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Business First Bancshares (BFST)
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Business First Bancshares (BFST) AI Stock Analysis

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BFST

Business First Bancshares

(NASDAQ:BFST)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$27.00
â–²(16.48% Upside)
Business First Bancshares is well-positioned financially with strong growth metrics and a strategic acquisition that boosts its market position. Despite these strengths, technical indicators show potential near-term risks, and the earnings call reflects mixed sentiment with both achievements and challenges. The stock's valuation remains attractive, offering a balanced investment opportunity.

Business First Bancshares (BFST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Business First Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBusiness First Bancshares, Inc. (BFST) is a financial holding company headquartered in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. It operates through its wholly-owned subsidiary, b1BANK, which provides a range of financial services primarily to small- and medium-sized businesses, professionals, and individuals across Louisiana and Texas. The bank offers various products and services, including commercial and personal banking services, treasury management, lending solutions, and other financial services to meet the diverse needs of its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyBusiness First Bancshares, Inc. primarily generates revenue through its subsidiary b1BANK by offering a variety of banking and financial services. The company's key revenue streams include interest income from loans and leases extended to its customers, interest earned on investment securities, and fee-based income generated from service charges, treasury management, and other financial services. Additionally, BFST benefits from its strategic partnerships and a strong regional presence that helps attract and retain a diverse customer base, contributing to its overall earnings.

Business First Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -8.74%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant achievements such as the successful core system conversion, increased tangible book value, and strategic partnerships. However, these were offset by declines in total deposits, negative asset quality trends, and increased borrowings. While the long-term outlook appears positive with strategic improvements and partnerships, the current quarter faced several challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Core System Conversion
The company successfully upgraded its core processing system to the FIS large bank platform, positioning itself for more efficient processing in the future.
15% Increase in Tangible Book Value
The tangible book value increased by almost 15%, which has been one of the primary goals over the past few quarters.
Partnership with Progressive Bank
The company announced a partnership with Progressive Bank, a $750 million community bank, which is expected to add meaningful earnings accretion.
Loan Growth Led by C&I and CRE
Total loans held for investment increased 4.5% annualized, driven primarily by C&I and CRE, which rose by $98.8 million and $61.6 million, respectively.
Strong Noninterest-Bearing Deposit Growth
Noninterest-bearing deposits increased $102 million or 7.8% on a linked-quarter basis.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Deposits
Total deposits decreased by $38.5 million, primarily due to a net decrease in interest-bearing deposits and the sale of a branch.
Negative Asset Quality Trends
Asset quality metrics trended negatively, with NPLs increasing from 0.69% in Q1 to 0.97% in Q2, driven by three loan relationships.
SBIC Pass-Through Income Decline
SBIC pass-through income was a negative $246,000, approximately $500,000 lower than expected.
Increased Bank Borrowings
Bank borrowings increased by $179 million or approximately 41% from the prior quarter, primarily due to short-term FHLB inventions.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 earnings call for Business First Bancshares, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were highlighted. The company reported a 1% return on average assets (ROAA) and maintained its net interest margin, while increasing its tangible book value by nearly 15%. Operationally, the bank successfully upgraded its core processing system, projecting future operational savings of approximately $750,000 annually. The bank also announced a partnership with Progressive Bank, a $750 million community bank, expecting meaningful earnings accretion by 2026. Despite a negative trend in asset quality metrics, the bank's net charge-offs remained exemplary at 0.01%. The bank's non-GAAP core net income was reported at $19.5 million with an EPS of $0.66 per share. Additionally, total loans held for investment grew by 4.5% on an annualized basis, driven by increases in C&I and CRE loans, while total deposits saw a net decrease of $38.5 million.

Business First Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Business First Bancshares demonstrates strong revenue and profit growth with a robust income statement. The balance sheet shows a prudent leveraging approach, and cash flow generation has significantly improved. However, moderate reliance on equity financing should be monitored.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Business First Bancshares has shown a robust revenue growth trajectory, with a Revenue Growth Rate of approximately 11.2% from 2024 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The Gross Profit Margin stands at an impressive 57.5%, highlighting strong cost management and operational efficiency. Net Profit Margin improved to 15.1%, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 19.2% and 20.3%, respectively, indicating effective core earnings strength.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.53 suggests a balanced approach to leveraging, which is prudent in the banking industry. Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 8.7%, showcasing solid profitability relative to shareholder equity. The Equity Ratio of 10.6% indicates moderate reliance on equity financing, which is typical for banks but can present risks in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Business First Bancshares achieved a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 33.9% from 2024 to TTM, underscoring a significant improvement in cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.14 highlights a good conversion of accounting profits into cash, while the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.11 indicates strong cash flow generation relative to net income.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue457.75M385.62M264.08M203.11M168.78M
Gross Profit259.50M242.94M216.65M178.51M135.24M
EBITDA88.31M95.26M73.41M68.72M39.95M
Net Income65.11M71.04M54.26M52.14M29.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.86B6.58B5.99B4.73B4.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments347.76M1.11B1.04B1.09B789.74M
Total Debt483.26M635.07M560.12M187.59M105.99M
Total Liabilities7.06B5.94B5.41B4.29B3.75B
Stockholders Equity799.47M644.26M580.48M433.37M409.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow59.84M80.78M61.80M52.47M26.37M
Operating Cash Flow61.40M92.43M69.58M56.44M29.34M
Investing Cash Flow-294.91M-521.14M-700.52M-675.35M-475.30M
Financing Cash Flow326.50M502.08M715.31M538.15M505.72M

Business First Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price23.18
Price Trends
50DMA
24.58
Negative
100DMA
24.07
Negative
200DMA
25.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Positive
RSI
31.83
Neutral
STOCH
7.68
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BFST, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.22, below the 50-day MA of 24.58, and below the 200-day MA of 25.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.68 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BFST.

Business First Bancshares Risk Analysis

Business First Bancshares disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Business First Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Business First Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$800.71M17.4919.30%0.70%16.18%13.78%
76
Outperform
$721.49M8.8313.77%3.29%8.72%-0.45%
73
Outperform
$685.80M9.2310.18%2.44%16.87%3.07%
71
Outperform
$699.30M10.7015.67%3.49%4.94%20.77%
71
Outperform
$719.72M11.9411.16%4.05%2.82%6.88%
69
Neutral
$680.07M10.418.84%4.73%3.43%-1.75%
67
Neutral
$17.00B11.679.71%3.95%10.68%1.24%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BFST
Business First Bancshares
23.08
2.02
9.59%
CPF
Central Pacific Financial
26.62
2.94
12.42%
HAFC
Hanmi Financial
22.51
5.09
29.22%
MBWM
Mercantile Bank
45.04
4.70
11.65%
ESQ
Esquire Financial Holdings
94.63
39.39
71.31%
MCBS
MetroCity Bankshares
27.53
1.46
5.60%

Business First Bancshares Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Business First Announces Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Business First Bancshares, Inc. announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting a net income of $20.8 million, an increase from the previous quarter. The company highlighted significant operational activities including a successful core conversion and branch optimization, positioning it for future growth. Additionally, Business First declared dividends for both preferred and common shareholders, and announced an agreement to acquire Progressive Bancorp, Inc., which is expected to enhance its market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (BFST) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Business First Bancshares stock, see the BFST Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Business First Bancshares Announces Acquisition of Progressive Bancorp
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

On July 7, 2025, Business First Bancshares, Inc. announced a definitive agreement to acquire Progressive Bancorp, Inc., with the merger expected to close in early 2026. This acquisition will increase Business First’s total assets to approximately $8.5 billion and strengthen its market position in North Louisiana. The merger, unanimously approved by both companies’ boards, is anticipated to enhance Business First’s deposit and liquidity profiles, while maintaining the leading deposit market share among Louisiana-based banks. The transaction is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, with Progressive shareholders set to own approximately 9.3% of the combined company post-merger.

The most recent analyst rating on (BFST) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Business First Bancshares stock, see the BFST Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025