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Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS)
NASDAQ:ALRS
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Alerus Financial (ALRS) AI Stock Analysis

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ALRS

Alerus Financial

(NASDAQ:ALRS)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(3.93% Upside)
Alerus Financial's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation metrics. The company's strategic initiatives and growth prospects are promising, though technical indicators suggest caution in the short term. The earnings call sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with a focus on strategic growth and risk management. Investors should be aware of potential risks related to nonperforming assets and fee income declines.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for Alerus's products and services, supporting long-term business expansion and market presence.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing Alerus to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.
Platform Upgrade
The platform upgrade strengthens Alerus's competitive position by improving client service and facilitating future growth in wealth management.
Negative Factors
Nonperforming Assets
Rising nonperforming assets can strain financial resources and increase risk, potentially impacting profitability and asset quality over time.
Fee Income Decline
A decline in fee income may signal challenges in maintaining revenue from non-interest sources, affecting overall revenue diversification.
Operational Efficiency
Decreasing operational efficiency can pressure profitability, indicating a need for cost management and process improvements to sustain margins.

Alerus Financial (ALRS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alerus Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) is a diversified financial services company providing banking, investment, and insurance solutions to individuals and businesses. Headquartered in Grand Forks, North Dakota, Alerus operates primarily in the financial services sector, offering products such as personal and commercial banking, mortgage lending, wealth management, and retirement planning. The company focuses on delivering personalized service and innovative solutions to help clients achieve their financial goals.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlerus makes money through several key revenue streams, including interest income from loans and mortgages, fees from banking services, wealth management fees, and commissions from insurance products. The company earns interest income primarily from its loan portfolio, which includes commercial, consumer, and residential mortgages. Additionally, Alerus generates non-interest income through service fees for account maintenance, transaction processing, and financial advisory services. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and service providers further enhance its offerings and contribute to revenue growth, while a focus on customer retention and satisfaction helps maintain a steady client base.

Alerus Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong organic growth in banking segments, successful platform upgrades, and a promising outlook for the retirement business. However, challenges such as an increase in nonperforming assets and a decline in fee income were noted. Overall, the sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a focus on strategic growth and risk management.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Growth in Banking Segments
Robust organic growth was driven by both the commercial and private banking segments, aided by an experienced team of bankers.
Successful Platform Upgrade in Wealth Management
Completed a major platform upgrade, enhancing client and adviser experience, which is expected to facilitate future recruiting and client growth.
Capital and Risk Management Achievements
Capital accretion boosted the TCE ratio to over 8%. Tangible book value grew nearly 5%, and a $5.3 million return was made to shareholders through dividends.
Promising Outlook for Retirement Business
The retirement segment remains a national leader with significant growth opportunities, and the company is bullish due to legislative support and industry growth rates.
Increased Net Interest Income and Stable Margins
Net interest income increased 0.2% over the prior quarter, and the net interest margin remained stable at 3.50%.
Negative Updates
Increase in Nonperforming Assets
Nonperforming assets to total assets were 1.13%, an increase of 15 basis points from the prior quarter, driven by one commercial relationship with cash flow challenges.
Fee Income Decline
Fee income decreased 7.3% from the prior quarter, although it was down only 1% when excluding one-time items.
Challenges in Mortgage and Swap Income
Anticipated seasonal slowdown in mortgage originations and a decrease in swap income, which tends to be volatile.
Company Guidance
During the Alerus Financial Corporation's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance on several financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Alerus expects to conclude 2025 with over $4.1 billion in loans and $4.3 billion in total deposits, anticipating mid-single-digit growth in both areas for 2026. The guidance for net interest margin is projected to end around 3.35% to 3.4% for 2025 and between 3.35% to 3.45% for 2026, with an expectation of core margin improvement driven by disciplined loan and deposit pricing. Noninterest income is forecasted to close at approximately $115 million for 2025, excluding one-time items, with mid-single-digit growth anticipated for 2026. The company is also focused on maintaining a strong reserve level of 1.51% and achieving a tangible common equity ratio above 8%. Alerus aims for adjusted pre-provision net revenue to be around $85 million to $86 million for 2025, with expected growth in the low to mid-single digits for 2026. The adjusted return on assets is targeted to exceed 1.15% for 2025, with a slight decline projected for 2026. The company highlighted its strategic focus on disciplined growth, leveraging technology and innovation, and optimizing its core earnings profile through proactive risk management and capital allocation.

Alerus Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alerus Financial demonstrates a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with a manageable level of debt, though there is potential for better equity utilization. Cash flow generation has improved significantly, indicating strong cash management. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory with solid financial health, though there are areas for potential improvement in operational efficiency and equity utilization.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Alerus Financial shows a solid performance in its income statement with a consistent revenue growth rate of 5.14% in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is strong at 62.45%, and the net profit margin has improved to 15.99%, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54, showing a manageable level of leverage. The return on equity is 9.63%, which is a positive sign of profitability, though it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio stands at 10.33%, indicating a stable capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but shows some room for improvement in equity utilization.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 64.33% in the TTM period, which is a positive indicator of cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, suggesting a reasonable conversion of income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.92 indicates that most of the net income is being converted into free cash flow, which is a positive aspect.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue392.24M330.41M243.16M224.58M235.79M239.77M
Gross Profit268.44M197.73M164.06M208.77M233.74M216.61M
EBITDA86.78M38.04M24.36M60.42M77.89M67.44M
Net Income50.42M17.74M11.70M40.01M52.68M44.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.33B5.26B3.91B3.78B3.39B3.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments92.04M649.29M616.63M775.57M1.10B765.30M
Total Debt296.07M317.02M378.88M442.82M63.21M66.60M
Total Liabilities4.78B4.77B3.54B3.42B3.03B2.68B
Stockholders Equity550.69M495.41M369.13M356.87M359.40M330.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow55.67M16.59M25.71M101.18M148.13M-26.06M
Operating Cash Flow60.71M28.96M28.98M102.97M149.83M-22.25M
Investing Cash Flow-99.32M-330.03M-51.99M-292.62M-417.66M-538.39M
Financing Cash Flow64.68M232.42M94.76M5.59M337.18M589.60M

Alerus Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.13
Price Trends
50DMA
21.55
Positive
100DMA
21.71
Positive
200DMA
20.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
58.51
Neutral
STOCH
81.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALRS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.49, above the 50-day MA of 21.55, and above the 200-day MA of 20.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALRS.

Alerus Financial Risk Analysis

Alerus Financial disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alerus Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alerus Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$582.96M10.2310.25%2.71%6.01%38.05%
69
Neutral
$632.49M14.1310.23%0.86%8.26%94.53%
69
Neutral
$531.54M10.1011.37%3.71%42.22%1207.84%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$814.79M14.0610.01%2.39%89.00%
62
Neutral
4.56%2.89%5.00%72.45%
52
Neutral
$548.59M-4.73%7.57%-27.82%-159.63%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALRS
Alerus Financial
22.13
1.12
5.33%
HIFS
Hingham Institution For Savings
302.76
26.88
9.74%
MOFG
Midwestone Financial Group
40.62
8.03
24.64%
SHBI
Shore Bancshares
17.73
1.16
7.00%
WASH
Washington Bancorp
29.59
-4.17
-12.35%
HONE
HarborOne Bancorp
12.10
-0.50
-3.97%

Alerus Financial Corporate Events

Alerus Financial’s Earnings Call: Strategic Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 4, 2025

Alerus Financial Corporation’s recent earnings call conveyed a cautiously optimistic sentiment, emphasizing strong organic growth in its banking segments and successful platform upgrades. The company demonstrated a promising outlook for its retirement business, despite facing challenges such as an increase in nonperforming assets and a decline in fee income. The overall tone was one of strategic growth and careful risk management.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alerus Financial Reports Q3 2025 Earnings
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Alerus Financial Corporation reported a net income of $16.9 million for the third quarter of 2025, a decrease from $20.3 million in the previous quarter but an increase from $5.2 million in the same quarter of 2024. The company achieved a record net interest income of $43.1 million and maintained a strong return on average total assets. Alerus continues to see growth in loans, deposits, and assets under management, driven by strategic acquisitions and enhancements in its commercial wealth bank. The company’s focus on disciplined execution and client expansion aims to deliver superior returns and shareholder value despite potential economic uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALRS) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alerus Financial stock, see the ALRS Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Alerus Financial Declares Increased Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Alerus Financial Corporation announced that its board of directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.21 per common share, marking a 5% increase from the previous year. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on October 10, 2025, to stockholders of record as of September 26, 2025, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALRS) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alerus Financial stock, see the ALRS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025