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Hometrust Bancshares (HTB)
NYSE:HTB
US Market

Hometrust Bancshares (HTB) AI Stock Analysis

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HTB

Hometrust Bancshares

(NYSE:HTB)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$45.00
â–²(4.36% Upside)
The score is anchored by solid profitability but tempered by weaker recent trends (sharp TTM revenue decline, higher leverage, and a large drop in free cash flow). Technicals are neutral-to-soft with RSI below 50 and price under shorter-term averages, while a reasonable P/E and dividend support the overall rating, reinforced by the recent dividend increase and buyback activity.
Positive Factors
Profitability & margins
Sustained net margin near 21% and a mid-teens ROE band provide a durable earnings base that supports internal capital formation, dividend capacity and loan loss absorption. Strong operating profitability helps the bank fund growth and cushions cyclical credit stress over months.
2025 results & shareholder returns
Improved full-year earnings, a raised dividend and renewed repurchase program signal management discipline on capital allocation. Persistent shareholder distributions indicate confidence in earnings sustainability and strengthen investor alignment, enhancing long-term access to capital and credibility.
Adequate capitalization
An adequate capital base with growing equity supports lending capacity and regulatory resilience. For a regional bank, rising equity provides a buffer for credit volatility, enables measured balance-sheet expansion, and lowers probability of forced capital actions over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
A near‑term 27% TTM revenue fall undermines sustainable top‑line momentum, constraining net interest income growth and fee diversification. Persistent revenue weakness reduces operating leverage, limits reinvestment potential, and raises execution risk for medium‑term earnings recovery.
Free cash flow volatility
A roughly 52% drop in FCF and uneven historical cash generation weaken the bank's ability to consistently fund dividends, buybacks, or organic growth without drawing on capital or external funding. Volatile FCF raises sensitivity to loan losses or funding shocks.
Rising leverage
An uptick in debt‑to‑equity to ~0.39 from very low levels reduces financial flexibility and raises interest‑rate and funding sensitivity. For a regional bank, higher leverage can tighten regulatory scrutiny and limit capacity to expand loans or absorb credit deterioration over the next several quarters.

Hometrust Bancshares (HTB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hometrust Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for HomeTrust Bank that provides a range of retail and commercial banking products and services. Its deposit products include savings, money market, and demand accounts, as well as certificates of deposit for individuals, businesses, and nonprofit organizations. The company's loan portfolio comprises retail consumer loans, such as one-to-four-family real estate lending, home equity lines of credit, construction and land/lots, indirect auto finance, and consumer lending; and commercial loans that include commercial real estate, construction and development, and commercial and industrial loans. It also provides small business administration loans, equipment finance leases, indirect automobile loans, and municipal leases; and cash management and online/mobile banking services. As of June 30, 2021, the company operated 41 offices in North Carolina, Upstate South Carolina, East Tennessee, and Southwest Virginia. HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Asheville, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyHometrust Bancshares generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns interest income from loans provided to customers, including residential mortgages, commercial real estate loans, and personal loans. This interest income constitutes a significant portion of the company's revenue. Additionally, HTB makes money from non-interest income sources such as fees for account maintenance, transaction services, and wealth management services. The bank also engages in investment activities, earning returns from its portfolio of securities. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations help to enhance its service offerings and attract new customers, contributing to overall growth in deposits and loan origination. Overall, HTB's well-diversified revenue model supports its financial stability and growth objectives.

Hometrust Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitable with a solid TTM net margin (~21%) and acceptable ROE (~10–11%), but fundamentals look less steady recently: TTM revenue declined ~27%, leverage increased (debt-to-equity ~0.39 vs. very low in 2024), and free cash flow fell sharply (~52%) despite remaining positive.
Income Statement
68
Positive
HTB remains solidly profitable, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net margin around 21% and stronger operating profitability than the prior annual period. Revenue momentum is the main weak spot: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined about 27% after growing in 2024 and 2023, indicating a meaningful slowdown. Overall, profitability is healthy, but top-line volatility reduces the score.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Capitalization looks adequate with return on equity around 10–11% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), but leverage appears to have increased: debt-to-equity rose to ~0.39 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) versus a very low level in 2024. Total assets are broadly stable, and equity has grown over time, yet the recent step-up in debt is a clear watch item for a regional bank.
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
Cash generation is positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with free cash flow close to net income (about 0.93x), which is a strength. However, free cash flow fell sharply versus the prior period (down ~52% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), and historical cash flow has been uneven (including periods of negative operating/free cash flow). The mix of positive current cash flow but weak trend and volatility keeps the score mid-range.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue292.57M295.07M216.08M155.31M159.87M166.59M
Gross Profit205.43M194.59M170.98M150.56M151.59M125.94M
EBITDA113.26M86.95M70.57M57.18M31.31M33.59M
Net Income62.45M54.80M44.60M35.65M15.68M22.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.59B4.60B4.61B3.55B3.52B3.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments161.12M459.77M488.57M450.07M437.17M609.82M
Total Debt230.00M10.12M210.23M48.00M115.00M475.00M
Total Liabilities4.00B4.04B4.14B3.16B3.13B3.31B
Stockholders Equity595.83M551.76M471.19M388.85M396.52M408.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow48.69M28.23M-57.15M23.62M-18.40M-56.52M
Operating Cash Flow55.91M44.97M-42.40M33.13M9.56M-39.09M
Investing Cash Flow70.67M21.28M-121.13M34.84M149.50M-127.91M
Financing Cash Flow-104.22M-134.17M361.91M-13.84M-229.69M217.57M

Hometrust Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price43.12
Price Trends
50DMA
42.88
Positive
100DMA
41.63
Positive
200DMA
39.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
48.65
Neutral
STOCH
24.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HTB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.31, above the 50-day MA of 42.88, and above the 200-day MA of 39.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HTB.

Hometrust Bancshares Risk Analysis

Hometrust Bancshares disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hometrust Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hometrust Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$893.07M9.3913.79%3.05%5.64%6.24%
73
Outperform
$712.79M11.5111.90%2.33%9.43%17.64%
69
Neutral
$795.91M10.599.49%3.82%3.34%15.52%
69
Neutral
$811.81M10.3815.62%3.55%-0.23%10.95%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$816.49M10.896.51%2.68%11.13%-15.28%
61
Neutral
$752.19M11.5510.88%1.12%0.21%14.54%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HTB
Hometrust Bancshares
43.12
6.82
18.79%
CCBG
Capital City Bank
41.76
5.79
16.10%
CCNE
Cnb Financial
27.70
3.13
12.74%
HAFC
Hanmi Financial
26.57
3.60
15.69%
MBWM
Mercantile Bank
51.98
4.73
10.01%
MCBS
MetroCity Bankshares
28.17
-1.89
-6.29%

Hometrust Bancshares Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
HomeTrust Bancshares Reports Strong 2025 Results, Raises Dividend
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

On January 22, 2026, HomeTrust Bancshares reported preliminary financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, showing slightly lower quarterly net income of $16.1 million and diluted EPS of $0.93 versus the prior quarter, as well as modest declines in net interest margin, ROA and ROE, partially offset by higher noninterest income and continued credit discipline. For full-year 2025, the company posted stronger performance with net income rising to $64.4 million from $54.8 million in 2024, EPS increasing to $3.72, net interest margin improving to 4.25%, lower provision for credit losses, gains from the sale of two Knoxville branches, and expanded capital return through higher dividends and increased share repurchases, while the board approved a higher quarterly dividend for payment in February 2026 and set the 2026 annual stockholders’ meeting for May 18, 2026 in Asheville, North Carolina, underscoring both its financial momentum and shareholder-focused capital strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTB) stock is a Buy with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hometrust Bancshares stock, see the HTB Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
HomeTrust Bancshares Schedules Q4 2025 Earnings Release
Neutral
Jan 8, 2026

HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc., the holding company for HomeTrust Bank, announced it plans to issue its fourth quarter 2025 earnings release before the market opens on January 22, 2026. The timing signals the company’s intention to inform investors and other stakeholders of its financial performance ahead of that trading day, allowing the market to digest its quarterly results promptly.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTB) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hometrust Bancshares stock, see the HTB Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Hometrust Bancshares Announces New Stock Repurchase Program
Neutral
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. announced the completion of its 5% stock repurchase program, initiated in March 2022, with 806,000 shares repurchased at an average price of $31.84 per share. Additionally, the Board of Directors has authorized a new repurchase program for up to 870,000 shares, representing another 5% of the company’s outstanding shares, which may be purchased in the open market or through private transactions depending on market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTB) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hometrust Bancshares stock, see the HTB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 25, 2026