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Central Pacific Financial Corp (CPF)
NYSE:CPF

Central Pacific Financial (CPF) AI Stock Analysis

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CPF

Central Pacific Financial

(NYSE:CPF)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
â–²(9.16% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitability, low leverage, and robust cash generation) and a supportive earnings outlook with capital returns. Valuation is reasonable with a solid dividend yield, while technicals appear neutral with only modest positive momentum.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability and margins
Sustained high net and EBIT margins indicate durable earnings power and pricing discipline. Elevated margins provide a buffer against credit losses and higher funding costs, supporting consistent earnings, reinvestment capacity, and shareholder returns over multiple quarters.
Robust cash generation
Very strong cash conversion and positive free cash flow growth underpin financial flexibility. Reliable cash generation funds organic growth, dividend increases and buybacks while reducing reliance on external funding, strengthening resilience across economic cycles.
Conservative capital and low leverage
Very low leverage and healthy regulatory capital ratios provide a durable cushion for losses and growth funding. Strong capital supports continued dividend policy and repurchases, and gives the bank flexibility to pursue disciplined loan growth without jeopardizing solvency metrics.
Negative Factors
Significant loan runoff and shrinking balances
Material loan runoff reduces interest-earning assets and pressures future net interest income if not replaced. Persistent contraction can erode core revenue, force more aggressive deployment into riskier loans to rebuild yields, and slow durable loan-driven growth.
High regional concentration (Hawaii) and local headwinds
Heavy geographic concentration ties credit and deposit trends to Hawaii's cyclical tourism and labor dynamics. Local downturns or slower tourism growth can persistently limit loan demand, increase credit volatility, and constrain deposit growth versus more diversified peers.
Small, volatile construction portfolio
A thin construction book creates balance‑sheet volatility as large payoffs or delayed draws swing loan growth. Building scale takes time and capital; until critical mass is achieved, the portfolio will remain a noisy, less reliable driver of stable long‑term loan growth.

Central Pacific Financial (CPF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Central Pacific Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentral Pacific Financial Corp. operates as the holding company for Central Pacific Bank that provides commercial banking products and services to businesses, professionals, and individuals in the United States. It offers various deposit products and services, including personal and business checking and savings accounts, money market accounts, and time certificates of deposit. The company's lending activities comprise commercial loans, financial and agricultural loans, commercial and residential mortgages, and construction loans to small and medium-sized companies, business professionals, and real estate investors and developers, as well as home equity, and consumer loans to local homebuyers and individuals. It also provides debit cards, internet and mobile banking, cash management, full-service ATMs, digital banking services, traveler's checks, safe deposit boxes, international banking services, night depository facilities, foreign exchange and wire transfers, trust services, and retail brokerage services. In addition, the company offers wealth management products and services, including non-deposit investment products, annuities, insurance, investment management, asset custody, and general consultation and planning services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 30 branches and 69 automated teller machines in the state of Hawaii. The company was incorporated in 1954 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentral Pacific Financial generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments, as well as non-interest income from service fees and other banking services. The key revenue streams include interest earned on personal loans, commercial loans, and mortgages, which are offset by interest expenses related to deposits and borrowings. Additionally, CPF earns non-interest income from fees on checking and savings accounts, transaction services, and wealth management services. The company's profitability is supported by its strong focus on the local market, strategic partnerships with various businesses in Hawaii, and a commitment to providing tailored financial solutions that meet the needs of its community.

Central Pacific Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a positive operating and capital story: strong Q4 and full-year profitability, margin expansion, improved core earnings and shareholder returns, disciplined expense management, robust capital ratios, and active capital deployment (dividend increase and buyback). Offsetting this were near-term headwinds to loan growth from sizable loan runoff, delayed fundings (with some expected to push into Q2 2026), contraction in consumer/residential portfolios, and cautious guidance for low single-digit loan/deposit growth. Overall the company presents solid execution and momentum but with prudent, conservative guidance reflecting macro and portfolio timing risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly and Annual Profitability
Q4 net income of $22.9M (85¢ per diluted share) versus $18.6M (69¢) in prior quarter, a ~23.1% quarter-over-quarter increase; full-year 2025 net income of $77.5M ($2.86 per diluted share).
Meaningful Year-over-Year Core Earnings Improvement
Adjusted non-GAAP net income of $78.6M for 2025, representing a 24% increase over 2024 non-GAAP net income of $63.4M; core earnings per share increased 24% year-over-year.
Margin Expansion and Interest Income Guidance
Net interest income in Q4 was $62.1M, up 1.3% sequentially; net interest margin expanded 7 basis points to 3.56%. Company guides to ~4–6% increase in full-year 2026 net interest income and first-quarter NIM expansion of ~2–5 basis points.
Deposit and Funding Highlights
Total core deposits grew by $78M in the quarter, noninterest-bearing deposits remain sizable at 29% of total deposits, and the average rate paid on total deposits declined to 94 bps from 102 bps (down 8 bps); deposit spot rate at 12/31 was 89 bps.
Capital Return and Shareholder Metrics
Repurchased 788,000 shares for $23.3M in Q4; board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.29 (up 3.6% sequentially) and approved a new $55M share repurchase authorization for 2026. Total shareholder return over the past three years was 77%.
Solid Capital and Credit Position
Total risk-based capital ratio of 14.8% at quarter-end, CET1 target of 11–12%; credit metrics remained healthy with low nonperforming assets, stable provisioning, and conservative underwriting emphasis.
Other Operating Income and Expense Discipline
Total other operating income rose to $14.2M (up $0.7M sequentially) driven by BOLI income (recognized $1.4M death benefit); operating expenses declined $1.3M sequentially (prior quarter included one-time consolidation costs); continued focus on expense discipline and technology investments.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Loan Balances
Total loan portfolio declined $78M sequentially in Q4 and declined $44M for full-year 2025; Q4 included approximately $250M of loan runoff and several large construction and commercial mortgage payoffs.
Residential, Home Equity and Consumer Contraction
Aggregate decline of $190M in residential mortgage, home equity, and consumer portfolios for the full year, partially offset by commercial mortgage and construction growth.
Delayed Loan Fundings and Funding Timing Risk
Several new loan fundings were delayed into 2026 (weighted more to Q2), including construction projects requiring higher reserves, which produced near-term headwinds to loan growth and may pressure provisioning/timing.
Modest Credit Costs and Asset Quality Items
Net charge-offs were $2.5M (18 bps annualized on average loans); nonperforming assets were $14.4M (19 bps of total assets); provision expense for the quarter was $2.4M—stable but notable as runoff and portfolio shifts continue.
Growth and Margin Guidance Cautious
Management is conservatively guiding to low single-digit net loan and deposit growth for 2026 and expects NIM expansion to continue but at a slower pace than 2025, reflecting cautious macro and competitive dynamics.
Local Macro Headwinds
Hawaii economy showing resilience but facing lower visitor counts and softer job growth, which presents a backdrop of macro uncertainty that could limit near-term loan and deposit growth.
Need to Scale Targeted Portfolios
Construction portfolio is relatively small, making payoffs and drawdowns more impactful; management highlighted the need to build critical mass in construction to offset paydowns with new draws.
Company Guidance
Management guided conservatively for 2026 to low single‑digit net loan and deposit growth, about a 4–6% increase in full‑year net interest income with NIM expected to expand (Q1 NIM +2–5 bps), and cycle‑to‑date deposit beta roughly 25–30% (deposit spot rate 12/31 = 89 bps; average deposit cost down to 94 bps from 102 bps); they expect total other operating income to grow ~1–2% in 2026, will prioritize capital for organic loan growth, dividends and buybacks while targeting CET1 of 11–12% (total risk‑based capital 14.8%), approved up to $55M in repurchases after buying 788,000 shares for $23.3M and declared a Q1 dividend of $0.29/share (+3.6% q/q).

Central Pacific Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: high profitability (TTM net margin 20.92%, EBIT margin 32.39%) and very strong TTM revenue growth (81.1%). Balance sheet leverage is conservative (debt-to-equity 0.045) with healthy ROE (11.71%), and cash generation is strong (operating cash flow to net income 3.93; free cash flow growth 6.23%). Offsets include a declining gross margin and a noted decline in stockholders’ equity over time.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Central Pacific Financial shows strong profitability with a TTM net profit margin of 20.92% and an EBIT margin of 32.39%. The revenue growth rate of 81.1% in the TTM period indicates significant expansion. However, the gross profit margin has decreased compared to previous years, suggesting increased cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.045 in the TTM period, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 11.71%, reflecting efficient use of equity. The equity ratio stands at 7.92%, showing a stable capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity over time could be a concern if it continues.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.93, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is positive at 6.23%, supporting future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.98 suggests efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue349.28M340.48M319.63M277.04M259.86M257.62M
Gross Profit256.58M236.47M231.71M261.50M267.00M200.77M
EBITDA92.83M77.15M84.47M106.93M116.10M61.42M
Net Income65.95M53.41M58.67M73.93M79.89M37.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.42B7.47B7.64B7.43B7.42B6.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments861.54M924.80M1.17B783.84M1.96B1.29B
Total Debt26.29M188.37M186.74M146.75M146.35M174.58M
Total Liabilities6.83B6.93B7.14B6.98B6.86B6.05B
Stockholders Equity588.07M538.38M503.81M452.87M558.22M546.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow97.98M75.43M92.46M95.68M88.33M50.80M
Operating Cash Flow103.25M90.52M105.11M114.12M110.49M76.79M
Investing Cash Flow-53.65M654.00K179.66M-384.48M-662.30M-596.95M
Financing Cash Flow-66.28M-232.67M125.62M53.50M776.65M521.25M

Central Pacific Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.98
Price Trends
50DMA
31.44
Positive
100DMA
30.42
Positive
200DMA
28.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
59.87
Neutral
STOCH
39.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.85, above the 50-day MA of 31.44, and above the 200-day MA of 28.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CPF.

Central Pacific Financial Risk Analysis

Central Pacific Financial disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Central Pacific Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Central Pacific Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$873.77M11.3911.65%3.39%1.22%15.97%
79
Outperform
$1.16B11.3913.88%1.70%4.33%-2.20%
79
Outperform
$848.03M11.0613.78%3.21%3.86%12.33%
76
Outperform
$876.42M13.176.43%3.91%8.27%54.96%
71
Outperform
$953.59M13.998.80%0.38%6.48%8.78%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
57
Neutral
$902.45M-5.70-26.60%3.50%-78.64%-913.67%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPF
Central Pacific Financial
32.98
3.94
13.58%
HFWA
Heritage Financial
26.45
2.01
8.23%
HBNC
Horizon Bancorp
17.96
1.69
10.40%
MCB
Metropolitan Bank Holding
94.62
30.59
47.78%
AMAL
Amalgamated Bank
40.19
6.64
19.81%
HBT
HBT Financial
27.92
3.67
15.13%

Central Pacific Financial Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Central Pacific Financial posts strong Q4 and 2025 results
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Central Pacific Financial reported strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, with quarterly net income rising to $22.9 million, or $0.85 per diluted share, and full-year net income climbing to $77.5 million, or $2.86 per diluted share, compared with 2024. Key profitability metrics improved, including a fourth-quarter ROA of 1.25%, ROE of 15.41% and an efficiency ratio of 59.88%, supported by higher net interest income, a wider net interest margin of 3.56%, lower deposit costs and contained operating expenses. The bank maintained a stable balance sheet, with total assets at $7.41 billion, modest loan contraction offset by growth in core deposits, and solid asset quality characterized by low nonperforming assets and reduced net charge-offs, while preserving a robust capital position with strong regulatory capital ratios. Shareholder returns remained a priority as the company repurchased $16.3 million of stock in the quarter (and $23.3 million for the year), increased its quarterly dividend by 3.6% to $0.29 per share, and secured board approval for a new $55 million share repurchase program for 2026, signaling confidence in its earnings power and capital strength.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPF) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Pacific Financial stock, see the CPF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Central Pacific Financial Unveils Strategic Plans for Growth
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

Central Pacific Financial Corp. announced its intention to present a slide presentation in various meetings during December 2025, which contains forward-looking statements about the company’s financial projections and strategic plans. The company emphasizes its strategic focus on sustainable growth, brand strengthening, and disciplined asset deployment, while highlighting its operational excellence through process automation and cost optimization initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPF) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Pacific Financial stock, see the CPF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Paul K. Yonamine Resigns from Central Pacific Financial
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Paul K. Yonamine announced his resignation from the boards of Central Pacific Financial Corp. and its subsidiary, Central Pacific Bank, effective immediately. His departure, after serving since 2017, is due to personal reasons and not related to any disagreements with the company or bank, suggesting a stable leadership transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPF) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Pacific Financial stock, see the CPF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Central Pacific Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

Central Pacific Financial Corp. reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a net income of $18.6 million, reflecting growth in loans and deposits. The company announced plans to redeem subordinated notes and increase its quarterly cash dividend, highlighting its solid earnings and capital position. Additionally, the partnership with Kyoto Shinkin Bank aims to strengthen business ties between Hawaii and Japan, demonstrating the company’s commitment to expanding its international presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPF) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Pacific Financial stock, see the CPF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026