TUI AG (DE:TUI1)
XETRA:TUI1
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TUI AG
(XETRA:TUI1)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
€7.00
▼(-7.04% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by a solid post-pandemic financial recovery (positive earnings and cash generation) but constrained by elevated leverage and weaker cash conversion. Technicals are notably weak (below major moving averages with negative MACD), while the latest earnings call was supportive due to reaffirmed guidance and improving net debt/cash flow despite identified one-offs and near-term demand variability. Valuation contributes modestly given a negative P/E and a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
TUI has sustained positive operating cash flow and produced positive free cash flow recently, giving it recurring internal funding for operations, capex and dividends. Over 2–6 months this supports ongoing deleveraging, operational investment and the resumed dividend policy despite cyclical revenue swings.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Net leverage above 2x equity leaves limited balance‑sheet cushion if travel demand softens or costs rise. Over the next months this constrains financial flexibility, increases refinancing and interest sensitivity, and reduces headroom for opportunistic investments or faster deleveraging.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
TUI has sustained positive operating cash flow and produced positive free cash flow recently, giving it recurring internal funding for operations, capex and dividends. Over 2–6 months this supports ongoing deleveraging, operational investment and the resumed dividend policy despite cyclical revenue swings.
Read all positive factors
TUI AG (TUI1) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)
Market Cap
€3.27B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.37M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.34
Revenue Growth1.57%
EPS Growth31.88%
CountryDE
Employees53,959
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryTravel Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares Outstanding507,431,030
10 Day Avg. Volume2,217,561
30 Day Avg. Volume2,371,859
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.25
Price to Book (P/B)2.23
Price to Sales (P/S)0.16
P/FCF Ratio3.97
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
€9.67Price Target Upside28.44% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
TUI AG Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
TUI AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides tourism services worldwide. It operates hotels and resorts under the Robinson, Riu, TUI Blue, Blue Diamond, TUI Suneo, and TUI Magic Life brands. The company is also involved in the tour operation a...
How the Company Makes Money
TUI makes money by selling leisure travel products and operating travel assets across several interconnected business lines. A major revenue stream comes from packaging and selling holidays (typically combining flights, accommodation, and ground s...
TUI AG Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 24.16B | 24.18B | 23.17B | 20.67B | 16.54B | 4.73B |
| Gross Profit | 2.02B | 2.22B | 1.95B | 1.61B | 931.60M | -1.22B |
| EBITDA | 1.98B | 1.84B | 2.22B | 1.44B | 1.08B | -1.27B |
| Net Income | 701.90M | 635.90M | 507.10M | 305.80M | -212.60M | -2.48B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 18.14B | 18.48B | 17.42B | 16.15B | 15.26B | 14.16B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.46B | 3.13B | 2.21B | 2.11B | 1.82B | 1.09B |
| Total Debt | 4.47B | 4.44B | 4.54B | 4.22B | 5.20B | 6.48B |
| Total Liabilities | 15.09B | 15.79B | 15.64B | 14.21B | 14.61B | 14.57B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.02B | 1.76B | 956.40M | 1.12B | -141.60M | -1.09B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 722.50M | 989.60M | 1.20B | 971.10M | 1.56B | -451.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.59B | 1.73B | 1.91B | 1.64B | 2.08B | -151.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -815.40M | -771.70M | -604.30M | -492.20M | -308.20M | 704.70M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.00B | -656.90M | -531.40M | -834.60M | -1.63B | -233.50M |
TUI AG Technical Analysis
Neutral
7.53
Price Trends
7.46
Positive
8.08
Negative
7.94
Negative
Market Momentum
<0.01
Negative
58.62
Neutral
80.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:TUI1, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.93, above the 50-day MA of 7.46, and below the 200-day MA of 7.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:TUI1.
TUI AG Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
DE:TUI1
TUI AG
6.44
-0.28
-4.15%
DE:HOC
HolidayCheck
4.56
0.68
17.47%
DE:EAD
Erlebnis Akademie AG
3.88
0.04
1.04%
DE:KVO
Oberstdorfer Bergbahn AG
180.00
-14.00
-7.22%
DE:CDZ0
MHP Hotel AG
1.40
-0.07
-4.76%
DE:MTP
Munchener Tierpark Hellabrunn AG
268.00
10.00
3.88%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.