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Southern Missouri Bancorp (SMBC)
NASDAQ:SMBC
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Southern Missouri Bancorp (SMBC) AI Stock Analysis

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SMBC

Southern Missouri Bancorp

(NASDAQ:SMBC)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$61.00
▲(11.56%Upside)
Southern Missouri Bancorp shows a strong financial foundation, highlighted by consistent growth and robust profitability. Technical indicators suggest a neutral outlook, while valuation metrics indicate potential undervaluation. Despite challenges in credit quality, the earnings call and corporate events present a balanced, cautiously optimistic picture.

Southern Missouri Bancorp (SMBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Southern Missouri Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSouthern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Southern Bank that provides banking and financial services to individuals and corporate customers in the United States. The company offers business banking, business financing, and business services. It also provides personal banking services, which include online and mobile banking, checking and savings, mortgage and refinance, and loans and credit services. In addition, the company offers investing and insurance services. Further, it provides accounts and digital banking services; and debit or credit cards. As of June 30, 2021, the company operated 46 full-service branch offices, and two limited-service branch offices located in Poplar Bluff, Van Buren, Dexter, Kennett, Doniphan, Sikeston, Qulin, Matthews, Springfield, Thayer, West Plains, Alton, Clever, Forsyth, Fremont Hills, Kimberling City, Ozark, Nixa, Rogersville, Marshfield, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Gideon, Chaffee, Benton, Advance, Bloomfield, Essex, and Rolla, Missouri; Jonesboro, Paragould, Batesville, Searcy, Bald Knob, Bradford, and Cabot, Arkansas; and Anna, Cairo, and Tamms, Illinois. Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Poplar Bluff, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneySouthern Missouri Bancorp makes money primarily through the interest income generated from its loan portfolio, which includes commercial, residential, and consumer loans. The company also earns revenue from service charges on deposit accounts and other banking services. Non-interest income sources, such as fees for mortgage banking and wealth management services, also contribute to its earnings. Key factors influencing the company's revenue include the interest rate environment, economic conditions in its operating regions, and its ability to effectively manage credit risk.

Southern Missouri Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflected a mix of positive financial performance and growth in earnings, net interest margin, and dividends. However, these were tempered by challenges in credit quality, increased provisions for credit losses, and difficulties in the agricultural sector, leading to a balanced outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Growth
Quarter-over-quarter earnings slightly increased, with a 17% year-over-year growth in the June quarter, and full-year fiscal 2025 earnings increased from $4.42 in fiscal 2024 to $5.18.
Net Interest Margin Improvement
Net interest margin increased to 3.46%, up from 3.39% in the previous quarter, with a projection of further margin expansion in fiscal 2026.
Loan Growth
Gross loan balances increased by $76 million during the quarter, representing a 7.6% annualized growth rate.
Dividend Increase
Announced a $0.02 or 8.7% increase in the quarterly dividend, bringing it to $0.25 per share.
Noninterest Income Growth
Noninterest income increased by 9.2% compared to the linked quarter, driven by a card network bonus.
Negative Updates
Credit Quality Deterioration
Credit quality declined with nonperforming loans increasing to $23 million, a $1.1 million increase from the last quarter, and a notable increase in problematic loans.
Increased Provision for Credit Losses
Provision for credit losses increased to $2.5 million, up $1.6 million over the linked quarter.
Agricultural Sector Challenges
Farmers face rising input costs, weak pricing, and increased credit line usage, leading to potential profitability challenges in 2025.
Charge-offs and Appraisal Issues
Net charge-offs were $5.3 million, driven by special purpose CRE relationships and other loans, with potential for additional write-downs.
Company Guidance
During the Southern Missouri Bancorp Earnings Conference Call on July 25, 2025, the company provided several important financial metrics and forward-looking guidance. For the June quarter, the company reported earnings of $1.39 per diluted share, unchanged from the previous quarter but up 17% year-over-year. Full-year earnings for fiscal 2025 were $5.18 per share, up from $4.42 in fiscal 2024, largely driven by an increase in net interest income due to 7% growth in earning assets and net interest margin expansion. The net interest margin for the quarter was 3.46%, rising from 3.39% in the previous quarter. The bank also announced a quarterly dividend increase of 8.7%, raising it to $0.25 per share. Credit quality showed signs of deterioration, with nonperforming loans totaling $23 million, up $1.1 million from the previous quarter, but the allowance for credit losses remained robust at 1.26% of gross loans. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, management expects continued margin expansion, strong loan growth, and a mid-single-digit increase in loans, despite potential challenges in the agricultural sector. Additionally, the bank is prepared for potential M&A opportunities given its solid capital position.

Southern Missouri Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Southern Missouri Bancorp exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue and profit growth, zero debt, and robust cash flow metrics. The company's strategic management of resources and efficient operational execution underpin its strong financial standing, earning a high financial performance score.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Southern Missouri Bancorp's income statement shows strong growth with a notable increase in total revenue from $124.77 million in 2022 to $255.19 million in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin remains robust at 100% due to the nature of banking revenue. The net profit margin for TTM is approximately 20.35%, which is healthy for the industry. EBIT and EBITDA margins, 39.2% and 25.5% respectively, indicate good operational efficiency. Revenue growth is strong over the past year, contributing to a high score.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0, as total debt is zero. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM is about 10.14%, reflecting efficient use of equity. The equity ratio is 10.44%, indicating a stable financial structure. The absence of debt reduces financial risk and contributes to the company's stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a strong operating cash flow of $69.17 million in TTM, with free cash flow growth remaining steady. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.33, indicating strong cash generation capability. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.21, showing efficient cash conversion. These metrics reflect solid cash flow management, though there's room for improvement in growth rates.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue278.85M160.73M152.95M138.07M129.52M88.19M
Gross Profit167.81M160.73M135.89M123.28M112.73M88.19M
EBITDA76.29M73.20M57.02M65.83M65.13M39.99M
Net Income51.95M50.18M39.24M47.17M47.18M27.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.91B4.60B4.36B3.21B2.70B2.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments613.89M13.97M472.77M326.95M1.19M231.74M
Total Debt130.25M125.21M156.62M61.01M72.77M85.17M
Total Liabilities4.40B4.12B3.91B2.89B2.42B2.28B
Stockholders Equity512.37M488.75M446.06M320.77M283.42M258.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.02M61.22M55.98M62.73M48.91M36.00M
Operating Cash Flow69.24M70.27M62.02M67.34M51.76M40.30M
Investing Cash Flow-351.04M-245.74M-213.41M-303.93M-101.92M-272.36M
Financing Cash Flow211.28M182.39M118.55M199.80M119.50M250.90M

Southern Missouri Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price54.68
Price Trends
50DMA
54.57
Negative
100DMA
53.25
Positive
200DMA
56.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Positive
RSI
40.84
Neutral
STOCH
11.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMBC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 54.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.55, above the 50-day MA of 54.57, and below the 200-day MA of 56.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SMBC.

Southern Missouri Bancorp Risk Analysis

Southern Missouri Bancorp disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Southern Missouri Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Southern Missouri Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$652.38M12.217.93%4.20%5.39%8.80%
81
Outperform
$661.98M12.6913.01%2.58%20.43%1.84%
77
Outperform
$760.07M11.429.72%0.21%9.96%-0.17%
74
Outperform
$631.10M10.7811.29%1.68%11.79%17.30%
73
Outperform
$592.86M15.165.70%5.59%6.54%-19.64%
67
Neutral
$17.06B11.249.31%3.84%11.08%-3.39%
51
Neutral
$577.81M-9.58%3.49%-35.27%-305.95%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMBC
Southern Missouri Bancorp
54.09
1.30
2.46%
HTBK
Heritage Commerce
9.25
-0.34
-3.55%
MOFG
Midwestone Financial Group
27.54
<0.01
0.04%
TRST
TrustCo Bank
33.56
0.58
1.76%
MCB
Metropolitan Bank Holding
70.54
22.55
46.99%
FSBC
Five Star
30.09
2.59
9.42%

Southern Missouri Bancorp Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Southern Missouri Bancorp Highlights Strong Fiscal Performance
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. presented its investor materials at the KBW Community Bank Investor Conference on July 29, 2025, highlighting its strong financial performance in fiscal 2025. The company reported a 17.2% increase in earnings per share, driven by robust net interest income and asset growth. The tangible book value per share rose by 14.1%, and loans increased by 6.6% compared to the previous year. The company also announced an 8.7% increase in its quarterly dividend, reflecting its strong capital position. These results underscore Southern Missouri Bancorp’s successful growth strategy and solidify its position in the banking industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMBC) stock is a Hold with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Missouri Bancorp stock, see the SMBC Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Southern Missouri Bancorp Increases Quarterly Dividend by 8.7%
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Southern Missouri Bancorp declared its 125th consecutive quarterly dividend, increasing it by 8.7% to $0.25 per share, payable on August 29, 2025. The company reported a significant increase in net income for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, driven by higher net interest income and lower tax provisions, despite a rise in credit loss provisions and noninterest expenses. The company’s balance sheet showed growth in assets, loans, and deposits, reflecting strong operational performance and strategic growth in various loan segments.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMBC) stock is a Hold with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Missouri Bancorp stock, see the SMBC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025