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Credit Agricole (CRARY)
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Credit Agricole (CRARY) AI Stock Analysis

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CRARY

Credit Agricole

(OTC:CRARY)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:―
Credit Agricole's stock is robustly supported by strong financial performance in revenue growth and equity position, alongside an attractive valuation with low P/E and high dividend yield. Technical analysis indicates a positive trend, though caution is advised due to high stochastic levels. The earnings call provided a mixed view with record revenues but highlighted taxation and segmental challenges. Overall, the stock is appealing but requires monitoring of cash flow volatility and external financial impacts.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market position and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Strong Solvency Ratios
Improved solvency ratios reflect robust financial health, providing a buffer against economic downturns and supporting future growth.
Record Assets Under Management
Record AUM growth in asset management enhances revenue streams and demonstrates strong client trust and market leadership.
Negative Factors
Impact of Increased French Taxation
Increased taxation impacts net income, potentially reducing reinvestment capacity and affecting long-term profitability.
Slight Decline in Retail Banking Revenue
Declining retail banking revenue signals challenges in maintaining growth in key markets, affecting overall revenue diversification.
Challenges in Consumer Finance
Reduced loan production in consumer finance may limit growth in this segment, impacting future revenue and market competitiveness.

Credit Agricole (CRARY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Credit Agricole Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrédit Agricole S.A. provides retail, corporate, insurance, and investment banking products and services worldwide. It operates through Asset Gathering; Large Customers; Specialised Financial Services; French Retail Banking - LCL; and International Retail Banking. The company offers banking products and services, including savings and current accounts and deposits, finance, payments, and flow management services; consumer finance products; and banking and specialized financial services. It also provides wealth management services that allow individual customers to manage, protect, and transfer their assets, as well as other asset management services; and savings/retirement, death and disability/creditor/group, and property and casualty insurance products. In addition, the company offers financing solutions for property and equipment investment and renewal requirements; trade receivable financing and management solutions for corporates; and financing services for renewable energy and public infrastructure projects, as well as leasing services. Further, it provides investment banking, structured finance, international trade finance, commercial banking, capital market, and syndication services; and asset servicing solutions for investment products, as well as various asset classes, such as execution, clearing, forex, security lending and borrowing, custody, depositary bank, fund administration, middle-office outsourcing solutions, and fund distribution support and issuer services. The company serves retail customers, corporates, banks and financial institutions, government agencies, and local authorities. Crédit Agricole S.A. was founded in 1894 and is headquartered in Montrouge, France. Crédit Agricole S.A. operates as a subsidiary of SAS Rue La Boétie.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrédit Agricole makes money through a diverse revenue model primarily driven by its extensive banking operations. The company generates income from interest on loans and deposits, fees for banking services, and commissions from asset management and insurance products. Crédit Agricole also earns significant revenue from its investment banking activities, which include underwriting, trading, and advisory services for corporate and institutional clients. Additionally, its insurance arm contributes to earnings through premiums collected from a range of life and non-life insurance products. The group's strategic partnerships and joint ventures further bolster its financial performance by expanding its service offerings and client base, thus enhancing its revenue streams.

Credit Agricole Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with significant achievements in net income growth, strong revenue performance, and successful strategic transactions. However, challenges such as increased cost of risk and leasing production declines were noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Income
Crédit Agricole reported a record net income of EUR 2.4 billion this quarter, marking a 30.7% increase. Excluding the impact of Amundi US, net income rose by 14.1%.
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue grew to EUR 7 billion, up 3.1%, with the cost-to-income ratio at a competitive level of 53.9%. The ROTE ratio is at 16.6% for the half year.
Robust Customer Capture and Activity
Customer capture was strong at 493,000 this quarter, totaling over 1 million for the first half year. Notable growth in retail banking, insurance, and asset management.
High Solvency and Liquidity Reserves
Solvency is high with CASA at 11.9% and the group at 17.6%. Liquidity reserves are at EUR 471 billion.
Insurance and Asset Management Success
Insurance posted a record level of net inflows at EUR 4.2 billion, and asset management saw net inflows of EUR 20 billion, bringing total AUM to a record EUR 2,266 billion.
Strategic Transactions and Acquisitions
Several successful integrations and acquisitions, such as the European asset servicing of RBC and Degroof Petercam, contributing positively to income and synergies.
Negative Updates
Cost of Risk Increase
Cost of risk increased by 4.2% with Stage 3 proven risk slightly up, affecting Personal Finance, Mobility, and some large corporates.
Decreased Production in Leasing
Leasing production was down this quarter, mainly in France, though buoyant internationally.
Impact of Banco BPM on P&L
The planned equity accounting of Banco BPM is expected to have a negative P&L impact of around EUR 200 million.
Net Interest Income Pressure
Net interest income faces pressure due to deposit shift and a less favorable macro hedging contribution.
Company Guidance
During the Crédit Agricole Second Quarter and First Half 2025 Results Conference Call, Clotilde L'Angevin, Deputy General Manager of Crédit Agricole S.A., reported a record net income of EUR 2.4 billion, reflecting a 30.7% increase, driven partly by a capital gain from the deconsolidation of Amundi US. Even without this impact, net income grew by 14.1%. The bank's revenue reached EUR 7 billion, up 3.1%, with a cost-to-income ratio at 53.9%. The ROTE was reported at 16.6%, and solvency ratios were strong, with CASA at 11.9% and the group at 17.6%. Customer capture was robust, totaling over 1 million for the first half of the year. Loan production was dynamic in France and Italy, with substantial growth in home and corporate loans. The insurance sector recorded net inflows of EUR 4.2 billion this quarter, alongside high premium income. Asset management saw net inflows of EUR 20 billion, elevating total AUM to EUR 2,266 billion. The call highlighted ongoing integration processes and strategic transactions, including various acquisitions and partnerships aimed at enhancing the bank's business lines. Looking forward, Crédit Agricole plans to discuss its medium-term outlook during its Capital Markets Day on November 18th.

Credit Agricole Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Credit Agricole demonstrates strong revenue growth and a robust equity position, supporting its financial stability. However, the volatility in cash flows and lack of EBIT data in the latest period pose challenges for a full financial assessment. The company's strategic focus appears to be on maintaining a strong capital base, potentially at the expense of leveraging opportunities.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Credit Agricole's revenue has shown consistent growth over the years, with a notable increase from €18.06 billion in 2020 to €25.33 billion in 2024. The net profit margin has strengthened, reflecting improved profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA data for the latest year are missing, limiting a comprehensive analysis of operating efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with a high equity ratio consistently above 3%, signaling solid financial health. The absence of total debt in the latest year further strengthens its balance sheet stability, reducing leverage risks. However, this atypical structure for a bank may indicate potential underutilization of financial leverage.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Credit Agricole's cash flow has experienced volatility, with operating cash flow swinging from positive to negative figures in recent years. The free cash flow has been negative in 2023 and 2024, which could be a concern if sustained. However, the bank has managed to maintain a positive cash flow trajectory in previous years, suggesting potential for recovery.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.26B25.33B33.64B31.94B21.03B18.06B
Gross Profit-4.21B25.33B23.45B20.65B21.03B18.06B
EBITDA7.62B0.000.008.97B9.25B0.00
Net Income7.01B7.09B6.35B5.31B5.84B2.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.29T2.31T2.19T2.17T2.07T1.96T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments164.30B829.24B759.17B654.92B640.85B561.87B
Total Debt317.90B315.58B185.72B143.88B161.82B171.81B
Total Liabilities2.20T2.23T2.11T237.73B2.00T1.89T
Stockholders Equity77.40B141.94B135.11B128.20B68.22B65.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.51B-16.98B-37.40B-495.00M10.05B56.54B
Operating Cash Flow17.96B-15.91B-36.51B594.00M10.93B57.29B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.78B9.85B-5.06B-838.00M-3.23B
Financing Cash Flow0.009.45B16.55B1.57B-1.70B7.68B

Credit Agricole Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.67
Price Trends
50DMA
9.48
Positive
100DMA
9.36
Positive
200DMA
8.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
56.08
Neutral
STOCH
99.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRARY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.49, above the 50-day MA of 9.48, and above the 200-day MA of 8.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CRARY.

Credit Agricole Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$58.64B7.5510.47%6.53%-3.47%15.46%
79
Outperform
$79.84B13.7911.19%3.22%3.60%22.68%
77
Outperform
$76.56B11.7811.64%4.07%1.10%32.55%
73
Outperform
$71.33B9.9820.49%6.72%5.44%2.81%
71
Outperform
$66.01B12.9210.06%3.75%0.76%-5.74%
68
Neutral
$18.10B11.529.93%3.73%9.70%1.14%
65
Neutral
$82.17B14.208.69%2.37%-2.22%24.37%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRARY
Credit Agricole
9.67
2.08
27.40%
ITUB
Itau Unibanco
6.97
1.38
24.69%
LYG
Lloyds Banking
4.52
1.61
55.33%
MFG
Mizuho Financial
6.63
2.58
63.70%
PNC
PNC Financial
202.75
31.70
18.53%
USB
US Bancorp
49.13
6.45
15.11%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2025