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Southern Missouri Bancorp (SMBC)
NASDAQ:SMBC
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Southern Missouri Bancorp (SMBC) AI Stock Analysis

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SMBC

Southern Missouri Bancorp

(NASDAQ:SMBC)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$61.00
â–²(21.66% Upside)
Southern Missouri Bancorp shows a strong financial foundation, highlighted by consistent growth and robust profitability. Technical indicators suggest a neutral outlook, while valuation metrics indicate potential undervaluation. Despite challenges in credit quality, the earnings call and corporate events present a balanced, cautiously optimistic picture.

Southern Missouri Bancorp (SMBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Southern Missouri Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSouthern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC) is a financial holding company that provides a wide range of banking services through its subsidiary, Southern Bank. Operating primarily in Southern Missouri and Northern Arkansas, the company offers traditional banking products such as deposit accounts, loans, and other financial services to individuals, families, and businesses. Southern Bank focuses on building strong customer relationships and supporting local communities through its network of branches.
How the Company Makes MoneySouthern Missouri Bancorp makes money primarily through the interest income generated from its loan portfolio, which includes commercial, residential, and consumer loans. The company also earns revenue from service charges on deposit accounts and other banking services. Non-interest income sources, such as fees for mortgage banking and wealth management services, also contribute to its earnings. Key factors influencing the company's revenue include the interest rate environment, economic conditions in its operating regions, and its ability to effectively manage credit risk.

Southern Missouri Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted solid performance in net interest margin expansion and loan growth, along with a robust tangible book value increase. However, these positives were balanced with concerns around increased credit loss provisions, rising nonperforming loans, and a decline in noninterest income. Agricultural sector challenges also pose potential risks.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Interest Margin Expansion
Net interest margin for the quarter was 3.57%, up from 3.47% in the previous quarter and from 3.34% in the year-ago quarter, driven by loan growth and improved asset yields.
Loan Growth
Gross loan balances increased by $91 million or 2.2% during the first quarter, with a strong pipeline of $195 million anticipated to fund in the next 90 days.
Tangible Book Value Increase
Tangible book value increased by 13.3% over the last 12 months, primarily due to earnings retention and improvements in the bank's unrealized loss in the investment portfolio.
Positive Loan and Deposit Dynamics
Loan-to-deposit ratio improved, and core deposit growth allowed for less aggressive deposit pricing strategies.
Negative Updates
Increased Provision for Credit Losses
Provision for credit losses was $4.5 million, higher than the $2.2 million in the same period of the prior fiscal year, due to macroeconomic conditions and specific loan challenges.
Nonperforming Loans Increase
Nonperforming loans increased to $26 million, up $3 million compared to last quarter, attributed to specific commercial relationships and residential properties.
Noninterest Income Decline
Noninterest income was down 9.7% or $707,000 compared to the linked quarter, mainly due to reductions in other loan fees and bank card interchange income.
Agricultural Sector Challenges
Farmers face pressured margins due to lower commodity pricing and increased input costs, with potential impacts on loan paydowns.
Company Guidance
During the call, Southern Missouri Bancorp provided guidance indicating stable earnings and profitability with growth driven by a 5.2% increase in net interest income, stemming from loan growth and net interest margin expansion to 3.57%, up from 3.47% in the previous quarter. Loan balances increased by $91 million or 2.2% during the first quarter, with anticipated mid-single-digit loan growth for the fiscal year. Despite a larger provision for credit losses, the company maintained a positive outlook, expecting further net interest income growth due to favorable repricing dynamics and potential rate cuts. Noninterest income declined by 9.7% quarter-over-quarter, while noninterest expenses decreased by 3.6%. The allowance for credit losses was reported at 1.24% of gross loans, and the tangible book value per share increased by 13.3% over the last 12 months. The company also highlighted plans for potential share repurchases and M&A opportunities, given the current market conditions.

Southern Missouri Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Southern Missouri Bancorp demonstrates strong financial performance with robust growth metrics across income, balance sheet, and cash flow statements. Consistent revenue growth, efficient cost management, and healthy profitability are key strengths.
Income Statement
87
Very Positive
Southern Missouri Bancorp demonstrates strong financial performance with a solid growth trajectory. The Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin are robust, reflecting efficient operations and cost management. The company has shown consistent revenue growth, particularly noted in the TTM period, which is a positive indicator for future performance. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, suggesting effective management of operating expenses and strong profitability.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet of Southern Missouri Bancorp is stable with a favorable Debt-to-Equity Ratio, indicating low financial leverage and prudent management of liabilities. The Return on Equity is commendable, highlighting effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The Equity Ratio is strong, demonstrating a solid capital base and financial resilience.
Cash Flow
79
Positive
The cash flow position is solid with steady Free Cash Flow growth, indicating effective cash management and operational efficiency. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is healthy, showcasing strong cash-generating ability relative to net earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio also supports the company's capability to convert profits into cash flow, enhancing financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue299.83M305.25M273.22M202.62M138.07M129.52M
Gross Profit172.93M0.00160.73M135.89M123.28M112.73M
EBITDA81.95M73.99M73.20M57.02M65.83M65.13M
Net Income56.25M58.31M50.18M39.24M47.17M47.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.98B5.02B4.60B4.36B3.21B2.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments398.77M653.95M489.30M472.77M326.95M331.59M
Total Debt142.27M142.28M125.21M156.62M61.01M72.77M
Total Liabilities4.45B4.47B4.12B3.91B2.89B2.42B
Stockholders Equity528.79M544.69M488.75M446.06M320.77M283.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow62.75M14.86M61.22M55.98M62.73M48.91M
Operating Cash Flow69.45M14.86M70.27M62.02M67.34M51.76M
Investing Cash Flow-279.84M0.00-245.74M-213.41M-303.93M-101.92M
Financing Cash Flow269.00M-10.38M182.39M118.55M199.80M119.50M

Southern Missouri Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price50.14
Price Trends
50DMA
54.30
Negative
100DMA
54.28
Negative
200DMA
54.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.37
Positive
RSI
42.76
Neutral
STOCH
49.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMBC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 50.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.51, below the 50-day MA of 54.30, and below the 200-day MA of 54.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SMBC.

Southern Missouri Bancorp Risk Analysis

Southern Missouri Bancorp disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Southern Missouri Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Southern Missouri Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$543.19M9.2911.29%1.86%11.74%17.30%
73
Outperform
$587.20M13.949.01%0.88%12.06%41.78%
72
Outperform
$605.25M15.095.70%5.26%6.63%-19.64%
72
Outperform
$665.40M10.4614.39%3.17%3.17%-1.53%
70
Outperform
$613.10M11.5512.52%1.59%6.07%20.59%
68
Neutral
$633.01M14.1410.23%0.83%8.26%94.53%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMBC
Southern Missouri Bancorp
50.49
-6.47
-11.36%
HTBK
Heritage Commerce
9.89
0.70
7.62%
HIFS
Hingham Institution For Savings
304.41
46.22
17.90%
IBCP
Independent Bank
32.16
0.44
1.39%
SMBK
SmartFinancial
36.26
4.22
13.17%
SPFI
South Plains Financial
38.30
5.08
15.29%

Southern Missouri Bancorp Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Southern Missouri Bancorp Highlights Strong Fiscal Performance
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. presented its investor materials at the KBW Community Bank Investor Conference on July 29, 2025, highlighting its strong financial performance in fiscal 2025. The company reported a 17.2% increase in earnings per share, driven by robust net interest income and asset growth. The tangible book value per share rose by 14.1%, and loans increased by 6.6% compared to the previous year. The company also announced an 8.7% increase in its quarterly dividend, reflecting its strong capital position. These results underscore Southern Missouri Bancorp’s successful growth strategy and solidify its position in the banking industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMBC) stock is a Hold with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Missouri Bancorp stock, see the SMBC Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Southern Missouri Bancorp Increases Quarterly Dividend by 8.7%
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Southern Missouri Bancorp declared its 125th consecutive quarterly dividend, increasing it by 8.7% to $0.25 per share, payable on August 29, 2025. The company reported a significant increase in net income for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, driven by higher net interest income and lower tax provisions, despite a rise in credit loss provisions and noninterest expenses. The company’s balance sheet showed growth in assets, loans, and deposits, reflecting strong operational performance and strategic growth in various loan segments.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMBC) stock is a Hold with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southern Missouri Bancorp stock, see the SMBC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025