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Midwestone Financial Group (MOFG)
NASDAQ:MOFG
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Midwestone Financial Group (MOFG) AI Stock Analysis

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MOFG

Midwestone Financial Group

(NASDAQ:MOFG)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$42.00
▲(3.40% Upside)
The overall stock score of 64 reflects a mixed outlook. The most significant factor is the financial performance, which is currently weak due to negative profitability and revenue trends. However, strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment, particularly regarding the strategic acquisition, provide a counterbalance. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is reasonably priced, adding to its appeal.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition significantly enhances the company's asset base and market position, promising improved profitability and competitive strength.
Market Position
This strengthened market position provides a competitive edge, supporting long-term growth and stability in a key regional market.
EPS Accretion
Expected EPS growth indicates improved profitability and shareholder value, enhancing financial performance over the long term.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability
Persistent negative profitability can undermine financial health, requiring strategic changes to reverse losses and improve margins.
Integration Challenges
Integration complexities may delay cost efficiencies and synergies, impacting the expected benefits of the acquisition.
Impact of Durbin Amendment
Regulatory changes could reduce revenue streams, pressuring margins and necessitating adjustments to maintain profitability.

Midwestone Financial Group (MOFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Midwestone Financial Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for MidWestOne Bank that provides commercial and retail banking products and services to individuals, businesses, governmental units, and institutional customers. It offers deposit products, such as noninterest bearing and interest-bearing demand deposit accounts, interest checking accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, and time deposits. The company also provides commercial and industrial, commercial and residential real estate, agricultural, and credit card loans, as well as consumer loans, such as secured and unsecured personal, and automobile loans. In addition, it offers various trust and investment services, including administering estates, personal trusts, and conservatorships, as well as property management, farm management, investment advisory, retail securities brokerage, and financial planning and custodial services, as well as investment-related services, including securities trading, mutual funds sales, fixed and variable annuities, tax-exempted, and conventional unit trusts. Further, the company provides other products and services comprising treasury management, debit cards, automated teller machines, online and mobile banking, and safe deposit boxes. It offers its products and services primarily through a network of 56 banking offices located in central and eastern Iowa, the Minneapolis/St. Paul metropolitan area of Minnesota, southwestern Wisconsin, southwestern Florida, and Denver, Colorado. MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Iowa City, Iowa.
How the Company Makes MoneyMidwestone Financial Group generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments, as well as non-interest income from fees for various financial services. Key revenue streams include interest earned on commercial and consumer loans, mortgage originations, and deposits. Additionally, MOFG earns non-interest income through wealth management services, insurance commissions, and service fees associated with deposit accounts. The company may also benefit from partnerships with other financial institutions or businesses that enhance its service offerings and customer reach, contributing to its overall financial performance.

Midwestone Financial Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was predominantly positive, with the key highlight being the strategic acquisition of MidWestOne Financial Group, which is anticipated to enhance Nikolay's market position and profitability. However, some challenges were noted, such as the financial impact of the Durbin Amendment and integration complexities.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Acquisition of MidWestOne Financial Group
Nikolay Bancshares announced the acquisition of MidWestOne Financial Group, adding $3.4 billion in assets under management to the combined franchise. The acquisition is expected to produce top quartile shareholder profitability metrics.
EPS Accretion and Profitability
The acquisition is anticipated to deliver full-year fully phased-in EPS accretion of approximately 35% to 40%. The combined company is expected to produce peer-leading profitability metrics.
Strong Market Position
The merger positions Nikolay as one of the largest and most profitable community banks in the Upper Midwest, with a diversified loan portfolio and a core funded deposit base.
Strategic Expansion Opportunities
The merger provides Nikolay with a significant presence in the Twin Cities and Denver, with plans to potentially expand further through M&A.
Negative Updates
Impact of Durbin Amendment
There is an estimated $8.5 million negative impact on interchange income expected starting in 2027 due to crossing the $10 billion asset threshold.
Integration Challenges
The integration plan deviates from past acquisitions, with a legal closing expected in 2026 followed by a system conversion later, resulting in only 50% of cost savings being realized in 2026.
Company Guidance
During the Nikolay Bancshares Inc. merger conference call, extensive guidance was provided about their acquisition of MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. Key metrics were highlighted, including the combined franchise's assets, which are set to exceed $10 billion, with MidWestOne adding over $3.4 billion to Nikolay's existing $6.2 billion. The merger is expected to yield EPS accretion of 35% to 40% and maintain Nikolay's top quartile ROAA and ROATCE. The all-stock transaction values MidWestOne at approximately $864 million, or 166% of tangible book value, and will result in Nikolay shareholders owning 70% of the combined entity. The deal also projects $38 million in pre-tax cost savings and a negligible tangible book value earn-back period. The integration plan includes a legal closing in 2026, with a subsequent system conversion in the summer or early fall, aiming to balance cost efficiencies and cultural integration.

Midwestone Financial Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Midwestone Financial Group faces significant challenges in profitability and revenue growth, with negative margins and declining revenue. The balance sheet shows stable leverage but negative returns, while cash flow management is a relative strength despite income losses.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Midwestone Financial Group's income statement shows a concerning trend with declining revenue and negative profitability metrics in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from previous years, and the net profit margin is negative, indicating losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational challenges. Revenue growth has been negative, highlighting a need for strategic adjustments to reverse this trend.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a relatively stable debt-to-equity ratio, which has improved over the years, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity is negative in the TTM period, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, but the negative ROE is a concern that needs addressing to improve shareholder value.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, with negative growth in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively high, suggesting that despite income losses, the company manages to maintain cash flow, which is a positive aspect.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue204.96M206.03M268.04M244.28M219.22M223.41M
Gross Profit68.31M60.51M156.75M209.38M206.07M163.22M
EBITDA-74.80M-76.29M37.41M86.76M91.04M17.88M
Net Income-54.26M-60.29M20.86M60.84M69.49M6.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.16B6.24B6.43B6.58B6.03B5.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.40B1.53B876.85M1.24B2.49B1.74B
Total Debt112.32M116.56M138.56M531.08M336.25M439.48M
Total Liabilities5.57B5.68B5.90B6.09B5.50B5.04B
Stockholders Equity589.04M559.70M524.38M492.79M527.48M515.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow59.16M60.78M58.52M87.67M109.54M7.03M
Operating Cash Flow61.95M63.18M62.57M90.33M111.55M9.16M
Investing Cash Flow350.55M312.30M129.73M-273.27M-428.32M-867.44M
Financing Cash Flow-344.63M-252.32M-197.01M65.55M437.94M867.46M

Midwestone Financial Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.62
Price Trends
50DMA
33.55
Positive
100DMA
31.23
Positive
200DMA
29.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.53
Positive
RSI
65.72
Neutral
STOCH
91.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.70, above the 50-day MA of 33.55, and above the 200-day MA of 29.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MOFG.

Midwestone Financial Group Risk Analysis

Midwestone Financial Group disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Midwestone Financial Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Midwestone Financial Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$660.02M15.326.26%4.68%8.23%-0.07%
73
Outperform
$642.21M10.4211.54%1.69%9.34%25.21%
73
Outperform
$598.94M12.839.01%0.88%13.41%41.78%
69
Neutral
$632.49M14.1310.23%0.86%8.26%94.53%
69
Neutral
$531.54M10.1011.37%3.78%42.22%1207.84%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$814.79M14.0610.01%2.46%89.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MOFG
Midwestone Financial Group
40.62
8.18
25.22%
HTBK
Heritage Commerce
11.36
1.38
13.83%
HIFS
Hingham Institution For Savings
302.76
21.12
7.50%
SMBC
Southern Missouri Bancorp
58.64
-5.86
-9.09%
SMBK
SmartFinancial
37.38
1.46
4.06%
ALRS
Alerus Financial
22.13
1.15
5.48%

Midwestone Financial Group Corporate Events

Nikolay Bancshares’ Strategic Acquisition Boosts Outlook
Oct 25, 2025

The recent earnings call of Nikolay Bancshares was marked by a predominantly positive sentiment, largely driven by the strategic acquisition of MidWestOne Financial Group. This move is expected to bolster Nikolay’s market position and profitability, although some challenges such as the financial impact of the Durbin Amendment and integration complexities were acknowledged.

M&A Transactions
Midwestone Financial Group Announces Merger with Nicolet
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. and Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. announced a merger agreement where MidWestOne will merge into Nicolet in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $864 million. This merger will create one of the largest community banks in the Upper Midwest with over $15 billion in assets, enhancing their market presence and operational scale. The merger is expected to close in the first half of 2026, subject to customary closing conditions, and will result in MidWestOne shareholders owning 30% of the combined company.

The most recent analyst rating on (MOFG) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Midwestone Financial Group stock, see the MOFG Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
MidWestOne Financial to Announce Q3 2025 Results
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

On October 10, 2025, MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. announced it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results after the market closes on October 23, 2025. The company will host a conference call on October 24, 2025, to discuss these results, providing stakeholders with insights into its recent activities and financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (MOFG) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Midwestone Financial Group stock, see the MOFG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Midwestone Financial Redeems $65M Subordinated Notes
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On July 30, 2025, MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. redeemed its $65.0 million 5.75% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2030. This redemption was completed using a combination of cash on hand and proceeds from a $50.0 million senior term note, which closed on July 29, 2025, and is structured with a 5-year maturity and 7-year amortization, bearing interest at a floating rate.

The most recent analyst rating on (MOFG) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Midwestone Financial Group stock, see the MOFG Stock Forecast page.

MidWestOne Financial’s Mixed Earnings Call Reveals Growth and Challenges
Jul 29, 2025

MidWestOne Financial’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture, reflecting both strengths and challenges faced by the company. While there was notable growth in loan and interest income, and improvements in wealth management and SBA performance, these positives were counterbalanced by a significant issue with a commercial real estate (CRE) loan. This issue impacted asset quality and led to increased credit loss provisions. Despite these hurdles, the company has managed its expenses well and successfully acquired new talent to drive future growth.

MidWestOne Financial Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 26, 2025

MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. is a financial holding company based in Iowa City, Iowa, operating primarily in the banking sector through its subsidiary, MidWestOne Bank, with branches across Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Colorado.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
MidWestOne Financial Group Plans Q3 Investor Presentations
Neutral
Jul 25, 2025

MidWestOne Financial Group announced that its executive officers will present to institutional investors during the third quarter of 2025. This initiative aims to engage with investors and provide insights into the company’s operations and financial performance. The presentations are part of MidWestOne’s efforts to strengthen its market position and communicate its growth strategies to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (MOFG) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Midwestone Financial Group stock, see the MOFG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2025