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Credit Agricole SA (CRARY)
:CRARY

Credit Agricole (CRARY) AI Stock Analysis

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CRARY

Credit Agricole

(OTC:CRARY)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$11.00
â–²(15.30% Upside)
Credit Agricole's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of its score. The positive earnings call further supports the stock's outlook, despite some operational challenges. Technical indicators suggest stable momentum, contributing to the overall positive assessment.
Positive Factors
Strong Net Income Growth
The significant increase in net income indicates robust profitability and effective cost management, enhancing long-term financial stability.
High Liquidity and Solvency
High liquidity and strong solvency ratios ensure financial resilience, enabling the bank to withstand economic fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities.
Increase in Customer Base
A growing customer base expands revenue potential and market share, reinforcing the bank's competitive position in the retail banking sector.
Negative Factors
Increased Cost of Risk
Rising cost of risk can erode profitability and indicate potential asset quality issues, posing a challenge to maintaining stable earnings.
Challenges in Consumer Credit
Weakness in consumer credit can limit revenue growth and signal broader economic challenges, impacting the bank's retail segment performance.
Impact of Restructuring Costs
High restructuring costs can strain short-term financials, though expected savings may offset this in the long term, affecting near-term profitability.

Credit Agricole (CRARY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Credit Agricole Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrédit Agricole S.A. provides retail, corporate, insurance, and investment banking products and services worldwide. It operates through Asset Gathering; Large Customers; Specialised Financial Services; French Retail Banking - LCL; and International Retail Banking. The company offers banking products and services, including savings and current accounts and deposits, finance, payments, and flow management services; consumer finance products; and banking and specialized financial services. It also provides wealth management services that allow individual customers to manage, protect, and transfer their assets, as well as other asset management services; and savings/retirement, death and disability/creditor/group, and property and casualty insurance products. In addition, the company offers financing solutions for property and equipment investment and renewal requirements; trade receivable financing and management solutions for corporates; and financing services for renewable energy and public infrastructure projects, as well as leasing services. Further, it provides investment banking, structured finance, international trade finance, commercial banking, capital market, and syndication services; and asset servicing solutions for investment products, as well as various asset classes, such as execution, clearing, forex, security lending and borrowing, custody, depositary bank, fund administration, middle-office outsourcing solutions, and fund distribution support and issuer services. The company serves retail customers, corporates, banks and financial institutions, government agencies, and local authorities. Crédit Agricole S.A. was founded in 1894 and is headquartered in Montrouge, France. Crédit Agricole S.A. operates as a subsidiary of SAS Rue La Boétie.
How the Company Makes MoneyCredit Agricole generates revenue through several key streams: interest income from loans provided to individuals and businesses, fees for financial services such as account management and transaction processing, and commissions from investment products and insurance. The bank also earns revenue through its asset management division, which generates fees based on the funds it manages. Additionally, strategic partnerships with various financial and non-financial institutions enhance its service offerings and broaden its customer base, contributing to overall earnings.

Credit Agricole Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial growth and operational performance across various segments, supported by increased net income, customer base, and asset management success. However, challenges such as increased cost of risk, consumer credit struggles, and restructuring costs were noted. The anticipated negative P&L impact from Banco BPM accounting also presents a concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Income Growth
Credit Agricole reported a net income of EUR 1.8 billion in Q3 2025, marking an increase of 10.2%. Excluding the impact from the acquisition of Santander's stake in CACEIS, net income still grew by 3.3%.
Increase in Customer Base
The bank gained 522,000 new customers in Q3, bringing the total to over 1.5 million new customers in the first nine months of 2025.
High Liquidity and Solvency
Liquidity reserves are high at EUR 488 billion, and solvency is strong with a CET1 ratio of 11.7% at CASA level and 17.6% at the group level.
Robust Performance Across Business Lines
Revenue growth of 5.6% was supported by strong performances in asset management, insurance, retail banking, and corporate banking.
Significant Asset Management Growth
Assets under management reached EUR 2,317 billion due to strong inflows and positive market conditions.
Negative Updates
Increased Cost of Risk
The cost of risk increased this quarter, with some pressure from the SFS segment and a slight deterioration in international subsidies.
Challenges in Consumer Credit
Consumer credit earnings faced challenges, with leases showing signs of weakness and declining remarketing activities.
Impact of Restructuring Costs
EUR 80 million in restructuring costs at Amundi impacted financials, although expected annual savings of EUR 40 million from 2026 were noted.
Potential Negative Impact from Banco BPM Accounting
The transition to equity accounting for Banco BPM is expected to result in a significant negative P&L impact in Q4, albeit without cash or solvency effects.
Company Guidance
During the Credit Agricole Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, Deputy General Manager Clotilde L'Angevin highlighted strong financial performance metrics, including a 10.2% increase in quarterly net income, reaching EUR 1.8 billion. Excluding the impact of acquiring Santander's stake in CACEIS, net income rose by 3.3%. Revenue increased by 5.6%, while costs remained controlled with a cost-to-income ratio of 54.6% over nine months. The group reported a robust ROTE of 15.4% and a high solvency ratio at 11.7% for CASA and 17.6% at the group level. Credit Agricole's net income for the group climbed 11.4% to EUR 2.3 billion this quarter, totaling EUR 7.1 billion for the first nine months, marking a 9.7% increase. The liquidity reserves were substantial at EUR 488 billion, underscoring a strong capital position. The call also covered strategic investments in IT and sustainability, with a focus on expanding partnerships and market presence, particularly in Italy.

Credit Agricole Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Credit Agricole demonstrates strong revenue growth and a robust equity position, supporting its financial stability. However, the volatility in cash flows and lack of EBIT data in the latest period pose challenges for a full financial assessment. The company's strategic focus appears to be on maintaining a strong capital base, potentially at the expense of leveraging opportunities.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Credit Agricole's revenue has shown consistent growth over the years, with a notable increase from €18.06 billion in 2020 to €25.33 billion in 2024. The net profit margin has strengthened, reflecting improved profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA data for the latest year are missing, limiting a comprehensive analysis of operating efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with a high equity ratio consistently above 3%, signaling solid financial health. The absence of total debt in the latest year further strengthens its balance sheet stability, reducing leverage risks. However, this atypical structure for a bank may indicate potential underutilization of financial leverage.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Credit Agricole's cash flow has experienced volatility, with operating cash flow swinging from positive to negative figures in recent years. The free cash flow has been negative in 2023 and 2024, which could be a concern if sustained. However, the bank has managed to maintain a positive cash flow trajectory in previous years, suggesting potential for recovery.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.71B74.47B68.33B37.61B33.07B29.73B
Gross Profit3.71B25.33B23.45B20.65B21.40B18.02B
EBITDA11.29B11.87B10.70B8.97B9.25B5.73B
Net Income7.57B7.09B6.35B5.31B5.84B2.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.31T2.31T2.19T2.14T2.07T1.96T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments584.68B829.24B598.93B654.92B640.85B561.87B
Total Debt313.40B315.58B280.25B239.90B161.82B188.36B
Total Liabilities2.23T2.23T2.11T2.06T2.00T1.89T
Stockholders Equity75.53B74.71B71.09B66.52B68.22B65.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-16.98B-37.40B-495.00M10.05B56.54B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-15.91B-36.51B594.00M10.93B57.29B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.78B9.85B-5.06B-838.00M-3.23B
Financing Cash Flow0.009.45B16.55B1.57B-1.70B7.68B

Credit Agricole Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.54
Price Trends
50DMA
9.54
Positive
100DMA
9.58
Positive
200DMA
9.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
70.28
Negative
STOCH
99.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRARY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.78, above the 50-day MA of 9.54, and above the 200-day MA of 9.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.28 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CRARY.

Credit Agricole Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$61.70B8.0710.47%6.42%-3.47%15.46%
76
Outperform
$83.54B12.3011.69%3.77%2.91%33.77%
71
Outperform
$75.44B17.137.85%3.29%-20.94%-18.71%
71
Outperform
$82.47B13.5711.31%3.14%1.79%30.93%
69
Neutral
$72.02B9.7119.90%9.77%11.82%3.41%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$90.22B13.309.14%2.37%-2.84%25.48%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRARY
Credit Agricole
10.23
3.71
56.90%
ITUB
Itau Unibanco
7.11
3.06
75.56%
LYG
Lloyds Banking
5.18
2.62
102.34%
MFG
Mizuho Financial
7.26
2.39
49.08%
PNC
PNC Financial
209.50
26.25
14.32%
USB
US Bancorp
53.87
8.50
18.73%

Credit Agricole Corporate Events

Crédit Agricole SA Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Crédit Agricole SA, a prominent player in the banking sector, offers a wide range of financial services including retail banking, corporate and investment banking, and asset management. Known for its cooperative banking model, it operates extensively across Europe and has a strong focus on supporting the energy transition.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 01, 2025