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South Plains Financial Inc (SPFI)
NASDAQ:SPFI

South Plains Financial (SPFI) AI Stock Analysis

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SPFI

South Plains Financial

(NASDAQ:SPFI)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$44.00
â–²(10.89% Upside)
South Plains Financial's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, including a significant merger, drive a positive outlook. Technical indicators support the stock's momentum, while valuation metrics suggest reasonable pricing. The earnings call and corporate events further bolster confidence in future growth.
Positive Factors
Merger with BOH Holdings
The merger with BOH Holdings is expected to expand SPFI's geographic footprint and enhance its market position, providing long-term growth opportunities and increasing earnings per share by 11% in 2027.
Strong Capital Ratios
High capital ratios indicate financial stability and the ability to withstand economic downturns, supporting future growth and lending capacity.
Lending Team Expansion
Expanding the lending team enhances SPFI's capacity to drive loan growth, supporting long-term revenue expansion and market presence.
Negative Factors
Decrease in Loans Held for Investment
A reduction in loans held for investment can limit interest income growth, impacting future revenue and profitability.
Decrease in Noninterest Income
A decline in noninterest income, particularly from mortgage banking, may reduce revenue diversification and stability.
Higher-Than-Normal Loan Paydowns
Increased loan paydowns can hinder loan portfolio growth, affecting interest income and overall financial performance.

South Plains Financial (SPFI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

South Plains Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSouth Plains Financial, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for City Bank that provides commercial and consumer financial services to small and medium-sized businesses and individuals. The company operates through two segments, Banking and Insurance. It offers deposit products, including demand deposit accounts, interest-bearing products, savings accounts, and certificate of deposits. The company also provides commercial real estate loans; general and specialized commercial loans, including agricultural production and real estate, energy, finance, investment, and insurance loans, as well as loans to goods, services, restaurant and retail, construction, and other industries; residential construction loans; and 1-4 family residential loans, auto loans, and other loans for recreational vehicles or other purposes. In addition, it offers crop insurance products; trust products and services; investment services; mortgage banking services; online and mobile banking services; and debit and credit cards. The company operates 25 full-service banking locations; and 15 loan production offices located throughout Texas and Eastern New Mexico. South Plains Financial, Inc. was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Lubbock, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneySouth Plains Financial generates revenue primarily through interest income from its loan portfolio, which includes commercial loans, consumer loans, and mortgages. Additionally, the company earns income from service fees associated with deposit accounts and treasury management services. Other revenue streams include gains from the sale of loans and investment securities. The bank's ability to manage its interest rate spread effectively and maintain a healthy loan-to-deposit ratio significantly influences its profitability. Furthermore, partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance its customer base and contribute to steady earnings.

South Plains Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
South Plains Financial demonstrated strong financial performance, with significant improvements in earnings growth, capital ratios, and asset quality. However, challenges such as a decrease in loans held for investment and noninterest income, along with higher-than-normal loan paydowns, need to be addressed. The company's strategic initiatives and successful expansion of their lending team position them well for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position and Earnings Growth
South Plains Financial reported strong earnings growth, with net interest income expansion and improved credit quality in their loan portfolio. Their return on assets significantly expanded, demonstrating a strong financial foundation.
Capital Ratios and Dividend Payout
As of September 30, 2025, the consolidated common equity Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio was 14.41%, and the Tier 1 leverage ratio was 12.37%. The company announced a quarterly dividend of $0.16 per share, marking the 26th consecutive dividend.
Successful Lending Team Expansion
South Plains Financial plans to increase their lending team by up to 20% next year, having already achieved over 10% growth. They have added lenders in key markets such as Houston and Midland.
Improved Asset Quality and Reduced Classified Loans
Classified loans decreased by $21.1 million during the quarter, including the full collection of a $32 million multifamily property loan.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Loans Held for Investment
Loans held for investment decreased by $45.5 million to $3.05 billion in the third quarter, primarily due to a decrease in multifamily property loans.
Decrease in Noninterest Income
Noninterest income decreased to $11.2 million from $12.2 million in the linked quarter, mainly due to a $1 million decrease in mortgage banking revenues.
Higher-Than-Normal Loan Paydowns
Higher-than-normal loan paydowns have been a headwind to loan growth, although this is expected to moderate in 2026.
Company Guidance
During the South Plains Financial, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the guidance provided highlighted the company's strong financial position and strategic growth initiatives. The bank experienced net interest income expansion and improved credit quality, with a return on assets markedly expanding. The company reported a common equity Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio of 14.41% and a Tier 1 leverage ratio of 12.37% as of September 30, 2025. The bank plans to increase its lending team by up to 20% to drive loan growth, despite experiencing higher-than-normal loan paydowns. The focus remains on both organic growth and potential accretive M&A opportunities. South Plains Financial also announced a $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, marking its 26th consecutive dividend. The company aims to maintain a balance between growth and returning value to shareholders through dividends and a share buyback program.

South Plains Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
South Plains Financial shows a mixed performance in its income statement with a decline in revenue growth but maintains strong profit margins. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage and strong equity returns. Cash flow is positive but has room for improvement in cash conversion efficiency.
Income Statement
South Plains Financial shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 9.54%, which is a concern. However, the company maintains a strong net profit margin of 22.81% and a healthy EBIT margin of 28.92%, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth, but consistent profitability margins suggest stability in operations.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 in the TTM, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity is strong at 13.16%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a stable capital structure. The trend of decreasing debt levels over the years further strengthens the financial stability of the company.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a 17.14% growth in free cash flow in the TTM. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 92.58%, reflecting strong cash generation relative to net income. Historical fluctuations in cash flow growth rates suggest some volatility in cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue292.62M283.10M248.51M231.94M227.51M235.58M
Gross Profit200.70M185.00M171.62M211.86M216.16M194.06M
EBITDA81.66M69.80M85.83M80.12M79.56M63.18M
Net Income59.71M49.72M62.74M58.24M58.61M45.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.48B4.23B4.20B3.94B3.90B3.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments799.28M627.32M514.02M936.59M1.21B1.10B
Total Debt60.49M110.35M110.17M122.35M122.17M223.53M
Total Liabilities4.00B3.79B3.80B3.59B3.49B3.23B
Stockholders Equity477.80M438.95M407.11M357.01M407.43M370.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.59M56.03M53.86M119.12M93.35M2.32M
Operating Cash Flow69.23M59.38M58.54M123.59M96.27M5.63M
Investing Cash Flow1.80M-13.93M-143.38M-408.86M-159.84M-156.23M
Financing Cash Flow92.85M-16.53M180.11M33.33M250.08M292.81M

South Plains Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.68
Price Trends
50DMA
38.44
Positive
100DMA
38.76
Positive
200DMA
37.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
54.80
Neutral
STOCH
46.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPFI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.84, above the 50-day MA of 38.44, and above the 200-day MA of 37.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SPFI.

South Plains Financial Risk Analysis

South Plains Financial disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. South Plains Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

South Plains Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$690.42M11.0111.54%1.59%9.34%25.21%
79
Outperform
$644.71M11.1912.97%1.57%5.87%37.99%
78
Outperform
$773.72M17.816.26%4.16%8.23%-0.07%
78
Outperform
$693.59M10.1514.51%3.09%4.29%10.56%
69
Neutral
$648.09M13.779.01%0.84%13.41%41.78%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
52
Neutral
$666.65M-5.54-10.24%2.40%-8.51%-185.08%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPFI
South Plains Financial
39.68
6.87
20.94%
EGBN
Eagle Bancorp
21.95
-0.90
-3.94%
HTBK
Heritage Commerce
12.65
4.34
52.23%
SMBC
Southern Missouri Bancorp
61.15
8.62
16.40%
IBCP
Independent Bank
33.52
1.73
5.44%
SMBK
SmartFinancial
38.06
8.57
29.06%

South Plains Financial Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
South Plains Financial Announces Merger with BOH Holdings
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, South Plains Financial, Inc. (SPFI) announced a definitive merger agreement to acquire BOH Holdings, Inc. (BOH) in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $105.9 million. This merger, expected to close in the second quarter of 2026, will strengthen SPFI’s position as a leading Texas community bank, expanding its geographic footprint in the Houston metropolitan statistical area. The merger is anticipated to be accretive to SPFI’s earnings per share by 11% in 2027 and will result in a combined entity with approximately $5.4 billion in assets. The transaction, which has been unanimously approved by the boards of both companies, is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory approvals and shareholder consent.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPFI) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on South Plains Financial stock, see the SPFI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
South Plains Financial Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

South Plains Financial reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net income rising to $16.3 million, up from $14.6 million in the previous quarter and $11.2 million in the same quarter last year. The company experienced growth in net interest income and a decrease in interest expenses, while also managing to improve the credit quality of its loan portfolio. Despite challenges such as higher than normal loan paydowns, South Plains is optimistic about accelerating growth next year by expanding its lending platform and potentially acquiring banks that align with its conservative culture and strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPFI) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on South Plains Financial stock, see the SPFI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
South Plains Financial Redeems $50M Subordinated Notes
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

On September 30, 2025, South Plains Financial, Inc. redeemed the entire $50,000,000 outstanding principal amount of its 4.50% Fixed to Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2030. The redemption was carried out according to the terms of the Indenture with UMB Bank, National Association, and was approved by the company’s primary federal regulator on August 22, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPFI) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on South Plains Financial stock, see the SPFI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025