.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025