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Alerus Financial
(NASDAQ:ALRS)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(16.21% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/04/26
ALRS scores well on improving financial performance and a notably constructive earnings update with raised margin guidance and sharply better credit quality, which are the primary positives. Technicals are supportive but look overextended (high RSI/Stoch), introducing near-term risk. Valuation is mixed: a decent dividend yield helps, but the negative P/E reduces confidence in earnings-based valuation.
Positive Factors
Diversified fee-based revenue
A substantial fee-based contribution from wealth and retirement services reduces dependence on spread income. Record assets under administration can support recurring revenue, improve business diversification, and strengthen client relationship depth.
Negative Factors
Deposit and funding cost pressure
Deposit outflows and higher funding costs can compress net interest margin and constrain balance-sheet growth. Even if the recent decline was seasonal, sustained competition for deposits would weaken the economics of new lending.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified fee-based revenue
A substantial fee-based contribution from wealth and retirement services reduces dependence on spread income. Record assets under administration can support recurring revenue, improve business diversification, and strengthen client relationship depth.
Read all positive factors
Alerus Financial (ALRS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$813.84M
Dividend Yield2.61%
Average Volume (3M)86.42K
Price to Earnings (P/E)29.6
Beta (1Y)0.94
Revenue Growth-11.76%
EPS Growth-35.46%
CountryUS
Employees843
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryBanks - Regional
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.10
Shares Outstanding24,903,238
10 Day Avg. Volume80,477
30 Day Avg. Volume86,419
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.83
Price to Book (P/B)1.01
Price to Sales (P/S)1.74
P/FCF Ratio9.72
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$34.75Price Target Upside6.27% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)3.02
Revenue Forecast (FY)$310.28M
Alerus Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Alerus Financial Corporation, operating primarily through its subsidiary Alerus Financial, National Association, delivers a broad spectrum of financial services to both commercial clients and individual consumers. The company organizes its operati...
How the Company Makes Money
Alerus generates earnings primarily from a mix of banking, wealth management, and retirement/benefits administration activities. In its banking business, it earns net interest income—the spread between interest earned on loans and securities and i...
Alerus Financial Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed robust improvement across profitability, credit quality and capital metrics, with multiple signs of strategic progress (EPS growth, strong ROA/ROTCE, record retirement/wealth assets, significant reduction in nonperforming assets and continued shareholder returns). Offsetting items were manageable: a sequential deposit decline (seasonal), weaker mortgage originations, modest expense increases tied to strategic hiring and remediation, some OREO-related holding costs, and an anticipated reduction in purchase accounting accretion. Overall the positives (strong earnings, material credit improvement, diversified fee streams, capital returns and sizable commercial pipeline) substantially outweigh the limited near-term headwinds.Positive Updates
Strong Earnings and Returns
Reported EPS $0.81 (adjusted EPS $0.80); return on average assets (ROA) 1.6%; return on average tangible common equity ~19.33% (nearly 20%), demonstrating strong profitability and earnings power.
Negative Updates
Deposit Decline and Cost Pressure Risk
Total deposits decreased $156 million (3.6%) from March 31, 2026, primarily seasonal outflows of public depositor funds; management expects some upward pressure on deposit costs given potential rate hikes and recent sub-debt refinancing that modestly increased funding costs.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Earnings and Returns
Reported EPS $0.81 (adjusted EPS $0.80); return on average assets (ROA) 1.6%; return on average tangible common equity ~19.33% (nearly 20%), demonstrating strong profitability and earnings power.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Alerus said its 2026 guidance has improved and now targets mid‑single‑digit loan growth, low‑single‑digit deposit growth, full‑year reported net interest margin of approximately 3.7%–3.8% (core margin expected to remain stable in the mid‑3% range), revenue growth of mid‑single digits, noninterest expense growth of low‑ to mid‑single digits, and a full‑year return on assets above 1.25%; management also noted lower mortgage originations given market‑priced rate‑hike risk, expects contractual purchase‑accounting accretion of roughly $1.9 million in 3Q (with accretion declining to only a few hundred thousand dollars per quarter thereafter), and affirmed continued capital returns alongside strong liquidity and capital ratios.Alerus Financial Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 332.73M | 327.86M | 338.29M | 243.26M | 224.58M | 235.79M |
| Gross Profit | 239.72M | 220.16M | 205.61M | 164.16M | 208.77M | 233.74M |
| EBITDA | 49.96M | 39.88M | 38.04M | 24.36M | 60.42M | 77.89M |
| Net Income | 27.71M | 17.44M | 17.78M | 11.70M | 40.01M | 52.68M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.29B | 5.23B | 5.26B | 3.91B | 3.78B | 3.39B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 109.01M | 68.95M | 652.60M | 616.63M | 775.57M | 1.10B |
| Total Debt | 446.99M | 440.55M | 317.02M | 378.88M | 442.82M | 63.21M |
| Total Liabilities | 4.71B | 4.67B | 4.77B | 3.54B | 3.42B | 3.03B |
| Stockholders Equity | 583.14M | 564.93M | 495.41M | 369.13M | 356.87M | 359.40M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 99.67M | 58.83M | 16.59M | 25.71M | 101.18M | 148.13M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 95.54M | 67.53M | 28.96M | 28.98M | 102.97M | 149.83M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 83.04M | 76.55M | -330.03M | -51.99M | -292.62M | -417.66M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -150.47M | -138.13M | 232.42M | 94.76M | 5.59M | 337.18M |
Alerus Financial Technical Analysis
Neutral
32.70
Price Trends
31.88
Positive
29.12
Positive
26.00
Positive
Market Momentum
0.38
Positive
46.83
Neutral
26.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALRS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 32.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.38, above the 50-day MA of 31.88, and above the 200-day MA of 26.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ALRS.
Alerus Financial Risk Analysis
Alerus Financial disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alerus Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Alerus Financial Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $747.52M | 13.53 | 10.18% | 5.83% | 27.43% | ― | |
73 Outperform | $768.90M | 11.63 | 11.10% | 2.12% | 2.79% | 22.84% | |
71 Outperform | $659.46M | 9.86 | 13.73% | 1.15% | 12.91% | 95.79% | |
70 Outperform | $813.84M | 29.63 | 4.88% | 2.60% | -11.76% | -35.46% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% |
* Financial Sector Average
ALRS
Alerus Financial
32.59
11.88
57.39%
HIFS
Hingham Institution For Savings
298.90
37.92
14.53%
SHBI
Shore Bancshares
23.14
7.60
48.93%
WASH
Washington Bancorp
39.37
13.23
50.59%
Alerus Financial Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Alerus Financial Posts Solid Second-Quarter 2026 Results
Positive
Jul 29, 2026
On July 29, 2026, Alerus Financial Corporation reported second-quarter 2026 net income of $20.9 million, or $0.81 per diluted common share, down from $23.0 million in the first quarter but slightly above the $20.3 million earned a year earlier. Ma...
DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Alerus Financial Raises Quarterly Dividend, Signals Ongoing Confidence
Positive
May 22, 2026
On May 22, 2026, Alerus Financial Corp. reported that its board had declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.22 per common share on May 21, 2026, representing a 4.76% increase from the dividend paid a year earlier. The dividend will be pai...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.