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Acadia Realty Trust (AKR)
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Acadia Realty (AKR) AI Stock Analysis

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AKR

Acadia Realty

(NYSE:AKR)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▲(10.47% Upside)
Acadia Realty's overall stock score is driven by a positive earnings call highlighting strong growth prospects and a solid balance sheet. However, financial performance is mixed with profitability concerns, and the stock appears overvalued based on its high P/E ratio. Technical indicators suggest stable but cautious momentum.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
Significant acquisitions of $373m, across several Street Retail corridors.
Financial Performance
Management reaffirmed FFO guidance at $1.355/sh, which indicates confidence in the company's financial performance.
Growth Outlook
AKR's growth is considered best-in-class, with internal and external growth positioning the company to grow earnings ahead of peers.
Negative Factors
Future Earnings
There is a reduction in the net promote assumption for 2026, down from $17.5m in 2025 to $6m, due to no expected monetization from Albertsons Company.
Occupancy Rates
Core portfolio leased occupancy fell 80 bps, affected by known bankruptcies, which challenges overall occupancy rates.
Rental Income
Blended cash lease spreads declined 5.6% compared to the previous quarter's performance, reflecting pressure on rental income growth.

Acadia Realty (AKR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Acadia Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAcadia Realty Trust is an equity real estate investment trust focused on delivering long-term, profitable growth via its dual – Core Portfolio and Fund – operating platforms and its disciplined, location-driven investment strategy. Acadia Realty Trust is accomplishing this goal by building a best-in-class core real estate portfolio with meaningful concentrations of assets in the nation's most dynamic corridors; making profitable opportunistic and value-add investments through its series of discretionary, institutional funds; and maintaining a strong balance sheet.
How the Company Makes MoneyAcadia Realty generates revenue primarily through rental income from its real estate holdings. The company leases space to a variety of tenants, including national retailers, which provides a stable cash flow. Additionally, AKR benefits from property management services and development projects that may lead to increased valuation of its properties. Strategic asset management and redevelopment initiatives further contribute to revenue by enhancing the attractiveness and profitability of its portfolio. Acadia Realty also engages in joint ventures and partnerships with other real estate firms, which can provide additional capital and opportunities for expansion, ultimately boosting its revenue potential.

Acadia Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.63%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presents a generally positive outlook with strong internal growth, successful acquisitions, and a solid balance sheet. The company demonstrates significant leasing momentum and positive performance in street retail, with expectations of continued growth. Although there are some concerns around tariffs and potential short-term dilution from the City Point loan conversion, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Internal Growth
The company is on track for a fourth year of delivering annual same-store growth in excess of 5%.
Successful Acquisitions
Completed nearly $160 million of acquisitions in the quarter, totaling $860 million over the last 12 months, including nearly $0.5 billion of street retail.
Solid Balance Sheet
Over $0.5 billion of liquidity and successful refinancing activities, providing flexibility for future growth.
Leasing Momentum
Reported comp sales increased double digits, both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, with leasing volume at 2x compared to the previous year.
Positive Street Retail Performance
Street retail performance is stronger than other retail formats, with a focus on high-growth streets and affluent consumers continuing to spend.
Investment Management Platform
Underwriting over $1 billion of assets, with a focus on street retail and leveraging institutional capital relationships.
Projected NOI Growth
Expected NOI growth in excess of 10% in 2026, with a strong pipeline of signed not yet open (SNO) leases.
Negative Updates
Tariff Concerns
Noise and uncertainty around tariffs could impact retailer profit margins, although retailers seem to be navigating these issues well.
Potential Short-term Dilution
City Point loan conversion by partners could lead to short-term dilution, though expected to be accretive upon stabilization.
Company Guidance
During Acadia Realty Trust's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance highlighting robust financial and operational metrics. CEO Ken Bernstein underscored the company's strong momentum, noting a fourth consecutive year of achieving same-store growth over 5%, with promising progress towards 2026 and 2027 goals. The company completed $160 million in acquisitions last quarter, contributing to a total of $860 million over the past year. The balance sheet remains solid, with $600 million in liquidity and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 5.5x. Acadia's pipeline includes $15 million of executed leases in the SNO pipeline, anticipated to drive future growth, with expectations of 5% to 6% same-store NOI growth this year and a potential 10% increase in NOI by 2026. The street retail segment, in particular, shows strong tenant demand and resilience, benefiting from favorable supply-demand dynamics and a focus on affluent consumers.

Acadia Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Acadia Realty demonstrates consistent revenue growth and strong gross profit margins. The balance sheet is robust with no debt and a strong equity position. However, challenges include declining EBITDA margins and reduced free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Acadia Realty's income statement shows a consistent revenue growth with a 6.2% increase in 2024 compared to 2023. Gross profit margin and net profit margin for 2024 are healthy at 68.8% and 6.0%, respectively, indicating strong operational efficiency. The EBIT margin improved to 18.3% in 2024 from 13.6% in 2023. However, the EBITDA margin declined significantly from 57.4% in 2023 to 18.8% in 2024, suggesting potential concerns in managing operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet of Acadia Realty is strong, with no total debt reported in 2024, a significant improvement from previous years. The equity ratio is robust, with 47.3% of total assets funded by stockholders' equity. Return on equity improved to 1.0% in 2024 from 1.2% in 2023, reflecting better profitability. This strong equity position and low leverage mitigate financial risk.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a slight decline in operating cash flow in 2024 compared to 2023. Free cash flow growth is negative due to lower operating cash flow, yet the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates efficient cash management despite reduced free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue386.06M359.69M338.69M326.29M292.50M255.48M
Gross Profit268.80M247.64M230.22M224.36M193.62M155.38M
EBITDA184.54M239.82M194.39M162.03M167.89M115.86M
Net Income-1.97M21.65M19.87M-65.25M23.55M-66.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.88B4.37B4.29B4.30B4.26B4.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.69M31.58M50.77M17.16M17.75M19.23M
Total Debt1.83B1.67B1.93B1.83B1.85B1.76B
Total Liabilities2.15B1.84B2.16B2.05B2.11B2.14B
Stockholders Equity2.27B2.07B1.64B1.69B1.52B1.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow214.54M140.45M155.76M74.17M59.40M96.16M
Operating Cash Flow173.13M140.45M155.76M133.21M104.98M102.56M
Investing Cash Flow-585.34M-170.66M-208.54M-124.17M-198.54M-96.21M
Financing Cash Flow424.96M44.62M45.85M-4.38M91.32M-1.26M

Acadia Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.01
Price Trends
50DMA
18.79
Positive
100DMA
19.11
Negative
200DMA
21.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
53.00
Neutral
STOCH
68.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AKR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.82, above the 50-day MA of 18.79, and below the 200-day MA of 21.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AKR.

Acadia Realty Risk Analysis

Acadia Realty disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Acadia Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Acadia Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.59B24.486.87%6.62%6.62%-3.87%
72
Outperform
$2.38B142.781.16%2.51%
72
Outperform
$2.65B23.587.73%5.54%6.28%1.21%
71
Outperform
$1.25B18.797.97%4.31%4.04%107.96%
71
Outperform
$2.19B19.706.67%3.29%8.63%1412.68%
68
Neutral
$2.53B113.900.95%4.10%7.09%2591.94%
64
Neutral
C$1.97B4.85-0.88%5.21%1.67%-56.01%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AKR
Acadia Realty
19.01
-1.83
-8.78%
GTY
Getty Realty
28.09
-0.58
-2.02%
WSR
Whitestone REIT
12.18
-0.69
-5.36%
FCPT
Four Corners Property
25.38
-0.41
-1.59%
IVT
InvenTrust Properties
28.18
0.80
2.92%
CURB
Curbline Properties Corp.
22.71
3.25
16.70%

Acadia Realty Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Acadia Realty Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting on May 8
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Acadia Realty held its annual meeting of shareholders, with a significant participation rate of 94.58% of common shares. During the meeting, several proposals were voted on, including the election of trustees and the ratification of Deloitte & Touche, LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The meeting’s outcomes are expected to influence the company’s governance and financial oversight.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025