Five Star (FSBC)
NASDAQ:FSBC
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Five Star (FSBC) AI Stock Analysis

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FSBC

Five Star

(NASDAQ:FSBC)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$38.00
â–²(14.05% Upside)
Five Star Bancorp's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving its score. The stock's valuation is reasonable, but technical indicators suggest some short-term weakness. The company faces challenges in cost management and sustaining deposit growth.

Five Star (FSBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Five Star Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFive Star Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Five Star Bank that provides a range of banking products and services to small and medium-sized businesses, professionals, and individuals. The company accepts various deposits, such as money market, noninterest-bearing and interest checking accounts, savings accounts, and time deposits. Its loan products include commercial and residential real estate loans; commercial loans; commercial land loans; farmland loans; commercial and residential construction loans; and consumer and other loans. The company also offers debit cards; and remote deposit capture, online and mobile banking, and direct deposit services. It operates through seven branch offices and two loan production offices in Northern California. Five Star Bancorp was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Rancho Cordova, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyFive Star (FSBC) generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its hospitality services, which include room bookings, food and beverage sales, and event management services. The company charges competitive rates for its accommodations and upsells additional services such as spa treatments and guided tours. Additionally, FSBC collaborates with corporate clients for event hosting and catering services, creating significant revenue opportunities from large-scale events. Strategic partnerships with travel agencies and online booking platforms further enhance visibility and sales, driving more customers to its properties and services.

Five Star Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Five Star Bancorp reported strong financial performance with impressive loan and deposit growth, net interest margin expansion, and excellent asset quality. However, challenges include increased noninterest expenses, the difficulty in replicating exceptional deposit growth, and high payoff and paydown activity in certain business sectors.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Five Star Bancorp reported $16.3 million of net income, earnings per share of $0.77, return on average assets of 1.44%, and return on average equity of 15.35% for the third quarter of 2025.
Loan and Deposit Growth
Loans held for investment grew by $129.2 million or 14% on an annualized basis, and total deposits increased by approximately $208.8 million or 21% on an annualized basis.
Net Interest Margin Expansion
The net interest margin expanded by 3 basis points to 3.56%, while the cost of total deposits declined by 2 basis points to 2.44%.
Asset Quality and Capitalization
Nonperforming loans represented only 5 basis points of total loans held for investment, and all capital ratios were well above regulatory thresholds.
Expansion and Business Growth
Opened the ninth full-service office in Walnut Creek and saw growth in the food agribusiness and diversified industry sectors.
Negative Updates
Increased Noninterest Expense
Noninterest expense grew by $900,000 primarily due to an increase in salaries and employee benefits related to increased head count.
Challenge in Replicating Deposit Growth
The exceptional third-quarter core deposit growth is not expected to be replicated in the fourth quarter, with anticipated growth between 1% to 2%.
High Payoff and Paydown Activity
There was significant payoff and paydown activity, particularly in the MHC and RV business sectors, which are expected to continue.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Five Star Bancorp reported strong financial performance with net income of $16.3 million and earnings per share of $0.77. The bank achieved a return on average assets of 1.44% and a return on average equity of 15.35%. Notably, its net interest margin expanded by 3 basis points to 3.56%, while the cost of total deposits decreased by 2 basis points to 2.44%. The efficiency ratio stood at 40.13%. Loan growth was robust, with loans held for investment increasing by $129.2 million, or 14% on an annualized basis, and total deposits rising by approximately $208.8 million, or 21% annualized. Nonperforming loans remained low, representing only 5 basis points of total loans. The bank declared a cash dividend of $0.20 per share, reflecting its ongoing commitment to shareholder value. Additionally, the bank's expansion efforts in the San Francisco Bay Area contributed to its overall growth strategy, including the opening of a new office in Walnut Creek.

Five Star Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Five Star Bancorp shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and cash flows are generally healthy. However, there are slight cost pressures and a need to improve operating cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Five Star has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 5.48% increase in the TTM period. The company maintains solid profitability metrics, with a Gross Profit Margin of 56.22% and a Net Profit Margin of 22.23%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 31.32% and 31.92%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in Gross Profit Margin compared to previous years suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.20, indicating low leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 12.89%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. However, the declining trend in ROE over the years could be a concern if it continues.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Five Star's cash flow position is solid, with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 2.6% in the TTM period. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is low at 0.018, which may indicate some inefficiencies in cash generation relative to net income. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is nearly 1, reflecting strong cash conversion. The company needs to focus on improving operating cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue232.94M212.20M180.70M123.79M87.82M82.96M
Gross Profit130.78M118.01M113.20M102.24M82.15M64.78M
EBITDA74.94M66.60M68.23M64.49M47.76M37.72M
Net Income51.88M45.67M47.73M44.80M42.44M35.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.41B4.05B3.59B3.23B2.56B1.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments543.26M454.66M435.52M385.83M588.60M429.15M
Total Debt81.71M80.75M249.35M177.85M28.39M28.32M
Total Liabilities4.00B3.66B3.31B2.97B2.32B1.82B
Stockholders Equity416.74M396.62M285.77M252.82M235.05M133.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow68.12M51.16M38.26M45.49M27.94M50.64M
Operating Cash Flow68.78M51.79M38.91M45.98M28.66M51.48M
Investing Cash Flow-503.25M-446.74M-279.28M-836.92M-455.01M-372.63M
Financing Cash Flow727.92M425.73M301.95M625.61M561.19M434.28M

Five Star Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price33.32
Price Trends
50DMA
33.36
Negative
100DMA
32.00
Positive
200DMA
29.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Positive
RSI
43.96
Neutral
STOCH
27.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FSBC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 33.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.88, below the 50-day MA of 33.36, and above the 200-day MA of 29.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FSBC.

Five Star Risk Analysis

Five Star disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Five Star reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Five Star Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$738.80M13.378.35%3.72%5.75%20.52%
77
Outperform
$709.82M12.3313.95%2.31%22.24%18.63%
75
Outperform
$745.72M9.7310.39%2.33%17.99%11.08%
71
Outperform
$636.50M8.6012.46%3.69%16.57%69.64%
70
Outperform
$666.31M11.807.31%2.91%12.09%-15.97%
68
Neutral
$633.93M9.3011.18%2.87%0.67%17.88%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FSBC
Five Star
33.32
1.65
5.21%
THFF
First Financial Indiana
55.28
8.80
18.93%
GSBC
Great Southern Bancorp
56.77
-3.25
-5.41%
MPB
Mid Penn Bancorp
28.19
-2.45
-8.00%
TRST
TrustCo Bank
39.26
4.40
12.62%
BFST
Business First Bancshares
24.45
-2.74
-10.08%

Five Star Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Five Star Bank Enters Change in Control Agreements
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Five Star Bank entered into change in control agreements with two of its executive officers, Heather Luck and Michael Rizzo. These agreements outline the compensation and benefits the executives will receive if their employment is terminated following a qualifying change in control, including severance payments and accelerated vesting of equity awards. The agreements are set to expire on December 31, 2028, if no qualifying change in control occurs.

The most recent analyst rating on (FSBC) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five Star stock, see the FSBC Stock Forecast page.

Five Star Bancorp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 29, 2025

Five Star Bancorp is a bank holding company based in Rancho Cordova, California, operating through its subsidiary, Five Star Bank, with a focus on providing banking services in Northern California. The company reported a strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with net income reaching $16.3 million, a notable increase from the previous quarters and the same period last year. Key financial metrics showed improvement, including a rise in return on average assets and equity, as well as an increase in net interest margin. The company also experienced significant growth in loans and deposits, driven by its organic growth strategy and expansion efforts, including the opening of a new office in Walnut Creek, California. Looking ahead, Five Star Bancorp remains committed to enhancing shareholder value and maintaining its position as a trusted banking partner, with management expressing confidence in continued growth and operational efficiency.

Five Star Bancorp Shines in Q3 Earnings Call
Oct 29, 2025

Five Star Bancorp’s recent earnings call highlighted a robust financial performance, marked by impressive loan and deposit growth, an expanding net interest margin, and excellent asset quality. Despite these achievements, the company faces challenges such as increased noninterest expenses and the difficulty of replicating its exceptional deposit growth in future quarters. Additionally, high payoff and paydown activity in certain business sectors pose ongoing challenges.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Five Star Bancorp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Five Star Bancorp reported a net income of $16.3 million for the third quarter of 2025, marking an increase from previous quarters. The company achieved significant growth in loans and deposits, with a notable increase in non-wholesale deposits. The bank’s efficiency ratio improved, and a new office was opened in Walnut Creek, California, to meet regional demand. The company’s strategy of organic growth and focus on customer experience has driven its financial performance, positioning it well in the banking industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (FSBC) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five Star stock, see the FSBC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Five Star Bancorp Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

On October 17, 2025, Five Star Bancorp announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share, payable on November 10, 2025, to shareholders of record as of November 3, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may impact its financial positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (FSBC) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five Star stock, see the FSBC Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Five Star Announces Q3 2025 Earnings Release Date
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Five Star Bancorp announced the dates for its third quarter 2025 earnings release and webcast. The company will report its financial results after the market closes on October 27, 2025, with a live webcast for analysts and investors scheduled for October 28, 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (FSBC) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Five Star stock, see the FSBC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025