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Cohu (COHU)
NASDAQ:COHU

Cohu (COHU) AI Stock Analysis

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COHU

Cohu

(NASDAQ:COHU)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▼(-2.24% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (losses and deteriorated free cash flow), partially offset by improving technical trend signals and a moderately constructive earnings-call outlook driven by recurring revenue and margin expectations. Valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring revenue expansion
Sustained growth in recurring revenue (services, spares, interface solutions) increases revenue predictability and supports higher gross margins. With management forecasting recurring revenue to comprise a majority of sales, this durable stream cushions cyclicality in systems sales and supports long-term margin stability.
Low financial leverage
Very low leverage gives the company financial flexibility to invest in R&D, support working capital during cyclical downturns, and pursue strategic opportunities without pressuring interest coverage. This capital structure reduces refinancing risk while operations are being improved.
Strategic product wins in AI test
Winning selection for production testing of next‑gen AI processors demonstrates competitive product differentiation and positions Cohu to capture secular AI-driven test volumes. Production test programs can translate into multi‑year system, service and spare-part revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability
Sustained negative margins and ROE indicate the company is not converting sales into profit or shareholder returns. This undermines internal funding for growth, increases reliance on external financing, and signals the need for structural cost or mix improvements to restore durable profitability.
Severely deteriorated free cash flow
A dramatic FCF decline erodes reserves and operational flexibility, forcing management to seek external capital (e.g., recent convertible notes). Persistently weak cash generation limits investing in product development, constrains working-capital support for customers, and raises financing risk.
Volatility in systems orders
Dependence on lumpy systems sales creates revenue and margin volatility despite growing recurring revenue. Moderation and seasonal slowdowns in systems orders can compress near‑term cash and margins, making earnings less predictable and complicating long-term planning for capacity and R&D.

Cohu (COHU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cohu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCohu, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor test equipment and services in China, the United States, Taiwan, Malaysia, the Philippines, and internationally. The company supplies semiconductor test and inspection handlers, micro-electromechanical system (MEMS) test modules, test contactors, thermal sub-systems, and semiconductor automated test equipment for semiconductor and electronics manufacturers, and test subcontractors. It also provides semiconductor automated test equipment for wafer level and device package testing; various test handlers, including pick-and-place, turret, gravity, strip, and MEMS and thermal sub-systems; interface products comprising test contactors, and probe heads and pins; spares and kits; various parts and labor warranties on test and handling systems, and instruments; and training on the maintenance and operation of its systems, as well as application, data management software, and consulting services on its products. In addition, the company offers data analytics product that includes DI-Core, a software suite used to optimize Cohu equipment performance, which provides real-time online performance monitoring and process control. It markets its products through direct sales force and independent sales representatives. The company was formerly known as Cohu Electronics, Inc. and changed its name to Cohu, Inc. in 1972. Cohu, Inc. was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Poway, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCohu generates revenue primarily through the sale of its test and inspection equipment, as well as through service and support contracts for its installed base of products. The Semiconductor Test segment is a significant revenue driver, where the company sells advanced test handlers and systems to semiconductor manufacturers. Additionally, Cohu earns recurring revenue from maintenance and support services. Partnerships with leading semiconductor companies and a strong presence in the growing markets of automotive and consumer electronics contribute to its earnings. As the demand for higher quality and more efficient testing solutions increases, Cohu benefits from strategic collaborations and technological advancements that drive its revenue growth.

Cohu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in recurring revenue and strategic initiatives like the convertible notes offering, alongside the successful deployment of advanced inspection systems and handlers. However, the call also acknowledged challenges such as a seasonal slowdown and a decrease in cash reserves.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Recurring Revenue Growth
Recurring revenue continued to grow for the third consecutive quarter, driven by strength in interface solutions and test handler spares.
Convertible Notes Offering
Cohu announced an offering of convertible notes on favorable terms, raising gross proceeds of $287.5 million at attractive rates.
Revenue Growth in Neon HBM Systems
Repeat orders for Neon HBM inspection tools increased this year's revenue forecast for these systems to between $10 million and $11 million.
Eclipse Handler for AI Processors
The Eclipse handler was selected for production test of next-generation AI processor devices by a leading U.S.-based semiconductor manufacturer.
Consolidated Revenue and Margins
Consolidated revenue reached $126 million with a non-GAAP gross margin of 44.1%.
Limited Exposure to China
Revenue from customers based in China accounts for only a low single-digit percentage of total consolidated results.
Negative Updates
Decline in Systems Orders
While systems orders moderated last quarter, growth in recurring revenue and new wins position us well for Q4 and beyond.
Seasonal Slowdown Anticipated
A seasonal slowdown in Q4 is anticipated, partially offset by ongoing market recovery.
Decrease in Cash and Investments
Cash and investments decreased by $11.2 million during Q3, primarily due to cash used in operations and a $33 million increase in accounts receivable.
Company Guidance
During Cohu's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the fourth quarter, highlighting a projected revenue of approximately $122 million, plus or minus $7 million, which signifies a 3.5% decrease from the third quarter's $126.2 million. The gross margin for Q4 is expected to improve to around 45%, attributed to an increase in recurring revenue which is forecasted to represent about 60% of total revenue. Operating expenses are anticipated to be approximately $50 million, and the tax provision is projected to be around $4 million. Additionally, Cohu expects the diluted share count to be about 47.1 million shares for the fourth quarter. The company noted the potential impact of a seasonal slowdown in systems revenue, partially offset by continued market recovery and growth in recurring revenue.

Cohu Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cohu faces a challenging financial environment with declining profitability and cash flow issues. The income statement shows a negative net profit margin and declining EBIT and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but the cash flow statement indicates significant challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate.
Income Statement
Cohu's income statement shows a challenging period with declining profitability. The TTM data reveals a negative net profit margin of -17.22%, indicating losses. Revenue growth is positive at 7.85%, but gross profit margins have significantly decreased to 8.54% from previous years. The company needs to address its declining EBIT and EBITDA margins to improve financial health.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.058, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -8.65%, highlighting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains strong, indicating a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
Cohu's cash flow statement indicates significant challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -1274.27% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow issues. Despite a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 3.09, the overall cash flow performance is weak and needs improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue424.85M401.78M636.32M812.77M887.21M636.01M
Gross Profit180.97M179.83M302.81M382.87M386.40M275.51M
EBITDA-17.15M-19.41M96.97M171.72M180.64M74.11M
Net Income-73.14M-69.82M28.16M96.85M167.32M-13.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.02B999.41M1.15B1.23B1.26B1.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments198.16M262.09M335.70M385.58M379.90M170.03M
Total Debt49.90M18.69M58.94M103.16M144.88M345.73M
Total Liabilities190.18M142.52M200.18M298.57M376.54M578.06M
Stockholders Equity831.09M856.89M950.17M928.84M882.50M512.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.48M-7.86M85.42M98.09M85.73M31.07M
Operating Cash Flow-9.86M2.78M101.47M112.86M97.73M49.73M
Investing Cash Flow-29.20M21.92M-30.21M-67.87M39.89M-18.36M
Financing Cash Flow-669.00K-59.03M-68.14M-91.07M6.53M-38.07M

Cohu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.62
Price Trends
50DMA
23.95
Positive
100DMA
22.52
Positive
200DMA
20.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.85
Negative
RSI
70.38
Negative
STOCH
86.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COHU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.47, above the 50-day MA of 23.95, and above the 200-day MA of 20.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.38 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for COHU.

Cohu Risk Analysis

Cohu disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cohu reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cohu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.97B14.7211.89%-2.04%8.84%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$1.30B172.890.98%2.25%0.96%-85.27%
53
Neutral
$1.25B-17.63-8.53%-4.50%-45.79%
52
Neutral
$789.77M-89.17-6.97%-3.23%-122.16%
51
Neutral
$1.55B-9.88-20.61%6.65%-4652.36%
48
Neutral
$663.76M-6.86-11.17%5.81%-376.55%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COHU
Cohu
27.62
3.62
15.08%
AEHR
Aehr Test Systems
26.35
14.69
125.99%
AOSL
Alpha and Omega
22.22
-13.31
-37.46%
IMOS
ChipMOS Technologies
37.78
20.09
113.57%
PLAB
Photronics
33.70
10.16
43.16%
UCTT
Ultra Clean Holdings
35.34
-1.26
-3.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026