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Midwestone Financial Group (MOFG)
NASDAQ:MOFG
US Market

Midwestone Financial Group (MOFG) AI Stock Analysis

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MOFG

Midwestone Financial Group

(NASDAQ:MOFG)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$44.00
▲(11.76% Upside)
Midwestone Financial Group's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment regarding the strategic acquisition. However, financial performance challenges, particularly in profitability and revenue growth, weigh down the score. The valuation is fair, providing some support to the overall assessment.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of MidWestOne by Nikolay Bancshares is expected to enhance market position and profitability, creating a larger and more competitive entity in the Upper Midwest.
Market Expansion
The merger expands Nikolay's market presence, offering strategic opportunities for growth in key regions, which can lead to increased customer base and revenue potential.
EPS Accretion
The expected EPS accretion from the merger indicates improved profitability and shareholder value, enhancing the financial health of the combined entity.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Declining revenue and negative profitability metrics indicate operational challenges that could hinder long-term financial stability and growth.
Integration Challenges
Integration complexities may delay cost synergies and efficiencies, impacting the anticipated benefits from the merger and potentially straining resources.
Impact of Durbin Amendment
The Durbin Amendment's impact on interchange income could reduce revenue streams, affecting long-term profitability and financial planning.

Midwestone Financial Group (MOFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Midwestone Financial Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for MidWestOne Bank that provides commercial and retail banking products and services to individuals, businesses, governmental units, and institutional customers. It offers deposit products, such as noninterest bearing and interest-bearing demand deposit accounts, interest checking accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, and time deposits. The company also provides commercial and industrial, commercial and residential real estate, agricultural, and credit card loans, as well as consumer loans, such as secured and unsecured personal, and automobile loans. In addition, it offers various trust and investment services, including administering estates, personal trusts, and conservatorships, as well as property management, farm management, investment advisory, retail securities brokerage, and financial planning and custodial services, as well as investment-related services, including securities trading, mutual funds sales, fixed and variable annuities, tax-exempted, and conventional unit trusts. Further, the company provides other products and services comprising treasury management, debit cards, automated teller machines, online and mobile banking, and safe deposit boxes. It offers its products and services primarily through a network of 56 banking offices located in central and eastern Iowa, the Minneapolis/St. Paul metropolitan area of Minnesota, southwestern Wisconsin, southwestern Florida, and Denver, Colorado. MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Iowa City, Iowa.
How the Company Makes MoneyMidwestone Financial Group generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income comes from net interest income, which is derived from the interest earned on loans provided to customers, minus the interest paid on deposits and other borrowings. In addition to traditional banking services, MOFG earns fee income from services such as wealth management, mortgage origination, and insurance products. The company may also generate revenue through investment gains and commissions from financial advisory services. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and organizations further enhance its ability to attract clients and expand its market presence, contributing to overall profitability.

Midwestone Financial Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was predominantly positive, with the key highlight being the strategic acquisition of MidWestOne Financial Group, which is anticipated to enhance Nikolay's market position and profitability. However, some challenges were noted, such as the financial impact of the Durbin Amendment and integration complexities.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Acquisition of MidWestOne Financial Group
Nikolay Bancshares announced the acquisition of MidWestOne Financial Group, adding $3.4 billion in assets under management to the combined franchise. The acquisition is expected to produce top quartile shareholder profitability metrics.
EPS Accretion and Profitability
The acquisition is anticipated to deliver full-year fully phased-in EPS accretion of approximately 35% to 40%. The combined company is expected to produce peer-leading profitability metrics.
Strong Market Position
The merger positions Nikolay as one of the largest and most profitable community banks in the Upper Midwest, with a diversified loan portfolio and a core funded deposit base.
Strategic Expansion Opportunities
The merger provides Nikolay with a significant presence in the Twin Cities and Denver, with plans to potentially expand further through M&A.
Negative Updates
Impact of Durbin Amendment
There is an estimated $8.5 million negative impact on interchange income expected starting in 2027 due to crossing the $10 billion asset threshold.
Integration Challenges
The integration plan deviates from past acquisitions, with a legal closing expected in 2026 followed by a system conversion later, resulting in only 50% of cost savings being realized in 2026.
Company Guidance
During the Nikolay Bancshares Inc. merger conference call, extensive guidance was provided about their acquisition of MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. Key metrics were highlighted, including the combined franchise's assets, which are set to exceed $10 billion, with MidWestOne adding over $3.4 billion to Nikolay's existing $6.2 billion. The merger is expected to yield EPS accretion of 35% to 40% and maintain Nikolay's top quartile ROAA and ROATCE. The all-stock transaction values MidWestOne at approximately $864 million, or 166% of tangible book value, and will result in Nikolay shareholders owning 70% of the combined entity. The deal also projects $38 million in pre-tax cost savings and a negligible tangible book value earn-back period. The integration plan includes a legal closing in 2026, with a subsequent system conversion in the summer or early fall, aiming to balance cost efficiencies and cultural integration.

Midwestone Financial Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Midwestone Financial Group faces significant challenges in profitability and revenue growth, with negative margins and declining revenue. The balance sheet shows stable leverage but negative returns, while cash flow management is a relative strength despite income losses.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Midwestone Financial Group's income statement shows a concerning trend with declining revenue and negative profitability metrics in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from previous years, and the net profit margin is negative, indicating losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational challenges. Revenue growth has been negative, highlighting a need for strategic adjustments to reverse this trend.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a relatively stable debt-to-equity ratio, which has improved over the years, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity is negative in the TTM period, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, but the negative ROE is a concern that needs addressing to improve shareholder value.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, with negative growth in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively high, suggesting that despite income losses, the company manages to maintain cash flow, which is a positive aspect.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue204.96M206.03M268.04M244.28M219.22M223.41M
Gross Profit68.31M60.51M156.75M209.38M206.07M163.22M
EBITDA-74.80M-76.29M37.41M86.76M91.04M17.88M
Net Income-54.26M-60.29M20.86M60.84M69.49M6.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.16B6.24B6.43B6.58B6.03B5.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.40B1.53B876.85M1.24B2.49B1.74B
Total Debt112.32M116.56M138.56M531.08M336.25M439.48M
Total Liabilities5.57B5.68B5.90B6.09B5.50B5.04B
Stockholders Equity589.04M559.70M524.38M492.79M527.48M515.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow59.16M60.78M58.52M87.67M109.54M7.03M
Operating Cash Flow61.95M63.18M62.57M90.33M111.55M9.16M
Investing Cash Flow350.55M312.30M129.73M-273.27M-428.32M-867.44M
Financing Cash Flow-344.63M-252.32M-197.01M65.55M437.94M867.46M

Midwestone Financial Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price39.37
Price Trends
50DMA
37.48
Positive
100DMA
33.08
Positive
200DMA
30.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.81
Positive
RSI
48.06
Neutral
STOCH
32.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOFG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 39.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.55, above the 50-day MA of 37.48, and above the 200-day MA of 30.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MOFG.

Midwestone Financial Group Risk Analysis

Midwestone Financial Group disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Midwestone Financial Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Midwestone Financial Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$695.28M11.0811.54%1.56%9.34%25.21%
79
Outperform
$661.54M13.979.01%0.82%13.41%41.78%
78
Outperform
$767.88M17.776.26%4.15%8.23%-0.07%
76
Outperform
$568.14M10.6511.37%3.71%42.22%1207.84%
69
Neutral
$639.47M14.5610.23%0.84%8.26%94.53%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$829.23M14.0110.01%2.41%89.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MOFG
Midwestone Financial Group
39.37
10.57
36.70%
HTBK
Heritage Commerce
12.49
3.44
38.01%
HIFS
Hingham Institution For Savings
299.00
44.40
17.44%
SMBC
Southern Missouri Bancorp
60.49
2.07
3.54%
SMBK
SmartFinancial
38.29
6.94
22.14%
ALRS
Alerus Financial
22.10
3.10
16.32%

Midwestone Financial Group Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Midwestone Financial Group Announces Merger with Nicolet
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. and Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. announced a merger agreement where MidWestOne will merge into Nicolet in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $864 million. This merger will create one of the largest community banks in the Upper Midwest with over $15 billion in assets, enhancing their market presence and operational scale. The merger is expected to close in the first half of 2026, subject to customary closing conditions, and will result in MidWestOne shareholders owning 30% of the combined company.

Financial Disclosures
MidWestOne Financial to Announce Q3 2025 Results
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

On October 10, 2025, MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. announced it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results after the market closes on October 23, 2025. The company will host a conference call on October 24, 2025, to discuss these results, providing stakeholders with insights into its recent activities and financial performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025