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Cohu (COHU)
NASDAQ:COHU

Cohu (COHU) AI Stock Analysis

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Cohu

(NASDAQ:COHU)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(6.80%Upside)
Cohu's overall stock score reflects a mix of challenges and opportunities. The most significant factor is the company's financial performance, which is under pressure due to declining revenue and profitability. However, strong technical indicators and a positive earnings call outlook provide some optimism. The valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings. Investors should weigh these factors carefully, considering both the potential for recovery and the current financial challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Cohu reported a beat-and-raise quarter and is now expected to break even in 2Q25.
Revenue Growth
The 2Q25 guidance marks the first reversal of the trend, with both systems revenue and recurring revenue growing sequentially.
Negative Factors
Inventory Challenges
Cohu reported both 4Q24 results and 1Q25 guidance below the Street's estimates, both of which can be attributed to the weak end-market demand environment, as customers continue to digest excess inventory.
Market Uncertainty
It is hard to know if this is just a one-quarter phenomenon, especially with the newly emerged uncertainty due to tariffs.

Cohu (COHU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cohu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCohu, Inc. is a leading global supplier of equipment and services optimized for the semiconductor industry. The company designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor test and inspection handlers, micro-electromechanical systems (MEMS) test modules, burn-in related equipment, and thermal subsystems. Cohu serves a wide array of sectors, including automotive, consumer, industrial, and computing, providing solutions that ensure the quality and reliability of semiconductor devices.
How the Company Makes MoneyCohu generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor test and inspection equipment. This includes automated test equipment (ATE) handlers and inspection systems that are critical in ensuring the quality and reliability of semiconductor devices. In addition to equipment sales, Cohu offers a range of services, such as spare parts, maintenance, and support, which contribute to its revenue stream. The company also benefits from long-term relationships and partnerships with leading semiconductor manufacturers and integrated device manufacturers (IDMs), which drive repeat business and ongoing demand for its products and services. Cohu's financial performance is influenced by trends in the semiconductor industry, technological advancements, and global economic conditions impacting the demand for electronic devices.

Cohu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 28.19%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call indicated positive momentum with increased recurring orders and a favorable Q2 outlook, bolstered by several customer design wins and successful integration of a recent acquisition. However, it also highlighted a Q1 net loss and decreased cash reserves.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Recurring Orders
Recurring orders increased by 28% quarter-over-quarter, demonstrating the value of Cohu’s non-capital equipment revenue streams and indicating potential utilization improvements in coming quarters.
Positive Q2 Revenue Outlook
Guidance for Q2 revenue is approximately $106 million, marking a 10% increase quarter-over-quarter, driven by increases in recurring revenue orders and HBM inspection systems.
Customer Design Wins in Q1
Three new opportunities for handlers with a leading package and test subcontractor in China, and a win with Diamondx tester at a European fabless supplier, among others, with in-hand POs totaling $6.5 million and a potential total revenue of $18 million a year.
Successful Integration of Tignis Acquisition
First quarter combining Tignis and Cohu’s DI-Core solutions, with three new demonstration opportunities signed, indicating positive integration and potential for future growth.
Negative Updates
Q1 Non-GAAP Net Loss
Non-GAAP net loss of approximately $800,000 in Q1, with a non-GAAP EPS loss of $0.02.
Decreased Cash and Investments
Cash and investments decreased by $61 million during Q1 to $201 million, primarily due to the acquisition of Tignis, share repurchases, and operational use.
Decline in Test Cell Utilization
Estimated test cell utilization at the end of March was down 1 point quarter-over-quarter to 72%.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Cohu reported revenue of approximately $97 million, aligning with guidance, and a non-GAAP gross margin of about 44%. The company implemented a restructuring program aimed at reducing manufacturing and operating expenses, which is expected to benefit future quarters. Test cell utilization decreased slightly to 72% by the end of March. Notably, recurring orders surged by 28% quarter-over-quarter, signaling potential upticks in future utilization. The company secured new opportunities in the automotive sector in China and won selection for its Diamondx tester in Europe. A multi-unit order for HBM inspection systems was also received, highlighting expansion into the memory market. Luis Muller, Cohu's CEO, expressed optimism about business prospects and noted no significant changes in customer buying patterns due to tariffs. Second quarter 2025 revenue is projected to increase by 10% quarter-over-quarter to about $106 million, with a gross margin forecasted at 45%. Operating expenses are expected to decrease slightly as restructuring benefits take effect, aiming for $47 million per quarter when revenue is around $100 million.

Cohu Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cohu's financial performance is challenged by declining revenue and negative profitability. While the balance sheet shows strong equity and liquidity, the negative cash flows and profitability issues indicate operational struggles.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Cohu's income statement reveals significant challenges with declining revenue and negative profitability. The TTM revenue of $390.96M decreased from $401.78M in the prior year. The net profit margin turned negative, with net losses reported in recent periods. This indicates a downturn in operational efficiency and profitability. Additionally, EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, highlighting operational struggles.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cohu's balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a high equity ratio of approximately 88.9% TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.03 TTM, indicating conservative leverage. However, the declining net income impacts the return on equity, which is negative. The company maintains a substantial cash position, indicating robust liquidity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates moderate performance. While operating cash flow has improved in the TTM, free cash flow remains negative due to capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, suggesting better cash generation relative to earnings. However, the negative free cash flow growth rate presents a concern for long-term cash sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue390.96M401.78M636.32M812.77M887.21M636.01M
Gross Profit153.79M180.29M302.81M383.33M386.96M271.78M
EBITDA-35.64M-11.84M98.94M178.97M180.64M74.11M
Net Income-85.99M-69.82M28.16M96.85M167.32M-13.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets975.54M999.41M1.15B1.23B1.26B1.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments200.81M262.09M335.70M385.58M379.90M170.03M
Total Debt26.89M18.69M58.94M98.18M139.83M345.73M
Total Liabilities147.82M142.52M200.18M298.57M376.54M583.89M
Stockholders Equity827.72M856.89M950.17M928.84M882.50M511.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.71M-7.86M85.42M98.09M85.73M31.07M
Operating Cash Flow6.56M2.78M101.47M112.86M97.73M49.73M
Investing Cash Flow-18.90M21.92M-30.21M-67.87M39.89M-18.36M
Financing Cash Flow-16.76M-59.03M-68.14M-91.07M6.53M-38.07M

Cohu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.60
Price Trends
50DMA
18.07
Positive
100DMA
17.47
Positive
200DMA
21.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.68
Negative
RSI
63.63
Neutral
STOCH
67.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COHU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.27, above the 50-day MA of 18.07, and below the 200-day MA of 21.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COHU.

Cohu Risk Analysis

Cohu disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cohu reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cohu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$668.55M18.674.72%4.41%-0.41%-46.38%
68
Neutral
$1.11B40.503.30%20.20%
66
Neutral
$821.67M-2.55%3.57%-134.36%
63
Neutral
$34.16B5.78-11.85%1.82%5.31%-18.32%
63
Neutral
$951.45M-9.87%-30.75%-3668.44%
57
Neutral
$800.79M-2.35%13.41%72.56%
54
Neutral
$1.57B-68.45%50.30%-111.11%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COHU
Cohu
20.60
-14.64
-41.54%
AOSL
Alpha and Omega
28.04
-14.27
-33.73%
IMOS
ChipMOS Technologies
18.67
-7.29
-28.08%
UCTT
Ultra Clean Holdings
25.02
-28.93
-53.62%
AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics
28.25
18.87
201.17%
ICHR
Ichor Holdings
23.71
-16.85
-41.54%

Cohu Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Cohu to Present at B. Riley Securities Conference
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Cohu, Inc. management will participate in the B. Riley Securities 25th Annual Institutional Investor Conference in Marina Del Rey, California. The company will present information that includes forward-looking statements, which are not considered filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

The most recent analyst rating on (COHU) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cohu stock, see the COHU Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cohu Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

Cohu held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 16, 2025, where stockholders voted on three key proposals. The election of Class 3 directors resulted in the re-election of Steven J. Bilodeau, James A. Donahue, and Andreas W. Mattes. Additionally, the advisory vote on executive compensation was approved, and Ernst & Young LLP’s appointment as the independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal year 2025 was ratified.

The most recent analyst rating on (COHU) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cohu stock, see the COHU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025