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Metropolitan Bank Holding (MCB)
NYSE:MCB
US Market

Metropolitan Bank Holding (MCB) AI Stock Analysis

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MCB

Metropolitan Bank Holding

(NYSE:MCB)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$104.00
â–²(15.94% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
MCB’s score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (growth with improved leverage, tempered by margin compression and weaker 2025 free cash flow) and a constructive earnings outlook (deposit-funded growth and steady-to-improving NIM, with manageable credit/fee-income and rate-path risks). Technicals add support via an established uptrend, while valuation is reasonable but the dividend yield is modest.
Positive Factors
Deposit-funded growth
Sustained deposit expansion provides a low-cost, stable funding base that supports loan growth without wholesale reliance. Over the medium term this improves liquidity and funding flexibility, reduces interest expense variability, and underpins more durable net interest income generation.
Strong loan origination pipeline
Multi-year loan growth and a sizeable origination pipeline create a durable interest-income runway. A targeted new-loan mix (more fixed-rate) plus management guidance for continued double-digit loan growth imply repeatable revenue, better asset yield visibility, and scale benefits for core banking margins.
Strengthened balance sheet
Elimination of external wholesale debt and materially higher equity boosts balance-sheet resilience and capital flexibility. Lower leverage reduces roll-over and liquidity risk, enabling the bank to pursue deposit-funded growth and absorb shocks without immediate capital raises over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin and cash-flow pressure
Sustained margin compression alongside volatile free cash flow weakens earnings quality and financial predictability. If mix, pricing pressure, or elevated costs persist, the bank may see reduced capacity for reinvestment, share repurchases, or dividend increases while pursuing growth targets.
Low fee income
A thin noninterest-income base leaves the franchise heavily reliant on net interest income and interest-rate dynamics. Structural weakness in fee generation limits diversification of revenues, increasing sensitivity to prepayments, rate moves and loan spread compression over multiple quarters.
Asset-quality and reserve risk
A small but rising NPA balance and active workout exposure, especially in CRE, pose downside to earnings and capital if resolutions are adverse. Concentrations and potential allowance adjustments create medium-term volatility in credit costs as the bank scales assets.

Metropolitan Bank Holding (MCB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Metropolitan Bank Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMetropolitan Bank Holding Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Metropolitan Commercial Bank that provides a range of business, commercial, and retail banking products and services to small businesses, middle-market enterprises, public entities, and individuals in the New York metropolitan area. The company offers checking, savings, term deposit, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. It also provides lending products, including commercial real estate, construction, multi-family, and one-to four-family real estate loans; commercial and industrial loans; consumer loans; acquisition and renovation loans; loans to refinance or return borrower equity; loans on owner-occupied properties; working capital lines of credit; trade finance and letters of credit; and term loans. In addition, the company offers cash management services, as well as online and mobile banking, ACH, remote deposit capture, and debit card services. It operates six banking centers in Manhattan, Brooklyn, Great Neck, and Long Island. Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMetropolitan Bank Holding generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. The bank offers various types of loans, including commercial real estate loans, construction loans, and consumer loans, earning interest on the amounts lent to clients. Additionally, MCB earns fee income from services such as treasury management, deposit account services, and other banking fees. The bank may also generate income through investments in securities and other financial instruments. Partnerships with local businesses, real estate developers, and community organizations help to strengthen its client base and drive growth in loan origination and deposits, contributing to overall revenue.

Metropolitan Bank Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 20, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive picture: the bank delivered strong full-year loan (≈13%) and deposit (≈23%) growth, improved NIM and top-line NII, eliminated $450 million of wholesale funding, showed sequential expense control, and provided constructive 2026 guidance (targeting ~12% loan growth, ~4.1% NIM and ~16% ROTCE). Lowlights include elevated Q4 prepayments that muted quarter loan growth and added one-time items (~$4.6M), modest noninterest income, a small NPA uptick (~$5M) with ongoing workouts, and near-term transformation and real estate expense headwinds. Overall, positives outweigh the manageable and largely non-recurring negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Annual Loan Growth
Loan portfolio expanded by approximately $775–$776 million for the year, representing nearly 13% year-over-year growth; total loan originations reached about $1.9 billion.
Robust Deposit Expansion
Deposits grew by roughly $1.4 billion for the year (about 23%); quarter-over-quarter deposit growth was $34 million (≈4.3%), and the spot cost of interest-bearing deposits declined ~43 basis points Q/Q.
Net Interest Margin and NII Expansion
Reported fourth-quarter NIM was 4.10%, up 22 basis points from the prior quarter (adjusted NIM ≈4.02% after above-normal prepayment/fee items); fourth-quarter net interest income was $85.3 million, up >10% linked quarter and nearly 20% year-over-year.
Improved Profitability Metrics and EPS
Diluted EPS for the fourth quarter was $2.77; adjusted ROTCE for the quarter was just north of 14% with forecasted ROTCE approaching ~16% for 2026.
Wholesale Funding Eliminated
Paid off all wholesale funding totaling $450 million during 2025, reducing funding cost and reliance on non-deposit funding sources.
Operational Discipline and Expense Reductions
Noninterest expense for the quarter was $44.4 million, down $1.4 million versus prior quarter driven by a $1.3 million reduction in compensation & benefits and a $649k decline in professional fees; bank provided FY2026 OpEx guidance of $189–$191 million reflecting disciplined planning.
Branch Expansion and Market Presence
Opened a full-service branch in Lakewood, NJ in Q4 and plans to open two branches in Florida (Miami and West Palm Beach) in 2026 to deepen presence in key growth markets.
2026 Guidance — Continued Growth with Defensible NIM
Management expects ~ $800 million (≈12%) loan growth in 2026 funded by deposits, modest NIM expansion and an annual NIM target of ~4.1%; forecasts 5–10% noninterest income growth and maintains securities portfolio at ~10–12% of the balance sheet.
Negative Updates
Elevated Loan Prepayments Impacting Q4 Growth
Fourth-quarter loan book was essentially flat due to approximately $317 million of prepayments (about $150 million above the trailing three-quarter run rate), which reduced quarter loan growth and generated above-normal prepayment/fee income.
One-Time / Non-Core Items Affecting Comparability
Non-core items (prepayment penalty/deferred fee income, insurance claim recovery and compensation accrual adjustment) totaled an estimated $4.6 million (≈$0.30 per share), creating noise in quarter results and requiring adjustment to evaluate underlying performance.
Low Noninterest Income Run-Rate
Fourth-quarter noninterest income was only $3.1 million; management acknowledged the need to rebuild fee income and does not expect further securities gains, indicating continued reliance on interest income.
Asset Quality — Small NPA Increase and Ongoing Workouts
Nonperforming assets increased by about $5 million in the quarter (two in‑market multifamily loans), and management is still working through workouts on specific reserves booked in 2025 with final dispositions potentially causing allowance adjustments outside of normal planning.
Higher Near-Term Transformation and Real Estate Costs
Digital transformation (Modern Banking in Motion) incurred $3.1 million in Q4 with $3 million first-quarter spend expected for conversion extension; additional real estate expansion adds ~$1 million to 2026 expense (run rate ~$2.2 million annually) and deposit-vertical fees are expected to increase ~$6 million.
Limited Near-Term Core C&I Growth
Management does not expect substantial core C&I growth in the near term and will continue to manage that portfolio more conservatively, limiting diversification of loan growth.
Capital Metrics Moderately Constrained
Reported CET1 ratio of about 10.7%; management prefers to run TCE from the current high‑8s (~8.8%) to low‑9s as they grow the balance sheet, implying constrained excess capital headroom while pursuing double-digit growth.
Sensitivity to Interest Rate Path and Prepayment Assumptions
Guidance and NIM outlook depend materially on the timing/number of Fed rate cuts, deposit beta assumptions (~75% observed during easing) and loan spread dynamics; accelerated prepayments and uncertain reinvestment/pricing could pressure projected margins.
Company Guidance
The company’s 2026 guidance assumes two 25-basis-point Fed cuts (June and September) and targets roughly $800 million (≈12%) loan growth funded entirely with deposits, with new loan mix ~70% fixed / 30% floating and modest spread tightening (renewals assumed 25–50 bps below new origination); loan pipelines include ~$1.1 billion of inventory at a WACC of 6.94% (expect to retain 75–80% of cash flows) and management noted prior-quarter originations/draws of ~$599 million at a 7.28% WACC and Q4 prepayments of ~$317 million (~$150 million above the trailing run rate). Balance-sheet and margin assumptions include maintaining securities at ~10–12% of footings, using a generic cost of funds = Fed funds −50 bps, hedged indexed deposits of $1.0 billion (positive carry at an effective Fed funds ≈3.5%), a modestly expanding annual NIM of about 4.1% (Q4 NIM 4.1%, adjusted ~4.02%), and continued deposit-led funding after deposits grew ~$1.4 billion (≈23% YoY; Q4 +$34 million, ≈4.3%) with cost of interest-bearing deposits down 43 bps QoQ. On the P&L, management expects noninterest income growth of 5–10%, operating expenses of $189–191 million (including $3 million Q1 digital spend, ~$1 million incremental 2026 premises expense toward a $2.2 million run rate, and ~$6 million of deposit-vertical fees), and a forecasted ROTCE approaching 16% (with TCE trending from the high‑8s toward the low‑9s).

Metropolitan Bank Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are good: multi-year revenue and net income growth and a stronger leverage position in 2025 (debt essentially zero) support resilience. Offsetting this, profitability has compressed versus 2020–2022 levels and 2025 free cash flow declined sharply versus 2024, indicating less consistent cash generation.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue has grown strongly over the multi-year period (2020–2025), including solid growth in 2025, indicating continued business expansion. Profitability remains healthy with positive operating and net margins, but margins have generally compressed from the very strong levels seen in 2020–2022, suggesting less favorable mix, pricing, or cost pressure. Net income is still rising in dollars, yet the reduced margin profile tempers the overall quality of earnings versus earlier years.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Equity has increased materially over time and returns on equity have remained around the high single-digits to low-teens, which is respectable for a regional bank. Leverage risk looks improved: debt moved from moderate levels in 2022–2024 to essentially zero reported in 2025, driving the debt-to-equity ratio to 0.0 and strengthening balance-sheet flexibility. A key watch item is that assets expanded meaningfully in 2025 versus 2024, so sustaining returns and asset quality through that growth is important.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation is positive, with free cash flow consistently positive and roughly matching net income in 2025 (free cash flow to net income of 1.0). However, cash flow has been volatile year to year, and 2025 free cash flow declined sharply versus 2024 (notably negative growth), which raises questions about the durability of cash generation even as reported earnings grew. Overall, cash conversion is acceptable but less consistent than ideal.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue527.15M492.21M403.31M287.33M196.98M
Gross Profit277.51M270.66M238.46M245.63M176.88M
EBITDA101.51M85.67M114.06M106.61M94.63M
Net Income71.10M66.69M77.27M59.42M60.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.26B7.30B7.07B6.27B7.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments591.02M267.16M269.46M257.42M2.93B
Total Debt0.00457.44M546.59M257.73M57.17M
Total Liabilities7.51B6.57B6.41B5.69B6.56B
Stockholders Equity743.11M729.83M659.02M575.90M556.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow88.68M145.83M36.68M66.65M33.28M
Operating Cash Flow88.68M148.46M42.43M85.89M37.28M
Investing Cash Flow-762.96M-369.61M-775.45M-1.23B-1.30B
Financing Cash Flow867.60M151.96M745.07M-958.47M2.76B

Metropolitan Bank Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price89.70
Price Trends
50DMA
85.67
Positive
100DMA
78.98
Positive
200DMA
75.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.16
Positive
RSI
47.29
Neutral
STOCH
34.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 89.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 93.25, above the 50-day MA of 85.67, and above the 200-day MA of 75.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MCB.

Metropolitan Bank Holding Risk Analysis

Metropolitan Bank Holding disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Metropolitan Bank Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Metropolitan Bank Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$915.09M11.9311.65%3.39%1.22%15.97%
79
Outperform
$1.22B11.9513.88%1.70%4.33%-2.20%
79
Outperform
$897.07M11.7013.78%3.21%3.86%12.33%
72
Outperform
$974.81M14.308.80%0.38%6.48%8.78%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$868.17M37.002.90%1.34%6.45%8.32%
52
Neutral
$928.06M-5.69-26.60%3.50%-78.64%-913.67%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCB
Metropolitan Bank Holding
89.70
32.17
55.92%
CPF
Central Pacific Financial
32.68
5.04
18.24%
HBNC
Horizon Bancorp
16.89
0.89
5.57%
EQBK
Equity Bancshares
45.25
3.25
7.74%
AMAL
Amalgamated Bank
38.67
7.36
23.51%
HBT
HBT Financial
27.28
3.43
14.36%

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Metropolitan Bank Holding Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. reported a sharp improvement in fourth-quarter 2025 earnings, with net income rising to $28.9 million, or $2.77 per diluted share, from $7.1 million in the prior quarter and $21.4 million a year earlier, driven by net interest income of $85.3 million and a wider net interest margin of 4.10%. The company posted an annualized return on average equity of 15.6% and return on average tangible common equity of 15.8% for the quarter, supported by loan growth to $6.8 billion and robust deposit expansion to $7.4 billion at year-end 2025, which funded loan growth, enabled repayment of all wholesale funding, and bolstered liquidity to $3.3 billion in cash and available secured capacity. Management highlighted 2025 as a year of organic growth, with loans up 12.9% and deposits up 23.3% from December 31, 2024, while the bank remained well capitalized, repurchased about 293,000 shares at a discount to tangible book value, modestly increased its quarterly dividend to $0.20 per share on January 16, 2026, and acknowledged higher non-owner-occupied CRE concentration partly due to stock buybacks funded by bank dividends.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCB) stock is a Buy with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metropolitan Bank Holding stock, see the MCB Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Metropolitan Bank Holding Raises Quarterly Common Stock Dividend
Positive
Jan 16, 2026

On January 16, 2026, Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp.’s board of directors approved a higher quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share on its common stock, up from $0.15 per share previously, underscoring confidence in the company’s financial position and capital strength. The dividend will be paid on February 6, 2026, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on January 27, 2026, providing increased income to investors and reinforcing the bank’s shareholder-return profile within the regional banking sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCB) stock is a Hold with a $89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metropolitan Bank Holding stock, see the MCB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026