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Southern Missouri Bancorp (SMBC)
NASDAQ:SMBC
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Southern Missouri Bancorp (SMBC) AI Stock Analysis

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SMBC

Southern Missouri Bancorp

(NASDAQ:SMBC)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$59.00
▲(0.61% Upside)
Southern Missouri Bancorp's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation. While technical indicators are neutral, the earnings call presented a mixed outlook with both positive growth prospects and concerns about credit risks. The lack of significant corporate events further solidifies the focus on financial and earnings performance.
Positive Factors
Net Interest Margin Expansion
The expansion in net interest margin indicates improved profitability from lending activities, suggesting efficient asset management and favorable loan pricing, which could sustain earnings growth.
Tangible Book Value Increase
A significant increase in tangible book value reflects strong earnings retention and improved asset quality, enhancing the company's financial stability and shareholder value.
Loan Growth
Consistent loan growth supports revenue expansion and indicates strong demand for the company's lending products, which is crucial for long-term profitability and market presence.
Negative Factors
Increased Provision for Credit Losses
Higher credit loss provisions suggest potential risks in the loan portfolio, which could impact future profitability and indicate caution in credit quality management.
Nonperforming Loans Increase
Rising nonperforming loans highlight potential asset quality issues, which can strain financial resources and necessitate increased focus on risk management strategies.
Noninterest Income Decline
A decline in noninterest income can pressure overall revenue streams, indicating challenges in diversifying income sources beyond traditional lending activities.

Southern Missouri Bancorp (SMBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Southern Missouri Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSouthern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Southern Bank that provides banking and financial services to individuals and corporate customers in the United States. The company offers business banking, business financing, and business services. It also provides personal banking services, which include online and mobile banking, checking and savings, mortgage and refinance, and loans and credit services. In addition, the company offers investing and insurance services. Further, it provides accounts and digital banking services; and debit or credit cards. As of June 30, 2021, the company operated 46 full-service branch offices, and two limited-service branch offices located in Poplar Bluff, Van Buren, Dexter, Kennett, Doniphan, Sikeston, Qulin, Matthews, Springfield, Thayer, West Plains, Alton, Clever, Forsyth, Fremont Hills, Kimberling City, Ozark, Nixa, Rogersville, Marshfield, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Gideon, Chaffee, Benton, Advance, Bloomfield, Essex, and Rolla, Missouri; Jonesboro, Paragould, Batesville, Searcy, Bald Knob, Bradford, and Cabot, Arkansas; and Anna, Cairo, and Tamms, Illinois. Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Poplar Bluff, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneySouthern Missouri Bancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income from its lending operations, which includes commercial, residential, and consumer loans. The company earns interest by charging borrowers for the loans provided, with rates varying based on credit risk and market conditions. Additionally, SMBC generates non-interest income through fees on deposit accounts, transaction fees, and wealth management services. The bank also benefits from its investment portfolio, earning interest and dividends on securities. Key partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance its customer reach and contribute to its earnings by fostering a loyal client base.

Southern Missouri Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted solid performance in net interest margin expansion and loan growth, along with a robust tangible book value increase. However, these positives were balanced with concerns around increased credit loss provisions, rising nonperforming loans, and a decline in noninterest income. Agricultural sector challenges also pose potential risks.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Interest Margin Expansion
Net interest margin for the quarter was 3.57%, up from 3.47% in the previous quarter and from 3.34% in the year-ago quarter, driven by loan growth and improved asset yields.
Loan Growth
Gross loan balances increased by $91 million or 2.2% during the first quarter, with a strong pipeline of $195 million anticipated to fund in the next 90 days.
Tangible Book Value Increase
Tangible book value increased by 13.3% over the last 12 months, primarily due to earnings retention and improvements in the bank's unrealized loss in the investment portfolio.
Positive Loan and Deposit Dynamics
Loan-to-deposit ratio improved, and core deposit growth allowed for less aggressive deposit pricing strategies.
Negative Updates
Increased Provision for Credit Losses
Provision for credit losses was $4.5 million, higher than the $2.2 million in the same period of the prior fiscal year, due to macroeconomic conditions and specific loan challenges.
Nonperforming Loans Increase
Nonperforming loans increased to $26 million, up $3 million compared to last quarter, attributed to specific commercial relationships and residential properties.
Noninterest Income Decline
Noninterest income was down 9.7% or $707,000 compared to the linked quarter, mainly due to reductions in other loan fees and bank card interchange income.
Agricultural Sector Challenges
Farmers face pressured margins due to lower commodity pricing and increased input costs, with potential impacts on loan paydowns.
Company Guidance
During the call, Southern Missouri Bancorp provided guidance indicating stable earnings and profitability with growth driven by a 5.2% increase in net interest income, stemming from loan growth and net interest margin expansion to 3.57%, up from 3.47% in the previous quarter. Loan balances increased by $91 million or 2.2% during the first quarter, with anticipated mid-single-digit loan growth for the fiscal year. Despite a larger provision for credit losses, the company maintained a positive outlook, expecting further net interest income growth due to favorable repricing dynamics and potential rate cuts. Noninterest income declined by 9.7% quarter-over-quarter, while noninterest expenses decreased by 3.6%. The allowance for credit losses was reported at 1.24% of gross loans, and the tangible book value per share increased by 13.3% over the last 12 months. The company also highlighted plans for potential share repurchases and M&A opportunities, given the current market conditions.

Southern Missouri Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Southern Missouri Bancorp exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, solid balance sheet metrics, and robust cash flow generation. Minor concerns include margin compression and increasing debt levels.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Southern Missouri Bancorp has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a recent growth rate of 1.81%. The company maintains healthy profit margins, with a net profit margin of 19.10% and an EBIT margin of 24.24%. However, the gross profit margin has slightly decreased, indicating potential cost pressures. Overall, the income statement reflects strong profitability and growth, albeit with some margin compression.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26. The return on equity stands at 10.71%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a solid capital base. However, the slight increase in debt levels over the years suggests a need for careful leverage management.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals robust free cash flow growth of 20%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential discrepancies between reported earnings and cash flow. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 92.32%, underscoring efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue310.36M305.25M273.22M202.62M138.07M129.52M
Gross Profit178.89M176.08M160.73M135.89M123.28M113.75M
EBITDA87.61M84.02M73.20M57.02M65.83M65.13M
Net Income61.70M58.31M50.18M39.24M47.17M47.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.04B5.02B4.60B4.36B3.21B2.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments271.41M653.95M489.30M472.77M326.95M331.59M
Total Debt145.25M142.28M134.60M156.62M61.01M72.77M
Total Liabilities4.48B4.47B4.12B3.91B2.89B2.42B
Stockholders Equity560.22M544.69M488.75M446.06M320.77M283.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow82.13M75.29M61.22M55.98M62.73M48.91M
Operating Cash Flow87.86M81.56M70.27M62.02M67.34M51.76M
Investing Cash Flow-268.39M-285.11M-245.74M-213.41M-303.93M-101.92M
Financing Cash Flow229.29M335.51M182.39M118.55M199.80M119.50M

Southern Missouri Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price58.64
Price Trends
50DMA
53.08
Positive
100DMA
54.19
Positive
200DMA
53.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.22
Negative
RSI
71.65
Negative
STOCH
93.21
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 58.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.91, above the 50-day MA of 53.08, and above the 200-day MA of 53.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.21 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SMBC.

Southern Missouri Bancorp Risk Analysis

Southern Missouri Bancorp disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Southern Missouri Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Southern Missouri Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$685.94M10.1914.51%3.06%4.29%10.56%
76
Outperform
$660.02M15.326.26%4.68%8.23%-0.07%
73
Outperform
$642.21M10.4211.54%1.64%9.34%25.21%
73
Outperform
$598.94M12.839.01%0.88%13.41%41.78%
72
Outperform
$616.93M10.8312.97%1.60%5.87%37.99%
69
Neutral
$632.49M14.1310.23%0.86%8.26%94.53%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMBC
Southern Missouri Bancorp
58.64
-5.76
-8.94%
HTBK
Heritage Commerce
11.36
1.39
13.94%
HIFS
Hingham Institution For Savings
302.76
26.88
9.74%
IBCP
Independent Bank
33.99
-2.87
-7.79%
SMBK
SmartFinancial
37.38
1.96
5.53%
SPFI
South Plains Financial
38.71
0.51
1.34%

Southern Missouri Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Southern Missouri Bancorp Reports Q1 Earnings Surge
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Southern Missouri Bancorp reported a significant increase in earnings per common share for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with a 25.5% rise compared to the same quarter the previous year. This growth was attributed to strong net interest income driven by an 8% increase in earning assets and net interest margin expansion. The company also highlighted its tangible book value per share, which rose by 13.3% year-over-year as of September 30, 2025. Additionally, Southern Missouri Bancorp expanded its presence in the St. Louis market by opening two new locations, further solidifying its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMBC) stock is a Hold with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Missouri Bancorp stock, see the SMBC Stock Forecast page.

Southern Missouri Bancorp Reports Strong Q1 Earnings Growth
Oct 24, 2025

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc., the parent company of Southern Bank, operates in the banking sector, offering a range of financial services primarily in Missouri. The company is known for its focus on community banking and customer service.

Southern Missouri’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 24, 2025

Southern Missouri’s recent earnings call revealed a mixed sentiment, with notable achievements in net interest margin expansion and loan growth. The company also reported a significant increase in tangible book value. However, these positives were tempered by concerns over increased credit loss provisions, rising nonperforming loans, and a decline in noninterest income. Additionally, challenges in the agricultural sector were highlighted as potential risks.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Southern Missouri Bancorp Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

On October 20, 2025, Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of shareholders in Poplar Bluff, Missouri, with 79.65% of common shares represented. During the meeting, Charles R. Love was elected for a two-year term, while Daniel P. McCoy, Kenneth J. Bower, and Daniel L. Jones were each elected for three-year terms. Additionally, the advisory vote on executive compensation was approved, and FORVIS MAZARS, LLP was ratified as the independent auditors for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMBC) stock is a Hold with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Missouri Bancorp stock, see the SMBC Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Southern Missouri Bancorp Announces Quarterly Dividend Increase
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Southern Missouri Bancorp announced a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per common share, marking its 126th consecutive quarterly dividend. The company reported a preliminary net income of $15.7 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, a 25.6% increase from the previous year, driven by higher net interest income and slightly lower non-interest expenses. However, this was partially offset by increased provision for credit losses and higher income taxes. The company also experienced growth in its loan portfolio, particularly in real estate and non-real estate sectors, while deposit balances saw a slight decrease. Southern Missouri Bancorp plans to host a conference call on October 23, 2025, to discuss these results further.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMBC) stock is a Hold with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Missouri Bancorp stock, see the SMBC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025