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Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB)
NYSE:CURB
US Market

Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB) AI Stock Analysis

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CURB

Curbline Properties Corp.

(NYSE:CURB)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$28.00
▼(-0.46% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/14/26
The score is driven primarily by solid fundamentals (revenue growth, improving cash flow, and an earnings rebound) and a constructive technical uptrend. These positives are reinforced by upbeat 2026 FFO growth guidance and strong liquidity, while the main drag is valuation (high P/E) alongside higher debt and profit variability.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Improved operating cash flow and consistently positive free cash flow by 2025 provide durable internal funding for acquisitions, reduce reliance on external financing for routine CapEx and distributions, and increase resilience to retail cyclicality, supporting multi‑year growth execution.
Leasing strength
High leasing spreads and strong occupancy reflect persistent tenant demand and pricing power in convenience‑oriented retail. Structural rent uplift from new and renewal deals supports repeatable same‑property NOI growth and long‑term margin sustainability across market cycles.
Liquidity & balance sheet optionality
Substantial immediate liquidity and modest reported leverage give management the flexibility to fund acquisitions, opportunistically repay or refinance debt, and absorb near‑term interest swings. This structural financial headroom supports scaling without forcing distressed asset sales.
Negative Factors
Higher leverage
A material increase in debt during 2025 shifts the company away from its prior low‑leverage profile, raising interest‑rate and refinancing exposure. Higher fixed financing costs reduce cushion for operational shocks and limit balance‑sheet flexibility during downturns.
Earnings volatility
Recurring but lumpy non‑operating items like lease termination fees produce uneven net income and FFO timing. This volatility complicates forward modeling, obscures true operating trends, and undermines the predictability investors rely on for REIT cash distributions and capital allocation.
Acquisition execution risk
Growth guidance assumes significant acquisitions but only ~50% of the planned 2026 investment is committed. The remaining pipeline faces diligence and closing risk; failure to execute would directly reduce projected FFO growth and delay expected scale benefits.

Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Curbline Properties Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCurbline Properties Corp. engages in the business of owning, managing, leasing, and acquiring a portfolio of convenience shopping centers in the United States. The company's properties are generally positioned on the curbline of well-trafficked intersections and major vehicular corridors that include restaurants, healthcare and wellness, financial services, beverage retail, telecommunications, beauty and hair salons, and fitness, as well as others as tenants. It plans to elect to be treated as a REIT for U.S. federal income tax purposes. Curbline Properties Corp. was incorporated in 2023 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyCurbline Properties Corp. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from rental income derived from its residential and commercial properties. The company also profits from property sales and development projects, where it engages in buying land, constructing buildings, and selling or leasing them for profit. Additionally, CURB earns fees from property management services, which include maintaining and leasing properties on behalf of owners. Strategic partnerships with local governments and community organizations enhance CURB's ability to identify lucrative investment opportunities and streamline development processes, further contributing to its revenue generation.

Curbline Properties Corp. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 09, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution, rapid acquisition activity, high occupancy, capital efficiency (low CapEx as a % of NOI), and a confident 2026 FFO growth outlook (~12% at the midpoint). Management highlighted robust liquidity and low leverage that support scaling. Key risks discussed were elevated bad-debt assumptions (a modest headwind), pipeline visibility only covering about half of the 2026 investment target today, short-term interest expense uptick from recent financing, and some lumpy items (lease termination fees). Overall, positive operational momentum and a well-capitalized balance sheet outweigh the manageable near-term headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Acquisition Activity
Acquired just under $800 million of assets in 2025 and roughly $1 billion since the spin-off; 2026 guidance assumes ~ $700 million of full-year investments with pipeline visibility on about half of that amount.
High Occupancy and Leasing Fundamentals
Lease rate of 96.7% (unchanged Q/Q) with occupancy up ~20 basis points; completed 67 new leases in 2025 (64 unique tenants) and signed over 400,000 sq ft of new leases and renewals.
Robust Leasing Economics
New lease spreads averaged ~20% and renewal spreads were just under 10%; management expects TTM newly signed spreads to return to the low-20s.
NOI and Operational Outperformance
NOI increased ~16% sequentially and ~60% year-over-year (driven by acquisitions and organic growth); full-year same property NOI up 3.3% and Q4 same property NOI +1.5% despite a 50 bps headwind from uncollectible revenue.
Capital Efficiency
Full-year CapEx was just under 7% of NOI (Q4 CapEx ~8.9% of NOI), which management cites as among the most capital-efficient in the public REIT sector.
FFO Growth Guidance
Introduced 2026 FFO guidance of $1.17–$1.21 per share; midpoint implies ~12% year-over-year FFO growth, supported by investment activity, limited CapEx (<10% NOI), and G&A guidance (~$32 million).
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Raised $600 million of debt capital at a weighted average rate of ~5%; year-end cash ~$290 million; 5.2 million forward-share sale expected to bring ~$120 million; total immediate liquidity available ~$582 million and leverage ratio <20%.
Low Tenant Concentration and High Credit Mix
Portfolio diversity: only nine tenants contribute >1% of base rent and only one tenant >2%; ~70% of 2025 new leases were national credit operators.
Large Addressable Market
Owns almost 5 million sq ft vs. a 950 million sq ft US market (roughly 190x larger); top quartile of the convenience sector is ~50x larger than current portfolio, signaling a long runway for growth.
Negative Updates
Bad Debt / Uncollectible Revenue Headwinds
Q4 same property NOI took a ~50 basis point hit from uncollectible revenue; management assumed ~60 basis points of bad debt for 2026 midpoint guidance (versus ~30 bps in 2025), introducing downside risk to same property NOI.
Leasing Volume Deceleration in Q4
Leasing volume decelerated versus Q3 due to less available space; while management expects continued strong demand, the smaller same-property pool leads to volatility in quarterly metrics.
Pipeline Visibility and Execution Risk
Only about half of the ~$700 million acquisition target for 2026 is visible (closed, under contract, or awarded); remaining deals carry diligence and execution risk that could affect guidance if not closed.
Short-Term Interest Expense Pressure
Interest expense is expected to increase (private placement funding raises interest expense to ~ $8 million in Q1) which will weigh on near-term results before investments deploy cash.
Variable and Unpredictable Lease Termination Fees
Recorded $1.3 million of lease termination fees in Q4; historical term fees have been lumpy ($2M in 2025, $4M in 2024) and are not relied upon in guidance, creating earnings variability.
Dependency on Capital Markets Optionality
Despite strong liquidity and multiple capital options (private placements, ATM, bank market), ongoing growth depends on continued access to equity and debt markets; timing/pricing could affect pace of deployment.
Company Guidance
Curbline’s 2026 guidance calls for FFO of $1.17–$1.21 per share (midpoint = +12% YoY), backed by roughly $700 million of full‑year investments, a 3.25% return on cash (with interest income declining as cash is deployed), CapEx of <10% of NOI (Q4 CapEx/NOI = 8.9%; FY 2025 ≈7%), G&A of about $32 million (includes ~$0.97 million in Q4 site fees), same‑property NOI growth of ~3% at the midpoint (guidance range ~2–4%), a 60 bps bad‑debt bogey for modeling (vs ~30 bps in 2025), ~ $8 million of interest expense expected in Q1 due to private placement funding, no expected recurrence of the $1.3 million Q4 lease‑termination fees in Q1, and substantial liquidity to execute the plan (year‑end cash $290M; $600M total debt raised since formation at a weighted ~5% rate; 5.2M forward shares with ~$120M expected proceeds; ~$582M immediate liquidity overall and ending leverage <20%), leaving under ~$100M incremental funding needed to meet the guidance after retained cash flow.

Curbline Properties Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth and improved operating/free cash flow into 2025 are supportive, and earnings rebounded meaningfully in 2025 after a weak 2024. Offsetting this, profitability has been volatile year to year and debt stepped up materially in 2025, increasing financial risk versus the prior low-leverage profile.
Income Statement
73
Positive
Revenue has grown consistently from 2022 to 2025, with solid momentum in 2024 and continued growth in 2025. Profitability is a key swing factor: 2022–2023 show very strong profit levels, but 2024 saw a sharp drop in net income and weaker operating profitability before rebounding meaningfully in 2025. The main strength is the steady top-line trajectory; the main weakness is the volatility in profit performance year to year.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The company has a large equity base relative to assets, and leverage looked very low in 2022–2024. However, total debt increased materially in 2025 versus prior years, which raises financial risk and reduces balance-sheet flexibility compared with the earlier profile. Returns on equity in 2023–2024 were modest, indicating the asset base is not translating into consistently strong bottom-line returns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is a strength: operating cash flow and free cash flow improved significantly by 2025, and free cash flow is positive across all periods shown. That said, 2024 free cash flow declined versus 2023 and cash conversion was not as strong that year, pointing to some variability in cash generation. Overall, the cash profile appears supportive, with improving capacity in the latest period.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue182.89M120.88M93.66M73.14M
Gross Profit136.95M93.28M71.75M57.76M
EBITDA124.74M53.09M64.53M53.98M
Net Income39.83M10.26M31.01M25.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.47B2.03B921.63M758.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments289.55M626.41M566.00K77.00K
Total Debt489.94M40.15M47.00M53.82M
Total Liabilities556.32M90.54M58.99M66.24M
Stockholders Equity1.91B1.94B862.64M691.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow124.60M54.26M59.24M49.88M
Operating Cash Flow124.60M54.26M59.24M49.88M
Investing Cash Flow-803.25M-437.40M-186.02M-323.46M
Financing Cash Flow341.79M1.01B126.91M273.33M

Curbline Properties Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.13
Price Trends
50DMA
24.53
Positive
100DMA
23.85
Positive
200DMA
23.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.03
Negative
RSI
79.43
Negative
STOCH
92.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CURB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.01, above the 50-day MA of 24.53, and above the 200-day MA of 23.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.43 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CURB.

Curbline Properties Corp. Risk Analysis

Curbline Properties Corp. disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Curbline Properties Corp. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks

Curbline Properties Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.39B21.646.65%3.26%9.40%1433.20%
75
Outperform
$2.79B23.287.56%6.10%8.28%1.49%
74
Outperform
$1.95B24.217.79%6.77%8.17%9.96%
70
Outperform
$2.91B74.082.72%3.13%
69
Neutral
$2.25B249.150.50%4.61%19.92%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
62
Neutral
$2.73B215.580.57%3.83%8.85%27.38%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CURB
Curbline Properties Corp.
27.81
3.89
16.26%
GTY
Getty Realty
32.82
3.46
11.78%
AKR
Acadia Realty
20.92
-1.45
-6.49%
FCPT
Four Corners Property
25.52
-2.09
-7.58%
IVT
InvenTrust Properties
31.20
2.40
8.33%
NTST
NETSTREIT
20.77
6.55
46.06%

Curbline Properties Corp. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Curbline Properties Launches Forward Equity Offering to Fund Growth
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

On February 10, 2026, Curbline Properties Corp. and its operating partnership entered into an underwriting agreement with Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC and BofA Securities, Inc. for a forward equity offering of 8,000,000 common shares, with an additional 1,200,000-share option for the underwriters. The offering, conducted off the company’s automatic shelf registration statement, closed on February 12, 2026, under customary terms and did not itself represent any assurance about the company’s current condition.

In parallel on February 10, 2026, Curbline executed forward sale agreements with affiliates of the underwriters, and on February 12, 2026, those forward sellers borrowed and sold the 8,000,000 common shares into the market. The company expects to physically settle the forward sales within roughly 18 months of February 10, 2026, and intends to use any resulting net cash proceeds for general corporate purposes, including potential property acquisitions, debt repayment, working capital and capital expenditures, signaling a move to bolster its balance sheet and growth capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (CURB) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Curbline Properties Corp. stock, see the CURB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026