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Business First Bancshares Inc (BFST)
NASDAQ:BFST

Business First Bancshares (BFST) AI Stock Analysis

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BFST

Business First Bancshares

(NASDAQ:BFST)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
â–²(8.54% Upside)
Business First Bancshares shows strong technical momentum and a solid valuation, supported by a positive earnings call sentiment. Financial performance is robust, though challenged by declining revenue and low operating cash flow coverage. The stock's attractive P/E ratio and dividend yield further enhance its investment appeal.
Positive Factors
Operational Excellence
The successful conversion of banking systems demonstrates strong operational capabilities, enhancing efficiency and scalability, which supports long-term growth and competitiveness.
Dividend Growth
Consistent dividend increases reflect financial stability and management's commitment to returning value to shareholders, indicating confidence in sustained profitability.
Cash Flow Growth
Robust cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt reduction, supporting long-term business resilience.
Negative Factors
Decline in Total Loans
A decline in total loans can signal reduced lending activity, potentially impacting future interest income and growth prospects.
Revenue Decline
A decrease in revenue suggests challenges in maintaining market share or pricing power, which could affect long-term profitability and growth.
Low Operating Cash Flow Coverage
Low operating cash flow coverage indicates potential liquidity constraints, which may limit the company's ability to invest in growth or weather economic downturns.

Business First Bancshares (BFST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Business First Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBusiness First Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for b1BANK that provides various banking products and services. It offers various deposit products and services, including checking, demand, money market, time, and savings accounts; and certificates of deposits, remote deposit capture, and direct deposit services. The company also provides commercial and industrial loans, such as commercial lines of credit, letters of credit, working capital, term, equipment financing, asset acquisition, expansion and development, borrowing base, and other loan products; construction and development loans; commercial real estate loans; residential real estate loans comprising first and second lien 1-4 family mortgage loans, and home equity lines of credit; and consumer loans, including secured and unsecured installment and term loans. In addition, it offers wealth management products, including mutual funds, annuities, individual retirement accounts, and other financial products, as well as other fiduciary services and private banking products and services. Further, the company provides a range of other financial services comprising debit and credit cards, treasury and cash management, merchant, automated clearing house, lock-box, receivables factoring, correspondent banking, and other treasury services, as well as employee and payroll benefits solutions; and drive-through banking facilities, automated teller machines, night depository, personalized checks, electronic funds transfer, domestic and foreign wire transfer, traveler's checks, vault, loan and deposit sweep accounts, online and mobile banking, e-statements, and bank-by-mail services. As of March 01, 2022, it operates approximately 48 full-service banking centers and three loan production offices across Louisiana, and in the Dallas and Houston markets. Business First Bancshares, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyBusiness First Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investment securities. The bank extends various types of loans, including commercial real estate, consumer loans, and small business loans, which yield interest payments. Additionally, BFST earns non-interest income through service fees, transaction fees, and wealth management services. The company also benefits from deposit accounts, which provide liquidity and allow it to fund loans while managing its interest margin. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance its market presence and customer acquisition, further contributing to its revenue streams.

Business First Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with several achievements such as improved earnings, operational successes, and increased dividends. However, there were some challenges such as a decline in total loans and potential delays in SBA loan sales due to the government shutdown. Overall, the highlights slightly outweigh the lowlights, suggesting a positive sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Incremental Quality Earnings Improvement
The company showed incremental quality earnings improvement driven by strong expense control, with three quarters of essentially flat core noninterest expenses.
Operational Excellence
Successfully converted the entire core bank and Oakwood Bank to a new processor, indicating strong operational capabilities.
Growth in Correspondent Banking Unit
The correspondent banking unit is expected to generate over $17 million in revenue this year, contributing roughly $5 million towards net income.
Increased Dividend
Announced an increase in the quarterly common stock dividend by $0.01, marking the ninth consecutive year of dividend increases.
Reduced FHLB Borrowings
FHLB borrowings decreased by $125.5 million from the prior quarter, reflecting deliberate decision to reduce excess borrowings.
Positive Loan Yield and Deposit Growth
Core loan yields excluding loan discount accretion was 6.94%, and net growth in noninterest-bearing deposits since March 31, 2025, was $58.2 million, representing approximately 9% annualized growth.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Loans Held for Investment
Total loans held for investment declined by $26.6 million or 1.7% annualized on a linked-quarter basis.
Impact of Government Shutdown on SBA Loan Sales
Potential delays in SBA loan sales due to government shutdown, which may postpone revenue into the first quarter of 2026.
Decreased Noninterest-Bearing Deposits
Net decrease in noninterest-bearing deposits of $44.15 million from the prior quarter due to a large temporary deposit outflow.
Slight Decline in Core Net Interest Margin
Non-GAAP core net interest margin declined by 1 basis point from 3.64% to 3.63% for the quarter ended September 30.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Business First Bancshares reported a GAAP net income of $21.5 million, translating to $0.73 per share, with core net income slightly reduced to $21.2 million and $0.72 per share when excluding specific non-core items such as $1.6 million merger and core conversion-related expenses, and a $2 million employee retention tax credit. The company achieved a core return on average assets (ROAA) of 1.06% and a core efficiency ratio of 60.45%. Total loans decreased by $26.6 million due to elevated paydowns of $479 million against new loan production of $452 million. Deposits increased by $87.2 million, despite a $44.15 million decrease in noninterest-bearing deposits. The net interest margin remained stable at 3.68%, with loan yields witnessing a 5 basis point increase to 6.94%. Business First Bancshares successfully converted Oakwood Bank's systems and is on track to close the Progressive Bank transaction by early 2026. The company anticipates further efficiency gains and capital leverage, projecting a 1.2% core ROAA by the end of the fourth quarter of 2026.

Business First Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Business First Bancshares demonstrates solid profitability and cash flow management, with strong net profit and cash flow growth. However, declining revenue and low operating cash flow coverage pose challenges. The balance sheet is stable, but further equity growth could enhance financial resilience.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The income statement shows a strong net profit margin of 17.26% for TTM, indicating profitability. However, revenue has decreased by 3.58% in the TTM period, which is a concern. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, suggesting efficient operations despite the revenue decline.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is 9.78%, showing decent profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly provided, but overall, the balance sheet suggests stability with some room for improvement in equity growth.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth of 16.07% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.98, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, which could be a potential risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue509.73M457.75M385.62M264.08M203.11M168.78M
Gross Profit299.45M259.50M242.94M216.65M178.51M135.24M
EBITDA109.86M88.31M95.26M73.41M68.72M39.95M
Net Income81.99M65.11M71.04M54.26M52.14M29.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.95B7.86B6.58B5.99B4.73B4.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments446.80M347.76M1.11B1.04B1.09B789.74M
Total Debt494.89M483.26M635.07M560.12M187.59M105.99M
Total Liabilities7.08B7.06B5.94B5.41B4.29B3.75B
Stockholders Equity878.44M799.47M644.26M580.48M433.37M409.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow90.98M59.84M80.78M61.80M52.47M26.37M
Operating Cash Flow92.49M61.40M92.43M69.58M56.44M29.34M
Investing Cash Flow-39.76M-294.91M-521.14M-700.52M-675.35M-475.30M
Financing Cash Flow133.15M326.50M502.08M715.31M538.15M505.72M

Business First Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.64
Price Trends
50DMA
25.28
Positive
100DMA
24.62
Positive
200DMA
24.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.78
Negative
RSI
65.29
Neutral
STOCH
77.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BFST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.96, above the 50-day MA of 25.28, and above the 200-day MA of 24.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BFST.

Business First Bancshares Risk Analysis

Business First Bancshares disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Business First Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Business First Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$790.38M13.7313.95%2.16%22.24%18.63%
79
Outperform
$746.31M13.297.31%2.53%12.09%-15.97%
78
Outperform
$797.76M14.448.35%3.42%5.75%20.52%
76
Outperform
$778.88M12.3610.88%1.10%0.21%14.54%
76
Outperform
$818.57M10.6810.39%2.06%17.99%11.08%
68
Neutral
$720.03M10.7011.18%2.48%0.67%17.88%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BFST
Business First Bancshares
27.64
2.40
9.51%
GSBC
Great Southern Bancorp
64.35
6.06
10.40%
MPB
Mid Penn Bancorp
32.38
3.86
13.53%
TRST
TrustCo Bank
43.30
11.06
34.31%
HTB
Hometrust Bancshares
44.65
11.05
32.89%
FSBC
Five Star
36.99
7.03
23.46%

Business First Bancshares Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Business First Bancshares Q3 2025 Financial Results Announced
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Business First Bancshares announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a net income of $21.5 million, an increase from the previous quarter. The company also declared dividends for both preferred and common shareholders, reflecting its strong financial performance and operational execution, including the successful conversion of Oakwood Bank systems. The board approved a $0.01 increase in the quarterly common dividend, and the company saw growth in deposits and securities, despite a decrease in loans held for investment. The company’s credit quality metrics stabilized, and shareholders’ equity increased, driven by earnings and positive fair value adjustments in the securities portfolio.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025