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Business First Bancshares (BFST)
:BFST

Business First Bancshares (BFST) AI Stock Analysis

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Business First Bancshares

(NASDAQ:BFST)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
â–²(10.06%Upside)
Business First Bancshares shows strong financial health and strategic growth potential, particularly through its recent acquisition. While technical indicators and earnings call sentiment are positive, potential risks in credit quality and deposit contraction require attention. Overall, the stock is positioned favorably within its industry.

Business First Bancshares (BFST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Business First Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBusiness First Bancshares, Inc. (BFST) is a financial holding company headquartered in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. It operates through its wholly-owned subsidiary, b1BANK, which provides a range of financial services primarily to small- and medium-sized businesses, professionals, and individuals across Louisiana and Texas. The bank offers various products and services, including commercial and personal banking services, treasury management, lending solutions, and other financial services to meet the diverse needs of its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyBusiness First Bancshares, Inc. primarily generates revenue through its subsidiary b1BANK by offering a variety of banking and financial services. The company's key revenue streams include interest income from loans and leases extended to its customers, interest earned on investment securities, and fee-based income generated from service charges, treasury management, and other financial services. Additionally, BFST benefits from its strategic partnerships and a strong regional presence that helps attract and retain a diverse customer base, contributing to its overall earnings.

Business First Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong profitability, capital management, and noninterest revenue growth, alongside successful integration efforts. However, concerns were raised regarding balance sheet contraction, credit quality issues, and challenges in achieving loan and deposit growth. The sentiment is balanced.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Profitability and Core Net Interest Margin Expansion
Profitability remains consistent with core ROAA exceeding 1%. Core net interest margin expanded by eight basis points for the linked quarter.
Capital and Expense Management
Continued build in capital levels with TCE exceeding expectations and TRBC ratio over 13%. Improved expense management with better-than-expected expense trends.
Noninterest Revenue Growth
Strong noninterest revenue with significant contributions from swap fees, SBA loan gains on sales, and SPIC investments.
Successful Integration of Oakwood Bank
Integration of Oakwood Bank proceeding as expected with conversion set for September. Positive cultural fit with the Oakwood team.
Improvement in Funding Costs
Total interest-bearing deposits cost declined 18 basis points from the linked quarter. Weighted average total cost of deposits for the first quarter was 2.69%, down 12 basis points.
Negative Updates
Balance Sheet Contraction
Loans remained flat on a linked quarter basis, while deposits decreased by $53 million.
Credit Quality Concerns
Modest negative credit migration due to two C&I relationships. NPAs increased by 27 basis points from 0.42% in Q4 to 0.69% in Q1.
Challenges in Loan Growth
Higher paydowns and payoffs, particularly from construction loans, led to flat loan balances.
Deposit Outflows
Net decreases in noninterest-bearing deposits of $48.7 million. Customer withdrawals rather than full account closures were the primary driver.
Company Guidance
During the Business First Bancshares, Inc. Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and insights into their financial performance and strategic direction. The core Return on Average Assets (ROAA) exceeded 1%, while new and renewed loan yields averaged 7.71%. The core net interest margin expanded by eight basis points compared to the previous quarter, driven by a downward trend in funding costs. The company's tangible common equity (TCE) ratio surpassed a certain threshold, and the total risk-based capital (TRBC) ratio exceeded 13%. Noninterest revenue was bolstered by strong swap fees and Small Business Administration (SBA) loan gains, with investments in IT and infrastructure contributing to improved efficiency ratios. Despite a $53 million decline in deposits, the company maintained flat loan growth, prioritizing net interest margin over volume. Additionally, two commercial and industrial (C&I) relationships experienced negative credit migration, but overall credit quality remained stable. The call highlighted the successful integration of Oakwood Bank, with a full conversion expected in September. Looking ahead, the company aims to continue its focus on expense management and explore opportunities for growth within its current footprint.

Business First Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Business First Bancshares demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue and profit growth, a prudent leveraging strategy, and significant cash flow improvements. The company is well-positioned in the regional banking sector, though reliance on equity requires monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Business First Bancshares has shown a robust revenue growth trajectory, with a Revenue Growth Rate of approximately 11.2% from 2024 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The Gross Profit Margin stands at an impressive 57.5%, highlighting strong cost management and operational efficiency. Net Profit Margin improved to 15.1%, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 19.2% and 20.3%, respectively, indicating effective core earnings strength.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.53 suggests a balanced approach to leveraging, which is prudent in the banking industry. Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 8.7%, showcasing solid profitability relative to shareholder equity. The Equity Ratio of 10.6% indicates moderate reliance on equity financing, which is typical for banks but can present risks in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Business First Bancshares achieved a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 33.9% from 2024 to TTM, underscoring a significant improvement in cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.14 highlights a good conversion of accounting profits into cash, while the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.11 indicates strong cash flow generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue478.18M457.75M385.62M264.08M203.11M168.78M
Gross Profit275.07M259.50M242.94M216.65M178.51M135.24M
EBITDA97.20M88.31M95.26M73.41M68.72M39.95M
Net Income72.08M65.11M71.04M54.26M52.14M29.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.78B7.86B6.58B5.99B4.73B4.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments344.75M347.76M1.11B1.04B1.09B789.74M
Total Debt434.10M483.26M635.07M560.12M187.59M105.99M
Total Liabilities6.96B7.06B5.94B5.41B4.29B3.75B
Stockholders Equity826.31M799.47M644.26M580.48M433.37M409.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow80.13M59.84M80.78M61.80M52.47M26.37M
Operating Cash Flow82.53M61.40M92.43M69.58M56.44M29.34M
Investing Cash Flow-61.00M-294.91M-521.14M-700.52M-675.35M-475.30M
Financing Cash Flow105.45M326.50M502.08M715.31M538.15M505.72M

Business First Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.35
Price Trends
50DMA
24.01
Positive
100DMA
24.20
Positive
200DMA
25.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.58
Negative
RSI
69.30
Neutral
STOCH
82.26
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BFST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.38, above the 50-day MA of 24.01, and above the 200-day MA of 25.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BFST.

Business First Bancshares Risk Analysis

Business First Bancshares disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Business First Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Business First Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ESESQ
79
Outperform
$842.09M18.8519.66%0.70%16.18%13.78%
78
Outperform
$774.65M10.719.77%2.15%18.39%-4.12%
75
Outperform
$787.63M12.218.82%4.14%5.20%-11.06%
73
Outperform
$794.88M10.1913.55%3.02%12.26%-6.93%
CPCPF
71
Outperform
$793.90M13.7410.94%3.67%4.38%4.94%
70
Outperform
$755.69M11.5316.05%3.07%10.06%30.39%
67
Neutral
$16.81B11.859.77%3.76%12.07%-8.35%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BFST
Business First Bancshares
26.35
5.20
24.59%
CPF
Central Pacific Financial
29.39
8.62
41.50%
HAFC
Hanmi Financial
26.02
10.29
65.42%
MBWM
Mercantile Bank
49.36
10.62
27.41%
ESQ
Esquire Financial Holdings
100.62
52.80
110.41%
MCBS
MetroCity Bankshares
29.91
4.27
16.65%

Business First Bancshares Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Business First Bancshares Announces Acquisition of Progressive Bancorp
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

On July 7, 2025, Business First Bancshares, Inc. announced a definitive agreement to acquire Progressive Bancorp, Inc., with the merger expected to close in early 2026. This acquisition will increase Business First’s total assets to approximately $8.5 billion and strengthen its market position in North Louisiana. The merger, unanimously approved by both companies’ boards, is anticipated to enhance Business First’s deposit and liquidity profiles, while maintaining the leading deposit market share among Louisiana-based banks. The transaction is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, with Progressive shareholders set to own approximately 9.3% of the combined company post-merger.

The most recent analyst rating on (BFST) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Business First Bancshares stock, see the BFST Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Business First Bancshares Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Business First Bancshares announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, reporting a net income of $19.2 million, an increase from the previous quarter. The company highlighted solid earnings, capital growth, and strategic investments in technology and acquisitions, which are expected to enhance service efficiency. The board declared dividends for both preferred and common shareholders, reflecting strong financial performance. Despite a slight decrease in deposits and some credit quality regression, the company saw improvements in net interest margin and noninterest income, driven by successful loan sales and equity investments.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 08, 2025