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PUMA SE NPV (DE:PUM)
XETRA:PUM

PUMA SE NPV (PUM) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:PUM

PUMA SE NPV

(XETRA:PUM)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
€27.00
▲(23.23% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong revenue growth, resilient gross margin, and improving operating cash flow) and supportive technical momentum (price above major moving averages with positive MACD). These positives are tempered by profitability pressure (lower net margin) and valuation uncertainty reflected by a negative P/E, despite a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High gross margin
A 47.4% gross margin indicates durable product pricing power and efficient cost of goods. This margin buffer supports sustained competitiveness, funds marketing and product investment, and helps absorb input-cost volatility over the medium term.
Multi-year revenue expansion
Consistent growth from €5.23bn to €8.82bn over four years reflects successful global brand scaling and channel diversification. A larger revenue base enables economies of scale, broader DTC reach, and sustained investment capacity for product and market development.
Improving operating cash flow
Rising operating cash flow demonstrates improving cash generation from core operations. Reliable OCF funds capex, marketing and working capital needs without heavy borrowing, enhancing financial flexibility and supporting strategic initiatives over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Compressed net margins
Net margin contraction to 3.2% despite strong gross margins points to elevated operating costs, heavy marketing/sponsorship spend or other pressures. Persistent low net margins limit profit conversion, reduce retained earnings and constrain long-term investment capacity.
Earnings volatility (EPS decline)
A sharply negative EPS growth rate indicates volatile or loss-affected earnings, reducing predictability of profits and cash available for reinvestment or distributions. Such volatility complicates multi-quarter planning and undermines confidence in sustained profitability.
Ownership / strategic uncertainty
A potential 29% stake acquisition by Anta represents a material ownership shift risk. Such a change can prompt strategic redirection, management turnover or partner disruptions, creating execution uncertainty and potential integration or governance challenges over months.

PUMA SE NPV (PUM) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

PUMA SE NPV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPUMA SE, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, sells, and markets footwear, apparel, and accessories for men, women, and kids in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Greater China, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers performance and sport-inspired lifestyle products in categories, such as football, cricket, handball, rugby, volleyball, running, training and fitness, golf, and motorsports. It also issues licenses to independent partners to design, develop, manufacture, and sell watches, glasses, safety shoes, and gaming accessories, such as the Playseat. The company sells its products through PUMA retail stores and factory outlets, as well as through online stores. It offers its products primarily under the PUMA and Cobra Golf brand names. The company was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Herzogenaurach, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyPUMA generates revenue primarily through the sale of its footwear, apparel, and accessories across various channels, including wholesale distribution to sporting goods stores, department stores, and specialty retailers, as well as direct-to-consumer sales through its own retail stores and e-commerce platforms. Key revenue streams include sales from performance-oriented products, such as running shoes and soccer cleats, as well as lifestyle collections that appeal to broader fashion trends. PUMA also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with high-profile athletes, celebrities, and designers, which help to enhance brand visibility and drive consumer interest. Additionally, the company invests in marketing and sponsorships within various sports leagues and events, further contributing to its revenue generation by promoting its products and brand identity.

PUMA SE NPV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call demonstrates a mix of positive developments and ongoing challenges. Growth in the DTC business and successful product launches are counterbalanced by regional struggles in North America and China, declining gross margins, and increased operating expenses, all compounded by uncertainties around US tariffs.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Direct-to-Consumer Business Growth
PUMA's DTC business grew by 12%, with e-commerce leading at 17.3%, showing robust growth across all regions.
Successful Product Launches
PUMA launched several successful products, including the Fast-R 3 running shoe and the PUMA MB.04 Golden Child basketball shoe, driving demand and brand visibility.
Go Wild Campaign Success
The 'Go Wild' brand campaign showed strong visibility with millions of views globally, enhancing brand recognition and engagement.
Speedcat Franchise Popularity
The Speedcat franchise continued to capitalize on the low-profile trend, with strong demand particularly in Asia.
Positive Regional Performance
EMEA and emerging markets like EEMEA and Latin America showed growth, with EMEA up by 5.1%.
Negative Updates
Challenges in North America and China
Sales in North America and China declined, affecting the overall wholesale business, with North America down by 11%.
Decrease in Gross Profit Margin
The gross profit margin decreased by 60 basis points due to currency headwinds and absence of prior year's positive inventory valuation effects.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by 7.1%, driven by higher e-commerce costs and depreciation, impacting overall profitability.
Net Income Concerns
Net income significantly decreased to EUR 0.5 million, highlighting profitability challenges despite operational improvements.
Inventory and Debt Levels
Inventory levels increased by 21%, and net debt rose significantly, indicating cash flow and inventory management challenges.
Impact of US Tariffs
Uncertainty around new US tariffs poses a risk, with potential impacts on sourcing costs and profitability.
Company Guidance
During PUMA SE's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported that its overall financial results were broadly in line with expectations, with sales and adjusted operating results slightly surpassing projections for the quarter. Sales remained flat compared to the previous year in constant currencies, achieving EUR 2.1 billion. The Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) segment grew by 12%, driven by a 17.3% increase in e-commerce, while the wholesale business declined by 4% due to challenges in the US and China. The gross profit margin decreased by 60 basis points to 47%, primarily due to inventory valuation effects from the prior year. Operating expenses rose by 7.1%, with an increase in the OpEx ratio by 340 basis points to 43% in Q1. Adjusted EBIT decreased by 52% to EUR 76 million, with one-time costs related to the nextlevel cost efficiency program totaling EUR 18 million. The company maintained its outlook for 2025, anticipating low to mid-single-digit sales growth in constant currencies and an adjusted EBIT before one-time costs between EUR 520 million and EUR 600 million. The potential impact of newly announced US tariffs remains under review.

PUMA SE NPV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PUMA SE exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and efficient operational management. The company maintains a balanced financial structure with manageable leverage and a solid equity position. While profitability margins have seen some pressures, cash flow generation remains robust, supporting future growth opportunities.
Income Statement
80
Positive
PUMA SE has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a consistent increase from €5.23 billion in 2020 to €8.82 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin has remained robust, indicating efficient cost management, with 2024 showing a margin of 47.4%. However, net profit margins have experienced some fluctuations, with a decrease observed in 2024 to 3.2% from 3.5% in 2023, suggesting potential challenges in converting revenue into profit. EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained stable, reflecting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
PUMA SE's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61 in 2024, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is somewhat low at 9.96%, indicating limited growth in shareholder value relative to equity. However, the equity ratio remains strong at 39.6%, demonstrating a solid capital structure with a good proportion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals steady growth in operating cash flow, with a notable increase from €653.6 million in 2023 to €694.8 million in 2024. The free cash flow has also increased, although the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests a need for improvement in turning profits into cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.62B8.82B8.60B8.47B6.81B5.23B
Gross Profit4.39B4.18B3.99B3.90B3.26B2.46B
EBITDA390.60M977.60M934.00M952.30M837.00M499.50M
Net Income-94.20M281.60M304.90M353.50M309.60M78.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.06B7.14B6.64B6.77B5.73B4.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments292.60M537.00M552.90M463.10M757.50M655.90M
Total Debt2.58B1.72B1.80B1.56B1.40B1.20B
Total Liabilities4.96B4.31B4.06B4.23B3.45B2.92B
Stockholders Equity2.09B2.83B2.55B2.47B2.21B1.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00431.80M353.20M154.70M257.70M270.50M
Operating Cash Flow0.00694.80M653.60M418.30M460.10M421.50M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-230.50M-284.60M-240.80M-183.80M-145.50M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-697.80M-277.10M-476.40M-164.00M-129.20M

PUMA SE NPV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.91
Price Trends
50DMA
20.04
Positive
100DMA
20.42
Positive
200DMA
20.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.51
Positive
RSI
49.78
Neutral
STOCH
16.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:PUM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.52, above the 50-day MA of 20.04, and above the 200-day MA of 20.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:PUM.

PUMA SE NPV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
€3.20B-11.39-12.22%2.83%-2.90%-211.60%
69
Neutral
€4.56B7.2346.77%4.37%25.42%
68
Neutral
€2.41B10.7316.27%3.86%0.09%4.22%
63
Neutral
€6.56B27.689.04%12.06%18.20%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
€28.99B23.7922.32%1.22%9.64%187.42%
50
Neutral
€7.70B-13.24-32.53%23.23%76.05%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:PUM
PUMA SE NPV
21.91
-17.47
-44.37%
DE:TUI1
TUI AG
9.07
1.31
16.88%
DE:ADS
adidas AG
159.85
-81.23
-33.69%
DE:BOSS
Hugo Boss
35.00
-4.33
-11.01%
DE:ZAL
Zalando
25.72
-5.76
-18.30%
DE:DHER
Delivery Hero SE
25.42
-3.67
-12.62%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026